the real g2: americans, europeans, and their role in the g20

Upload: german-marshall-fund-of-the-united-states

Post on 08-Apr-2018

227 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    1/16

    p a p e r s e r i e s

    The Real G2:

    ameRicans, euRopeans,

    and TheiR Role in The G20

    Steffen KernHelmut Schmidt Fellow, Transatlantic Academy

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    2/16

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    3/16

    The Real G2:Americans, Europeans,

    and their Role in the G20

    Transatlantic Academy Paper Series

    February 2011

    Sff K*Helmut Schmidt Fellow, Transatlantic Academy

    *Sff K T A H S Fw, D f I F MkP D Bk.

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    4/16

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    5/16

    The Real G2: Americans, Europeans,and their Role in the G20

    1

    Abstract

    G gv f

    kg q . H gg G

    w g f

    gv g. B

    f f k

    . Rg g G

    f k gv

    v gg k. T g

    U S E U

    .

    R g v qq, gz f v--

    (OTC) vv k,

    f v v, g f

    f

    fw x f w

    f k . A

    , U S EU

    v G .

    T q f f v

    j w v. I

    ,

    g, g, f g.

    T w ex ante

    w w

    f

    G. I f , wv,

    f A E w

    g v

    g f k v.

    T v jv,

    f w . T U

    S EU f

    g G

    v f ffv g f

    f k .

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    6/16

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    7/16

    The Real G2: Americans, Europeans,and their Role in the G20

    3

    Two years after

    the first G20

    meeting optimism

    has given way to

    sober realism. Th

    U.S. and the EU

    are the problem

    and its solutio

    Introduction

    G gv

    f kg q . H gg

    G w g f

    gv g. I

    f k , g-v

    gz,

    I M F (IMF),

    F S B (FSB), I

    Ogz f S C

    (IOSCO), w wk f

    k

    g g w g

    w f k.

    Ex g, g f

    f f

    g . B f f

    k . Tw f

    f G g v

    Wg Nv 8,

    f g gv w

    . Rg g G

    f k gv

    g g f v

    gg k, v w

    f f v [ f]

    f w f

    f.

    T U S E U

    . W g

    gg g,

    f w x

    U S C f f

    G g U S

    EU w v

    G . O v g

    f k f. Ow, v

    G Mg, Nv 5, 8, f q:Wg D S f k w .

    f g G ffv f f

    f.

    The G20 as a Forum of International

    Financial Market Policy Coordination

    If f, G k

    f v

    - w g . W

    f w

    f g-v , wv,

    f g v f

    , g f

    vgg g j

    .

    T f G w

    f g-v g

    Nv 8, g

    , ,

    , f v, . Tw

    jv f. O

    f f . I

    f f k , G

    [...] [...] wk g [...] v f

    w f . I ,

    G gz [...] f k

    g [] f

    g g gg

    f [...]

    g

    v -, g, g

    v ffg f

    .

    S, w g g-vg f -k

    k gg . Exg

    G Mg, Nv 5, 8, f q:Wg D S f k w .

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    8/16

    Transatlantic Academy4

    Joint action on

    financial market

    reform will lead

    to superior policy

    outcomes. Its

    success hinges on

    the U.S. and the

    EU solving their

    bilateral issues

    and forging ahead

    with international

    cooperation.

    f f f v f G7

    ffv

    g f 8 f

    fwk f vgg

    - v. I vg f-

    vg C, I, Bz,

    w j gwg g

    g k g

    w, w f f

    v. Ig k gg

    g

    w j fw f ggv.

    T f f g

    g f k .

    I f k , j

    g v v

    g f f g w

    k f g g k .

    B g g-q G,

    v v f f k vg

    . C

    g v ffv g f - k

    f fw

    f f f. I w, j

    ,

    g f w f v

    f k .3

    B w v

    . T, k f g g

    g

    w w g

    g f . T f G7 G . I ,

    f fg j w

    3 M (9) v v f fk g.

    x f f ,4

    x qk v f

    f w

    f g v

    x f f k f. C

    g f ggv f

    gg vv, f

    v w G,

    IMF, FSB, IOSCO B C.5

    F, q f g f

    G . Dg

    v v, v

    G g , g f G g

    w xv .6

    T, wv,

    g: T

    g g ,

    f- k

    g f g

    , k f j v

    g fgg

    w .7

    T g U S EU. If

    x g

    f f

    k v gv ,

    U S EU v qf

    f j G .

