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The views expressed are the personal views of the presenter and do not reflect those of the PCAOB, members of the Board, or the PCAOB staff.

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Page 1: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

The views expressed are the

personal views of the

presenter and do not reflect

those of the PCAOB,

members of the Board, or the

PCAOB staff.

Page 2: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Will blockchains

put the auditing profession

out of business?

David Yermack

NYU Stern School of Business

National Bureau of Economic Reseach

Page 3: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

FinTech UBS’s trading floor, Stamford, Ct., USA

2005 2016

Page 4: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Could this happen to auditors?

Page 5: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

The blockchain

Page 6: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

“Message verification and transmission

error detection by block chaining” U.S. patent granted to IBM scientists in 1976

Page 7: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Distributed ledgers Authenticating digital documents – Haber & Stornetta (1991)

Page 8: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Bitcoin’s open network of 12,000 nodes November 6, 2017

https://bitinfocharts.com/bitcoin/nodes-active/

Page 9: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Three major innovations that

Satoshi Nakamoto designed into Bitcoin

• Recording of new data sequentially in a write-only, indelible

ledger, the “blockchain” (IBM, 1976)

• Decentralization of the ledger to provide transparency of data

to all users and interested third parties (Haber & Stornetta,

1991)

• Validation of new data by cryptographic “consensus” proof, in

recurring 10-minute open competitions, instead of reliance

upon a trusted third party (Nakamoto, 2008)

Page 10: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573
Page 11: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

A disruptive technology

“. . . The blockchain has been

increasingly eyed by mainstream

financial institutions as a breakthrough.

. . . it could enable financial institutions

to settle trades in seconds rather than

two or three days

. . . blockchain technology could reduce

the bank’s infrastructure costs . . . by as

much as $20 billion a year by 2022.”

Page 12: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

What could disappear because of

blockchains?

• No more banks

• No more stock exchanges

• Far less litigation

• Decentralized government property registers

• No more accountants and auditors

• Etc…

Page 13: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Two kinds of blockchains

Open

• Anyone can opt in

• Decentralized governance

• Size is endogenous

• Blocks updated via

competition

– Organic rewards to miners

– Bidding by users to advance

in queue

Permissioned

• Participation restricted

• Powerful gatekeeper

• Size is limited

• Blocks updated by central

authority

– User fees charged

Page 14: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Daimler Benz’s blockchain bond issue June 2017

Page 15: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Maersk’s blockchain marine insurance September 2017

Page 16: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

AmEx’s international remittances November 2017

Page 17: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Visa’s blockchain B2B payments November 2017

Page 18: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Self-regulating consortiums are

becoming very important in FinTech

Page 19: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Self-regulating consortiums are

becoming very important in FinTech

Page 20: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Origins of double entry bookkeeping

• Accounting systems developed organically in Europe, the Middle East, and East Asia in the middle ages.

• Double entry bookkeeping emerged by the end of the 14th century and was widely used by the time of the Renaissance, especially by Venetian merchants.

• Earliest known description appears in Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573. Luca Pacioli is often credited as the “father of accounting” for his intervening 1494 book.

Page 21: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

The first public company auditor

• William Welch Deloitte in 1845

was the first independent auditor of

a public company, the Great

Western Railway

Page 22: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573
Page 23: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Using the blockchain for

“real-time accounting”

• “A possible future: all firms record their

external obligations and claims on a single

shared, massively replicated ledger.” – Richard Gendal Brown, IBM UK

• Is this a better way to keep financial records?

Page 24: The views expressed are the personal views of the ... PCAOB - Yerm… · Benedetto Cotrugli’s Della mercatura e del mercante perfetto (1458), though it was not published until 1573

Why would this be a good idea? The obvious benefits

• Fraud would become much more difficult

– Could not create fictitious assets

– Could not backdate transactions

– Could not capitalize operating expenses

– Etc.

• Auditing could become unnecessary due to the blockchain’s

data integrity

• Accounting regulations could become unnecessary

– Anyone could make DIY financial statements from the raw data

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Co-opting regulators

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Owning the technology

“Accountants work frequently in the

‘verification’ business – audit and attest

and so on -- and blockchain is all about

verification...Clearly audit is going to

change dramatically -- it already is

changing… Ultimately, CPAs will be

attesting to companies’ compliance with

cyber-security standards”