the hidden side of venture capital
TRANSCRIPT
What is the American Way of VC ?
20 companies in a fund$1b companies candidates (unicorns)2-4 blockbusters (x 10-50)
§ IPOs (big)§ Trade sales (fast)
4-6 write-offs (x 0)3-4 deals a year/ partner
VC Business Model
Lifetime 10y+ Management fees 2%/y - Hurdle rate 7%/y- Losses 50%=> average multiple for 0 carry = 5 X
Min Target Multiple = 10 X
How many scenarios ?
Bottom up monthly financial planDon’t underestimate salaries and staff sizeNet income higher than 25% is suspectInclude international business if anyCan you make 10M€, 100M€ or more in sales ?
§ Money availability drives financial strategy
Conservative post money keeps options openTry hiring a fundraiserVCs don’t sign NDAs
Is there a Valuation Magic Formula ?
R)(1FV
R)(1CiNPV n
1
0i ++
+=∑
−n
Rodermann MagicSystem
⎪⎩
⎪⎨⎧ ∏ −×+−≤
≤+
≤
nDiCpremoney
CpremoneyC
0100
0
0
)1(FV
%50%15
How not to be fired after 6 months
Build a balanced board of brilliant directors
Hire an experienced chairman
Pay an experienced specialized coach
Disclose problems as they arriveNever Lie
Write minutes just after board meetings
Do what you promised to do