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MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil MARLON ARRAES J. LEAL Coordinator - Renewable Fuels Department Paris, September 16 th , 2010 Sustainable feedstock supply for bioenergy and biofuels IEA Biofuels Roadmap Workshop Discussion 3 Sustainable land use and biomass production

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Page 1: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY

The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil

MARLON ARRAES J. LEALCoordinator - Renewable Fuels Department

Paris, September 16th , 2010

Sustainable feedstock supply for bioenergy and biofuels

IEA – Biofuels Roadmap Workshop

Discussion 3 – Sustainable land use and biomass production

Page 2: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Introduction – Biofuels Market in Brazil

Page 3: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

97.5%

2.5%Fósseis

Biocombustíveis

74%

26%

Fósseis

Biocombustíveis

Biofuels versus Fossil Fuels

... Brazil

World

2008 DATA (Source: BP / MME)

Medium and light derivatives considered: Diesel, Gasoline and Jet Fuel

0,08 x 1012 liters/year

3,3 x 1012 liters/year

69 x 109 liters/year

24 x 109 liters/year

Fossil

Fossil

Biofuels

Fossil

Biofuels

Page 4: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

33

64

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

10³ bpd Billion liters

Brazilian Ethanol Production - Ten Year Plan (2010/2019)

ethanol: strong expansion in domestic market

Source: MME/ PDE (Ten Year Plan) (2010-2019)

54% of Otto-Cyclevehicles demand

(in volume)

Page 5: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Jan/03 Jul/03 Jan/04 Jul/04 Jan/05 Jul/05 Jan/06 Jul/06 Jan/07 Jul/07 Jan/08 Jul/08 Jan/09 Jul/09 Jan/10 Jul/10

Flex Álcool Gasolina Diesel

Source: ANFAVEA

Elaboration: MME

Allows any mixture of hydrous ethanol and gasoline C (E25 to E100)

In 2009, vehicle sales registered a growth of 11% in comparison to 2008, and the historical record of 3 million vehicles was reached. Flex-fuel sales represented 88.2% in 2009.

Since 2003, until June/2010, more than 11 million flex-fuel vehicles were commercialized and its share in total light vehicles fleet is estimated in 37%.

Flex-fuel sales:

From zero to 80% in 3 years!

Flex Fuel Fleet Growth:The main driver for ethanol market expansion

Page 6: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

The Agro-ecological sugarcane zoning in Brazil and, from this example, what can

be done in other countries

Page 7: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy Brazilian Agro-ecological zoning:Rules to Guide the Sugarcane Expansion

To indicate the potential areas for sugarcane expansion production withoutenvironmental restrictions and that are already used or degraded;

To exclude the production of sugarcane in the biomes of Amazon, Pantanal andUpper Paraguay River Basin;

To indicate preferably degraded or pasture areas, minimizing any competitionwith food production;

To indicate potential areas with agricultural potential without full irrigation,considering climate, soil conditions and varieties to select areas where sugarcaneproduction uses the least quantity of water possible;

To indicate areas with slope up to 12% in order to allow the use of machines at the tilling. This will avoid new induced fire areas for sugarcane manual cut and orient the expansion with mechanical harvesting.

The Brazilian sugarcane agro-ecological zoning was coordinated by the Ministry of Agriculture, together with the Ministry of Environment, the Ministry of Mines and Energy and the Ministry of

Finance, with technical assistance of EMBRAPA (Public Enterprise of Agriculture Research)

Page 8: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Aditional constraints

Areas without

environmental

restrictionsAreas with slope

up to 12%

SOIL

MAPS

CLIMATE

DATA

Inputs of soil

restrictions criteria

Areas with adequate

soil conditionsAreas with adequate

climate conditions

Potential areas for

sugarcane production

Assessment of

actual agriculture

use

Inputs of climate

restrictions criteria

State Validation

Phase

Brazilian Agro-ecological zoning:The areas selection

Page 9: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

LAND USE IN BRAZIL

Source: MAPA/Embrapa (2010)

...and sugarcane agro-ecologic zoning

• Suitable areas identified sum up to 64 million hectares (or 7.5% of the territory)

• Currently, sugarcane for ethanol corresponds to 4.2 million hectares or 1% of arable lands.

Page 10: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

...and sugarcane agro-ecologic zoning

• Suitable areas identified sum up to 64 million hectares (or 7.5% of the territory)

• Currently, sugarcane for ethanol corresponds to 4.2 million hectares or 1% of arable lands.

