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WHAT ARE THE HIDDEN FORCES THAT DETERMINE OUR FUTURE?

June 24th, 2014, MTG München

Dr. Mariana Bozesan, Ph.D., Diplom-InformatikerinInvestor, Entrepreneur, Philanthropist, AuthorClub of Rome intl. full membermariana@bozesan.com

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THE FINANCIAL CONTEXT

The disaster of 2007/2008 nearly ruined the global economic system– By Oct. 2008, about $25 trillion were obliterated from the value of stock markets

What started with an initial liquidity crisis lead to – The disruption of capital flows

– The collapse of the “too big to fail” financial organizations incl. Lehman Bros., Fannie Mae, and Freddy Mac

– Severe downturns in the global casino/stock markets world wide

– Currency crunches, failure of major businesses , global recession including the European sovereign-debt crisis (Ireland, Portugal, Greece, Spain, Cyprus, etc.)

– LIBOR, Madoff scandals

– No end in sight!

Q: How sustainable are our financial and economic systems?

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THE SOCIAL CONTEXT

Real estate bubble bursts, foreclosures, evictions (USA, Spain, Ireland, etc.)

Prolonged unemployment in most Western countries– 7.6% USA, 12% in Europe on average

Increased inequality in the West– USA with the “most millionaire households” in the world followed by Japan, China, UK, and

Germany

Growing health problems physically, mentally, emotionally– Cancer, overweight, obesity, depression, asthma

Social unrests: – Occupy movement, Spanish Indignados, Greek protest, Arab spring, Ucraine protests

The worst social consequences since the Great Depression in the 1930s

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THE ENVIRONMENTAL CONTEXT

We continue to emit twice as much CO2 in the atmosphere than can be absorbed by our forests and oceans with disastrous consequences for the earth’s ecological balance:– Global warming at accelerated speed can lead up to 2-4 degrees Celsius in this century

– Ongoing droughtsWater is becoming more important than petrol

– Ongoing hurricanes, floods, rapid melting of polar ice caps lead to the raise of ocean levels

– Irrecoverable loss of bio diversity

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What is going on?

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The quiet killer and the driving force behind destruction

but also the GOOD is

Exponential Growth

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Most decision makers do not get it

until it is muchto late to respond

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What is Exponential Growth?

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The sage and the Indian king

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THE SAGE AND THE INDIAN KING

8 > 1+2+4=7

32 > 1+2+4+8+16=31

On each new field, there are more grains of rice than in all previous fields together

Exponential growth means that each duplication contains a larger quantity of things than all previous quantities taken together

The last square would contain 9.223.372.036.854.780.000 grains of rice that would cover the surface of today’s India with more than 1 meter of rice

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EXPONENTIAL POPULATION GROWTH220.000 PEOPLE ARE BORN PER DAY (NET)

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EXPONENTIAL ECONOMIC GROWTH

It took Europeans 1000 years, the UK 100 yrs., Germany 70 yrs., Japan 50 yrs., and it took China only 6 years to double its economic output

China’s resource hunger is not only a media eventIts GDP has doubled 6 times since 1978By 2017, it will need more resources and will produce more goods than in its entire history all together!

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OUR TRUE PROBLEM: LACK OF AWARENESS REGARDING THE IMPORTANCE OF EXPONENTIAL GROWTH

With every duplication, the quantity added is LARGER than the entire compounded previous quantityThe megatrends in the 21st century are:– Exponential population growth– Exponential economic growth– Exponential consumer growth: During the last 40 years, we added

3 additional Billion consumers

We have reached our physical Limits to Growth on our planet

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“Humanity is stupid enough not to do what is perfectly doable”

to prevent disaster, Prof. Randers

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Is that really true?

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Maybe!

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But, something good is also going on!

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RATIONALINTELLIGENCE

THE TRUE

- SCIENCE -

ENLIGHTENMENT ERADEMOCRACY

NATION STATESMODERN MEDICINE

SPACE SHUTTLE

CIVIL RIGHTS & GREEN MOVEMENTFEMINISM

SOCIAL BUSINESSCULTURAL CREATIVES:

25-30%

EMOTIONALART, VALUES, MORALS,

ETHICS

THE BEAUTIFUL

- ART -

INTEGRALLY ACTING HUMANSINTEGRATING HUMANITY’S VALUE SPHERES

“DeMedici Effect” in the 21st century

THEBEAUTIFUL

- ART -

THE GOOD

- MORALS -

THE TRUE

- SCIENCE -

EVOLUTION OF HUMAN CONSCIOUSNESS TO LATER STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT

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WE WILL CATCH THE BOAT