the rise and rise of digital lending

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THE RISE AND RISE OF DIGITAL LENDING 5 th Annual Africa Banking & Finance Conference Nairobi, Kenya 19 MAY 2015

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Page 1: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

THE RISE AND RISE OF DIGITAL LENDING

5th Annual Africa Banking & Finance ConferenceNairobi, Kenya

19 MAY 2015

Page 2: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

PRESENTATION AT A GLANCE

1. Introduction to the Financial Inclusion Insights Program

2. Bank customer segmentation, journey, demographics and financial behavior.(Nigeria & Kenya)3. Challenges & Opportunities for Banking sector.

Page 4: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

FII – COUNTRIES AND CONTENT

A combined 2 billion-plus population representing a mix of more-advanced and early-stage DFS markets

A combined 2 billion-plus population representing a mix of more-advanced and early-stage DFS markets

Annual, nationally representative surveys of adults in 8 countries (n = 3,000 to 45,000), which… Track access to and

demand for financial services generally, and the uptake and use of DFS specifically;

Measure adoption and use of DFS among key target groups (females, BOP, rural, unbanked, etc.);

Identify drivers and barriers to further adoption of DFS;

Evaluate the agent experience and the performance of mobile money agents; and

Produce actionable, forward-looking insights to support product and service development and delivery, based on rigorous FII data.

Page 5: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

HOW DOES FII’S DEMAND-SIDE RESEARCH ASSISTS IN PROMOTING THE EXPNSION OF DFS?

By providing knowledge and insights on:

• Client pain points in the current methods of transaction to help identify potential for introducing new/modified products and services

• Triggers and barriers to uptake and usage of services including quality of service, accessibility, cost, trust, awareness, education, and lack of financial literacy to inform providers’ strategy for promoting their services/products and engaging with existing and potential clients

• Transactions/financial activities that would benefit from digitalization to advise providers and donors on priority areas for digitalization

• Potential for digitizing payment streams in industry value chains -- for example garment industry, agriculture, government benefits – to advise how to target decision-makers with the right message to enable identified sectors adopt DFS

Page 6: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

FII RESEARCH ELEMENTS: TRACKER SURVEY Data collected

Core data: Basic demographics Poverty measurement (Grameen Progress out of Poverty

Index (PPI)) Access/use of mobile devices Access/use of mobile money (MM) Access/use of formal financial services (e.g., bank accounts) Level of satisfaction with financial service providers and

products

Extended core data: Trust in financial services Use of “informal” financial services Use of digital/prepaid cards Use of savings instruments Use of insurance instruments Borrowing and lending habits

Additional data (selected countries): Mobile money adoption influencers Financial service interoperability Technical issues in mobile money use Perceptions/Opinions on consumer issues related to

interoperability Perceptions of fraud in mobile money

Survey summary

• A national survey representative of all adults aged 15+ living in the selected country, conducted annually

• Sample sizes large enough to facilitate demographic and geographic analysis

• Face-to-face interviews lasting on average 44 minutes

• Rigorous data quality control procedures

• Collection of participants’ household GPS coordinates

• FII Wave 1 provides baseline measurements. Subsequent annual surveys will measure trends and track market developments in DFS

• Datasets posted on online query tool and SPSS datasets available upon request

• First and Second wave datasets available

Page 7: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

Data analysis at your fingertips http://finclusion.org/datacenter/

http://finclusion.org/datacenter/

FII ONLINE DATA CENTER

Page 8: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

FII RESEARCH EXAMPLES BY COUNTRY: THE CASE OF KENYA AND NIGERIA

Page 9: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

REGISTERED INACTIVE USERS Have a bank account in their name and have not used it for more than 90 days

preceding the survey.

UNREGISTERED USERS Use somebody else’s bank account to

transact.

ACTIVE REGISTERED USERS Have a bank account in their name and have used it for at least one transaction

in the last 90 days.

SUPER USERS Have a bank account in their name and use the account at least once a week to make at least one beyond-basic-wallet

transaction.

2%

7%

6%

15%

4%

6%

28%

9%

29% of Kenyans 43% of NigeriansAdults using banks

Source: InterMedia Kenya FII Tracker survey (N=2,995, 15+), September 2014. & InterMedia Nigeria FII Tracker survey (N=6,000, 15+) June-August 2014. .

BANK CUSTOMER SEGMENTATION

Page 10: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

Super use

Regular use (active registered users)

Registration

Trial (ever used)

9%

38%

43%

50%

BANK CUSTOMER JOURNEY: FROM TRIAL TO SUPERUSE

Super use

Regular use (active registered users)

Registration

Trial (ever used)

7%

15%

28%

29%

Source: InterMedia Kenya FII Tracker survey (N=2,995, 15+), September 2014. & InterMedia Nigeria FII Tracker survey (N=6,000, 15+) June-August 2014.

