the people of the san joaquin valley
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The People of the San Joaquin Valley. Hans Johnson Public Policy Institute of California [email protected]. The People of the San Joaquin Valley. Demographic trends Economic characteristics Looking ahead. Central Valley Population 1900-2010. San Joaquin Valley: 4 million in 2010. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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The People of the San Joaquin Valley
Hans JohnsonPublic Policy Institute of California
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The People of the San Joaquin Valley
· Demographic trends
· Economic characteristics
· Looking ahead
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Regional Definitions
Upper Sacramento Valley
Sacramento Metro
Central and SouthernSan Joaquin Valley
NorthernSan Joaquin Valley
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Central Valley Population1900-2010
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000
San Joaquin Valley: 4 million in 2010
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Comparisons of Population Change1970 population = 100
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
San Joaquin Valley Central Valley Rest of California Rest of US
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Comparisons of Population Change1970 population = 100
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
San Joaquin Valley Central Valley Rest of California Rest of US
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Accommodating Urban Development Scenario: Continued Urban Growth
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Accommodating urban development Scenario: Continued Urban Growth
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Prime Farmland Conservation Scenario Severely Constrains Growth
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Prime Farmland Conservation Scenario Severely Constrains Growth
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Ethnic Composition of Valley Sub-Regions
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
SacramentoValley
SacramentoMetro
San JoaquinValley
Multiracial
American Indian
African American
Asian and PacificIslanderLatino
White
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Immigrants come to the SJ Valley from all over the world
Leading Countries of Origin
Mexico 591,049 Philippines 48,154 India 42,890 Central America 33,928 Laos 20,150 China 12,953 Thailand 11,309 Vietnam 10,771 Portugal 10,483 South America 9,455 Cambodia 8,980 Africa 7,153 Iran 6,845 Canada 6,041 Korea 5,567 Pacific Islands 5,126
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The People of the San Joaquin Valley
· Demographic trends
· Economic characteristics
· Looking ahead
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Educational attainment levels are low
Not a high school
graduate
High school graduate
Some college Bachelor's degree or
more
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
26.7%25.0%
32.1%
16.3%17.3%
19.8%
30.4%
32.6%
San Joaquin ValleyRest of California
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Unemployment rates are high
12.7
10.3
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Growing Apart:Regional Per Capita Income Relative to State (100 = State PCI; 1969-2009)
Source: Hans Johnson, PPIC, based on US Bureau of Economic Analysis data19
6919
7219
7519
7819
8119
8419
8719
9019
9319
9619
9920
0220
0520
08
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Bay AreaOrange CountySan DiegoCentral CoastLos Angeles CountySacramento MetroSierrasFar NorthSan Joaquin ValleyInland Empire
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The People of the San Joaquin Valley
· Demographic trends
· Economic characteristics
· Looking ahead
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Policy Issues
· Rapid growth of a diverse population
· Educational and income inequities reinforced through migration
· Worker training and economic development to retain high skill workers
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Opportunities
• Education is the key to economic well-being
• The valley has a youthful population
• Programs and policies that affect youth are most promising
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The People of the San Joaquin Valley
Hans JohnsonPublic Policy Institute of California
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Population Projections for the San Joaquin Valley
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
Northern San Joaquin Valley
Central and Southern San Joaquin Valley
Northern San Joaquin Valley 1,221,149 1,583,915 2,004,134 2,412,236 2,829,439Central and Southern San JoaquinValley
2,081,643 2,512,696 2,977,232 3,506,419 4,069,252
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
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Poverty rate, 2005
Very High (20+)High (15-19.9)Moderate (10-14.9)Low (<10)