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The Epidemiology of Schizophrenia
reflects Pathology of Neurodevelopment
and Striatal Dopamine
Robin M Murray
Dept of Psychoses Studies, Institute of
Psychiatry, Kings College, London
Mapping of Epidemiology onto
Pathogenesis
It is commonplace in medicine for the epidemiology of a disease to be readily interpretable in terms of the pathogenesis of the disorder
For example, the risk factors for Coronary Heart Disease all ultimately cause atherosclerotic damage to the endothelium of the coronary arteries –the final common pathway.
The different risk factors increase the likelihood of plaque formation by different mechanisms.
For example, family history is associated with increased LDL cholesterol, smoking increases platelet adhesion, hypertension damages the endothelium.
Epidemiology and Pathogenesis are
not integrated in Schizophrenia
Epidemiological research has made major advances in the last ten years.
However, this research has proceeded separately from research into the two major pathogenic theories, the neurodevelopmental and dopamine hypotheses
Have we reached a point where we can begin to integrate epidemiological findings with pathogenic theory?
Epidemiological Fact 1
Schizophrenia shows a modest
tendency to run in families.
Since 2002 a
number of
susceptibility genes
have been reported
The risk to the identical co-twin of a
Schizophrenic individual is about 50%
Genes involved in
Neurodevelopment
Neuregulin
Dysbindin
DISC 1
Neurexin
Genes involved in
Neurotransmission
DRD2
DAT
COMT
AKT1
Nature held a Press Conference in summer 2009 when 3
GWAS studies reported more risk genes for schizophrenia
Wow,
how
exciting!
There may be hundreds of risk genes for
schizophrenia
Do I have
any?
Normality
Psychosis
Now we know there are >100 genes, this is more compatible with the idea that there is a continuum of
liability to psychosis
Sz
9
SURPRISE! - Copy Number
Variants
deletion
duplication
Copy Number Variations account
for at least 10 % of Autism
Might they account for some
cases of schizophrenia?
Science. 2008;320,539-43.
Copy Number Variants (CNVs) are found in
Excess in Schizophrenia
Large recurrent microdeletions associated with SchizophreniaHreinn Stefansson1*, Dan Rujescu2*, Sven Cichon3,4*, Olli P. H. Pietila¨inen5, Andres Ingason1, Stacy Steinberg1,Ragnheidur
Fossdal1, Engilbert Sigurdsson6, Thordur Sigmundsson6, Jacobine E. Buizer-Voskamp7,Thomas Hansen8,9, Klaus D. Jakobsen8,9,
Pierandrea Muglia10, Clyde Francks10, Paul M. Matthews11,Arnaldur Gylfason1, Bjarni V. Halldorsson1, Daniel Gudbjartsson1,
Thorgeir E. Thorgeirsson1, Asgeir Sigurdsson1,Adalbjorg Jonasdottir1, Aslaug Jonasdottir1, Asgeir Bjornsson1, Sigurborg
Mattiasdottir1, Thorarinn Blondal1,Magnus Haraldsson6, Brynja B. Magnusdottir6, Ina Giegling2, Hans-Ju¨rgen Mo¨ller2, Annette
Hartmann2,Kevin V. Shianna12, Dongliang Ge12, Anna C. Need12, Caroline Crombie13, Gillian Fraser13, Nicholas Walker14,Jouko
Lonnqvist15, Jaana Suvisaari15, Annamarie Tuulio-Henriksson15, Tiina Paunio5,15, Timi Toulopoulou16,Elvira Bramon16, Marta Di
Forti16, ROBIN MURRAY16, Mirella Ruggeri17, Evangelos Vassos16, Sarah Tosato17,Muriel Walshe16, Tao Li16,18, Catalina
Vasilescu3, Thomas W. Mu¨hleisen3, August G. Wang19, Henrik Ullum20,Srdjan Djurovic21,22, Ingrid Melle22, Jes Olesen23,
Lambertus A. Kiemeney24, Barbara Franke25, GROUP{,Chiara Sabatti26, Nelson B. Freimer27, Jeffrey R. Gulcher1, Unnur
Thorsteinsdottir1, Augustine Kong1, Ole A. Andreassen21,22, Roel A. Ophoff7,27, Alexander Georgi28, Marcella Rietschel28,
Thomas Werge8,Hannes Petursson6, David B. Goldstein12, Markus M. No¨then3,4, Leena Peltonen5,29,30, David A. Collier16,18,
David St Clair13 & Kari Stefansson1,31
Nature, 2008, 455,232-236
Effect of CNVs and Mens‟ Cars
Corollas have a very small effect on individual
girls but because they are so common overall,
they may explain 30% of overall effect.
