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TRANSCRIPT
Theset
e Shato lau
nghaiunch
The Sha
tremendo
liberaliza
Novembe
Hong Ko
trading in
limit for H
in the fir
establish
The Conmarket of
The ShanHong Konboth stocklaunched
Investors index condaily and trade partJapan, Euand tradewith Hongis attractinaround 80participateforeign inv
Mizuho
i-HK S
Hong K
anghai-Hon
ous attentio
tion and Re
er 2014. The
ong’s leadin
n RMB, wh
Hong Kong
rst week re
ed itself.
nnect provif mainland
nghai-Hong ng and Shank markets. Tafter a prep
from both snstituents sto
aggregate ticular shareurope, the Ue in the maig Kong secung attention 0–90% of thee, with sizavestors.
- 1 -
Bank, Ltd., Chi
Stock
ChinKong Corpora
ng Kong
on, as a p
enminbi int
e scheme s
ng position
hile the res
g residents
evealed it
des foreigChina
Kong Stocknghai, allowThe Schemeparation perio
sides can onocks, while quotas. How
es directly inUS and otheinland Chinaurities compafrom varioue securities able funds f
Hong Kong ina ASEAN R
South C
k Con
na ASEAN Rate Banking D
Stock Con
pilot progra
ternationali
started with
of offshor
striction of
was abolis
probably ta
n investor
k Connect liwing both inve was first aod over six m
nly participatinvestmentswever indivi
n the counter oversea coa’s stock manies (see Fs quarters, acompanies flowing into
Corporate BResearch &
hina – Asia
nect
Research & ADivision No.1
nnect whi
am of Chin
zation, fina
h the aim of
re RMB cen
RMB 20,0
shed. Howe
akes time
rs with acc
nks up the vestors to trnnounced inmonths.
te in the eacs from both idual investorpart exchanountries are
market througFig. 1). As aand before tfrom both e
o the Hong
Banking DivisAdvisory De
a Business
D
is fin
ChAdvisory Dep1, Mizuho Ba
ch has a
na’s capital
ally launche
f further en
nter by rev
00 daily ex
ever a low t
before the
cess to th
stock excharade shares n April last y
ch other’s msides are sors are nownges, invest
e also able togh trading a
a result, the trading com
exchanges aKong mar
sion No.1 epartment
s Report
ec 2014
ally
hie Seyapartmentank, Ltd.
attracted
market
ed on 17
hancing
vitalizing
xchange
turnover
market
e stock
anges of listed in
year, and
market by ubject to
w able to tors from o access accounts Connect menced,
applied to ket from
Dec 2014
4
Fig 1: Ima
Low turn
The first overseas Shanghaiexpectatiotrading dainterest rathe daily qInvestmen(or “southwith only 1From the daily quot
Fig 2: Tak
The Conncould be h
One of thchannels.
age of the “Sh
over in the
trading dayfunds and t) trading hiton. Howeveay. On the siate cutting foquota, but tnts by mainlhbound” trad17% of the dthird day ona (see Fig. 2
ke-up rates of
nect has perheard in the
he reasons Heretofore,
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1st
- 2 -
hanghai-Hon
Sou
first week
y on Novemthe trading vt the daily qr, trading voxth trading d
or the first timhe overall trland Chinesding)has bedaily quota onwards, this 2).
f the Connect
rformed unimmarket befo
of the low , foreign inv
Day 2nd Day 3r
So
g Kong Stoc
urce: Compiled b
mber 17 20volume of nquota of RMolumes dropday, as a resme in 28 morading volumse investors en moving of RMB 10.5figure dropp
t’s northboun
Source: Ho
mpressively ore the sche
turnover is estors could
rd Day 4th Day
HK→SH
Aft
outh China –
k Connect”
by MHBK based
014 was manorthbound MB 13 billiopped graduasult of Chinaonths, tradinme still remafrom Shangsluggishly f
5 billion was ped to just se
nd and south
ong Kong Treasu
so far, in faeme started.
due to the d invest in C
5th Day 6th Day
SH→HK
ter China cut inte
Asia Busines
d on HKMA rele
ainly contrib(from Hong on, revealingally from thea’s announceng volume hiained at a loghai into Hofrom the befilled on the
everal perce
bound quota
ury Division, Miz
act cautious .
existing invChinese A-sh
y 7th Day
erest rate
ss Report
eases, etc.
buted by Kong to
g a high e second ement of it 50% of ow level.
