the triangle area, nc market conditions report

8
® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report 38 The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 The current median sale price was 7% lower than in August. This September, the median sale price was $199,000, an increase of 4% compared to last year. Highlights $189,000 $189,700 $193,325 $194,500 $179,900 $182,000 $193,000 $196,000 $200,000 $205,000 $197,000 $199,000 $192,000 $192,500 $204,000 $197,000 $185,500 $187,000 $199,900 $198,000 $208,000 $208,500 $209,045 $213,500 $199,000 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 Median Sales Price $209,055 $164,900 $150,485 $273,500 $294,900 $217,500 $168,100 $153,000 $285,750 $283,499 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 Wake County Durham County Johnston County Orange County Chatham County Median Sale Price Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold One Year Ago Current Month -4% -5% -5% 2% -5% -1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 0% 4% 2% 1% 6% 1% 3% 3% 4% 1% 4% 2% 6% 7% 4% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% Median Sale Price Percent Change Year/Year

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The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

38

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

● The current median sale price was 7%

lower than in August.

This September, the median sale price

was $199,000, an increase of 4%

compared to last year.

Highlights

$1

89

,00

0

$1

89

,70

0

$1

93

,32

5

$1

94

,50

0

$1

79

,90

0

$1

82

,00

0

$1

93

,00

0

$1

96

,00

0

$2

00

,00

0

$2

05

,00

0

$1

97

,00

0

$1

99

,00

0

$1

92

,00

0

$1

92

,50

0

$2

04

,00

0

$1

97

,00

0

$1

85

,50

0

$1

87

,00

0

$1

99

,90

0

$1

98

,00

0

$2

08

,00

0

$2

08

,50

0

$2

09

,04

5

$2

13

,50

0

$1

99

,00

0

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

Median Sales Price

$209,0

55

$164,9

00

$150,4

85 $273,5

00

$294,9

00

$217,5

00

$168,1

00

$153,0

00 $285,7

50

$283,4

99

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

Wake

County

Durham

County

Johnston

County

Orange

County

Chatham

County

Median Sale PriceOf Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold

One Year Ago Current Month

-4%

-5%

-5%

2%

-5%

-1%

3% 3%

3%

3%

0%

4%

2%

1%

6%

1%

3%

3%

4%

1%

4%

2%

6%

7%

4%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

Median Sale PricePercent Change Year/Year

Page 2: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

39

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

1,5

68

1,39

8

1,3

30

1,4

31

1,06

7

1,38

0

1,68

2

1,80

5

2,20

4 2,47

7

2,16

0

2,27

1

1,8

80

1,86

0

1,69

9

1,8

42

1,42

8

1,55

3

2,1

52

2,48

9

2,96

3

2,9

10

2,95

2

2,72

4

2,1

51

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Total Units Sold

1,1

10

253

171

99

60

1,2

85

274

225

91

76

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Wake

County

Durham

County

Johnston

County

Orange

County

Chatham

County

Total Units SoldOf Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units

Sold

One Year Ago Current Month

● There was a decrease of 21% in total

units sold in September compared to

August.

This month's total units sold was

higher than at this time last year, an

increase of 14% versus September 2012.

Highlights1

3%

14

%

7%

1% 4

%

27

%

12

%

6%

27

%

22

% 26

%

26

%

20

%

33

%

28

%

29

% 34

%

13

%

28

%

38

%

34

%

17

%

37

%

20

%

14

%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Total Units SoldPercent Change Year/Year

Page 3: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

40

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Total Units Sold by Type

Detached Attached Condo

1,726

80%

335

16%

90

4%

Total Units Sold by TypeCurrent Month

Detached Attached Condo

625

29%

1,005

47%

357

16%

108

5%

56

3%

Total Units Sold by Price RangeCurrent Month

< 150K 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K

450K to < 600K 600K and up

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Total Units Sold by Price Range

< 150K 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K 450K to < 600K 600K and up

Page 4: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

41

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

17

,48

2

16

,81

5

16

,19

8

14

,20

8

14

,29

3

14

,51

6

15

,05

8

15

,30

6

15

,33

7

15

,10

5

14

,85

2

14

,69

8

14

,25

0

13

,87

9

13

,27

0

11

,25

4

11

,09

9

11

,09

8

10

,96

6

10

,76

1

10

,69

0

10

,66

0

10

,43

1

10

,35

4

10

,01

2

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Total Active Inventory

7,1

82

1,9

25

1,5

15

930

728

4,7

11

1,3

10

1,1

47

657

541

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000

Wake

County

Durham

County

Johnston

County

Orange

County

Chatham

County

Total Active InventoryOf Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold

One Year Ago Current Month

-16

%

-17

%

-18

%

-19

%

-20

%

-22

%

-24

%

-24

% -22

%

-21

%

-21

% -20

%

-18

%

-17

%

-18

%

-21

%

-22

%

-24

%

-27

%

-30

%

-30

%

-29

%

-30

%

-30

%

-30

%

-40%

-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

Total Active InventoryPercent Change Year/Year

● Versus last September, the total

number of homes available was lower

by 4,238 units or 30%.

September's total active inventory of

10,012 units was 3% lower than the

previous month's supply of inventory.

