the long island hispanic population—mapping … romalewski, director, ... salonga fire island...

The Long Island Hispanic Population—Mapping Nativity and Voter-Eligibility

Center for Urban ResearchSteve Romalewski, Director, CUNY Mapping ServiceLee Hachadoorian, Spatial Analyst

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Background

Horace Hagedorn Foundation sought a better understanding of the demographics of Hispanics on Long Island

Improve grantmakingAssist voter mobilization

Previous work by Rob Paral allocating large-area population to smaller geographical units


Background (cont.)

Long Island’s largest sources of legal Hispanic immigration are (a/o 2005)

El SalvadorDominican RepublicColombiaEcuadorPerúGuatemala

Source: Dept of Homeland Security Profiles on Legal Permanent Residents


Data ChallengesSmall-area data is now eight years old (US Census 2000) American Community Survey provides data from 2006 for ~100,000 person units called Public Use Microdata AreasStatistical variation in PUMA-level ACS data makes it unreliable for narrowly defined subpopulations (e.g. specific racial/ethnic categories)PUMAs do not correlate to geographies of interest such as legislative districts


Conflicting Geographies


Census Tables of Interest

Source YearTable

Number Table NameSmallest

Geography

SF1 2000 P11 Hispanic or Latino Block

SF1 2000 PCT11 Hispanic or Latino by Specific Origin Tract

SF3 2000 PCT63HPlace of Birth by Citizenship Status (Hispanic or Latino) Tract

ACS 2005/06 B/C03001Hispanic or Latino Origin by Specific Origin PUMA

ACS 2005/06 B05003ISex by Age by Citizenship Status (Hispanic or Latino) PUMA

ACS 2005/06 B06004IPlace of Birth by Race (Hispanic or Latino) PUMA


Voter Eligibility at the Tract Level

Under 18 18 and Over

30% 70%

60%

40%

Citizen 18% 42%

Non-Citizen 12% 28%

Age

Citizenship

40%

60%

70%30%

Non-Citizen

Citizen

18 and OverUnder 18Age

Citizenship


Dealing with Statistical Anomalies

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

North Hempstead Pop Est

4201 ACS Total Pop

4204 ACS Total Pop

4201 Hisp Pop

4204 Hisp Pop


Allocating Population to Census Tracts

Assume 2005/06 follows 2000 patterns within each PUMAThus, if the number of foreign-born Hispanics in the PUMA grows by 50%, every tract within it also grows by 50%

10%1000 1500

100 150


Allocating Population to Census Blocks

Legislative boundaries cross Census Tracts Assume foreign/native-born pattern follows pattern of total Hispanic population within each TractNot a bad assumption because many Census Blocks have zero population (parks, transportation rights-of-way)


Aggregate to Legislative Geography

Legislative GeographiesNew York State Assembly DistrictsNew York State Senate DistrictsNassau and Suffolk County Legislative Districts

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Alexander Av

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Long IslandSound

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East

Bay

SouthOyster Bay

HeckscherState Park

BethpageState Park

Jones BeachState Park

ConnetquotRiver State Park

Sunken MeadowState Park

CaumsettState Park

Robert MosesState ParkWoodsburgh

Woodmere

Woodbury

WillistonPark

WestHempstead

Westbury

Wantagh

ValleyStream

UpperBrookville

University Gardens

Uniondale

Thomaston

Syosset

StewartManor

SouthValley

Stream

SouthHempstead

SouthFloral Park

Searingtown

Seaford

SeaCliff

SandsPoint

Salisbury

SaddleRock

RoslynHeights

RoslynHarbor

RoslynEstates

Roslyn

RooseveltRockvilleCentre

PortWashington

North

PortWashington

PointLookout

PlandomeManor

PlandomeHeights

Plandome

Plainview

Plainedge

OysterBay Cove

OysterBay

OldWestbury

OldBrookville

OldBethpage

Oceanside

North Wantagh

North ValleyStream

NorthMerrick

NorthMassapequa

NorthHills

NorthBellmore

NewHydePark

NewCassel

Muttontown

MunseyPark

Mineola

MillNeck

Merrick

Matinecock

Massapequa

Manorhaven

ManhassetHills

Manhasset

MalverneParkOaks

Malverne

Lynbrook

LongBeach

LocustValley

LidoBeach

Levittown

Lawrence

LaurelHollow

Lattingtown

Lakeview

LakeSuccess

KingsPoint

KensingtonJericho

Island Park

Hicksville

HewlettNeck

HewlettHarbor

HewlettBayPark

Hewlett

Herricks

Hempstead

HarborIsle

HarborHills

Greenvale

Great NeckEstates

GreatNeck

GlenwoodLanding

GlenHead

GlenCove

GardenCity

South

GardenCityPark

GardenCity

Freeport

FranklinSquare

FlowerHill

FloralPark

Farmingdale

Elmont

EastWilliston

EastRockaway

EastNorwich

EastMeadow

EastMassapequa

EastHills

EastGarden

City

EastAtlanticBeach

CoveNeck

CentreIsland

Cedarhurst

CarlePlace

Brookville

Bethpage

Bellmore

BelleroseTerrace

Bellerose

Bayville

Bay Park

BaxterEstates

BarnumIsland

BaldwinHarbor

Baldwin

AtlanticBeach

Albertson

Wyandanch

Wheatley Heights

WestSayville

WestIslip

WestHills

West BayShore

WestBabylon

Village ofthe Branch

Terryville

StonyBrook

SouthHuntington

Smithtown

Setauket-East

Setauket

Selden

Sayville

Saltaire

St.James

Ronkonkoma

PortJeffersonStation

PortJefferson

Poquott

Patchogue

OldField

OceanBeach

Oakdale

Northport

NorthPatchogue

NorthLindenhurst

NorthGreatRiver

North BayShore

NorthBabylon

NorthAmityville

Nissequogue

Nesconset

MountSinai

MillerPlace

Melville

LloydHarbor

Lindenhurst

LakeRonkonkoma

LakeGrove

KingsPark

IslipTerrace

Islip

Islandia

HuntingtonStation

HuntingtonBay

Huntington

Holtsville

Holbrook

Headof the

Harbor

Hauppauge

Halesite

Greenlawn

GreatRiver

Gilgo-Oak Beach-

Captree

FortSalonga

FireIsland

FarmingvilleElwood

EatonsNeck

EastNorthport

EastIslip

EastFarmingdale

DixHills

DeerPark

Coram

Copiague

CommackCold

SpringHarbor

CentralIslip

Centerport

Centereach

Brightwaters

Brentwood

Bohemia

BluePoint

BelleTerre

Baywood

BayShore

Bayport

Babylon

Asharoken

State parkways

Local main roads

! LIRR stations

LIRR

Nassau-Suffolk border

Town/City boundaries

College campuses

Major parks/open space

NYS facilities

Federal facilities

Reference Map: Nassau and western Suffolk Counties

Cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 20070 42 Miles´

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GreatSouth Bay

NapeagueBay

Shinnecock Bay

BlockIsland Sound

Long IslandSound

AtlanticOcean

GreatPeconic Bay

LittlePeconic Bay

WildwoodState Park

Hither HillsState Park

Montauk PointState Park

Yaphank

WestSayville

WestHampton

Dunes

WesthamptonBeach

Westhampton

Watermill

Wainscott

WadingRiver

TuckahoeTerryville

StonyBrook

Springs

Southold

Southampton

SoundBeach Shoreham

Shirley

ShinnecockHills

ShelterIsland

Heights

Shelter Island

Setauket-East

Setauket

Selden

Sayville

St.James

Sag Harbor

Sagaponack

Ronkonkoma

RockyPoint

Riverside

Riverhead

Ridge

Remsenburg-Speonk

QuogueQuioque

Port JeffersonStation

PortJefferson

Poquott

Peconic

Patchogue

Orient

OldField

Oakdale

Noyack

NorthwestHarbor

Northville

NorthSea

NorthPatchogue

NorthHaven

NorthGreatRiver

NorthBellport

Northampton

NewSuffolk

Nesconset

Napeague

MountSinai

Moriches

Montauk

MillerPlace

MiddleIsland

Medford

Mattituck

MasticBeach

Mastic

Manorville

Laurel

LakeRonkonkoma

LakeGrove

Jamesport

Holtsville

Holbrook

Headof the

Harbor HamptonBays

GreenportWest

Greenport

GreatRiver

GordonHeights

Flanders

FishersIsland

Fire Island

Farmingville

EastShoreham

EastQuogue

Eastport

EastPatchogue

EastMoriches

EastMarion

EastHampton

NorthEast

Hampton

Dering Harbor

Cutchogue

Coram

CenterMoriches

Centereach

Calverton

Brookhaven

Bridgehampton

Bohemia

BluePoint

Bellport

BelleTerre

Bayport

Baiting Hollow

Aquebogue

Amagansett

State parkways

Local main roads

! LIRR stations

LIRR

Nassau-Suffolk border

Town/City boundaries

College campuses

Major parks/open space

NYS facilities

Federal facilities

Reference Map: eastern Suffolk County

Cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 20070 73.5 Miles´

1

3

5

4

2

8

7

9

6 Islip

Brookhaven

Southampton

Hempstead

Oyster Bay

Huntington

Southold

Babylon

Riverhead

East Hampton

Smithtown

North Hempstead

Shelter Island

Glen Cove

Long Beach

NYS Senate DistrictForeign Born Hispanic Population

6,380 - 12,000 persons

12,860

18,514

20,181 - 28,000

> 28,000

Foreign Born Hispanics by New York State Senate District (2005-06 Estimate)

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Senate District

Total Hispanics

Native Born

Foreign Born

1 31,249 18,390 12,8602 18,276 11,896 6,3803 61,997 36,229 25,7674 50,008 29,653 20,3555 24,548 13,353 11,1956 42,361 20,047 22,3137 36,789 16,608 20,1818 39,705 18,975 20,7309 39,647 21,133 18,514

1

3

5

4

2

8

7

9

6 Islip

Brookhaven

Southampton

Hempstead

Oyster Bay

Huntington

Southold

Babylon

Riverhead

East Hampton

Smithtown

North Hempstead

Shelter Island

Glen Cove

Long Beach

NYS Senate DistrictHispanic Citizens 18 and Over

8,555 - 12,000 persons

12,001 - 16,000

16,001 - 22,000

22,001 - 28,000

> 28,000

Hispanics Eligible to Vote by New York State Senate District (2005-06 Estimate)


Senate District

Total Hispanics

Eligible Voters

1 31,249 11,6462 18,276 8,9503 61,997 26,6584 50,008 22,5165 24,548 8,5556 42,361 15,6137 36,789 15,1768 39,705 15,5469 39,647 19,970

2

1

3

5

8

79

4

1013

15

616

19

11

20

12

2117

1418

Islip

Brookhaven

Southampton

Hempstead

Oyster Bay

Huntington

Southold

Babylon

Riverhead

East Hampton

Smithtown

North Hempstead

Shelter Island

Glen Cove

Long Beach

NYS Assembly DistrictForeign Born Hispanic Population

1,194 - 3,000 persons

3,001 - 6,000

6,001 - 9,000

9,001 - 12,000

12,001 - 30,071

Foreign Born Hispanics by New York State Assembly District (2005-06 Estimate)


Assembly District

Total Hispanics

Native Born

Foreign Born

1 9,534 6,730 2,8042 17,191 9,326 7,8663 18,212 11,152 7,0614 11,427 6,509 4,9185 9,671 7,271 2,4006 63,776 33,706 30,0717 5,484 4,289 1,1948 10,060 7,263 2,7989 7,343 4,946 2,39810 14,785 8,030 6,75511 22,243 11,664 10,57912 7,729 4,801 2,92813 9,722 4,402 5,31914 20,788 10,975 9,81315 16,778 8,030 8,74716 8,592 4,016 4,57617 10,430 5,280 5,15018 34,425 13,126 21,29919 13,320 7,202 6,11820 12,797 6,831 5,96621 20,272 10,736 9,536

2

1

3

5

8

79

4

1013

15

616

19

11

20

12

2117

1418

Islip

Brookhaven

Southampton

Hempstead

Oyster Bay

Huntington

Southold

Babylon

Riverhead

East Hampton

Smithtown

North Hempstead

Shelter Island

Glen Cove

Long Beach

NYS Assembly DistrictHispanic Citizens 18 and Over

< 3,000 persons

3,001 - 6,000

6,001 - 9,000

9,001 - 12,000

25,711

Hispanics Eligible to Vote by New York State Assembly District (2005-06 Estimate)


Assembly District

Total Hispanics

Eligible Voters

1 9,534 4,1462 17,191 5,6533 18,212 7,7584 11,427 4,9535 9,671 5,3546 63,776 25,7117 5,484 3,3648 10,060 5,3539 7,343 3,41610 14,785 5,20911 22,243 9,23612 7,729 4,29213 9,722 3,45114 20,788 10,16615 16,778 6,02016 8,592 3,80117 10,430 4,89718 34,425 9,82319 13,320 5,75120 12,797 6,46321 20,272 9,813

21

7

3

6

11

5

8

19

184

13

7

14

18

1616

10

9

12

17

2

4

11

158

10

5

9

613

1417

12

1513

Islip

Brookhaven

Southampton

Hempstead

Oyster Bay

Huntington

Southold

Babylon

Riverhead

East Hampton

Smithtown

North Hempstead

Shelter Island

Glen Cove

Long Beach

CountyLegislativeDistrictsForeign Born Hispanic Population

620 - 2,000 persons

2,001 - 4,000

4,001 - 6,000

6,001 - 10,000

10,001 - 21,065

Foreign Born Hispanics by County Legislative District (2005-06 Estimate)


NOTE: District numbers are unique within a county only. Each county numbers districts beginning with District 1.

Nassau County

Legislative District

Total Hispanics

Native Born

Foreign Born

Suffolk County


Total Hispanics

Native Born

Foreign Born

1 13,931 5,921 8,010 1 6,094 3,915 2,1792 24,266 7,725 16,541 2 10,594 4,664 5,9303 14,270 7,568 6,702 3 11,204 8,212 2,9934 7,632 4,386 3,246 4 7,752 4,287 3,4665 13,229 6,252 6,977 5 6,585 3,883 2,7026 10,521 5,441 5,080 6 5,046 3,768 1,2787 6,588 3,188 3,399 7 11,453 6,389 5,0638 6,958 3,918 3,040 8 5,058 4,206 8529 7,346 3,257 4,089 9 43,218 22,152 21,06510 3,499 1,791 1,708 10 11,692 7,756 3,93611 5,104 2,365 2,740 11 17,285 9,833 7,45312 2,182 1,562 620 12 3,912 2,927 98513 7,403 4,097 3,305 13 2,878 2,226 65214 5,201 3,026 2,175 14 7,424 4,871 2,55315 6,259 4,039 2,220 15 16,907 8,330 8,57716 1,824 1,149 675 16 4,871 3,166 1,70517 6,377 3,951 2,426 17 9,271 5,541 3,73018 6,361 2,966 3,395 18 6,372 3,625 2,74819 7,386 3,542 3,844

21

7

3

6

11

5

8

19

184

13

7

14

18

1616

10

9

12

17

2

4

11

158

10

5

9

613

1417

12

1513

Islip

Brookhaven

Southampton

Hempstead

Oyster Bay

Huntington

Southold

Babylon

Riverhead

East Hampton

Smithtown

North Hempstead

Shelter Island

Glen Cove

Long Beach

CountyLegislativeDistrictsHispanic Citizens 18 and Over

749 - 2,000 persons

2,001 - 4,000

4,001 - 6,000

6,001 - 10,000

17,160

Hispanics Eligible to Vote by County Legislative District (2005-06 Estimate)


NOTE: District numbers are unique within a county only. Each county numbers districts beginning with District 1.

Nassau County


Total Hispanics

Eligible Voters

Suffolk County


Total Hispanics

Eligible Voters

1 13,931 4,348 1 6,094 2,2502 24,266 6,201 2 10,594 2,7403 14,270 6,926 3 11,204 5,3584 7,632 4,034 4 7,752 3,1415 13,229 5,239 5 6,585 3,0136 10,521 5,238 6 5,046 2,6007 6,588 3,071 7 11,453 4,4248 6,958 3,581 8 5,058 3,0819 7,346 3,271 9 43,218 17,16010 3,499 1,644 10 11,692 5,48511 5,104 2,274 11 17,285 7,27912 2,182 1,562 12 3,912 2,21213 7,403 3,551 13 2,878 1,79414 5,201 2,689 14 7,424 4,23015 6,259 3,077 15 16,907 6,29816 1,824 749 16 4,871 2,22617 6,377 2,215 17 9,271 3,75618 6,361 2,520 18 6,372 2,15019 7,386 2,911

Dix Hills

Melville

Islip

Commack

Smithtown

Bohemia

Hauppauge

Brentwood

Holbrook

Hicksville

Levittown

Sayville

Holtsville

Lloyd Harbor

Fort Salonga

HuntingtonCentereach

Coram

Selden

Elwood

Glen Cove

Ronkonkoma

West Islip

Old Westbury

Syosset

Deer Park

Central IslipPlainview

Merrick

Kings Park

West Babylon

Freeport

Jericho

Muttontown

Bay Shore

West HillsWoodbury

Elmont

Bayport

Oceanside

East Meadow

East Islip

St. James

Garden City

Wantagh

Brookville

East Northport

Oakdale

Great River

Bethpage

Farmingville

Wyandanch

Terryville

NesconsetSands Point

Copiague

Lattingtown

Hempstead

Lindenhurst

Babylon

Kings Point

Huntington Station

Islandia

Valley Stream

Woodmere

Mineola

Inwood

Lynbrook

Salisbury

Long Beach Lido Beach

Foreign Born Hispanic Population3 - 180 persons

181 - 420

421 - 750

751 - 1,320

1,321 - 4,253

0


Foreign Born Hispanics by Census Tract in Nassau County and Western Suffolk County (2005-06 Estimate)

Major villages labelled by name

Dix Hills

Melville

Islip

Commack

Smithtown

Bohemia

Hauppauge

Brentwood

Holbrook

Hicksville

Levittown

Sayville

Holtsville

Lloyd Harbor

Fort Salonga

HuntingtonCentereach

Coram

Selden

Elwood

Glen Cove

Ronkonkoma

West Islip

Old Westbury

Syosset

Deer Park

Central IslipPlainview

Merrick

Kings Park

West Babylon

Freeport

Jericho

Muttontown

Bay Shore

West HillsWoodbury

Elmont

Bayport

Oceanside

East Meadow

East Islip

St. James

Garden City

Wantagh

Brookville

East Northport

Oakdale

Great River

Bethpage

Farmingville

Wyandanch

Terryville

NesconsetSands Point

Copiague

Lattingtown

Hempstead

Lindenhurst

Babylon

Kings Point

Huntington Station

Islandia

Valley Stream

Woodmere

Mineola

Inwood

Lynbrook

Salisbury

Long Beach Lido Beach

Hispanic Citizens 18 and Over8 - 180 persons

181 - 420

421 - 750

751 - 1,320

1,321 - 1,858

0


Hispanics Eligible to Vote by Census Tract in Nassau County and Western Suffolk County (2005-06 Estimate)


Calverton

Manorville

Ridge

Montauk

Coram

Shirley

Yaphank

Riverhead

Flanders

WatermillNorth Sea

Medford

Southold

Springs

MattituckNoyack

Bohemia

Rocky Point

Northville

East Quogue

Sayville

Ronkonkoma

Tuckahoe

Laurel

Foreign Born Hispanic Population3 - 180

181 - 420

421 - 750

751 - 1,320

1,321 - 4,253

0


Foreign Born Hispanics by Census Tract in Eastern Suffolk County (2005-06 Estimate)


Calverton

Manorville

Ridge

Montauk

Coram

Shirley

Yaphank

Riverhead

Flanders

WatermillNorth Sea

Medford

Southold

Springs

MattituckNoyack

Bohemia

Rocky Point

Northville

East Quogue

Sayville

Ronkonkoma

Tuckahoe

Laurel

Hispanic Citizens 18 and Over8 - 180 persons

181 - 420

421 - 750

751 - 1,320

1,321 - 1,858

0


Hispanics Eligible to Vote by Census Tract in Eastern Suffolk County (2005-06 Estimate)


the long island hispanic population—mapping … romalewski, director, ... salonga fire island...

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