ong Kong eginning,, e first day. ent of the
as
zuho Bank
opinions
vestment hares via
Dec 2014
1 Qualifiedinstitutionsrecognizedforeign inv2 Renminb2014, the restricted t2013 to incthe schem3 Qualifiedto invest inquota of $8
4
d Foreign Institus that meet cerd 260 companievestors can invebi Qualified Foreprogram recog
to the Hong Koclude foreign fine expanded to
d Domestic Instin foreign marke88.673 billion.
the QFII1 RQFII2 pmeanwhileThus, as the intentequity mamainland via the QF
Some alsocompany statementWestern iHong Kontotal numbwhile the need be institutiona80% of thabout howindividual
Fig 3: Inve
Of coursemainland informatioKong sechalf of 201suggests
utional Investorrtain criteria to
es with a total invest indirectly in Ceign Institutionagnized 93 compong branches ornancial institutioLondon and Sinitutional Investoets. As of the en
program (foprogram (foe, could invone Hong Ktion of invearkets via thmarket have
FII and RQF
o suggesteddoes IPO in
ts are all winvestors. Inng is in Englber of overseprovision oimproved
al investors e trading vaw to make investors in
estors in the
e, now the scChina and
on to individurity compa14 were 0.5 that even if
. This program invest in Chin
vestment quotaChina’s marketsal Investor. This panies with a tor subsidiaries ons based in Hon
ngapore, too. or. This is a prognd of Novembe
- 3 -
or foreign-cur RMB-deno
vest in foreigKong securitsting abroahe QDII, ane already be
FII.”
d that investon China, dowritten in Cn contrast, aish and Chineas investorf Chinese inFurthermordominate t
alue of the Sinvestment
n China.
Hong Kong S
cheme is upHong Kon
dual investorany put it, “I
times in Hof investment
was first trialedna’s A-share m of $65.748 billi
s via the funds ois an RMB-den
otal investment of mainland secng Kong. Restri
gram which allowr 2014, the pro
So
urrency denominated ingn equity mty company
ad have alrend foreign ineen investin
ors are lack ocuments suChinese, whalthough infnese, as Wers (see Fig. 3nformation tre, in oppothe market, Shanghai mat to Hong K
Stock Exchan
p and runninng are tryingrs. Howeven the first png Kong ant quotas wer
d in December arket. As of thon. Though eac
of approved QFIominated versioquota of RMB
urities companictions on invest
ws Chinese finagram recognize
outh China –
nominated innvestments).markets via t
put it, “Maieady been nvestors witg in the ma
of informatiouch as prosphich obviousformation abestern inves3), English itargeting Chosition to Hindividual in
arket. Thus,Kong more
nge (2013)
ng, securitiesg to provider, as the af
place, turnovd 1.25 timesre filled, the
2002 as a wayhe end of Novech company hasI institutions. on of the QFII. A
B 298.4 billion. es, but the systment portfolios
ancial institutioned 127 compan
Asia Busines
nvestments). Chinese inthe QDII3 pnland invesinvesting in
th an intereinland equity
on. When a pectus and s create hubout stocks stors accouns the main lahinese invesHong Kongnvestors acc there are qappealing
Sou
s companiee better invforementionever ratios ins in Shanghae Connect w
y to allow foreigember 2014, ths an upper inves
As of the end ofThe program wtem was relaxe have also been
ns that meet ceries with a total
ss Report
) and the nvestors, program. tors with
n foreign st in the y market
Chinese financial
urdles to listed in
nt 70% of anguage, stors still
g, where count for
questions to these
rce: HKEx
s in both vestment ed Hong the first ai, which
would still
gn financial he program stment limit,
f November was initially ed in March n lifted, with
rtain criteria investment
Dec 20144
account fcontributecontinuescompaniesetting upin early stapplied tobefore full
It takes ti
Charles Lregards toperationssluggish tgap betwethat in 20directly inexpect toinstitutionaannounceas eligibleof not lesstheir mostknowledgenumber of
In particuConnect. market prQDII scheparticipatiChinese outflows cauthoritiescomparingmarkets. Aattractive
The timin(off-mainlaThe ball wRMB crowhipped recoveredoffshore RChina’s srelatively sfor long tefrom mon
for a small e much to t to see slug
es may not bp systems totage, there
o join the scly participati
me before
Li, Chief Exthe project s,. Howeverhan expecteeen shares
007 when thn Hong Kono make shal investors
ed yet. (3) Ine investors ins than (arout favored sme and familf other issue
ular, investoEligible stocice and trademes, the on in day traauthorities
could destabs want invg to bond mA market libto those sho
g of the scand RMB-dewas set rolliss-border sup when g
d from the LRMB funds strong growtsafe and staerm. At the etary tighten
- 4 -
percentagehe earningsggish tradinbe able to reo commence
are probabcheme but ang themselv
trading pic
xecutive of tas a succ
r, with regarded, he pointe
listed on bhe concept ag stocks jus
hort-term prs (such as ndividual invn the southbund USD 80mall-cap stoliarity with tes besides t
ors want to cks of the scing value in Connect traades or IPOare conce
bilize domesvestors to market therberalization ort-term inve
heme is anenominated ing in July 2settlements,lobal investLehman Shsourced fro
th, these deable way to isame time, ning, dim su
So
of annual s of securitig, there is coup the ini
e trading. Asly a numbeare sitting bves.
