the future of roads - sustainable built environment ...€¦ · 7 november 2017 the future of roads...

The Future of RoadsCollaborating for Industry Solutions in the Built Environment

(CISBE) Symposium

The Future of RoadsNovember 20172

“It's tough to make predictions,

especially about the future”

– Yogi Berra

Looking for evidence of future

change

– Trends

– Technologies

– Business models

http://www.google.com.au/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiUuLnGtrjNAhUBl5QKHWPMDMkQjRwIBw&url=http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/WesternAnimation/TheJetsons&psig=AFQjCNG6qQdA2g3OtheHCxNGiIpJvauX4g&ust=1466574675530761

http://www.google.com.au/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiw6ruVubjNAhUBjZQKHdRkDXMQjRwIBw&url=http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/hoverboards-drones-back-future-ii-predictions-2015-that-have-come-true-1481644&bvm=bv.124817099,d.dGo&psig=AFQjCNE4XNPtbSXaizjO_dk07Qw46lY-XA&ust=1466575369595878


“I think there’s going to be more change in the next

five to ten years than there’s been in the last 50”

– General Motors CEO Mary Barra

“It is clear we are on the cusp of a revolution in

mobility, from carsharing to autonomous driving to

the customer experience”

– Former Ford CEO Mark Fields


Why electric? Why not?

Performance Price

Zero tailpipe emissions- Increasingly stringent emissions

targets- Improves air quality- Reduces carbon emissions

Range & anxiety

Running costs - Cheaper to fuel (potentially zero)- Cheaper to maintain (Tesla Model S

has 18 moving parts, compared to around 2,000 with petrol/diesel engine)

Lack of charginginfrastructure

http://www.google.com.au/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjlnOHDjubQAhVDo5QKHfTrC1UQjRwIBw&url=http://www.caranddriver.com/tesla/model-s&psig=AFQjCNFBCdQdI-oivKSAuQj-u8oG0Etbdw&ust=1481338616589250


• Auto manufacturers are moving to electric vehicles:

– “General Motors believes in an all-electric future”Mark Reuss, General Motors

– GM releasing 20 new electric vehicles by 2030

– Tens of billions of investment in EV manufacturing

• Countries and cities outlining plans to ban Internal Combustion Engines (ICE):

– Norway 2025

– Paris 2030

– UK & France 2040


• Cruise Automation’s demo video in San Francisco, February 2017

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vfgjemwc9NU


• Driven over 3.5 million

autonomous miles

• Invested US$1.1 billion

between 2009 & 2015

• Disengagements of system

– 1 every 2,000 km in 2015

– 1 every 8,000 km in 2016

• ‘Early Rider’ program now

testing with real people in

Phoenix


• Cruise Automation employee ride sharing service

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cD2JE-jnaHM


Spot the carNew York, 5th Avenue 1900

Spot the horseNew York, 5th Avenue 1913

Credit: Tony Seba's Clean Disruption presentation

https://www.google.com.au/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&ved=0ahUKEwj79fyzrNHMAhXLjpQKHXUtAuUQjRwIBw&url=https://www.pinterest.com/pin/501588477221000742/&psig=AFQjCNHoO5l1Qq-XtPkpehjSWujUdawqxg&ust=1463032899664762

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kxryv2XrnqM


• Hyperloop

– Intercity transport

• Autonomous passenger drones (electric flying cars)

– UberElevate

– Dubai to launch shuttle service using Volocopter

– Daimler investing in Volocopter

– Airbus has released their own concept vehicle

• Autonomy in Infrastructure Construction?

the future of roads - sustainable built environment ...€¦ · 7 november 2017 the future of roads...

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