the future of work in southampton
TRANSCRIPT
The future of work in Southampton
Andrew Carter
September 2018
Globalisation & technology advancement
Skills are one of the most important factors in determining economic outcomes
… for individuals and for productivity
Bournemouth
Bradford
National
AveragePlymouthPortsmouth
Southampton
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
0 5 10 15 20
Em
plo
ym
en
t ra
te,
20
16
(%
)
Share of population with no formal qualifications, 2016 (%)
Bournemouth
Bradford
National
Average
Plymouth
Portsmouth
Southampton
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
70,000
75,000
80,000
85,000
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
GV
A p
er
wo
rke
r, 2
01
6 (
£)
Share of population with high-skilled qualifications, 2016 (%)
And are fundamental to people’s ability to adapt to the changing world of work
Which jobs are likely to be displaced?
Some cities are more vulnerable to job displacement than others
21% of jobs
at risk in
urban Britain
(3.6m)
29% in
Mansfield
22% in
Southampton
13% in
Cambridge
However, job displacement is nothing new
Source: Census 1911
(England and Wales only);
University of Portsmouth,
“A vision of Britain through
time”
And most places have seen growth over the century
1911
2016
Source: University of Portsmouth, “A vision of Britain through
time”; NOMIS, Business Register of Employment survey.
60% jobs
growth in cities
And this is likely to be the case in the future
There is
potential for
growth for
every place
They are
evenly
distributed
across the
country
1.4 million
jobs are in
occupations
likely to grow
However, there’s variation across the country in terms of growth in private jobs
Source: Bakhshi et al. 2017, Future of Skills: Employment in 2030, London: Nesta and Pearson; ONS 2017, Business Register of Employment Survey; Census 2011
And these are linked to the changing demand for skills
With interpersonal and analytical skills increasingly more in demand
How can policy makers support better outcomes in Southampton as the
labour market continues to change?
Make sure young people have the skills to succeed - early years
69% of pupils in England
achieved EY goals
74% in York72% in
Southampton60% in
Peterborough
And schools
73% in
Cambridge
52%
in Hull
64% in
Southampton
63%
67%
60%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
66%
68%
Cities - all Greater South East Cities outside GSE
Share of pupils achieving GCSEs 9-4
in Maths and English, 2017
But not just ‘formal’ education
46% of pupils from
disadvantaged backgrounds
participate
63% of young people
take part in activities
97% of schools indicated
extra-curricular activities as a
way to build character
Work with firms and individuals to improve skills in the labour market
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Sh
are
of
wo
rke
rs w
ho
re
ceiv
ed
on
-th
e-j
ob
tra
inin
g i
n t
he
pa
st 1
3 w
ee
ks,
(%
)
Share of workers who received on-the-job
training in the past 13 weeks, (%)
England & Wales
-32% in
Bradford
-12% in
Southampton
+20% in
Bristol
-15% between 2004/17
What can Southampton do?
Cities should establish skills compacts to promote
collective responsibility and action for improving
education and training:
1. Ensure better coordination among
organisations
2. Share knowledge and best practice
3. Raise awareness of existing initiatives
4. Set measurable targets and measure progress