ks up
the Hong Kcess in turnd to why soed out the foboth exchanabout allowst came outrofits from insurers or
vestors in mbound tradin0,000). (4) Mcks. (5) Mathe Hong Khose ones r
have morecheme accou
both markeading is lim
Os are also oerned that stic financial
focus morre are morebased on lo
estors.
other problebonds) pick
2009 when while app
tors saw hoock. There om the maiebt instruminvest in RMwith mainla
um bonds pr
outh China –
trading volues compana concern ttial investme
s a result, asr of such coack to obse
Kong Stock n of overaluthbound tr
ollowing issuges has reding mainlant. As a resuarbitrage.
r fund housainland are g must hold
Mainland invinland inves
Kong markeraised by Li.
e loosening unt for arount, but unlike
mited to largoff the table.large-scale markets. Are on longe short-termong-term inv
em. Tradingked up in HoChina aboli
petite for thow fast thewas only anland, and ents provid
MB-denominaand China farovide issuin
Asia Busines
ume and wies.” If the that some sent costs invs the Conneompanies werve how thi
Exchange, l stable sy
rading remaues. (1) the vduced compd investors
ult, investors(2) Guidel
ses) have nfacing high an account
vestors cannstors are stit. There are
restrictionsnd 80% of agthe QFII, R
ge-cap stoc This is bec
capital infAlthough the g-term invem investors vestment ca
g in dim sumong Kong froshed restric
he bonds we Chinese ea few ways
with prospeed investorated Chinesacing more ng companie
ss Report
would not Connect
securities volved in ect is still who have ings go
said he ystematic ins more valuation paring to to trade
s cannot lines for not been
hurdles, t balance not trade ll lack of e also a
s on the ggregate QFII and cks, and ause the flows or Chinese
estments, in stock
annot be
m bonds om 2011. ctions on was also economy to trade
ective of s with a
se assets pressure es with a
Dec 2014
4 Real Est5 Exchang
4
tate Investment ge Traded Fund
cheap wagrew so fJanuary t374.4 billio
Fig 4: Iss
However, Chinese eexpected years havwere easeRMB tradhave seenrestrictionConnect wETF5’s IPcorporate submittedand renmcompany several timarket forSum bondcurrency.”
Regulatio
It is commtransactiomarket. Inprobably RMB-denomonitoringthe Chine
Trust
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
ay of raisingfast. Dim suto Septembon at the en
uance volum
market coeconomy hato come do
ve now passed, there ar
ding. Some n steady gro
ns on Hong Kwas launchePO performe
companies an applicat
minbi. Howesays, “Sim
mes so far,r RMB-denods and thus”
ons expects
monly knownons until nown this sense,marks a bigominated trag the impactese authorit
10
0
20
40
60
80
00
20
40
60
2007
(RMB bn)
- 5 -
g renminbi fum bonds toer 2014, w
nd of Septem
me of dim sum
Not
Sou
onditions haas shown cleown, thus msed since resre now moreof these, li
owth, while sKong RMB-ded, with REITed well, buts. In Septetion for an Iever, as th
milar dual-c, but it is uominated sto in the end
s to be furth
n that China w in order to, the launch g step forwade settlemet on domestties are loo
12 16
2008 2009
So
fund, which otalled RMBith outstand
mber 2014 (s
m bonds in Ho
te: The 2014 da
urce: HKMA
ave changeear signs of
market playestrictions one ways for ke dim sumsome have denominatedT4 first went the same ember of laPO denomihe aforemeurrency IPO
unclear howocks which isHong Kong
her relaxed
has kept a to protect thof the Shanard. At the ents and dimtic markets aosening/rem
35.8
107
2010 201
outh China –
is the reas 163.6 billio
ding issues see Fig. 4).
