the eu agricultural outlook for wine, olive ......fresh tomatoes processed fresh oranges oranges...
TRANSCRIPT
THE EU AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR WINE,
OLIVE OIL AND FRUIT AND VEGETABLES MARKETS
Session 6
Marijke Van SchagenUnit Analysis and Outlook,DG Agriculture and Rural Development, European Commission
SPECIALISED CROPS
INCREASING HEALTH, ENVIRONMENTAL AND CLIMATE CONCERNS.…
… AND ONGOING TRENDS
Snacking
Convenience
Experience
Price
Taste
Fashion
apple
peach
tomato
orange
0
10
20
30
40
50
2018* 2030
Processed Fruits & Vegetables EU per capita consumption
(kg)
...HALT DECLINE OF FRESH F&V CONSUMPTION AND PUSH JUICES DOWN
-1 kg
+0.5 kg
+0.1 kg-0.1 kg
-0.1 kg-0.2 kg
-2.2 kg
apple
peach
tomato
orange
0
10
20
30
40
50
2018* 2030
Fresh Fruits & Vegetables EU per capita consumption
(kg)
-0.1 kg
*Given the high variability of production, projections are compared to the 5-year trimmed average
TIME FOR A SLIDO BREAKGo to slido.com – event code #AgriOutlook
How much wine per capita will be consumed in the EU in 2030?1. Less than 10 litres 2. Between 10 and 20 litres3. Between 20 and 30 litres4. Between 30 and 40 litres
LESS WINE CONSUMED IN THE EU
0
2
4
6
8
10
producingMS
other
EU olive oil consumption
(kg per capita)
2018 2030
0
5
10
15
20
25
2018 2030
EU wine consumption (litres per capita )
-1.2 litres +0.1 kg
*Given the high variability of production, projections are compared to the 5-year trimmed average
WORLD DEMAND FAVOURS EU EXPORT GROWTH
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
Wine trade (million hectolitres)
*Given the high variability of production, projections are compared to the 5-year trimmed average
-150
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
Olive oil trade(1 000 tonnes)
20302018
20182030
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
Fruit and vegetables trade (million tonnes)
2030
2018
fresh apples processed apples
freshtomatoes
processed tomatoes
fresh oranges
processed oranges
20302018
expo
rtim
portexpo
rtim
port
expo
rtim
port
-0.6%
-0.3%
0.0%
0.3%
0.6%
0.9%
1.2%
olive oil tomatoes apples oranges Peachesand
nectarines
wine
Annual growth in EU production 2018-2030
PRODUCTION SYSTEMS CONTINUE ADAPTING
New and re-planted areas
Irrigation systems
Intensification New varieties
Early harvest
Modernisation
Organic production
THANK YOU !#AgriOutlook
© European Union, 2019 │ © fotoVoyager, #165807391-170054274-453281653-508212549-537698055, iStockPhoto.com
THE EU AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FOR WINE,
OLIVE OIL AND FRUIT AND VEGETABLES MARKETS
Session 6