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THE BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered “likely” Voters

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March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

THE BATTLEGROUND POLL

A national survey of 1,000 Registered “likely” Voters

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you

feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

28%

21% 21%26% 26% 27%

30%27% 28%

34% 35%

8% 9% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6%

14%9% 7% 8%

64%70% 69%

65% 66% 66%63%

58%64%

59% 57%

3/20/2014 8/28/2014 12/11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016 12/1/2016 8/17/2017 3/8/2018 4/4/2019

Right direction Unsure Wrong track

Q1

Q1

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N=1,000 Registered “likely“ voters/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

32%31% 31%

29%

32%

39%

34%

24%26%

27%

30%

27%28%

34%35%

67%69%

65%66%66%

63%

58%

64%

59%57%

26%

21%21%

28%37%37%

28%

38%

32%33%

28%

38%

36%

34%40% 41%40% 39%

70%

64%

73%

59%

54%

59%

64%63%62%

72% 75%

59%

59%

61%

57%56%

57%55%

52%54%55%

56%

51%

62%

54%

67%

60%

6/1/04

8/1/04

10/1/04

3/1/05

10/1/05

2/1/06

9/1/06

7/1/09

12/1/09

4/8/10

8/1/10

9/21/10

10/21/10

5/12/11

9/1/11

11/11/11

2/12/12

5/1/12

8/12/12

9/20/12

9/27/12

10/18/12

11/5/12

12/6/12

10/31/13

1/16/14

3/14/14

8/28/14

12/11/14

5/7/15

4/20/16

9/1/16

10/13/16

12/1/16

8/17/17

3/8/18

4/4/19

Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure

Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do

you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

Q1

Q1

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Thinking now about the elections for Congress that will be held in November 2020…

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be

voting for…the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate, in your district?

Republican

37%

Undecided

21%

Democrat

42%

Q2

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals who have been mentioned in the news

recently. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a

favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so.

41%

37%

23%

42%

43%

55%

53%

46%

48%

46%

4%

7%

17%

10%

11%

3%

14%

Donald Trump

Nancy Pelosi

Mitch McConnell

The Republican Party

The Democratic Party

Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of

Q3-7

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

How would you rate the job Donald Trump has been doing as President?

Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

43%

4%

54%

42%

4%

55%

43%

5%

52%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

8/17/2017 3/8/2018 4/4/2019

Q3

Q8

31%

strongly

44%

strongly

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or

disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.

The economy

50%

51%

58%

6%

4%

5%

44%

45%

38%

8/17/2017

3/8/2018

4/4/2019

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Q4

Q9

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or

disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.

Foreign affairs

41%

38%

41%

6%

5%

5%

53%

56%

54%

8/17/2017

3/8/2018

4/4/2019

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Q5

Q10

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or

disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.

Taxes

47%

45%

5%

7%

48%

48%

3/8/2018

4/4/2019

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Q7-9

Q11

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or

disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.

Jobs

52%

57%

7%

9%

41%

34%

3/8/2018

4/4/2019

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Q7-9

Q12

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or

disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.

Immigration

42%

41%

2%

3%

56%

56%

3/8/2018

4/4/2019

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Q10-13

Q14

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or

disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.

Health care

38%

34%

6%

9%

56%

58%

3/8/2018

4/4/2019

Approve Unsure Disapprove

Q10-13

Q15

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Which of the following views about Donald Trump comes closest to your own?

49%

20%

27%

Donald Trump’s style and comments are

frequently insulting, and he has the wrong

approach on many issues

Donald Trump’s style and language bother me,

but he is raising important issues

Donald Trump tells it like it is and he has the

right approach on the issues I care most about

Q1

Q16

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Would you say that you have a favorable or unfavorable impression about

Congress as a whole?

17%

5%

78%

25%

9%

67%

Favorable Unsure Unfavorable

3/8/2018 4/4/2019

Q14

Q17

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you approve or disapprove of the job that your Member of Congress is doing?

42%

13%

46%50%

13%

37%

54%

15%

31%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

8/17/2017 3/8/2018 4/4/2019

Q15

Q18

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you think your Member of Congress has been too supportive of President Donald Trump

or not supportive enough of President Trump, or just about right?

20%

33%31%

16%

20%

26%

41%

14%

18%

24%

42%

16%

Too supportive Not supportive enough Just about right Unsure

8/17/2017 3/8/2018 4/4/2019

Q16

Q19

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Do you think Donald Trump has performed his job as President well enough to deserve re-

election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance?

38%

5%

57%

Deserves re-election Unsure/depends on opponent New person a chance

Q20

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Now, I would like to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who you

think would do a better job of handling this issue -- President Donald Trump or the Democrats in Congress. Split Sample Version A

50%

52%

47%

32%

40%

40%

44%

59%

5%

3%

5%

4%

6%

5%

3%

5%

Jobs

The economy

Taxes

Education

Donald Trump Dems in Congress None Unsure

Q21A-24A

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Now, I would like to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who you

think would do a better job of handling this issue -- President Donald Trump or the Democrats in Congress. Split Sample Version A

35%

42%

48%

37%

55%

51%

43%

43%

4%

4%

6%

8%

6%

4%

3%

12%

Health care

Immigration

National security

Dealing with special

interests

Donald Trump Dems in Congress None Unsure

Q25A-28A

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Now, I would like to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who you

think would do a better job of handling this issue -- the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress. Split Sample Version B

46%

49%

41%

30%

38%

37%

43%

54%

8%

8%

8%

9%

8%

6%

8%

7%

Jobs

The economy

Taxes

Education

GOP in Congress Dems in Congress None Unsure

Q21B-24B

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

Now, I would like to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, who you

think would do a better job of handling this issue -- the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress. Split Sample Version B

30%

40%

48%

28%

54%

48%

38%

42%

10%

7%

5%

16%

7%

6%

9%

14%

Health care

Immigration

National security

Dealing with special

interests

GOP in Congress Dems in Congress None Unsure

Q25B-28B

March 31-April 4, 2019 / N = 1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

How worried are you that the United States will suffer another economic downturn which will

negatively affect your family?

24%

35%

25%

15%

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Q1

Q29