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    East Africa

    September 2014

    Stabilisation Clauses in

    InternationalPetroleum ContractsIllusion or safeguard? 

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    International Oil Companies (IOCs) contend with the risk of changes to the terms of the petroleum agreements

    signed with host states which can adversely affect the commercial viability of their projects as previously appraised.

    Despite protests that stabilisation clauses fetter their sovereign legislative prerogative as well as their permanent

    sovereignty over natural resources, governments in developing countries have been amenable to requests by IOCs to

    include stabilisation clauses in their petroleum agreements as a condition precedent for investment. These clauses

    provide, at least in appearance, a bulwark against unilateral host state review of the initial contract terms through

    legislative or administrative action.

    The essence of the inclusion of stabilisation clauses is the reaffirmation of the host state’s belief in the sanctity of

    contracts and the assurance that fiscal commitments included therein will outlive the government that welcomed the

    venture and endure for the duration of the project.

    This paper examines the value, if any, that stabilisation clauses confer to the various stakeholders in the petroleum

    industry. It outlines their scope and nature. It concludes that stabilisation clauses are not in all instances a panacea

    to the stability quest for investors in long term energy investment ventures. For convenience, the term production

    sharing agreement (PSA) has been used to cover all forms of petroleum agreements for the exploitation of a

    country’s hydrocarbon resources.

    Preface

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    IOCs usually undertake a comprehensive due diligence

    of the host states’ geological, socio-economic, political,

    legal and fiscal environment prior to committing to an

    investment. The findings are the basis for negotiating

    the fiscal and related terms of the project, as well as

    appraising the investment. The objectives of the two

    principal agents to the petroleum industry, namely the

    host state and the IOCs not only deviate but also often

    clash. IOCs are driven by a desire to maximise profits

    while host states focus on revenue maximisation and the

    realisation of other state objectives.

    Petroleum projects are not only capital intensive but

    span a long period of time. Host states largely from

    developing countries do not have the financial means to

    develop their resources and usually seek the partnership

    of well capitalised IOCs in this regard. Host states

    endowed with resources usually dangle fiscal incentives

    to entice IOCs to provide capital, expertise and

    management required for successful projects. The IOCs

    become vulnerable once the investment is committedand are, in some cases, at the mercy of the host state.

    IOCs will therefore from the very outset of their projects

    devise risk mitigation tools to navigate the murky

    waters of host states unilaterally reviewing the terms

    of their PSAs. The recurrent variations in petroleum

    prices have the potential to make an apparently

    profitable deal under a PSA previously negotiated look

    unattractive should there be a significant price rise in the

    future. This is usually the commonest trigger point of

    tension between the IOCs and the host states valiantly

    determined to seek adjustment to the initial PSA.

    Investors’ quest for stability and predictability in their

    project returns is the reason they seek to anchor

    legal and fiscal provisions in the PSAs as a means of

    guaranteeing their recoupment of investment in the

    shortest possible time.

    There are other financial and non-commercial

    considerations of concern to the investors, such

    as expropriation of the investment or other subtle

    manoeuvres that interfere with their right of enterprise.

    IOCs may also be reluctant to incur additional

    operational costs resulting from changes in labour law

    or new requirements to adhere to health, safety and

    environmental demands and any ingenious tool to

    insulate against this is open for them to adopt.

    IOCs are therefore keen from the very outset to

    devise risk mitigation techniques to restrain or at least

    mitigate the exercise of host state sovereign legislative

    prerogative which may adversely affect the project

    returns. There are three broad techniques that IOCs haveused in this respect and these are contractual, legislative

    and treaty-based tools.

    The focus of this paper is the contractual tool of

    stabilisation clauses included in PSAs though it also

    discusses, albeit briefly, legislative and treaty based

    protective measures in international energy investment

    projects.

    Introduction

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    Legislative based stabilisation tools

    Legislative protection to energy investments takes the

    approach of substantive provisions in laws setting out

    more or less specific guarantees for the stabilisation of

    a category of investments. The basic criticism against

    legislative based tools is that what parliament enact,

    they can undo.

    An example of using legislation to provide stability for

    an investment project can be cited from the Nigeria

    LNG Act of 1990. The Act prohibited unilateral changes,

    froze the fiscal regime and effectively granted legal

    enclave status to the project. Since the provision of

    international project finance was so crucial to its viability,

    the degree of assurance required by lending institutions

    was very high, extending beyond contractual protection.

    The table below outlines provisions in East African

    countries’ legislation that address the investor’s quest

    for protection of their investment.

