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BERGAMO, MAY 24th 2017 THE OIL & GAS VALVE INDUSTRY IN ITALY BUSINESS STRUCTURE AND COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

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BERGAMO, MAY 24th 2017

THE OIL & GAS VALVE

INDUSTRY IN ITALYBUSINESS STRUCTURE

AND COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 2

Business structure

Italy’s role in the European oil & gas valve industry

The Italian firms’ performance

International trade and Italy’s export performance

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 3

The Italian industry of tapes and valves

A core sector of Made in Italy IM&E industry (2015)

1 352(5.8%)

8.4(7.6%)

30 480(7.2%)

303 3.5 11 292

704 3.7 13 962

345 1.2 5 226

Other industrial valves*

Household taps

Oil & Gas valves

Number of

enterprises

Number of

employees

Production value

(€ billion)

TAPES AND VALVES

(% share of Machinery and

Equipment industry)

* Hydraulic valves, valves for food & beverage industry,

valves for pharmaceutical industry, etc.

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 4

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy

Main Italian production areas and companies size

The main Italian production areas (% share over

total) and number of enterprises with turnover

>50 € mln (marked in red)

PAVIA

21%;2

BERGAMO

12% ; 4

PIACENZA

11%; 2

VARESE

10%; 1

BRESCIA

4%; 1

LECCO

7% ; 2

Nearly 90% of the Italian production

is concentrated within a 100 km

radius around Bergamo

MONZA-B.

5%; 2

Total turnover by firm (€ million)

MILANO

18% ; 2

MACHINERY AND

EQUIPMENT

6,3

Oil & gas valves

11,7

Other industrial valves

5,3

Household taps

3,5

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on ISTAT data and Companies balance sheets

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 5

Business structure

Italy’s role in the European oil & gas valve industry

The Italian firms’ performance

International trade and Italy’s export performance

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 6

Oil & gas valve industry in Europe

Italy is the European leading manufacturer of oil & gas valves

3134

2472

13811207

432

1875

1624

478

787

279

2015 2006

Italy Germany UK France Spain

The main European production countries: sold production value*

(€ million)

Source: Prometeia’s

calculation on Eurostat

data (PRODCOM)

* Production value generated at

national production plants

Italy is the largest oil

and gas valves

producing country in

Europe

3.1 over a total of 3.5

billions invoiced by

Italian companies are

generated at national

production plants

EU 28:

9985 ; 6126

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 7

4%

6%

7%

7%

4%

6%

4%

52%

8%

3%

9%

12%

2%

2%

3%

27%

4%

11%

30%

12%

9%

18%

34%

21%

15%

13%

4%

8%

8%

9%

46%

14%

69%

37%

41%

42%

Spain

France

UK

Germany

Italy

EU 28

Check valves Gate valves of steel

Globe valves of steel Ball and plug valves

Butterfly valves Parts for taps, cocks and valves

Specialization by product

Italy’s specialization is the highest in ball and plug valves

Sold production value by product (%)

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on Eurostat data (PRODCOM)

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 8

One out of two ball valves produced in EU is Made in Italy

Italian share on EU production and competitors by product

Ball and plug

valves

1 056 mln €

50% 143 mln €

7%

455 mln €

22%

626 mln €

52% 110 mln €

9%

289 mln €

24%

Gate valves

657 mln €

61% 102 mln €

10%

139 mln €

13%

Globe valves

Butterfly valves

261 mln €

30% 160 mln €

19%

201 mln €

23%

Check

valves

170 mln €

30% 102 mln €

18%

110 mln €

19%

1 278 mln €

31% 914 mln €

22%

947 mln €

23%

Parts for tap,

cocks, and

valves

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on Eurostat data (PRODCOM)

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 9

Business structure

Italy’s role in the European oil & gas valve industry

The Italian firms’ performance

International trade and Italy’s export performance

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 10

The growth of Italian companies of oil & gas valves

A far more dynamic growth pattern than the IM&E Italian industry...

Production value of Italian companies of oil & gas valves

(index 2001=100)

Source: oil & gas valves: Prometeia’s calculation on balance sheet of a sample of 96 firms for a production value of 3.1 € billion in

2015, IM&E: Prometeia, Analisi dei settori industriali

50

100

150

200

250

300

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

2001-’08 2009-’13 2014-’15

+150%

+47%

Oil & Gas

Valves

IM&E

+23%

+21%

-6%

+4%

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 11

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Growth and Brent price

…tied to the oil price dynamics

Production value and EBITDA of Italian companies of oil & gas valves

(index 2001=100) and brent price (€/b)

Production value

(left-hand scale)

EBITDA

(left-hand scale)

Brent (€/b)

(right-hand

scale)

Source: Oil & gas valves: Prometeia’s calculation on balance sheet of a sample of 96 firms for a production value of 3.1 € billion in

2015, IM&E: ; Brent: Prometeia, Analisi e previsioni dei prezzi delle commodity

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 12

Profitability and investments

Double-digit EBITDA and high propensity to invest

EBITDA (% share of the production value Fixed capital investments: C.A.G.R.

the Italian oil & gas valve industry shines as for profitability, even though

the 2015 Brent price collapse has had a relevant impact on margins

Source: oil & gas valves: Prometeia’s calculation on balance sheet of a sample of 96 firms for a production value of 3.1 € billion in

2015, IM&E: Prometeia, Analisi dei settori industriali

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

11.6

14.4

18.220.4

16.6

8.2 8.5 8.7 9.3 9.7

oil & gas valves IM&E

2006-'10 2011-'15

9.9

11.9

8.3

0.8

oil & gas valves IM&E

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 13

The district effects

Better results on average compared to other areas in Italy

EBITDA (% share of the production value)Total turnover (index 2001=100)

In the last years, district companies (within a 60-mile radius from Bergamo)

have shown a more dynamic growth profile than the average of the other

areas and a structurally higher EBITDA.

Even in a challenging year as 2015, district companies have shown better

performance both in terms of turnover and profitability.

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on balance sheet of a sample of 96 firms for a production value of 3.1 € billion in 2015,

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

district companies

other areascompanies

10.3

13.5

19.5

23.3

20.0

13.0

15.1

17.318.2

13.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

district companies

other areas companies

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 14

Business structure

Italy’s role in the European oil & gas valve industry

The Italian firms’ performance

International trade and Italy’s export performance

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 15

Oil & gas valve international trade

World imports and Italy’s share

World imports 2016

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on ITC data

€ 25.5 billions

World imports (2007=100) and Italy’s share (%)

14.115.3 15.6

11.2 11.0 11.6 12.1 11.6 11.5 11.5

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Italy's share (right scale)

World imports (left scale)

2016

-8%2000-2015

+75%

Italian exports 2016

€ 2.9 billions

3rd world

exporter

behind

China and

Germany

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 16

2.3%3.0%

6.4%

-8.0%

6.5%

-0.6%

4.9%

-7.9%

2013 2014 2015 2016

World importsItalian exports

World imports and Italian exports

Recent results: 4 years of ups and downs for the Italian export

World imports and Italian exports of oil & gas industrial valves (% change on euro data)

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on ITC data

‘’monetary illusion’’:

if calculated on data in

dollars, it would be:

-12.3%-11.0%

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 17

International trade map 2013-’16

A two-speed Europe, Italy grows in NAFTA

Eastern Europe

(5%; 5%)Western Europe

(25%; 26%)

World imports value (CAGR 2013-’16)

Italian exports value (CAGR 2013-’16)

MENA

(12%; 24%) Asia (26%; 18%)South America

(3%; 2%)

NAFTA (21%; 14%)

Oceania & Africa

Subs. (4%; 3%)

-2.2-11.1

1.9

-0.9

1.1

-0.4

4.5 6.9

-2.9

16.3

1.6

-1.2

-0.1

6.5

-2.8

3.0

In brackets, the share

of the area on world

imports and on Italian

exports in 2016

WORLD

0.8 0.6The arrows represent

the contribution of the

area to the overall

growth of Italian

exports

Other European Countries

(including Russia & Turkey

(5%; 6%)

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 18

8.5

8.8

10.1

11.8

12.5

14.3

17.1

20.3

29.9

71.4

-8.9

0.3

28.9

-1.1

2.5

1.2

14.2

3.9

10.7

21.4

Russia (3.0)

United States (11.7)

Azerbaijan (1.1)

Brazil (1.5)

Netherlands2.2)

Saudi Arabia (7.8)

Iraq (1.8)

