thecb 4/2003 progress toward participation and success goals of closing the gaps by 2015

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THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Progress Toward Participation and Participation and Success goals of Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015 Closing the Gaps by 2015

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Page 1: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Progress Toward Progress Toward

Participation and Success Participation and Success

goals ofgoals of

Closing the Gaps by 2015Closing the Gaps by 2015

Page 2: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Institutional targetsInstitutional targets

Performance systemPerformance system

System to Ensure Progress

Page 3: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Updating ProgressUpdating Progress

January – ExcellenceJanuary – Excellence

April – Participation, Success and April – Participation, Success and ResearchResearch

July – Complete Progress ReportJuly – Complete Progress Report

October – Preliminary HeadcountOctober – Preliminary Headcount

Page 4: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Progress Toward 2005 TargetsProgress Toward 2005 Targets

20012001 20022002

ParticipationParticipation

SuccessSuccess

Page 5: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Participation 2000-2002 Participation 2000-2002 115,913 Increase115,913 Increase

0

100

200

300

400

500

2000 2005 2010 2015

Th

ou

san

ds Target Actual

115,913

Page 6: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Gaps Between Texas

and Other States Participation Rate of Total Population - Fall 2001

4.0%

4.8%

4.9%

5.5%

6.0%

6.4%

7.2%

5.1%

0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0%

Source: State web sites and U.S. Census Estimates

California

Florida

Illinois

New York

TEXAS

Ohio

Pennsylvania

New Jersey

Page 7: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Participation RatesParticipation Rates

5.3%5.0%

5.3%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

1990 2000 2002

Total Population

Page 8: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Gaps Within Texas Gaps Within Texas Public Higher EducationPublic Higher Education

8%9%

17%

9%

13%

17%

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

Anglo Black Hispanic

1990 2002

15-to-34 Population

Note: Texas resident enrollment

Page 9: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

2002 Progress Toward 2005:2002 Progress Toward 2005:Participation by Race/EthnicityParticipation by Race/Ethnicity

6,730

6,62116,80736,340

42,565

66,266

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

White Hispanic Black Asian*

2002 Progress To Reach 2005 Target

* Asians are not targeted in the plan.

Page 10: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Hispanic Enrollment Hispanic Enrollment 2000 to 20052000 to 2005

200

240

280

320

360

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Th

ou

san

ds

2001 Rate To Reach 2005 Target 2002 Rate

Page 11: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Change in Hispanic EnrollmentChange in Hispanic EnrollmentPublic Colleges and Universities

37%

17%

19%

3%

1% 1%

1%9%2%10%

North Harris (28%)

Dallas CCCD (48%)

Alamo CCD (18%)

South Texas CC (17%)

Page 12: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Are we closing Participation gaps?Are we closing Participation gaps?

20012001 20022002

Total enrollmentTotal enrollment

Black enrollmentBlack enrollment

Hispanic enrollmentHispanic enrollment

White enrollmentWhite enrollment

Page 13: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Where did the increase come from?Where did the increase come from?

EthnicityEthnicity Age Age RegionsRegions SectorSector Recent high school graduatesRecent high school graduates New students not from high schoolNew students not from high school Returning studentsReturning students Persisting studentsPersisting students

Page 14: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Where was the increase Where was the increase from 2000 to 2002?from 2000 to 2002?

18%

26%

23%

6%

1% 5%

2%14%1%3%

North Harris (34%)

Dallas CCCD (33%)

Alamo CCD (22%)

Page 15: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Which sectors increased the most Which sectors increased the most from 2000 to 2002?from 2000 to 2002?

36%

5%

58%

1%

Two-year colleges Two-year colleges enrolled 58% of the enrolled 58% of the increased number of increased number of students students

Health-Related

University

IndependentTwo-YearCollege

Page 16: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Public Higher Education EnrollmentPublic Higher Education Enrollment

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Fall 2000 Fall 2001 Fall 2002

Th

ou

san

ds

876,430 923,389 986,545

Page 17: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Public Higher Education Public Higher Education Replacement and GrowthReplacement and Growth

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Fall 2001 Fall 2002

Th

ou

san

ds

Persistence Replacement & Growth

923,389 986,545

433,246

Page 18: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

115,913 Student Increase 115,913 Student Increase by Ethnicityby Ethnicity

14%

31%

6%

12%

37%

White

Black

Hispanic

Asian

Other

Page 19: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

115,913 Student Increase115,913 Student Increaseby Sourceby Source

53%

4%

7%

24%7%

6%

Dual Enrolled

Independents

Persistence

Stop-OutReturning

1st TimeHigh School

1st Time Other

Page 20: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

How has this changed?How has this changed?