    Stabilisation tools

    Country  Discussion

    Uganda The constitution prohibits the government from arbitrarily depriving a person of

    property or interest over any property except in public interest, in which case a

    prompt and fair compensation must be made.

    The Investment Code Act protects business licensed thereunder from being

    compulsorily expropriated, except in accordance with the Constitution of Uganda,

    subject to fair national interest considerations and compensation.

    Tanzania The constitution prohibits arbitrary deprivation of a person of property, including

    nationalization, without prompt, fair and adequate compensation. Investors given

    a license under the Tanzania Investment Act are also protected from amendment

    or modification to their detriment of incentives therein. Compulsory acquisition ofbusinesses can only be made with fair, adequate and prompt compensation.

    Kenya The constitution prohibits the government from arbitrarily depriving a person of

    property or interest over any property except in public interest, in which case a

    prompt and fair compensation must be made.

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    Treaty based stabilisation tools

    These are mechanisms for protecting an investment

    included in international investment instruments such as

    bilateral and multilateral investment treaties. Investment

    treaties are concluded between two states, typically

    a developed and developing country, committing the

    contracting states to offer substantive and procedural

    protection to investors and investments originating

    in the other state party. These instruments allows an

    investor to initiate an arbitration claim against the host

    state, without relying upon the intervention of the home

    state in the trial of the claim.

    A significant feature of bilateral investment treaties

    for foreign investors and the host states lies in the

    consequences of their existence as well as their potential

    for enforcement. A host state, in formulating a new

    policy, may be reminded by the foreign investors or

    indeed the home state of the foreign investor of its

    treaty obligations and the risk of arbitral proceedings if

    the policy were to proceed in its proposed form.

    This informal use of investment treaties as a bargaining

    chip in negotiations with the host state is well known

    to legal advisers. At the very least, the foreign investor’s

    threat conveyed by letter of commencing arbitral

    proceedings under a bilateral investment treaty can lead

    to consultations, renewed efforts by the parties to reach

    a settlement in a dispute, and potentially a change in

    policy by the host state.

    East African Countries Bilateral Treaties

    Uganda Kenya Tanzania

    Germany

    Italy

    Netherlands

    Switzerland

    United Kingdom

    Germany

    Italy

    Netherlands

    Denmark

    Finland

    Germany

    Italy

    Netherlands

    South Africa

    Sweden

    Switzerland

    United Kingdom

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    Nature and scope of stabilisation clauses in

    petroleum agreements

    Stabilisation clauses are specific commitments by host

    states not to alter the terms of petroleum agreements

    by legislation or other means without the consent of the

    contracting parties. The origin of stabilisation clauses

    can be traced to the period between World War I and

    World War II when US companies began to include

    them in concessionary agreements because of Latin

    America nationalisations to preserve the concessions to

    their full terms of the contract.

    The perception by many host states that IOCs have

    reaped a windfall in the climate of high energy prices

    and unfairly benefited from the terms of their petroleum

    agreements, coupled with the cycle of soaring oil and

    gas prices, drives many countries into repudiating or

    altering the fiscal regimes in their agreements. Forgotten

    amidst the claw back by the host state is the colossal

    risk undertaken by the

    IOCs in exploring new areas, the risks of a dry hole and

    unrecoverable massive costs, not to mention the high

    volatility in petroleum prices.

    IOCs are thus keen to anchor the terms of their PSAs

    with host states premised on the legal regime in effect

    at the time of the investment. This is aimed at ensuring

    predictability - a critical concern for the investors in

    recouping their investment at reasonable returns and

    within the shortest time possible. Stabilisation clauses in

    their original state would preclude the host state from

    amending the legislation that would potentially impact

    their investment. Modern day stabilisation clauses do

    not restrain the host state from amending its legislation,

    but rather outline the need for reinstatement to the

    prior fiscal balance in the event of adverse legislative

    changes. Stabilisation clauses may be comprehensive or

    limited as illustrated below.

    Scope of stabilisation

    clauses

    Discussion

    Comprehensive All the terms of the PSA are insulated against any subsequent change arising in the

    legislation of the host state.

    Limited A limited range of PSA terms are insulated against subsequent changes in legislation.

    These could be terms in relation to taxes, social security, import and exportation and

    the free transferability of currency.

    The limited scope of stabilisation clauses is more appealing to the developing countries

    because it only encroaches limited legislative powers.

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    Types of stabilisation clauses

    There are four principal categories of stabilisation clauses, namely: freezing, prohibition on unilateral change,

    balancing and allocation of burden. Each of these are discussed in further detail below.

    Type of stabilisation clause Discussion

    Freezing clauses These preclude the host state from changing its legislation. These have come

    under scathing attack from civil society organisations and are also frowned

    upon by most governments because they are viewed as encroaching on the

    host state sovereignty.

