THE ROAD AHEAD FOR THE VOLUNTARY SECTOR

3

CIVIL SOCIETY CHANGING SHAPE

4

Most charities are still small and local

TOTAL

MAJOR

LARGE

MEDIUM

SMALL

MICRO

78

35

61

70

79

81

13

47

25

18

12

11

3

7

6

5

3

3

6

11

8

7

6

5

Local

National

National and overseas

Overseas

UK voluntary organisations by areas of operation, 2012/13 (% of organisations) Source: NCVO, TSRC, Charity Commission

- small != local

Charity deserts?

6

Voluntary sector stagnates

2000/01

2001/02

2002/03

2003/04

2004/05

2005/06

2006/07

2007/08

2008/09

2009/10

2010/11

2011/12

2012/13

2013/14

25,000.0

27,000.0

29,000.0

31,000.0

33,000.0

35,000.0

37,000.0

39,000.0

41,000.0

43,000.0

45,000.0

Total income

Total expenditure

Voluntary sector income and spending, 2000/01 to 2013/14 (£ billions, 2012/13 prices)Source: NCVO, TSRC, Charity Commission Note: Figures for 2013/14 are provisional

7

Large organisations get most of the income

MAJOR

LARGE

MEDIUM

SMALL

MICRO

Number of organisa-tions

Income

78,973

54,129

21,956

4,410

577

£19.4bn

£12.2bn

£6.7bn

£0.2bn

£1.9bn

Proportion of organisations and income by size of organisation, 2012/13 (%)Source: NCVO, TSRC, Charity Commission

8

Government money from grants and contracts falls

2000

/01

2001

/02

2002

/03

2003

/04

2004

/05

2005

/06

2006

/07

2007

/08

2008

/09

2009

/10

2010

/11

2011

/12

2012

/13

0

5

10

15

4.96.0

2.2

4.8

12.3

11.1

Contracts

Grants

Government grant and contract income to the UK voluntary sector, 2000/01 to 2012/13 (£ billions, 2012/13 prices). Source: NCVO, TSRC, Charity Commission

9

Income from both local and central government falls

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

0.2

-0.3

-0.4

-0.3

0.10.0

-0.7

-0.1

Central GovernmentLocal Government

Local and central government spending on the voluntary sector, change from previous year, 2009/10 to 2012/13 (£ billions, 2012/13 prices). Source: NCVO, TSRC, Charity Commission

10

Other sources pick up the bill?

Voluntary sector income sources, 2000/01 to 2012/13 (£ billions, 2012/13 prices)Source: NCVO, TSRC, Charity Commission

Government

Individuals

11

Income from grant-making foundations rises while corporate donations fall

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/130.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Voluntary sector grants

Voluntary sector contracts and fees

Private sector donations

Private sector contracts and fees

Income from other voluntary organisations and private sector, 2008/08 to 2012/13 (£ billions, 2012/13 prices)Source: NCVO, TSRC, Charity Commission

12

Income of hospital radio charities (£millions, cash)

Source: NCVO Civil Society Almanac (2015)

13

Most popular causes for donors

Proportion of donors giving to the most popular causes, 2014Source: UK Giving 2014, CAF, April 2015

38%26%

Medical researchHospitals

24%17%

ChildrenOverseas

14%13%

AnimalsReligious

11%9%

DisabledHomeless

8%7%

ElderlyHealth

7%5%

SchoolsEnvironment

3%1%

SportsArts

14

Spending of charity food banks (£millions, cash terms)

Source: NCVO Civil Society Almanac (2015)

15

Income of Citizens Advice Bureaux (£ millions, cash terms)

Source: NCVO Civil Society Almanac (2015)

VOLUNTEERING

17

Number of volunteers remains stable

20012003

2005

2007... 200200

201201

2010

20

40

60

80

Informal volunteering in last 12 months (%)

Formal volunteering in last 12 months (%)

Informal volunteering monthly (%)

Formal volunteering monthly (%)

Proportion of adults volunteering, 2001 to 2013/14 (%)Source: Community Life Survey

18

Employer supported volunteering thrives

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2012/13 2013/140

2

4

6

8

In last 12 months

Monthly

Proportion of people engaging in ESV scheme, 2008/09 to 2013/14 (%)Source: Community Life Survey

19

SOME BIG CHALLENGES…

• The Conservative manifesto promised no VAT or tax increases and for the current deficit to become a surplus by 2020.

• Promised £8bn for the NHS and ring-fenced budgets for health, education and overseas aid.

• Other departmental budgets will need to be cut by 42%, or £61.3 billion, over the next 5 years (OBR estimates).

• This will mean cuts to welfare budget, but continuing cuts to central and local government spend are also inevitable.

1. PUBLIC SPENDING REDUCTIONS

20

SOME BIG CHALLENGES…

• Possible amendment of the Lobbying Act following Lord Hodgson’s review

• Enhanced powers for the Charity Commission under a draft protection of charities bill.

• The introduction of Right to Buy for housing associations risks interfering with charity independence.

• It is likely that the Human Rights Act will be scrapped and replaced with a British Bill of Rights.

• Security measures will be tightened, including new banning orders for extremist organisations that fall short of the requirement for proscription in existing legislation.

2. CAMPAIGNING AND INDEPENDENCE

21

22

The Conservative manifesto promised to:• Expand use of payment by

results contracts to ‘harness the talent and energy of charities’ and halve the disability employment gap

• Target of one third of government spend on SMEs

• Innovation in public services including through voluntary sector

• Transparent government • No income tax if working 30

hours on minimum wage

Let’s persuade them to . ..• Expand the Commissioning

Academy • Strengthen the Social Value Act• Review public services markets• Prioritise preventative spend• Commit to open data on VCS

spending• Ensure that public service

contracts make provision for organisations to pay a living wage.

…BUT ALSO SOME OPPORTUNITIES 1. PUBLIC SERVICES REFORM & LOCALISM

24

The Conservative manifesto promised:• 3 days a year workplace

volunteering for employees in the public sector and large (250+) workplaces

• Expansion of National and International Citizen Services

• Match funding for aid charities

• Stronger Community Right to Bid

Let’s persuade them to . . .• Fund professional volunteer

management programmes• Create an Access to

Volunteering Fund to increase opportunities for disabled people

• Support local philanthropy through match funding

• Make the gift aid small donations scheme more accessible

…BUT ALSO SOME OPPORTUNITIESVOLUNTEERING LOCALLY AND GLOBALLY

READ MORE

Related blogs from NCVO http://blogs.ncvo.org.uk/category/election-2015/

HOW CAN NCVO HELP YOU?

Contact NCVO’s for advice on how to influence at a national or local level or for more information on the implications of the election for charities.

Chloe.stables@ncvo.org.uk