53%

4%7%

24% 7%

6%

34%24%

6%18%

12% 7%

Persistence ICUT Dual Enrollment

1st Time Other 1st Time HSStop-Out

1998-200045,381

2000-2002115,913

Page 21: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

99,54194,84992,51088,59286,962

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Recommended & Above Regular

High School Graduates Enrolling in Public Higher Education the Following Fall

(44.1%) (43.6%)(43.4%) (44.1%)

(44.2%)

Percent of GraduatingClass

Page 22: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Success TargetsSuccess Targets

Page 23: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Bachelor’s, Associate’s and Bachelor’s, Associate’s and Certificate Increase 2000-2002Certificate Increase 2000-2002

010203040506070

2000 2005 2010 2015

Th

ou

san

ds

Target Actual

8,583

Page 24: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

2002 Progress Toward 2005:2002 Progress Toward 2005:Bachelor’s, Associate’s, and CertificatesBachelor’s, Associate’s, and Certificates

513

175

1,308

2,725

2,188

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

White* Hispanic Black Asian*

2002 Progress To Reach 2005 Target

* Not targeted in the Plan.

0

Page 25: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

2002 Progress Toward 2005: 2002 Progress Toward 2005: Success by LevelSuccess by Level

2,109

8,558

-90

4,022

261

305

-1,000

1,000

3,000

5,000

7,000

9,000

11,000

13,000

Bachelor's Associate's Doctoral

2002 Progress To Reach 2005 Target

Page 26: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Steady increase in baccalaureate Steady increase in baccalaureate graduation ratesgraduation rates

47.6%48.3%

47.5%

48.7%

47.1%47.3%

48.2%

49.2%49.6%

51.3%

52.6%

44%

46%

48%

50%

52%

54%

Page 27: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

2002 Progress Toward 2005:2002 Progress Toward 2005:Success Success by Critical Fieldsby Critical Fields

4,954

6,006

1,348

-189

3,635583 45

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Technology Allied Health& Nursing

Teachers*

To Reach 2005 TargetNon Higher Ed2002 Progress

*Through all sources

Page 28: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Teacher CertificationTeacher Certification

10,1788,143 9,118 9,290

2618

9201,471

3,408

2,660

2,5053,528

4,628

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1999 2000 2001 2002

Traditional Post-Bacc Experience Alternative

15,797

11,76314,378

17,652

Page 29: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Are we closing Success gaps?Are we closing Success gaps?

20012001 20022002

Bachelor’s, Associate’s Bachelor’s, Associate’s and Certificateand Certificate

Bachelor’sBachelor’s

Associate’sAssociate’s

Doctoral Doctoral

Page 30: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Are we closing Success gaps?Are we closing Success gaps?

20012001 20022002

Awards to Black studentsAwards to Black students

Awards to Hispanic Awards to Hispanic students students

Technical fieldsTechnical fields

Nursing & allied health Nursing & allied health fieldsfields

Certified teachersCertified teachers

Page 31: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Increase by EthnicityIncrease by Ethnicity 2000 to 2002 2000 to 2002

25%

17%

36%8%

14%

White

Black

HispanicAsian

Other

Page 32: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Where did the number of Where did the number of graduates increase?graduates increase?Public and Independent Institutions

18%

26%

26%

4%

2% 3%

4%15%1%1%

Page 33: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Which institutions had the Which institutions had the largest increase?largest increase?

NumberNumber

Houston CC 469Houston CC 469

Texas A&M 459Texas A&M 459

Southwest TX 414Southwest TX 414

UNT 333UNT 333

UT Dallas 323UT Dallas 323

PercentagePercentage

Northwest Vista 361%Northwest Vista 361%

North Central TX 94%North Central TX 94%

Southwest Col Inst 82%Southwest Col Inst 82%

Mountain View 75%Mountain View 75%

Eastfield CC 47%Eastfield CC 47%

Page 34: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

24%

29%

30%

12%

2% 11%

-1%-2%-3%-2%

Where did the number of Where did the number of associate’s increases?associate’s increases?

Page 35: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Which two-year institution had the Which two-year institution had the largest increase in awards?largest increase in awards?

NumberNumber

North Central TX 284North Central TX 284

Houston CC 259Houston CC 259

Richland CC 244Richland CC 244

South Texas CC 218South Texas CC 218

Eastfield CC 211Eastfield CC 211

PercentagePercentage

Northwest Vista 400%Northwest Vista 400%

Mountain View 265%Mountain View 265%

Eastfield CC 201%Eastfield CC 201%

Southwest Col Inst 200%Southwest Col Inst 200%

Richland CC 146%Richland CC 146%

Page 36: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Where did the number of Where did the number of bachelor’s increase?bachelor’s increase?

