the colorado water conservation board
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The Colorado Water Conservation Board. Finance Section Chief : Tim Feehan, P.E. Meeting Colorado’s Future Water Needs With Limited Resources. 2010 Colorado Water Workshop. Colorado Water Conservation Board. Presentation Summary : 2050 M&I Gap Projections - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Meeting Colorado’s Future Water Needs With Limited Resources
The Colorado Water Conservation BoardFinance Section Chief :
Tim Feehan, P.E.
2010 Colorado Water Workshop
Colorado Water Conservation Board
Presentation Summary: 2050 M&I Gap Projections Meeting Colorado Water Demands
Presentation Summary: CWCB Loan Program & Other Funding Options Summary
Colorado Water Conservation Board
Eric Wilkinson
Reed Dils51 Projects$103,000,000Travis Smith
17 Projects$6,800,000
Jeff Blakeslee14 Projects$23,000,000
Carl Trick3 Projects$1,500,000
John Redifer67 Projects$101,000,000
John McClow32 Projects$10,000,000
Barbara Biggs
April Montgomery30 Projects$39,000,000
206 Projects$393,000,000
• 2050 M&I Water Use Projections– final complete• Energy Study Phase 2 Revised Water Use Scenarios Memo –
draft roundtable product complete; finalize in August• M&I Gap Analysis – draft scheduled for August• Reconnaissance Level cost Estimates for Ag & New Supply Strategy Concepts– final complete• Ag Demands/ Alternative Transfer Methods –
draft complete; finalize in 2010 Statewide Water Needs Assessment (SNA)• Nonconsumptive:
– Watershed Flow Evaluation Tool Pilot Study– final complete– NCNA Focus Mapping (Phase 1 )– final complete– NCNA Phase 2 – draft complete; finalize in 2010 State Needs Assessment
• Conservation Products:– SWSI Conservation Levels Analysis – final complete– Evaluation of Passive Savings– final complete– Guidebook of Best Management Practices for Municipal Water Conservation in Colorado–
final scheduled for August– M&I Conservation Strategies – draft scheduled for September; finalize in 2010 SNA– Feasibility Study to Assess the Permanency & Penetration Rates of M&I Water Conservation –
draft scheduled for October; finalize in Dec. 2010• Portfolios and Strategies – draft scheduled for September
– Density Memo – draft completed and will be appendix for portfolios memo• Final 2010 State Needs Assessment Report – due Nov/Jan timeframe
List of Reports
M&I Needs Portfolio0
500,000
1,000,000
State of Colorado 2050 M&I Needs and Portfolio to Meet Needs
2050 M&I Water Needs 2050 SSI Water Needs 2050 Oil Shale Water NeedsPassive M&I Conservation IPPs ConservationLand Use/Density New Supply Development New Supply Development ReuseAgricultural Transfer Agricultural Transfer Reuse Reuse for Ag Use
Acre
-Fee
t/Ye
arReports in M&I Context
Oil Shale Phase II Energy Report
M&I Demands to
2050
The Gap
Identified Projects & Processes
(IPPs)
Passive Conservation
Report
Density Memo
Conservation Strategy
ATM Methods
Ag Transfer & New Supply
Development Cost
Estimates
2050 M&I and SSI Demand
Low Middle High2008 2035 2050
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Yampa Basin SSIYampa Basin M&ISouthwest SSISouthwest M&ISouth Platte Basin SSISouth Platte Basin M&IRio Grande Basin SSIRio Grande Basin M&INorth Platte Basin SSINorth Platte Basin M&IMetro Basin SSIMetro Basin M&IGunnison Basin SSIGunnison Basin M&IColorado Basin SSIColorado Basin M&IArkansas Basin SSIArkansas Basin M&I
Wat
er D
eman
ds (a
cre-
feet
/yea
r)
M&I Gap – Low Scenario
2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 -
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
Acre
-Fee
t/Ye
ar
Existing Supplies and Systems
IPPs if 100% Successful
2050 Gap - Low Scenario(150,000 AFY)
M&I Gap – Medium Scenario
2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 -
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
Acre
-Fee
t/Ye
ar
Existing Supplies and Systems
IPPs based on IBCC Input
2050 Gap - Medium Scenario360,000 AFY
M&I Gap – High Scenario
2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 -
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
Acre
-Fee
t/Ye
ar
Existing Supplies and Systems
Status Quo IPPs
2050 Gap - High Scenario580,000 AFY
Addressing the M&I GapStrategies Projects and Methods
Port
folio
• Agricultural Transfers (Traditional and Alternative) South Platte Basin Arkansas Basin
