the dilemma of foreign aid to burma/myanmar · to burma/myanmar lex rieffel and james w. fox ......

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The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox

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Page 1: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

The Dilemma of Foreign AidTo Burma/Myanmar

Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox

Page 2: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Robert Nathan (left) with

U Nu 1954

Page 3: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Historical, political, economic background

The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications for the government Implications for the donors

Page 4: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

The resource curse Emerging macroeconomic policies Evolving financial system Poor infrastructure Neglected agriculture Woeful education and health The vested interests

Page 5: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Refugees/migrants in Thailand 2008 Constitution and the Military Ethnic Minorities and Peace Process ASEAN Chair in 2014 and Elections in

2015 China on the defensive U.S. sanctions suspended, not lifted

Page 6: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Five Principles Agreed in Paris (2005), refined in Accra (2008) and Busan (2011)

Country Ownership Alignment Harmonization Results-oriented Mutually Accountable

Page 7: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Strong Progress on Country Ownership Modest Progress on Alignment Less Progress on Harmonization Almost no Progress on Results Orientation or

Mutual Accountability Only one of 12 Time-bound Targets for 2010

had been met

Page 8: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Move the Money Build Up Staff Promise More than Can Be Delivered Keep Secrets from Other Donors Prefer Owned Projects to Joint Ones

Page 9: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Achieving Peace Managing Political Processes Continuing Macroeconomic

Reforms Managing Private Capital

Flows Controlling Resource

Extraction Reversing Land Grabbing Energizing Agriculture Expanding Education

Page 10: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Policies more important than plans Say “No” more often Policy officials now, institutions later Require more joint donor activities Keep donor coordination in its place It’s about people, not resources Be coherent and consistent

Page 11: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Give policymakers more space Build capacity before doing projects First of all: do no harm Avoid institutional rivalries Tolerate alternative approaches Be realistic Be innovative

Page 12: The Dilemma of Foreign Aid To Burma/Myanmar · To Burma/Myanmar Lex Rieffel and James W. Fox ... The Paris Declaration Incentives for donor professionals Key challenges Implications

Background on Myanmar Challenges to the Myanmar Government The Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness Implementation Experience of Donors Incentives for Donor Professionals Recommendations

For the Government of Myanmar For Donors