The renewable energy The renewable energy DirectiveDirective

by Claude Turmes, MEP

Vice-President of EUFORESRapporteur of the RES-Directive

9th Inter-Parliamentary Meetingon Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency

18th November 2009Parliament of Belgium

As if we had 4 planets …

On the way to a 100 % renewables energy century

EJ/y

0

50

100

150

200

250

Geothermal heat

Solar heating

Biomass energy crops

Biomass residues

Geothermal (el)

Ocean (el)

Wind (el)

Hydro (el)

Solar PV (el)

Solar CSP (el)

RESpotentials

gross primary energy consumptionEU-25 in 2005 Source: Ecofys, DLR

Drivers of the success story

1. Technological innovation

Drivers of the success story 2. Organisational innovation

Future policies must focus on:• decentralised energy in buildings – maximising efficiency through integration of decentralised renewable energies into buildings

• local and regional production - taking advantage of the most locally suitable energy technologies (e.g. solar, CHP, hydro, wind)

• key macro-level energy projects of European interest – off-shore wind hubs (e.g. North Sea and Baltic), CSP solar thermal hubs (e.g. Desertec), biomass and CHP (combined heat and power installations), renovation of large existing hydro-electric installations

Delivering these projects will require the necessary infrastructural investments – e.g. super/smart-grid for electricity, including offshore

Drivers of the success story3. positive impact on pricing

Source: Bode & Groscurth (2006): The effect of the German Renewable Energy Act (EEG) on "the electricity price", HWWA discussion paper 358

Drivers of the success story4. positive impact on jobs

Source: ‘working for the climate – renewable energy & the green job revolution‘ EREC & Greenpeace, September 2009

The Renewables Directive• Mandatory EU (overall + renewables in transport) and

mandatory national targets (in electricity, H&C, fuels)

• National Support mecanisms (feed-in, bonus, others) and National Renewable Energy Action Plans

• Flexibility mecanism involving Member States and (more limited) Third countries

• Reduction of administrative and regulatory barriers, training better access to grid and priority dispatch for renewables, etc

• Sustainability regime for biofuels & biomass

Next steps on renewables

• Consistant national action plans• Good local and regional dynamics

(covenant of majors – 100% renewable energies regions)

• Go ahead with off-shore wind (now)• Grid integration (at local and at cross-

national level)• Solar concentrated deployment in South

(mid term)

Open questions on renewables

• How much need for new grid building and what type of new grids (AC-DC)

• „Baseload power is going to become an anachronism” (Mr. Wellinghoff – new chairman US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission)

• A new challenge for balancing (storage plants), grid management and smart metering (IT in grids)

• What role for electro-mobility? (where to charge – at home or centralised?)

EU Energy Mix 2020 / 2030

EU- 27 Mtoe 2005 baseline oil price $ 100/bl

EU Scenario 2020 Consistent with 20-20-20 targets as decided 2008

EU Scenario 2030

Primary Energy Demand

1705 1903 1474 (-20%) 1250

Oil 666 648 500 (-25%) 300-350

Gas 445 443 445 (stable) 450-500

Renewables 123 221 274 (+20%) 450-500

Solids 320 340 160 (-53%) 50-100

Nuclear 257 249 120 (-52%)

EU Energy Mix 2020 / 2030

EU- 27 Mtoe EU Scenario 2030

explanations

Primary Energy Demand

1250 energy efficiency pathway to achieve 2005-2020 efficiency target continued until 2030

Oil 300-350 oil out of the heating sector and quick penetration of electric cars - uncertainty about volume of oil replaced by biofuel share for shipping and aviation

Gas 450-500 gas reduced in building sector, stable in industry use and raise in power sector- uncertainty concerning CHP gas use

Renewables 450-500 450 Mtoe is pathway to achieve 2005-2020 20% renewable target continued until 2030 - uncertainty on real potential of biofuel for aviation and shipping (see also oil)

Solids 50-100 coal & nuclear: 50 - 100 Mtoe is share left if 20% efficiency and 20% renewable pathway is continued until 2030 

Nuclear

Join us in EUFORES

• http://www.eufores.org/

• claude.turmes@europarl.europa.eu