the science of kanban

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The Science of Kanban

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Page 1: The Science of Kanban

The Science of Kanban

Page 2: The Science of Kanban

KARLSCOTLAND

[email protected]://availagility.co.uktwitter.com/kjscotland

Page 3: The Science of Kanban

Scientific Management

Page 4: The Science of Kanban

System

Study

Share

LimitSense

Learn

Page 5: The Science of Kanban

Complicated• Potentially Knowable• Cause-Effect separated in time

& space• Sense → Analyse → Respond

Simple• Known• Cause-Effect perceivable,

predictable, repeatable• Sense → Categorise → Respond

Complex• Retrospectively Coherent• Cause-Effect not repeatable• Probe → Sense → Respond

Chaos• Incoherent• Cause-Effect not perceivable• Act → Sense → Respond

Un

ord

ere

d D

omai

ns

Ord

ere

d Do

ma

ins

Disorder

http://www.cognitive-edge.com/

Page 6: The Science of Kanban
Page 7: The Science of Kanban

People

Page 8: The Science of Kanban
Page 9: The Science of Kanban

Clark & Wheelwright: Managing New Product and Process Development

Page 10: The Science of Kanban

12

34

5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Working Time Context Switching Time

Number of Simultaneous Projects

Per

cen

t

Gerald Weinberg, Quality Software Management: Systems Thinking

Page 11: The Science of Kanban

Assumptions Strategies & Techniques Results

Single Loop Learning

Double Loop Learning

Page 12: The Science of Kanban
Page 13: The Science of Kanban
Page 14: The Science of Kanban

Process

Page 15: The Science of Kanban

Utilisation

Que

ue

Queuing Capacity Utilisation

Lead Time = Queue Size / Processing Rate

Page 16: The Science of Kanban

Flow = Speed x Density

Density

Speed

Flow

Miles per Hour

VehiclesperMile

VehiclesperHour

MilesperHour

Page 17: The Science of Kanban

Difference

Adjustment

BTemperatureDel

ay

Page 18: The Science of Kanban

Fast Feedback

Smaller Queues

Lower WIP

Faster Flow

Page 19: The Science of Kanban
Page 20: The Science of Kanban

Economics

Page 21: The Science of Kanban

Dis

coun

ted

Cas

h

Investment Period Payback Period Profit Period

Time

Self-fundingPoint

Break-evenPoint

MaximumCashInjectionNeeded

Life Cycle Profits

Page 22: The Science of Kanban

Expedite

Standard

FixedDate Intangible

Cos

t

Time

Cost of Delay

Page 23: The Science of Kanban

Probability of Failure

Info

rmat

ion

0% 100%

Information Theory

Page 24: The Science of Kanban

Ideas

Build

Code

Measure

Data

Learn

Lean Startup

Page 25: The Science of Kanban

Pay

off

Performance

Target

Loss

Gain

Asymmetric Pay-offs

Page 26: The Science of Kanban

Sequence Early

Sequence Late

Cost of Risk Reduction

Val

ue o

f R

isk

Red

uctio

n

Risk Reduction

Page 27: The Science of Kanban
Page 28: The Science of Kanban
Page 29: The Science of Kanban

Plan

Do

Check

Act

Page 30: The Science of Kanban

Observe

Orient

Decide

Act

Page 31: The Science of Kanban

Why

How

What

The Golden

Circle

http://www.startwithwhy.com/

Page 32: The Science of Kanban

Productivity Quality

Responsiveness

Customer Satisfaction

Predictability

EmployeeSatisfaction

Page 33: The Science of Kanban

Economics

ProcessPeople

Lean

Page 34: The Science of Kanban

Books

• Kanban – David J. Anderson• The Principles of Product Development

Flow – Donald G. Reinertsen• Brain Rules – John Medina• Software by Numbers – Mark Denne &

Jane Cleland-Huang

Page 35: The Science of Kanban

Thank you!

Email: [email protected]: http://twitter.com/kjscotland

Blog: http://availagility.co.uk