the portuguese institute for the ocean …...• 2nd stage (2015) –installation of two...
TRANSCRIPT
2012 – IPMA CREATION
Before Now
IM
INRB/IPIMAR
LNEG
IPMA
SOME NUMBERS:
506 Personnel
11%
25%
38%
26%
ResearchersTechnical (1st)Technical (2nd)Admin/Other
38%
40%
22%
State budget
Sci Projects
Own revenue
Budget 2014
• Overall budget (2014) – 35 M€ • Over 74 research contracts and projects (13 FP7; 13 FEP; 12 Interreg;
37 FCT) • Over 120 grantees • 98 Facilities and 6 regional centres on Portugal mainland, Madeira
and Azores Archipelagos • 150 sailing days IPMA cruises (2013); expected 300 sailing days
(2014) • 2 National reference Labs – Microbiology and Biotoxins
Staff: 426
IPMA LARGE SCALE INFRA-STRUCTURE
Meteorological Radar Network
Seismological Network (Mainland and Islands)
Climatological and meteorological Networks
3 vessels (one regional, two coastal) New vessel due in 2015
Pilot production aquaculture Facilities
SCOPE OF ACTIVITIES:
Weather and ocean forecasting, seismological monitoring, tsunami early warning systems and issue alerts
Aquiculture Pilot Experiments Classification of MPZ, status of MPZ Evaluation of fish Stocks (DCF under CFP) Economic valuation of related products
Marine Environment and Biodiversity (OSPAR, Natura 2000, EU MSFD and water directives)
Non Living Resources, exploration and evaluation
Aeronautic meteorology
Paleo-climate, Climate change research , PT climate portal and sectoral impacts
EMOCEAN: Building the future IPMA’s observation and modelling operational system
• To support offshore aquaculture, artisanal fisheries, MPAs and climate changes studies
• INSITU OBSERVATIONS – Coastal network is being designed - Measurements (buoys and monitoring stations) - Meteorological data (e.g., wind, air temperature,
radiation) - Oceanographic data (e.g., T, S, Chl-a, Currents) - Nutrients - Primary and secondary production - Phyto- and Zooplankton
• Comprehensive set of ocean remote sensing products • 1ST STAGE (Sept 2014) – Installation of two
instrumented buoys in the Algarve (Tavira and Sagres) • 2nd STAGE (2015) – Installation of two instrumented
buoys in Arrabida MPA and “Cascais Watch” station (monitoring site for the past 15 years – monthly basis)
• Coastal Observation Network will be complementary and articulated with existing IHPT network
MYOCEAN PROYECT - IBI REGION (SWS) FIXED STATIONS VIEWING SERVICE
DATA NEEDED!!!
IPMA seeks to: • Reinforce IBI-ROOS by
covering existing spatial gaps of in-situ observations in the S and SW of Portugal
• Interact with the international community and benefit from their experience (lessons learned)
PARTICIPATION ON EUROGOOS
A case study: 2013-14 winter storms in the North Atlantic
• An unusually large number of North Atlantic storms • 17 intense lows during all the winter
- 10 with explosive cyclogenesis (the surface pressure falls > 24 hPa in 24 hours)
- 2 of the above had explosive cyclogenesis in 2 consecutive days
• January and February, in particular, showed the storm tracks displaced southwards when compared to climate
Some examples
24 Dec 2013 12
6 Jan 2014 00
8 Feb 2014 00
Significant height: 4 Jan 2014 00 to 7 Jan 2014 00, every 3 hours
1.25 2.5 3.75 5.0 6.25 7.5 8.75 10.0 11.25 12.5 13.75 15.0 16.25 17.5 18.75 20 m
Ocean waves impact
• Large ocean waves associated to each storm – Swell, with very long periods (often > 15 s, occasionally > 18
s), with waves transporting large amounts of energy • In some cases, in phase with high tide and/or inshore winds
– The energy carried by swell caused damage on coastlines of Ireland, United Kingdom, France, North and NW coast of Spain, western coast of Portugal
• This will require multiscale tools - To resolve the basins upstream with sufficient details to
guarantee physical realism in the generation and propagation of swell
- High resolution modelling close to the coastline to produce enough detail
2013/14, a pedagogical winter: Lessons learnt
• Portugal (and NW and North Iberia, Biscay Gulf, Ireland, Great Britain) is the Hawai of the Atlantic
• The importance of a global mesoscale model – Only a global model can describe interlinked atmospheric patterns
(Pacific and Atlantic basins; tropics, mid-latitudes and the Artic)
– Spatial resolution (16 km) was crucial, taking into account the scale of the most intense events
• Ocean waves were a key part of the risk last winter (2013/14)
• Ocean waves, esp. swell, display increased predictability: Swell carries the integrated effect of the atmospheric depression systems
• Use of a comprehensive observation system (remote sensing and in situ) for nowcasting and a set of intertwined modelling systems for ocean and atmosphere forecasts