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The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market Energy Trading in Real Time A report on the EMBLEM and LEMDEX trials 11/09/2019 1 Simon Le Blond

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Page 1: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

The Invisible Hand of the

Local Energy Market:

Free-Market Energy Trading in Real Time

A report on the EMBLEM and LEMDEX trials

11/09/2019 1

Simon Le Blond

Page 2: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading

11/09/2019 2

Traditional energy market P2P energy market

Monopoly• Trade with single supplier• Hard to change suppliers

Free market• Genuine choice of

supplier/purchaserFixed prices • High price for consumers

• Low price for producers

Variable prices • Lower price of energy for

consumers

• Higher price of energy for

producers

No price incentive Generates a price signal

Page 3: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

EMBLEM Project - Iona

3

• Swanbarton

• Scene connect

• Metering hardware

• Participant engagement (including mobile app)

• Trading platform

Page 4: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

The trial• 3 months – Sep-Nov 2018

• 26 participants:• 19 consumers

• 5 PV prosumers

• 1 wind turbine

• 1 trading battery

• Continuing…..

11/09/2019 4

Page 5: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

What makes EMBLEM different?

Previous LEM trials

• Arrange energy trades based on traditional half hour, or longer, trading periods

• Centralised price setting

EMBLEM

• One minute trading periods

• No centralised price setting

11/09/2019 5

Page 6: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

EMBLEM stats

• 26.8 MWh traded

11/09/2019 6

• 1.7 million trades

• Long term price signal for renewable investment = emissions saving local energy vs grid mix

• Wind turbine revenue up 14%

• PV revenue up 60%

• Energy bills down 61%• £400 off average annual bill

• Average participant total benefit – £440 / year

• In 3 months:

Page 7: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

Price signal

7

• Price ranges between grid supplier buy & sell prices • 15.5p/kWh buy (Northern Scotland average) and 3.86p/kWh PV sell and 4.9p/kWh wind sell (2019 FITs)

• Market energy Abundance is supply less demand

• Price varies inversely with energy abundance

• Price varies inversely with sign of derivative of abundance

Pri

ceEn

ergy

Ab

un

dan

ce

Time

Page 8: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

Network balancing with storage

8

A) Simulated large battery

• 100 kW / 250 kWh

• Flattens out local energy abundance – balancing grid W

ith

bat

tery

Loca

l en

ergy

ab

un

dan

ce

Wit

ho

ut

bat

tery

Time

Bat

tery

pri

ce

Co

nsu

me

r p

rice

Time

B) Real UPS battery, buyer only (no export)

• Bought 91% of energy locally (compared to 79% average)

• Paid 7% less for energy

C) Simulated domestic battery 5 x 5 kW / 13.5 kWh

• Stores PV for self-consumption & then trades independently

• Average benefit of LEM + Battery = £1248/year

• Doubles wind turbine revenue uplift

• Balances grid

• Supplies 64% of local generation shortfall

• Absorbs 24% of local generation surplus

Page 9: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

LEMDEx project - Devon• Innovate PFER project with Devon County Council

• Jan-June 2019

• Extensively studied regulatory, commercial and technical steps for adoption of LEMs

• Used extensive real metering data from Devon CC site and assets

• Simulated PV heavy LEM between commercial customers in Exeter • 900kWp consumption

• 2MWp generation (all PV)

• Optimal storage LEM are determined with the variations in abundance in time – mostly determined by local generation, and lesser extent demand

• For the LEMDEx market, long duration storage with 5 MWh (1 MW) duration was the sweet spot

11/09/2019 9

Page 10: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

LEMDEx boundary power flows no storage

11/09/2019 10

Pow

er

acro

ss L

EM

boundar

y

(MW

)

2 days of simulation, (s)

1 MW

0 MW

Page 11: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

Boundary power flows with 1MW/6MWh battery

11

0.5 MW

0 MW

- 0.5 MW 2 days of simulation (s)

Page 12: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

Peak power vs. storage capacity

12

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Peak

po

wer

Storage capacity (MWh)

Peak input power Peak output power Peak power between LEM participantsPeak LEM import Peak LEM export Peak internal LEM flow

4 5 6

1 MW

0 MW 1 2 3

Page 13: The Invisible Hand of the Local Energy Market: Free-Market ...€¦ · Local Peer to Peer (P2P) energy trading 11/09/2019 2 Traditional energy market P2P energy market Monopoly •

Swanbarton Limited.

11/09/2019 13

• Patented Real-Time Trading Platform• Real-time free market local energy trading system

• Patented Energy Asset Control Service

• Dispatches energy micro-assets to provide ancillary services to the grid

• Multi Storage Manager• Optimises deployment of storage

• Used with Yuasa’s innovative dual chemistry ‘Gemini’ battery and others

www.swanbarton.com

• Storage specialist SME, active in industry since 2004 • History of successful collaboration with academia undertaking

Commercial R&D to bring products to market: