A Fossil Fools Day Presentation

The Great Coal Rush

In South Carolina & Beyond: A Fossil Fools Day Presentation

SOURCE: National Energy Technology Laboratory, Tracking New Coal-Fired Plants

What a Coal Rush Looks Like: Development vs. Demand

SOURCE: North American Electric Reliability Corporation

Demand vs. Capacity in the Southeast

S-C 2007

S-C 2008

R.W. Beck

Duke

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

$/kW

hSupercritical Coal Plant Capital Costs

$1.25B

SOURCE: Post & Courier, Santee Cooper

SOURCE: Energy Information Administration

Average Weekly Coal Commodity Prices, 4/2005 – 2/2008

Potential CO2 Cost Associated w/ 600 MW SPC, 2012 - 2030

SOURCE: Synapse Energy Economics

23%

77%

$0.063 $0.275

Levelized Cost(s) of a Supercritical Coal Plant, (₵/kWh)

SOURCE: Ontario Ministry of Energy

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.00

0 10 20 30 40 50

Wind @ 29% CF

IGCC w/o CCS

NGCC @ $6 gasBiomass

NuclearPulverized Coal w/o CCS

Energy Efficiency

Lev

eliz

ed C

ost

(₵

/kW

h)

Carbon price ($/ton)

Levelized Cost of Electricity by Source

SOURCE: American Council for and Energy Efficiency Economy

SOURCE: GDS, Idaho National Laboratory, Navigant Consulting, Virginia Tech Advanced Research Institute

South Carolina Renewable Energy Potential

• Leading state examples• Minnesota has saved over 2,300 MW since 1990• The Pacific Northwest has saved over 1,600 MW over a similar

timeframe• California has saved over 1,500 MW in the last 5 years

• South Carolina’s achievable, cost-effective potential

SOURCE: ACEEE

SOURCE: GDS, Forefront

Utility GWh MW % of sales

ECSC 4,007 980 20% by 2017

Duke 3,576 NA 16% by 2026

South Carolina Energy Efficiency Potential