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The Impact of an Ice Diminishing Arctic on Naval and Maritime Operations CDR Timothy B. Smith Director, U.S. National Ice Center 16 July 2013 USN NOAA USCG

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Page 1: The Impact of an Ice Diminishing Arctic on Naval …...2013 Sea Ice OLItlDDk Ret)Drt Internet Live Search Done (Area of ocean with at least 15% sea ice) 16 14 12 10 — 2013 2012 2011

The Impact of an Ice Diminishing Arctic on Naval and Maritime Operations

CDR Timothy B. Smith Director, U.S. National Ice Center

16 July 2013

USN   NOAA  USCG  

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WELCOME

Picture:  STEPHEN  KAZLOWSKI  /  BARCROFT  MEDIA  

Why  are  we  here?    Where  are  we  going?    What  do  we  need?    How  will  we  achieve  goals?    Cri6cal  interna6onal  partners.    Is  the  U.S.  ready?  

Page 3: The Impact of an Ice Diminishing Arctic on Naval …...2013 Sea Ice OLItlDDk Ret)Drt Internet Live Search Done (Area of ocean with at least 15% sea ice) 16 14 12 10 — 2013 2012 2011

Change is Happening

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Na>onal  Interests  

U.S. National Strategy

United  States    to  "assert  a  more  ac>ve    and  influen>al  na>onal  presence  to    protect  its  Arc>c  interests  and  project    sea  power  throughout  the  region,"  and    to  secure  free  passage  of  vessels  through    the  Northwest  Passage  and  the  Northern  Sea    Route.”  

Emphasis:  1.  Advancing  U.S.  security  interests  2.  Pursuing  responsible  Arc>c  region  

stewardship  3.  Strengthening  interna>onal  coopera>on  

“The  Arc>c  is  one  of  the  last  true  fron>ers  in  the  United  States.    It  is  becoming  a  new    fron>er  in  our  foreign  policy.”    Fmr  U.S.  Dept  Secretary  Of  State,  Tom  Nides,  Aug  2012  

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Sovereign Waters/International Waters

• UNCLOS-­‐’Law  of  the  Sea’  not    ra>fied  by  U.S.  • Increased  geo-­‐poli>cal  interest  from  countries  such  as  China,  Korea,  and  India  • 2015-­‐2017  U.S.  will  Chair  Arc>c  Council    

Page 6: The Impact of an Ice Diminishing Arctic on Naval …...2013 Sea Ice OLItlDDk Ret)Drt Internet Live Search Done (Area of ocean with at least 15% sea ice) 16 14 12 10 — 2013 2012 2011

Why are we here?

Adventure  Seekers  Environment  

Safety  of  Naviga>on   Science  and  Research  

Air  Travel  

Resource  Exploita>on  

Distance  and    Infrastructure  

Military  Presence  

Page 7: The Impact of an Ice Diminishing Arctic on Naval …...2013 Sea Ice OLItlDDk Ret)Drt Internet Live Search Done (Area of ocean with at least 15% sea ice) 16 14 12 10 — 2013 2012 2011