The National Adaptation Strategy in Poland

– NAS 2020

Szymon Tumielewicz

Deputy Director, Sustainable Development Department

Ministry of the Environment, Poland

Document purpose

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Response to the European Commission’s White Paper

Strengthening the pillar of ADAPTATION within climate policy in Poland

Reducing vulnerability to climate change

Ensuring sustainable socio-economic development

Stimulating innovation

Climate policy m

itig

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ad

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Concept of the NAS 2020

KLIMADA

directions for adaptation in 2070 perspective

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NAS 2020 has been drawn up by the Ministry of the Environment on the basis of analyses carried out by the Institute of Environmental Protection – National Research Institute within the framework of the project entitled “Development and implementation of the Polish National Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change – KLIMADA”, implemented on behalf of MŚ in the years 2011-2013 financed by National Fund for Environmental Protection and Water Management.

Outcome:

climate change scenarios for Poland

vulnerable sectors

adaptation instruments

preliminary cost estimation

NAS 2020 content

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Vulnerable sectors

Climate change scenarios

Goals and actions in sectors: water management, agriculture and forestry, biodiversity (including NATURA 2000), health, energy, buildings, spatial management, urban areas, transport, mountain areas, coastal zone.

actors responsible for implementation

indicators for monitoring and evaluation

financial framework

executive phase

preliminarily-analytical

phase

Main goals

Ensuring energy security and good state of the environment

Effective adaptation to climate change in rural areas

Development of transportation in terms of climate change

Ensuring sustainable local and regional development

in terms of climate change

Stimulating innovations conducive to adaptation to climate

change

Development of social attitudes conducive to adaptation to

climate change

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Main goal of the NAS 2020 is to provide sustainable

development and efficient functioning of the

economy and society in terms of climate change.

Strategy for Development of the National Security System

Efficient State Strategy

Energy Security and the Environment

Transport Development Strategy

Human Capital Development Strategy

Social Capital Development Strategy

Medium-term National Development Strategy 2020

Long-term National Development Strategy 2030

National Strategy of Regional Development

National Spatial Development Concept 2030

Strategy for Sustainable Development of Rural Areas,

Agriculture and Fisheries

Strategy for Innovation and Efficiency of the Economy

NAS 2020 and Poland’s development

management system

National Adaptation

Strategy

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Links between NAS 2020 and

integrated strategies

Goals of NAS 2020 Corresponding strategies

Goal 1. Ensuring energy security and good state of the environment

Energy Safety and Environment

Goal 2. Effective adaptation to climate change in rural areas

Sustainable Development of Rural Areas and Agriculture Strategy

Goal 3. Development of transportation in terms of climate change

Transport Development Strategy

Goal 4. Ensuring sustainable local and regional development in terms of climate change

Regional Development Country Strategy

Goal 5. Stimulating innovations conducive to adaptation to climate change

Innovation and Efficiency of Economy Strategy

Goal 6. Development of social attitudes conducive to adaptation to climate change

Human Capital Development Strategy

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Water management

- Floods

- Water scaricity

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ADAPTATION

Energy Safety and Environment Strategy NAS 2020

Water management for protection against

floods, drought and water scarcity.

Reform of the water management structures

including climate adaptation

Development and implementation of methods for

the assessment of flood risk and the risk of

flooding.

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Climate change

- increase in the intensity of extreme weather events

Vistula River 2010

Water levels in rivers (10.06.2010)

Over alarming condition

Over warning condition

High

Average

Low

Water levels:

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Climate change - increase in the intensity of extreme weather events

Vistula River 2012

Over alarming condition

Over warning condition

High

Average

Low

Water levels:

Water levels in rivers (13.09.2012)

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Coastal zone

and the maritime economy

- Rise of the sea level

- Increase in the frequency and

intensity of extreme events (intensity

and duration of storms, erosion of

shores)

ADAPTATION

Energy Safety and Environment Strategy NAS 2020

Water management for protection against

floods, drought and water shortages.

Taking into account the current and potential sea

level rise and flood risk in investment plans in the

coastal zone and coastal waters.

Strengthening and development of permanent

monitoring of the state of seashores and the

coastal zone.

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Agriculture and rural areas

- Floods, droughts, strong winds

- The variability of yield

- The development of pest

ADAPTATION

Sustainable Development of Rural Areas and

Agriculture Strategy

NAS 2020

Adaptation of agriculture and fisheries to climate

change and their participation in counteracting

these changes

Development of monitoring and early warning of

possible effects of climate change on plant and

animal production.