22%

16%

17%

8%

2%1%

4%28%4%0%

Page 37: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Which institutions had the largest Which institutions had the largest increase in bachelor’s degrees?increase in bachelor’s degrees?

NumberNumber

UNT 474UNT 474

Southwest TX 399Southwest TX 399

Univ of Houston 272Univ of Houston 272

UT Pan American 257UT Pan American 257

Texas A&M 250Texas A&M 250

PercentagePercentage

UH – Victoria 38%UH – Victoria 38%

UT Brownsville 30%UT Brownsville 30%

UT at Permian Basin 25%UT at Permian Basin 25%

UT Pan American 19%UT Pan American 19%

Texas A&M International 19%Texas A&M International 19%

Page 38: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

SummarySummary

Largest growth over a 2-year period in history of Largest growth over a 2-year period in history of Texas higher educationTexas higher education

High school-to-college rate is essentially flatHigh school-to-college rate is essentially flat

Student persistence has improved and accounts Student persistence has improved and accounts for over half of the enrollment increasefor over half of the enrollment increase

Benefit of increased persistence is reflected in a Benefit of increased persistence is reflected in a larger number of graduateslarger number of graduates

Page 39: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Blue Page QuestionsBlue Page Questions Are all regions increasing?Are all regions increasing?

Yes, but not at the same rateYes, but not at the same rate

How many of the new students are returning to How many of the new students are returning to college?college? About 24% of the increase About 24% of the increase

Are graduates older or younger than earlier Are graduates older or younger than earlier years?years? About the same About the same

Are more economically disadvantaged students Are more economically disadvantaged students attending? attending?

Page 40: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Progress Toward 2005 TargetsProgress Toward 2005 Targets

20012001 20022002

ParticipationParticipation

SuccessSuccess

Page 41: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Next StepsNext Steps Study economically disadvantaged student enrollment Study economically disadvantaged student enrollment

in higher educationin higher education Study different characteristics on student enrollment Study different characteristics on student enrollment

and persistence and persistence – Grants, loansGrants, loans

– Full-time, part-timeFull-time, part-time

– Directly from high schoolDirectly from high school

– Effect of dual enrollment on persistenceEffect of dual enrollment on persistence

Help the Participation and Success Division with their Help the Participation and Success Division with their effortsefforts

Distribute analysis to enrollment managers, institutions, Distribute analysis to enrollment managers, institutions, governing boards, and legislatorsgoverning boards, and legislators

Page 42: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index Increase in the number of students at public Increase in the number of students at public

colleges and universities from fall 2001 to fall colleges and universities from fall 2001 to fall 2002. 2002. 65,70365,703

Number of students enrolled fall 2002 who were Number of students enrolled fall 2002 who were not enrolled fall 2001.not enrolled fall 2001. 221,489 not including 1221,489 not including 1stst time entering students time entering students

The community college district awarding the The community college district awarding the largest number of certificates in FY 2002.largest number of certificates in FY 2002. Houston Community CollegeHouston Community College

Page 43: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index The region with the largest increase in The region with the largest increase in

certificates and degrees from 2001 to 2002.certificates and degrees from 2001 to 2002. Metroplex 2,216Metroplex 2,216

The number of independent school districts that The number of independent school districts that had no 2000 graduates enroll in a Texas public had no 2000 graduates enroll in a Texas public university in 2001. university in 2001. 2828

The number of those districts that did have 2000 The number of those districts that did have 2000 graduates enroll in a Texas community college. graduates enroll in a Texas community college. 1919

Page 44: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index The number of students in Texas public colleges and The number of students in Texas public colleges and

universities in fall 2002 who were over 65universities in fall 2002 who were over 65. . 2,4232,423

The number of students in Texas public community The number of students in Texas public community colleges in fall 2002 who were over 65.colleges in fall 2002 who were over 65. 2,1432,143

The number of students in Texas public colleges and The number of students in Texas public colleges and universities in fall 2002 who were under 18. universities in fall 2002 who were under 18. 48,54548,545

The number of students in Texas public community The number of students in Texas public community colleges in fall 2002 who were under 18. colleges in fall 2002 who were under 18. 43,31543,315

Page 45: THECB 4/2003 Progress Toward Participation and Success goals of Closing the Gaps by 2015

THECB 4/2003

Closing the Gaps IndexClosing the Gaps Index

Who awards the most special professional degrees to Black students?

Texas Southern University 178

The second most?

University of Houston 23

Which region had the largest gain in high school Which region had the largest gain in high school students continuing into public higher education?students continuing into public higher education?

Upper Rio Grande 12.8% or 439 studentsUpper Rio Grande 12.8% or 439 students