Highlights

Page 5: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

42

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Total Active Inventory by Type

Detached Attached Condo

8,558

86%

1,039

10%

415

4%

Total Active Inventory

by TypeCurrent Month

Detached Attached Condo

2,666

27%

4,077

41%

1,647

16%

774

8%

848

8%

Total Active Inventory by

Price RangeCurrent Month

< 150K 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K

450K to < 600K 600K and up

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Total Active Inventory by Price Range

< 150K 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K 450K to < 600K 600K and up

Page 6: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

43

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

95

.9%

96

.3%

96

.2%

96

.2%

96

.3%

96

.1%

96

.7% 96

.9%

97

.0%

97

.0%

97

.2%

97

.0%

96

.8%

97

.3%

97

.2%

97

.1%

96

.9%

97

.3% 97

.6%

97

.6% 97

.9%

97

.8%

97

.8%

97

.9%

97

.5%

94.5%

95.0%

95.5%

96.0%

96.5%

97.0%

97.5%

98.0%

98.5%

Average Sale Price as a Percent of List Price

97.0

%

96.5

%

97.1

%

96.7

%

96.4

%97.7

%

97.8

%

97.4

%

96.9

%

96.0

%

93.0%

94.0%

95.0%

96.0%

97.0%

98.0%

99.0%

100.0%

Wake

County

Durham

County

Johnston

County

Orange

County

Chatham

County

Sale Price as % of List PriceOf Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units

Sold

One Year Ago Current Month

Days on Market

Current

Month

One Year

Ago96 117

Down -18% Vs. Year

Ago

Avg Sale Price as % of List Price

Current

Month

One Year

Ago97.5% 96.8%

Up 0.7% Vs. Year Ago

90%

91%

92%

93%

94%

95%

96%

97%

98%

99%

100%

Average Sale Price as a Percent of List Price by Price Range

< 150K 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K 450K to < 600K 600K and up

133

126

134

126

132

138136

125

115119120

116 117121

117116119

121

112109

100

95 94 9396

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150Days on Market

Page 7: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

44

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

$359

,964

$312

,073

$302

,972

$331

,096

$232

,419

$295

,248 $3

83,8

06

$417

,622 $5

24,1

86 $615

,271

$513

,109

$548

,227

$424

,250

$428

,300

$405

,775

$437

,300

$321

,002

$338

,021

$510

,778 $5

95,0

59

$735

,991

$733

,342

$734

,211

$682

,904

$509

,990

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

$800,000

Total Dollar Volume SoldIn Thousands

Total Dollar Volume Sold

Current

Month

One Year

Ago$509,990,449 $424,250,493

Up 20% Vs. Year Ago

Months of Supply

Current

Month

One Year

Ago4.7 7.6

Down -39% Vs. Year Ago

11

.2 12

.0

12

.2

9.9

13

.4

10

.5

9.0

8.5

7.0

6.1

6.9

6.5

7.6

7.5 7.8

6.1

7.8

7.2

5.1

4.3

3.6

3.7

3.5 3.8

4.7

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Months of SupplyCurrent Month's Active Inventory/Current Month's Unit Sales

Total volume sold this September was

20% greater than the same month one

year ago.

In September, there was 4.7 months of

supply available, compared to 7.6 in

September 2012. That was a decrease

of 39% versus a year ago.

Highlights

Page 8: The Triangle Area, NC Market Conditions Report

® The Long & Foster Market Conditions Report

45

The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013

2,5

39

2,4

17

2,0

82

1,6

21

2,8

83

2,9

81

3,9

46

3,4

82

3,3

48

3,1

43

2,9

51

3,0

05

2,6

54

2,7

67

2,0

53

1,6

50

2,9

04 3

,29

9

3,9

97

4,1

47

3,9

08

3,5

83

3,2

46

3,4

34

3,0

44

1,3

86

1,3

95

1,2

63

1,1

81 1

,61

3

1,7

73 2

,23

4

2,2

07

2,4

26

2,1

60

2,0

72

1,9

63

1,7

02

1,8

64

1,5

21

1,4

22

1,9

54 2,2

51

2,8

23

3,0

53

3,0

26

2,7

35

2,4

55

2,4

23

2,2

09

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

New Listings & New Contracts

New Listings New Contracts (Under Active Contract Status)

New Listings

Current

Month

One Year

Ago3,044 2,654

Up 15% Vs. Year Ago

New Contracts

Current

Month

One Year

Ago2,209 1,702

Up 30% Vs. Year Ago

1.81.7

1.6

1.4

1.81.7

1.8

1.6

1.41.5 1.4

1.5 1.61.5

1.3

1.2

1.5 1.51.4

1.41.3 1.3 1.3

1.4 1.4

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

Supply/Demand RatioNumber of New Listings to New Contracts

1,4

74

342

288

139

101

1,7

16

403

333

137

99

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

Wake

County

Durham

County

Johnston

County

Orange

County

Chatham

County

New ListingsOf Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold

One Year Ago Current Month

1,0

10

232

144

87

56

1,3

36

279

224

89

66

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Wake

County

Durham

County

Johnston

County

Orange

County

Chatham

County

New ContractsOf Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold

One Year Ago Current Month

● Based on this month's amount of new

listings and new contracts, the ratio of

home supply (new listings) to current

home demand (new contracts) was 1.4,

a decrease of 12% from September

2012.

Highlights