the concept of deterrence in arab and muslimthought - pakistan

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 1  The Concept of Deterrence in Arab and Muslim Thought - Pakistan Working Paper Name of Author: Oded Brosh 1  Project Leader: Shmuel Bar June 2012 Executive Summary The issue of deterrence in the Pakistani context involves two separate, but to a degree overlapping, fields of investigation: the first is the nuclear deterrence posture of the Pakistani state, as it has evolved over the past few decades, and whatever may be intrinsically Islamic about it; the second involves the perceptions regarding the utility of the gaining of control and of the possession of Pakistan's nuclear assets, as may be held by Islamic or extremist Islamist groups – i.e. by the establishment Muslim parties, or, tangentially, by radical or extremist, or "Jihadi" Islamist organizations. The latter have so far been marginal to the issue, and currently remain remote to it; but they have indicated significant interest and debate regarding the implications of such an outcome, and they do potentially signal dire consequence should they acquire control of one, a few, some, many, or all of Pakistan's nuclear assets. The Pakistani state nuclear deterrence posture started out, and openly remains, as declaredly one of minimum deterrence. The concept of minimum de terrence is grounded in well-known, well-established and well-documented principles, drawing on the cases of the United Kingdom, France, and also last but not least India. In Pakistan's case – and differing from India – the early NATO principle of declared first-use of nuclear weapons in case of an overwhelming conventional onslaught that cannot be defeated conventionally, is a complementary added feature of Pakistan's nuclear postur e. The principle of minimum deterrence, since the UK's entry into the nuclear club in 1952 under the title of an independent deterrent and minimum deterrence, is well suited to a state that does not have the resources, or nuclear wherewithal, to establish first strike or survivable assured destruction second strike capabilities against its adversary of reference. In the case of Pakistan this has meant India, much as Britain and France could not

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7/29/2019 The Concept of Deterrence in Arab and MuslimThought - Pakistan

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