    Alternatively, changes in host state legislation subsequent to the agreement

    do not apply to the specific project. The agreement terms take precedence in

    the event of a conflict with new legislation.

    Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania’s model PSAs in the public domain are devoid

    of such provision.

    Prohibition on unilateral changes  These are also known as intangibility clauses. The terms of the PSAs may

    not be modified or abrogated except with the contracting parties’ mutual

    consent. Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania’s model PSAs in the public domain

    contain this type provision.

    Balancing clauses These are also known as economic stabilisation clauses. They provide for

    automatic adjustments or negotiations to restate the initial economic balance

    of the PSA following legislative changes which impact project economics.

    An example of this kind of stabilisation clause can be found in the Tanzania

    Model PSA of 2004.

    Allocation of burden These clauses seek to al locate the fiscal and related burdens created by a

    unilateral change in the law. They are commonly typified by tax paying PSAs

    where the state National Oil Company bears the tax burden. Kenya’s model

    PSA includes such a provision.

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     Assessment of the value of stabilisation clauses

    Impassioned views discussing the value of stabilisation

    clauses in energy investment agreements have been

    articulated. Host states, notably from emerging

    economies, have been firm in their position that

    stabilisation clauses encroach on their sovereignty

    though they paradoxically agree to demands by foreign

    investors to include the same in petroleum agreements.

    Civil society actors have also intensified their criticism

    notably of the freezing type clause contending they

    can undermine the willingness and ability of the host

    state to fulfil its human right obligations pursuant to

    international human rights law - especially in the areas

    of health and safety, labour and employment rights and

    the protection of cultural heritage and environment.

    The foregoing debate notwithstanding, stabilisation

    clauses continue to play an influential role in the

    extractive industry because of the perceived protection

    from political risk and the legal certainty pertaining

    the PSA terms accorded to foreign investors which

    both combine to promote foreign investment in the

    petroleum industry, especially in developing countries.

    A pertinent question to ask is why IOCs are willing

    to invest in developed countries that do not provide

    stabilisation clauses but are hesitant to do so in the

    developing countries in their absence. Governments

    of developed countries decline granting stabilisation

    clauses on the premise they cannot bind a future

    government to the policies of the current administration.

    On the other hand, the IOCs demand for stabilisation

    clauses in the developing countries is premisedon suggestions that rule of law is either not firmly

    entrenched or simply does not operate in the way the

    IOCs would expect. It is further suggested that Latin

    America, Africa and the Middle East are also laden

    with deep and long-lasting legacies of anti-colonialist

    sentiments or populist suspicion of foreign investment.

    The petroleum sector is additionally a principle source

    of government revenue. The IOCs therefore fear that

    new governments can easily tap into all the foregoing

    issues by tagging foreign investment in the sector to the

    notions of economic exploitation with a view to making

    greater demands for a higher share of economic rent.

    Stabilisation clauses have been reputed to promote

    foreign investment in the international energy sector.

    The collapse of planned economies in the late 1980s

    and the rise of market based capitalism marked a shift

    in paradigm with many of the developing countries

    seeking greater foreign investment participation in their

    extractive industry. Developing countries reversed many

    of their protectionist policies and there was a rush to

    reform fiscal laws, as well as dangling incentives to lure

    inward investment. The inclusion of stabilisation clauses

    has come as part of these reforms and has been touted

    at the potential investors in the petroleum industry by

    the host states.

    The bankability of many petroleum exploitation

    ventures funded by project finance is also enhanced

    by the inclusion of stabilisation clauses in the relevant

    agreements, particularly in the emerging markets.

    International bankers and financiers have in some

    instances insisted on the inclusion of these clauses

    before they can provide financing to a project.

    Stabilisation clauses are perceived favourably by the

    bankers to provide a bulwark against legislative or

    administrative action that may erode the project returns

    ultimately compromising the project’s ability to meet its

    debt repayment obligations.

    As already mentioned in the foregoing discussion,

    stabilisation clauses offer legal protection but also

    ensure certainty and predictability, which are key

    ingredients for the success of long term investment

    projects. Petroleum exploitation is not only capital

    intensive but also recouping the investment takes alonger span of time compared to other sectors. Any

    subsequent changes in the laws of the host state

    may significantly alter the economics of the project.

    By constraining the legislative prerogative of the

    host state to unilateral review and change their legal

    architecture without recourse for the IOCs, the certainty

    and predictability of the project returns is significantly

     jeopardized.