    Jgg f wg,

    vg f

    g , f

    f k g.

    4 M (9), . 8-9.

    5 W (7), . 3 Bw ().

    6 Bw (), . .

    7 M (9), . 7.

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    9/16

    The Real G2: Americans, Europeans,and their Role in the G20

    5

    Traditional

    financial centres

    in the United

    States and the

    EU have retained

    strong position.

    But this cannot

    belie the fact

    that they are

    increasingly

    challenged

    by emerging

    competitors.

    The United States and the EU:

    Global Centres of Finance and Regulation

    T f A E

    g f v. I kg, w v

    w- f g

    f U S

    EU. Tg, -

    q f g v f v

    kg v. O k xg,

    f U S EU g k

    z 5

    f , 78

    g q g g

    k q g ww. I

    , 7 f v

    8 f

    - vv g g

    f U

    S EU. F, fg xg g,

    , g

    k, g 5

    g g.

    T f ,

    U S EU,

    g

    g j f

    g. T f

    U S E U

    v g g

    v -q f g

    f v, w

    v v f k v k

    g.8

    T f f k,

    wv, f

    f f

    E U S g

    8 F f f U.S. EU fk w K (8), TABD().

    g g gg .

    Eq k v g

    v x: T 5

    g k k

    z f

    78 k , w k

    g f f 86 j v 7

    . Skg, gw

    f k k BRIC

    4 , w EU

    Decline of Traditional Stock Markets

    S: W F f Exg; w

    S: W F f Exg; w

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    10/16

    Transatlantic Academy6

    The G20 process

    has arrived at

    a low point. It

    seems difficult

    for the United

    States and the EU

    to reach beyond

    the minimum

    consensus.

    U.S. k ( g g5).9 C x

    g f k f

    3 kg, 5

    , 6 k.

    T g- f k

    k v g f g k gg

    f k f g

    v. T - U.S. EU

    g f, wv,

    U S E q

    g f f, f g f

    gg .

    Transatlantic Financial Market

    Diplomacy at a Low Point

    Bg f k

    ww g. Pg j ,

    wv, ff . I

    , U S EU v

    vgg, g w

    f k ,

    wg f g G g

    .

    I f, w G ,

    f k

    v w . O ,

    gv U S

    EU, w

    G. Avg j g f

    v

    9 A fg w f Bk fI S, I F Sv,T B Dg, W F fExg.

    C g x f 9 3 kg, f 5 , f 6 6 kk (K 9).

    f f k fk v

    v.

    O , wv, ff

    f U.S. EU k

    g

    . I, ff

    G g

    . W U

    S g-kg g

    D-Fk A, vg

    j f f f. T EU, , fw - g f

    5 v f f

    f . A q,

    v g f .

    A f q, A

    E g f v

    . T U.S. Vk

    R, G

    g. W EU g

    , w

    v gv x

    ff. S, , fg

    x, U S

    g v

    f B A k ,

    Nv S S.

    A, , w EU

    v v

    Av Iv F Mg Dv

    (AIFM) f f -

    f w g. F

    v f

    k x v, w g.

    F ffg w U S EU, A C ().

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    11/16

    The Real G2: Americans, Europeans,and their Role in the G20

    7

    The economic

    evidence sugges

    that there is a

    strong rationale

    for a much close

    alignment of

    activities and

    measures on

    financial market

    reform between

    the United States

    and Europe.

    Hwv, f w U S EU g - f

    f v f

    g. T,

    v w f g g

    v, w w U.S.-EU

    F Mk Rg Dg (FMRD)

    4 T E

    C 7, ,

    k f ff

    . Ev

    j, g 8 f kg

    w g U.S.-EU fk zg gzg

    k A,

    g kg.