Similarly common variants like neuregulin have
a small effect but this adds up
Ferraris have a very big effect on individual girls
but they are rare and therefore may explain only
5% of overall male attractiveness .
Similarly, CNVs have a big effect on risk of Sz
but explain only 5% of cases
Copy Number Variations may account for a small proportion of schizophrenia (5%+)
The CNVs implicated overlap with autism and mental handicap.
They may account for some of the developmental impairment in schizophrenia
Not so far reported in excess in Bipolar Disorder (Grozeva et al, 2010)
Epidemiological Fact 2
Schizophrenia but not bipolar disorder is associated with childhood cognitive and neuromotor impairments
Pre-schizophreniform
Dunedin Study: Motor and language
development in pre-symptomatic children
Mary Cannon et al 2002
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2Co-efficient
Pre-manic
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4Co-efficient
Swedish Cohort Study
907,000 715,000
At age 15, graded
in 16 subjects 280 Bipolar
493 Schizophrenia
Dec 3
1 2
003
MacCabe et al 2009
Risk of schizophrenia in 716,000 Swedish
people according to scholastic ratings
0
1
2
3
4
5
-2 -1 0 1 2
Grade by SD
HRSchizophrenia
Low High
MacCabe et al 2009
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0 BipolarHR
Risk of bipolar disorder in 716,000 Swedish
people according to scholastic ratings
Low High
Grade by SD
MacCabe et al 2009
-2 -1 0 1 2
Epidemiological Fact 3
Exposure to obstetric events especially hypoxia increases risk of schizophrenia but not bipolar disorder
Dunedin Study: those who met criteria
for schizophreniform disorder at 26
years, compared to controls, showed:-
Higher overall obstetric complications (t=5.5;
p<0.001)
Higher neonatal insults (t=5.95; p<0.001)
Smaller for gestational age (0R=2.8; p<0.001)
More Hypoxia (OR=6.8; p<0.001)
Meta-analysis shown no excess of obstetric
complications in bipolar disorder (Scott et al)
Developmental cascade towards
schizophrenia
P
s
y
c
h
o
s
i
s
2015100 5
Subtle motor,
cognitive and
social deficits
Social anxiety,
depression
Pre & perinatal
events
Quasi
psychotic
ideas
CNVsDevelopmental Genes:
eg NRG1; DISC1,
Developmental Models of Schizophrenia
all implicate Dopamine
Early lesion of hippocampus
(hypoxic)
MAM damage to hippocampus
(prenatal)
Vitamin D Deficiency Model
Dysregulation of the Dopamine System – the
Final Common Pathway to Schizophrenia?*
Post-synaptic receptor
DopamineRe-uptake pump
Striatal dopamine neuron
*This is not to deny the role of GABA, glutamate, endocannabinoids
18F-Dopa Uptake: presynaptic dopamine synthesis
0.0115
0.0125
0.0135
0.0145
0.0155
0.0165
0.0175
0.0185
Controls ARMS Psychosis
Ki
valu
e (
1/m
in)
p=0.02p=0.038
When does the Striatal
DA abnormality arise?
