thinking about university futures intersections between creativity and foresight
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Thinking about University Futures intersections between creativity and foresight. Maree Conway Thinking Futures PhD student, Swinburne University of Technology. Beginning. Understanding how today's management models emerged - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Thinking about University Futuresintersections between creativity and
foresight
Maree ConwayThinking Futures
PhD student, Swinburne University of Technology
Beginning
• Understanding how today's management models emerged
• Exploring convergence and divergence in beliefs about university management held by academics and managers: now manifesting itself as a 'divide'
• Exploring how universities and their management might evolve into the future (2030)
• From perspective of people doing the work
• Testing the proposition that the management structures, systems and processes we have in place today will not work in the future university.
• Rather than wait for any new models to be 'imposed' on the university from outside, exploring the future today to begin to close the gap between views about how universities should be managed.
Three Stages of University Management
• 1970s-1990s: hybrid phase
• 1990s- today: divided phase
• today to 2030: ??
IntegralInterior Exterior
Individual
Collective
Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)
Values Beliefs
Assumptions
Values Beliefs
Assumptions
'Knowledge processes'
Management processes
Idea of the universityRules of the game
LanguageTraditions
External drivers of change
- evolution of capitalism
- technology
External drivers of change
- evolution of capitalism
- technology
Interior
Exterior
Individual
Collective
Individual consciousness
OrganisationalBehaviour/Interactions
Social systems/structures
Culture
Integral + CLAFramework
Disrupts
Myth/Metaph
or
Litany
Social
causes
Worldviews
Change Space
Values Beliefs
Assumptions
Values Beliefs
Assumptions
'Knowledge processes'
Management processes
Idea of the universityRules of the game
LanguageTraditions
External drivers of change
- evolution of capitalism
- technology
External drivers of change
- evolution of capitalism
- technology
Interior
Exterior
Individual
Collective
Clashes/interactionshere not fullyexplored
Current literature/research focuses heremainly
Researchspace
Challenges…
• Biggest challenge not about external change (right hand quadrants) but about change to our thinking about how we manage universities (left hand quadrants)
• Shapes decisions about organisation, roles, work, management, strategy
Thinking…• What are the drivers of
change that will contribute to shaping the future university?
• How will they influence the shape of the future university?
• What management models will be appropriate?
• Will the future university need to be managed at all?
• Who will manage the future university?
• Open and inclusive, based on
diversity of perspectives
• Expanding options, not setting
boundaries (at the start anyway)
• Social, collective insights not
individual guru/genius led
• Divergent thinking (future) before
converging (today)
• Messy process, not linear
• Incomplete
information/uncertainty
• Raymond Loewy’s MAYA
principle* applies
*Most Advanced Yet Acceptable
Foresight & Creativity…
Interior
Exterior
Individual
Collective
UniversityManagement
http://integralthinkers.com/wp-content/uploads/Worldview-Lenses-models-530px.png
Contact Details
Maree Conwayhttp://thinkingfutures.net
Twitter: @mareeconwayBlog: http//:thinkingfutures.net/blog
Tel: +61 (3) 9016 9506Mobile: +61 (0) 425 770 181
Skype: mkconway1
All photos from fotolia.com unless otherwise stated.