Agricultural Transfer
• Green Mountain• Yampa
Colorado River System
• Percent Savings Off of 2008 Water UsageConservation
• Providers current conservation plans and optimization of existing infrastructure
• Southern Delivery System, Arkansas Valley Conduit, Wolcott Reservoir, Elkhead Enlargement, Moffat Collection System, RueterHess Enlargement, Thornton Northern Project, Prairie Waters, Chatfield Reallocation, Northern Integrated Supply Plan (NISP), Windy Gap Firming, Halligan Enlargement, Seaman Enlargement
IPPs
• Flaming Gorge• Blue Mesa
• 60 to 70 Percent Statewide Success Rate Desired on IPPs• 15 to 20 Percent off of 2008 Demand• Agricultural Transfers Between 60,000 to 200,000 out of ag AF• 350,000 AF from New Supply Development for East Slope and
West Slope
Mid Demand/Mid Supply
Working Portfolio Goals
35,000 to73,000 acres
51,000 acres77,000 acres
21,000 to28,000 acres
180,000 to267,000 acres
7,000 to13,000 acres
83,000 to84,000 acres
18,000acres66,000 acres
2050 Changes in Irrigated Acres
Statewide Total:504,000 to 718,00 acres15 to 20 percent
M&I Needs Portfolio0
500,000
1,000,000
State of Colorado 2050 M&I Needs and Portfolio to Meet Needs
2050 M&I Water Needs 2050 SSI Water Needs 2050 Oil Shale Water Needs
Passive M&I Conservation IPPs Conservation
Land Use/Density New Supply Development New Supply Development Reuse
Agricultural Transfer Agricultural Transfer Reuse Reuse for Ag Use
Acre
-Fee
t/Ye
arReports in the M&I Context
Oil Shale Phase II Energy Report
Build-out: 0, 59, 120 KAF2050 Range: 0, 7.2, 44 KAF
The Gap150 KAF to
580 KAF27-37% w/ IPPs @ 100% Success New M&I
Demands to 2050
2050 Baseline Demands: 745 KAF to
1.1 MAF
Passive Conservation
Report 154 KAF
IPPs439 KAF to 596KAF
Conservation Strategy
157 KAF - 522 KAF
Density Memo10% off new metro supplies (35 KAF).
Generally x % denser = x/2% water savings
Ag Transfer & New Supply
Development Cost
EstimatesLife Cycle Costs: Ag $16 B-$24 B
New $16 B-$19 B
ATM Methods1. Presumptive
Consumptive Use2. Ability to transfer
part of CU3. Ditch-wide
analysis
Other Needs:• Nonconsumpitive:
700+ Projects & MethodsMapping finalized for whole state
• Agricultural Needs: 2050 Ag Demands:5.6 MAF (15 to 20 % decrease in irrigated acres)
Funding $$$$
Financing/ Water Project Loans
• Low Interest Loans for Water Projects (2.75% for ag)– Rehabilitation– Dam Safety Restrictions– New or Increased Storage– Purchase of Water Rights
• 424 Project Authorized Since 1971• $704M in Loan Funds Approved To-date• 50 Projects in Design/Const. - $331M
Severance Tax Trust Fund
Perpetual Base Account
ConstructionFund
&
CWCB is Self-Supporting
General Fund
$0
$
CWCB’s Funds
CWCB REVOLVING FUNDS
1. Construction Fund – Principal & Interest from Loans, Treasury Interest & Federal Mineral Lease.
2. Severance Tax Perp. Base Fund Principal & Interest from Loans, Treasury Interest, and 25% of all Severance Tax.
$130M transferred FY09/10
Legislative Cash Transfers
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010Est
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
CWCB’s Fund Equity Growth
Construction FundSeverance TaxLost Growth - CFLost Growth - ST
EQU
ITY
(mill
ions
)
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011 Est.
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
CWCB’s Federal Mineral Lease and Severance Tax Revenues
Mineral Lease
Severance Tax
$ M
illio
ns
Program Impacts - CWCB• No New Loans 2010, 2011, - ?• No New Statewide or Basin Grants• No New Studies • Compact Compliance• Limited Resources for Satellite Monitor and
Stream Gauge Monitoring and Decision Support System
Program Impacts – (SEO)• Stream Gauge Monitoring Program at Risk• Reduced SEO Funding Levels:
– 2,900 Dams/Reservoir – 1,904 Jurisdictional– 118,000 AF of Restricted Storage Statewide– 243 SWSP’s reviewed 2008– 5,600 Well Permit Applications Reviewed– 1,174 Small/Large Capacity Well Permits Issue– Adm. of 14M AF of Annual Surface Diversions
Other Funding Options
• Water and Power Development Authority• USDA Rural Development• Natural Resources Conservation Service• Department of Local Affairs• Federal Projects
Summary
• Water shortage is not just a 2030/50 Issue• Conservation, Re-use, Alt. Transfer Methods• Additional Storage • Rehabilitation of Existing Infrastructure• Funding and Impacts• Get Involved