    T f f g. Lk f

    A v

    G

    f vg ,

    g,

    f .

    Joint Interest in More Stable

    and Efficient Markets

    B A E

    ff f ? T v gg

    g f

    g f v . I f,

    f k v

    g ,

    w v v f g

    g . T g

    f w U.S. EU v v

    v x w A

    E k k w v

    - f fg g

    , w gw f

    U.S. SEC EU C, J S MRg, F , 8.

    v

    -g v ( g

    v).3

    C, w U

    S EU f f fw v v

    f v v

    . Gwg f

    3 F , K () (8).

    Transatlantic Securities Transactions and

    Savings Potential

    S: U.S. T; w

    S: U.S. T; w

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    12/16

    Transatlantic Academy8

    The way the

    United States

    and the EU are

    implementing

    the G20 financial

    market reform

    agenda is

    leading to even

    wider regulatory

    discrepancies

    than before

    the crisis.

    g f .. v f k g w

    w . A ,

    g g f g

    f g vg,

    w kwg U.S.

    EU C w

    J S 8.

    If g, f

    f , w gg gwg

    k f f g gv v f

    - fw v.

    4

    T f G g, wv,

    gv g

    w U.S. EU ,

    f, w f. T k ggv,

    f, vg f g

    z f k w

    U S EU w . N

    f vg

    f f

    g f k w . I f

    g f U.S.-EU k ,

    vg w -v US$5 ( g

    g 7).5

    Looking Ahead The Role of the

    United States and Europe in the G20

    I f k, U S EU

    G. T g

    f f G: T

    g v f

    k ww. T k k

    xv x f k g

    v wg

    f v f

    4 TABD ().

    5 F qf f f f k g, S () K().

    . A f fg f v. A

    , f f vg

    g f v.

    A , v U

    S EU

    ff v f f k

    G. Rg j

    w, , q

    g, g,

    f g. T w ex

    ante w f f k g

    f , , ,

    w f

    f,

    G w g

    g f f.

    F, f A E

    f f fw k

    v g w

    g g

    v g f

    k v. T w q

    wk vg xg

    g f xg

    J S, .. w

    gz g . I

    w, w k

    j w g f

    k.

    T v jv,

    zeitgeist v

    v f

    f . B f f

    f f

    , w kw

    f U S EU,

    w f f

    k, f fw f g v,

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    13/16

    The Real G2: Americans, Europeans,and their Role in the G20

    9

    ffv gv. T U S EU f

    g G v f

    ffv g f f k

    .

    Bibliography

    A C (), T g f vg

    f f,

    A C, Wg.

    Bw, D Dv (), Ag

    I F Rf, :I Lw, E Gz

    Dvg C, J. Fz, C. T, .,

    Ew Eg P, ; A Uv,

    WCL R P N. 9-9.

    I F Sv (),

    I F Mk U.K.,

    I F Sv L.

    K, Sff (8), EU-U.S. f k

    g wk g, D Bk

    R, Fkf.

    K, Sff (), Bf f U.S.-EU

    f k g, f

    CESR M Rg Tk F, P,

    J 8.

    K, Sff (), U.S. f k

    f f D-Fk A,

    D Bk R, Fkf.

    K, Sff . (9), C f

    k f g f?, D Bk

    R, Fkf M.

    M, P R. P, J C. (9),

    F Rg Rf: Ug M f

    C Ev C P f

    I Ag, M.

    S, B (), Bg TS Mk, C Fg

    R.

    T B Dg (), EU-U.S.

    f k f

    ff , T B Dg,

    B Wg.

    W, Rf A, Dg W. (7), Tw

    Nw Dg f I F

    Rg, Uv f Pv J

    f I E Lw, V. 9, . 39-

    453, 7.

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    14/16

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    15/16

  • 8/7/2019 The Real G2: Americans, Europeans, and their Role in the G20

    16/16

    1744 R StReet NW

    WaShiNgtoN, DC 20009

    t: 1 202 745 3886

    F: 1 202 265 1662

    e: [email protected]

    WWW.tRaNSatlaNtiCaCaDemy.oRg