ong Kong
ata is for Januar
ed drasticala slowdownrs became
n cross-bordinvestors to
m bonds prenot taken od IPO were at to IPO in 2cannot be
ast year, Hnated in botentioned HoOs have be much apps of more ris
g airline wen
tight rein on he stability onghai-Hong K
same timem sum bondand demand
moving restr
7.9 112.2 1
11 2012 2
Asia Busines
son why theon were issu
adding up
ry through to Se
ly since thn, with growmore cautio
der RMB seto engage in eviously meff yet.. For eabolished be2011, and si
applied to Hong Kong th Hong Koong Kong een considetite there sk comparinnt to IPO in
cross-bordeof domestic Kong Stock , the introdu
ds suggest thd in foreign rictions and
116
163.6
2013 2014
ss Report
e market ued from to RMB
eptember.
hen. The wth target ous. Five ttlements offshore
entioned, example, efore the nce then IPOs of Airlines
ng dollar security
ered for is in the
ng to Dim just one
er capital financial Connect uction of hat while markets, expand
Dec 2014
Disclaim1. Le
acac
2. Cobedis
3. Comaby
4. Lim(a)
(b)
5. Thfin
4
mer & Confidegal and accoucounting or tacounting and
onfidentiality: Te kept strictly csclosure to anyopyright: The iay not be copiany means fo
mitation of liab) The informa
but in no waany liability analysis hethe results t
) Please noteagencies, amodificationanalysis hethe risks to
he informationancial instrum
trading aauthoritiesgoverningthey are emeet shor
On the othand foreigConnect mentionedinvestors investmenattractive trading pitightened.erraticallyare how HRenminbi competitivasked to d
[Remarks] December prevail.
dentiality unting advice: ax issues. You tax aspects ofThe informatioconfidential. Thy third party isnformation coed, duplicatedor any purposebility: ation containeay is the accuwhatsoever forein is hypothethereof. e that informatand/or changesn to the relevarein ineffectuawhich your co contained he
ments or to pro
nd develops have alsog the Conneexpected to rrt-term inves
her hand, Hgn investorsand other
d above, it swith investm
nt tools to binvestment
cks up, sup. This in turn, and thus tHong Kong
internatioveness as ademonstrate
This report is10, 2014. In th
The informatishould obtain
f this informaton contained hhis informations strictly prohibontained hereind, quoted, repre whatsoever
d herein was racy, reliabilityor any damagetical and is n
tion to be discs in the system
ant processes al. Further, thisompany is experein does noovide investme
- 6 -
p a greater indicated tct to match respond flexstment need
ong Kong ss and meer RMB deshould morement informbe more uset products. pply and den could caushe authoritieshould utiliz
onalization an internatioe its worthy a
s a translationhe event of an
ion contained n your own indion.
herein is givenn is intended fbited. n is, as a generoduced, transwithout prior c
obtained fromy or integrity oe arising out oot intended as
closed hereaftem and/or finanand/or schems information iposed. t constitute a
ent advice or s
So
r presence hat they wilmarket con
xibly and furds like those
hould be mot their need
enominated e actively promation, makeer friendly, aIn long-term
emand of shse short-termes have to sze China’s c
and howonal financias an offsho
n of the originny discrepancy
herein does ndependent pro
for general infor your compa
eral rule, the islated, or lent,consent.
m information sf such informa
of or relating tos an indication
er, appraisals,ncial environm
mes, which mais not intended
solicitation orservice.
outh China –
in internatll adjust the
nditions, wherther ease ree mentioned
ore proactivds by stead
investmenovide both me systems sand of coursm, if RMB-dhort-term Rm RMB intersteer cautiocapital markw to booial market. ore RMB cen
nal report in Jy, the original r
not incorporateofessional adv
nformational puany’s internal
ntellectual pro, in whole or in
sources deemeation guaranteo this informatn of the certain
the opinions ment may nece
y have the effd to be an exh
r offer by MH
Asia Busines
ional markee various regen the timingegulations inabove.
vely appeal mdily buildingnt instrumemainland andsuch as prese, it has todenominated
RMB fundingrest rates fluusly. Questi
ket liberalizaost Hong Hong Kong
nter.
Japanese pubreport in Japa
e advice on legice on the lega
urposes only ause only, and
operty of MHBn part, in any f
ed reliable by eed. MHBK distion. Moreoventy or complet
of credit ratingessitate substafect of renderinhaustive statem
BK to buy or
ss Report
ets. The gulations g is right
n order to
mainland g up the ents. As d foreign
e-existing o provide d stocks
g can be uctuating ons now
ation and Kong’s
g will be
blished on nese shall
gal, al,
and shall the
BK, and form or
MHBK sclaims r, the eness of
g antial ng the ment of
sell any