Support farming investments and technology

consulting to address issues of adaptation of

rural construction and agricultural production

increased risk of climate change.

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Energy supply

- Strong winds and extremes of

weather

- Icing power transmission lines

- Shortages of water (for cooling)

ADAPTATION

Energy Safety and Environment Strategy NAS 2020

Modernisation of the power industry, including

the preparations for the introduction of nuclear

power

Preparation of the energy system to the

condition changes, taking into account the peak

of winter and summer energy demand.

Providing emergency energy sources and

transmission in cases where the use of primary

sources is not possible.

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Biodiversity

- Migration of new invasive species

- Changes in the hydrological regime

- The intensification of erosion

ADAPTATION

Energy Safety and Environment Strategy NAS 2020

Biodiversity preservation Including multifunctiual

of forestry management

Preparation of the strategies and protection

plans dedicated to the nature conservation in

terms of climate changes

The introduction of instruments to protect the

agriculture, forestry and soil resources with high

production value.

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Transportation

- Extreme events

- Temporary weather changes

- Higher water levels

ADAPTATION

Transport Development Strategy NAS 2020

New integrated transport system Taking into account changening climate

conditions during the process of design and

construction of transport infrastructure.

Creating the conditions for the smooth

functioning of the transport markets and the

development of efficient transport systems

Setting up the permanent monitoring for

vulnerable to the climate change elements of

construction and transport infrastructure and

early warning system for technical services.

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Urban areas and spatial planning

- Urban heat island, thermal contrasts

- Floods

- Torrential rains and flooding

- Water deficit

ADAPTATION

Urban Policy NAS 2020

Supporting sustainable urban development

including the prevention of negative

phenomena of suburbanization.

Effective spatial planning taking into account the

climate risks

Comprehensive plans for adaptation to the climate

change in cities over 100 thousand. residents

Odbudowa Rebuilding capacity for

development through revitalization of

degraded socially, economically and

physically urban areas.

Expansion of green areas and water, revitalization

Efficient management of rainwater

Mainstreaming of climate change

adaptation in PL

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Climate change scenarios

Vulnerable sectors

General goals and directions for

measures

Actors involved

Sectoral strategies and

plans

Sectoral programs (i.e.

OP’s)

Legislation

Climate adaptation

standards (i.e. climate

resilient infrastructure)

Regional strategies and

plans

Regional programs (i.e.

ROP’s)

Local vulnerability

assessment followed by

adaptation plans (incl.

cities)

Exchange of information and

knowledge base – KLIMADA

PORTAL

Mainstreaming adaptation

through existing fora and tools

within Poland’s development

management system

Guidelines for climate resilient

investments (based on the EC

Non – paper)

NAS 2020

Ministry of The Environment

„soft” coordination

Sectoral strategies and

plans

Sectoral programs (i.e.

OP’s)

Legislation

Climate adaptation

standards (i.e. climate

resilient infrastructure)

Regional strategies and

plans

Regional programs (i.e.

ROP’s)

Local vulnerability

assessment followed by

adaptation plans (incl.

cities)

Cooperation with Ministry of Infrastructure and Development -

NFP 2014-2020 programing

Guidelines for ROP’s 2014-2020

Financing adaptation (national/regional funds for

environmental protection and water management)

Ministry of the Environment

Regional / local level National level - sectors

Financing adaptation actions

Due to the horizontal and interdisciplinary nature of adaptation, the costs of

adaptation can not be precise and reliable estimated. In NAS 2020 are

estimated only the costs of inaction.

NAS 2020 provides a framework for adaptation policy in Poland.

Implementation of specific projects will be at local and regional level and at

this level all costs will be planned

The probable consequence of not taking action adaptation may be a loss of:

Years Loss

(mld zl)

Loss

(% GDP)

2001-2010* 54 0.50%

2011-2020 86 0.49%

2021-2030 120 0.52%

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* the sum of the actual

losses

Further actions

Regional/local contact points – Informal task teams.

Project: Guidelines for developing local adaptation policies.

Project: Impact assessment of present and future climate change on the

Polish coastal zone and the Baltic Sea ecosystem.

Informational and promotional matrials: General adaptation brochure and

set of themed inforgraphics.

Conference for the cities: Implementing adaptation (European Commission

initiative on adaptation - Milieu)

Monitoring and evaluation: Developing indicators for monitoring adaptation

process on national, regional and local level.

Klimada website: Tool for visualization and presentation of the monitoring

results.

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Website

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https://klimada.mos.gov.pl

Knowledge exchange

plartform

Source of information

Regions characteristic

Sectors description