Nigeria bank users(Shown: Bank users, n=3,141)

Kenya bank users(Shown: Bank users, n=923)

0.9

0.9

0.2

0.6

0.5

1.0

0.18 0.24

21ppt

2ppt

Page 11: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

Demographics

Profile of key bank account users

Unregistered users (n=52)

Registered inactive users (n=205)

Active registered users (n=461)

Super users (n=205)

% male 22 58 61 69

% female

78 42 39 31

% urban

41 45 52 59

% rural

59 55 48 41

% above poverty

49 67 73 86

% below poverty

51 33 27 14

Above poverty group are leading in usage of banks

Demographics

Profile of key bank account users

Unregistered users (n=356)

Registered inactive users (n=213)

Active registered users (n=1876)

Super users (n=611)

% male 29 49 57 65

% female

71 51 43 35

% urban

55 58 50 55

% rural

45 42 50 45

% above poverty

3 9 12 14

% below poverty

97 91 88 86

Super users and active bank account holders are mainly poor, males whereas unregistered users are poor, females.

Kenya Nigeria

Source: InterMedia Kenya FII Tracker survey (N=2,995, 15+), September 2014. & InterMedia Nigeria FII Tracker survey (N=6,000, 15+) June-August 2014.

BANK CUSTOMER DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS

Page 12: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

Demographics

Profile of key bank account users

Unregistered users (n=52)

Registered inactive users (n=205)

Active registered users (n=461)

Super users (n=205)

% have a job (regular, self-employed or occasional assignments)

61 75 82 89

% not working 

49 25 18 11

% have an account with semi-formal FIs

6 32 32 51

% have loans 

22 31 29 38

% save   71 84 92 98

% have emergency fund  

33 38 46 51

Saving is the leading activity with the banks.

Demographics

Profile of key bank account users

Unregistered users (n=356)

Registered inactive users (n=213)

Active registered users (n=1876)

Super users (n=611)

% have a job (regular, self-employed or occasional assignments)

50 68 70 70

% not working 

50 32 30 30

% have an account with semi-formal FIs

15 12 13 15

% have loans 

11 12 10 9

% save   59 90 95 97

% have emergency fund  

47 53 59 66

Majority of super users are employed & save money.

Kenya Nigeria

Source: InterMedia Kenya FII Tracker survey (N=2,995, 15+), September 2014. & InterMedia Nigeria FII Tracker survey (N=6,000, 15+) June-August 2014.

BANK CUSTOMER FINANCIAL BEHAVIORS

Page 13: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

CHALLENGES FOR DIGITALIZATION

• Poor Infrastructure• High poverty levels • Low education levels• High rate of rurality

SIMILARITIES: KENYA & NIGERIA

DIFFERENCES: NIGERIA ONLY

• Poor Network

• Lack of MM awareness & usage

Page 14: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

OPPORTUNITIES FOR BANKING SERVICES TO SCALE

Page 15: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

Client pain points help identify potential for introducing new/modified products and services

Downtime and technical issues are a big complain, especially among bank users in Nigeria who face teller-system and ATM outages. Creating minimum uptime standards could help improve consumer trust in providers and increase attractiveness of banking services.

Network downtime

Very high mobile phone ownership at 87% of adults in Nigeria and 73% in Kenya can be leveraged to offer convenient mobile banking to those in rural and remote areas

Mobile ownership

9% of Kenyans and 8% of Nigerians receive G2P payments. Yet, only a small fraction of them use banks to such activities. Leveraging the high level of trust for banks and G2P continuous flow, banks can develop attractive G2P and P2G products.

Bill pay

Page 16: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

ABOUT INTERMEDIA

• We are an independent, global consultancy with expertise in research and evaluation, particularly in low- and middle-income countries.

• InterMedia’s work supports strategic decision-making and program assessment by a range of clients and partners, including: international development agencies, philanthropic foundations, program implementers, content providers, government departments and commercial firms.

• InterMedia helps clients and partners understand the people and businesses they intend to support or engage. Most of our work focuses on producing practical “demand side” insights.

Page 17: The Rise and Rise of digital Lending

Thank youFor more information, visit www.finclusion.org

Lucy Kaaria, Research Associate, InterMedia [email protected]

Dr. Anastasia Mirzoyants-McKnight, Director of Research and Operations, InterMedia [email protected]