Dopamine is the
“Wind of Psychotic Fire”
When individuals are acutely psychotic, they show an excessive striatal release of dopamine1
Dopamine is involved in reward learning and normally mediates the attachment of salience to ideas and objects2
Excessive dopamine release leads to aberrant assignment of salience to unimportant stimuli3
Delusions arise from attempts to explain this abnormal salience4
1Laruelle et al 1996; 2Berridge and Robinson 1998; 3Kapur 2003; 4Maher 1983
Developmental cascade towards
schizophrenia
P
s
y
c
h
o
s
i
s
2015100 5
Subtle motor,
cognitive and
social deficits
Social anxiety,
depression
Pre & perinatal
events
Quasi
psychotic
ideas
CNVsDevelopmental Genes:
eg NRG1; DISC1, BDNF
Dopamine
Dysregulation
of Salience
Epidemiological Fact 4
Stimulant drugs can produce a
schizophrenia-like picture
Psychopathology of individuals
with methamphetamine psychosis
0
20
40
60
80
100
Chen et al Psychological Medicine 2003
Auditory
halluc-
inations
Delusions
of
persecution
Delusions
of
reference
Visual
halluc-
inations
Reading
their
minds
Thought
insertion
Odd
speech
Patients(%)
n=163
Developmental cascade towards
schizophrenia
P
s
y
c
h
o
s
i
s
2015100 5
Subtle motor,
cognitive and
social deficits
Social anxiety,
depression
Pre & perinatal
events
Quasi
psychotic
ideas
CNVsDevelopmental Genes:
eg NRG1; DISC1, BDNF
Drug abuse
Dopamine
Dysregulation
of Salience
Epidemiological Fact 5
Schizophrenia has its maximum onset in early adult life and thereafter incidence declines.
Rates of schizophrenia per 100 000 population in Camberwell
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0-15 16-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 66-75 76+
Males
Age at onset (years)
During reward anticipation younger subjects recruit the ventral striatum
and anterior cingulate to a greater extent than older subjects
Epidemiological Fact 6
Certain types of social adversity
increase risk of schizophrenia
South East
LondonBristol
Nottingham
ÆSOP Study – Social Factors that
increase the risk of schizophrenia
Kirkbride, Morgan et al 2006, 2007,2008
Urbanicity – lack of cohesion
Migration/ethnic minority status
Childhood adversity
Social isolation
Adverse life events
Mesolimbic Dopamine System can be
altered by Social Manipulation
Isolation rearing increases DA release in response to amphetamine in adult rats
PET Scan study of changing housing of primates shows differences in dopamine receptor occupancy between the subordinate and dominant animal
Placing a mouse in with a “Bully” alters expression of BDNF and therefore the Dopamine system
Cortisol levels in First Episode
Psychosis
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Awakening Noon 8:00 PM
Co
rtis
ol
(nm
ol/
l)
Patients < 2 weeks of treatment Controls
*
**
* 55 % increase in cortisol AUC
p=0.001
Increased cortisol is associated with
hippocampal volume decrement
Mondelli et al, 2010
This is reminiscent of Tony‟ Grace „s model in which the
developmetally MAM damaged hippocampus suffers a second hit
with resultant dysregulation of dopamine
Developmental cascade towards dopamine
dysregulation and schizophrenia
P
s
y
c
h
o
s
i
s
2015100 5
Subtle motor,
cognitive and
social deficits
Social anxiety,
depression
Pre & perinatal
events
Quasi
psychotic
ideas
CNVsDevelopmental Genes:
eg NRG1; DISC1, BDNF
Drug abuseEarly and late social
adversity
HPA
Hyperactivity
Dopamine
Dysregulation
of Salience
Conclusion
Most of the epidemiological characteristics of schizophrenia can be understood in terms of abnormalities of neurodevelopment and of striatal dopamine.
The challenge is now to accurately delineate the mechanistic pathways which link risk factors with development and dopamine and to devise ways of interfering with them