Kazakhstan (1.9)

Turkey (2.1)

Oman (3.2)

Worldimports

Italianexports -1.0

-2.3

-3.5

-4.1

-5.9

-6.1

-6.4

-10.7

-14.9

-19.0

1.2

0.7

-0.3

-7.0

-7.2

-1.1

2.7

-1.0

6.0

-5.7

India (1.0)

South Korea (3.9)

Thailand (1.3)

Canada (1.5)

Norway (2.8)

UK (3.0)

Spain (1.8)

United Arab Em.(4.9)

Kuwait (1.1)

Australia (1.2)

Worldimports

Italianexports

Best and worst performing markets

Significant growth in the Middle East… but not in every market

The markets listed in the two charts (sorted by the growth rate of Italian exports) account for 59% of Italian exports in 2016 and 48% of

world imports.

Italian exports and World imports in the main markets for Italy: CAGR 2013-’16; in brackets, the

share of market on Italian exports in 2016

Best performing markets Worst performing markets

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on ITC data

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 19

Italy’s and its competitors’ performance

The rise of China challenge the western producers… but Italy

Export growth and world market shares by world leading exporters

EX

PO

RT

C.A

.G.R

20

13

-16

5%

La dimensione della

bolla rappresenta la

quota sul commercio

mondiale di valvole per

oil & gas nel 2016

Source: Prometeia’s calculation on ITC data

China

GermanyItaly

United States

South Korea

JapanUnited

Kingdom

France

India

Canada

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

-2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0

25.2

11.711.57.8

4.6

4.03.9

3.1

3.1

3.2

ABSOLUTE CHANGES IN MARKET SHARES OF WORLD EXPORTS (2013-’16)

5%The size of the bubbles

represents the share of

oil and gas valve world

exports in 2016

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 20

Italian positioning by region

Italy leads in the MENA and is well positioned in Europe

Eastern

Europe

South America

Oceania e Africa

Subs.

MENA

22.8 21.6

10.1

Other European Countries

(including Russia & Turkey)

26.9

16.212.5

33.2

20.4

9.7

Western

Europe

19.7 18.212.3

28.4

9.5 9.1 7.7

Asia

27.6

13.2 12.3

31.1

14.510.2 7.7

NAFTA

33.3

11.98.9

Source: Prometeia’s

calculation on ITC data

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 21

The potential of Italian exports

1.2 billion higher in 4 years without export gap

Difference between Italian exports growth and world

imports growth in top-20 world markets (2013-’16); in

brackets the share on world imports

-30.0 -10.0 10.0 30.0

MEXICO (2.7)

UNITED KINGDOM (3.1)

SOUTH KOREA (2.8)

INDONESIA (1.3)

POLAND (1.4)

SINGAPORE (2.1)

THAILAND (1.5)

MALAYSIA (1.6)

INDIA (1.8)

UNITED ARAB EM. (2.9)

FRANCE (2.8)

GERMANY (5.1)

CHINA (6.4)

CANADA (2.5)

SPAIN (1.8)

NETHERLANDS (2.2)

UNITED STATES (15.4)

SAUDI ARABIA (2.7)

RUSSIA (2.3)

TURKEY (1.4)

In the last four years, Italian

exports underperformed with

respect to the total import

growth in 13 out of 20 main

valves import markets.

Without this export gap, Italian

foreign turnover would have

been € 300 million higher each

year.

top-20 markets share on

world imports

64%

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 22

Contacts

[email protected]

Mobile 3351436883

Phone 0516480911

Department Strategie Industriali Territoriali

Location Bologna

Giuseppe Schirone

Manager

[email protected]

Mobile 3442760227

Phone 0516480911

Department Strategie Industriali Territoriali

Location Bologna

Giampaolo Morittu

Senior economist

[email protected]

Phone 035275284

Location Bergamo

Massimo Longhi

Resp. Studi e Internazionalizzazione

Prometeia

Confindustria Bergamo

[email protected]

Phone 035275381

Location Bergamo

Luca Pandolfi

Project Manager

IVS

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 23

Any partial or total reproduction of its content is prohibited without written consent

by Prometeia.

Copyright © 2017 Prometeia / Confindustria Bergamo

The oil & gas valves industry in Italy – Business structure and competitive positioning - 24

Prometeia

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[email protected]

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