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    Reinforcing the effectiveness of stabilisation

    clauses

    The popularity of the stabilisation clauses as a risk

    management tool can create a false sense of security

    and undermine a party’s ability to timely initiate

    negotiations and explore dispute resolution alternatives

    when faced with a government measure that alter the

    fiscal landscape. Though international tribunals have

    generally upheld the validity of stabilisation clauses

    notwithstanding the dissenting views, these clauses are

    not a panacea and experience has shown such clauses

    may not deter a determined government from pursuing

    alterations to the country’s legislative regime let alone

    expropriate the investment concerned.

    What is insufficiently stressed in many publications

    trumpeting the benefits of the stabilisation clause

    is that its apparent effectiveness and validation by

    arbitration tribunals is contextual and rooted in an

    international anchor in the arbitration clause. Absent an

    international anchor, the stabilisation clause provides

    little more than psychological comfort, as the wronged

    party must litigate in the host state with the attendant

    perils. Domestic arbitration in the host state and under

    domestic law is generally rife with risk and determines

    which local courts would exercise supervisory jurisdiction

    over the arbitral tribunal, whether local courts

    would issue an injunction or order remedies in aid of

    arbitration, as well as recognize and enforce an award.

    Legal questions may similarly arise when the only

    party to the PSA is the National Oil Company. It is

    recommended to the extent practical to include thestate as a party to the agreement for the limited

    purpose of the stabilisation clause, thereby restraining

    the exercise of sovereign power. Without adding the

    state to the agreement, the IOC faces uncertainties in

    proceeding solely against the state entity.

    It is also important that IOCs carefully review the

    constitution and other applicable laws to determine

    that the Ministry, National Oil Company or other

    relevant bodies that concludes the PSA on behalf of the

    government has unfettered powers to grant the fiscal

    and tax incentives in question. The fiscal terms and

    incentives granted may be challenged on the basis they

    were granted by a body lacking powers to do so.

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    The significance of stabilisation clauses in promoting

    inward investment to the energy sector in the

    developing world cannot be understated. Whilst IOCs’

    concerns for stability in these capital intensive and long

    term investments is understood, it is also necessary that

    the terms requested to be the subject of stabilisation

    clause are reasonable.

    A disproportionately favourable deal for the investor can

    be counterproductive as it may spark political push-back

    in the host state resulting in instability that distorts the

    project returns which the IOC was keen ensure (“If it

    looks too good to be true, it probably is…”).

    Further, IOCs should not take for granted the efficacy

    of stabilisation clauses. Without a properly drafted

    arbitration clause providing an international anchor

    contractually through express approval by the host

    state, international governing law and venue, the utility

    of a stabilisation clause is suspect as the IOC likely

    becomes trapped in the maze of domestic arbitration

    and litigation.

    The verdict to the central theme underlying this paper

    is that stabilisation clauses are indeed a safeguard to

    international energy investments

    Conclusion

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    Secondary sources

    Books

    Cameron, Peter. “International energy investment law: the pursuit of stabili ty.” OUP Catalogue (2010).

    Duval, Claude, and H. de Leuch. International petroleum exploration and exploitation agreements: legal, economic

    and policy aspects. Barrows, 1986.

    Sornarajah, Muthucumaraswamy. The international law on foreign investment. Cambridge University Press, 2010.

    Articles

    Bernardini, Piero. “Stabilization and adaptation in oil and gas investments.” The Journal of World Energy Law &

    Business 1.1 (2008): 98-112.

    Cotula, Lorenzo. “Regulatory takings, stabilization clauses and sustainable development.” OECD Investment Policy

    Perspectives 2008 (2009): 69.

    Emeka, J. “Anchoring Stabilizing Clauses in International Petroleum Contracts.” Int’l Law. 42 (2008): 1317.

    Faruque, Abdullah. “Validity and Efficacy of Stabilisation Clauses: Legal Protection vs. Functional Value.” Journal of

    International Arbitration 23.4 (2006): 317-336.

    Fatouros, Arhyrios A. “International Law and the Internationalized Contract.” The American Journal of International

    Law 74.1 (1980): 134-141.

    Hansen, Timothy B. “Legal Effect Given Stabilization Clauses in Economic Development Agreements, The.” Va. J. Int’l

    L. 28 (1987): 1015.

    Nwete, B. O. N. “To What Extent can Stabilisation Clauses Mitigate the Investor’s Risks in a Production Sharing

    Contract?” Oil, Gas & Energy Law Journal (OGEL) 3.1 (2005).

    Wälde, Thomas W., and George Ndi. “Stabilizing International Investment Commitments: International Law versus

    Contract Interpretations”, (1996).” Texas International Law Journal 31: 215-234.

    Bibliography

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