Available for

Expansion

99.8 mi Ha

(11.7%)

Pastures

172.3 mi Ha

(20.2%)

Non-Arable

Areas

502.2 mi Ha

(59%)

Annual and

Permanent

Food Crops

70.3 mi Ha

(8.3%)

Sugar-Cane for

ETHANOL

4.2 mi Ha (0.5%)

Oilseed Crops

for BIODIESEL

2.2 mi Ha (0.3%)

LAND USE IN BRAZIL

Page 11: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy Brazilian Agro-ecological zoning:The results

The Brazilian Government

published in September, 17th 2009

the Decree Nº 6.961/2009 that:

“Approves the sugarcane agri-

ecological zoning and determines the

National Monetary Council¹ to

establish the rules of financing/credit

operations for the sugarcane sector in

the terms of the agri-ecological

zoning.”

¹ National Monetary Council is the Brazilian higher instance

responsible for making the rules of credit and monetary policies.

The council is presided by the Ministry of Finance

Page 12: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

The Agri-ecological zoning methodology as key-instrument for technical cooperation. Brazilian cooperation in other countries.

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 13: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Biofuel Project

FeasibilityAnalysis

Data Book &Road Show

Implementation Operation

Phase I Phase IIIPhase II Phase IV

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 14: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Land Suitability for Biofuel Crops

Recommendation

Phase I – Feasibility Analysis

Production Capability

MAPSLand CapabilitiesAgro-climaticZones

RESULTSInvestmentsRegulationsInfrastructureEnvironmental Issues

CROPS SELECTIONPotentialInappropriate

Phase II

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 15: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Phase II – Data Book

Projects Road ShowData Book

PROJECTSAgriculturalIndustrial FinancialEnvironmentalLegal & Regulatory

COMPILATION INVESTORS

Phase IIIImplementation

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 16: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy Example Phase I

Agroclimatic Zoning Land CapabilityLand Suitability

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 17: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Area of interest

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 18: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Page 19: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Open area: 12.654 haNatural area: 8.963 ha

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 20: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Field validation:• Actual infrastructure status• Biodiversity conservation• Field evidence

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 21: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Local communities

Local communities

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 22: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Potential area

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 23: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Phase I – Feasibility Study

General Progress Report

Partner Country Status

Dominican Republican Completed.

El Salvador Completed.

Saint Kitts and Nevis Completed.

Haiti Completed.

Honduras On Standby.

Guatemala Completed.

Jamaica Waiting for Financing.

Senegal Completed.

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 24: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Phase II – Feasibility Study

Dominican Republican

El Salvador

Haiti

General Progress Report

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 25: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Ethanol Distillery: Usulutan Region

Feasibility study for El Salvador’s potential to produce ethanol. Sponsored by MINEC (Ministry ofEconomy).

Presentation of the M.O.U. phase II to MINEC.

El Salvador

Project

Milling: 1.5 million tons per year.

Total ethanol production: 135 million liters per year.

Electricity co-generation.

Agricultural cooperative.

Volume of Ethanol: 20% of the country’s gasolineconsumption.

Data Book: El Salvador

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 26: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Data Book: Dominican Republic

Ethanol Distillery: Monte Plata Region

Presentation of Phase II T.O.R. of the M.O.U. to the CNE (National Energy Committee).

Presentation of Phase I and Phase II T.O.R. of the M.O.U. in the International Seminar on biofuels.

Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic.

Project

Milling: 2.0 million tons per year.

Total ethanol production: 170 million liters per year.

Electricity co-generation.

Agricultural cooperative.

Volume of Ethanol: 12% of the country’sgasoline consumption.

Dominican Republic

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 27: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

Ministry of Mines

and Energy

Data Book: Dominican Republic

Thermoelectric Power Plant – Les Cayes Region

Presentation of phase I to Haiti government on June, 2009.

Meeting with Fonkose financial services to present the second phase of the M.O.U. Fonkose will beable to finance the agricultural cooperative.

Project

Biomass Production: 28.,000 tons per year.

Total electricity production : 5MWh.

Agricultural cooperative.

Incremental Capacity: 8.25 to 13.25 MWh offer inLes Cayes region.

3 Modules

5 MW

Haiti

Copyright © FGV Projetos 1996 - 2010 (used with permission)

Page 28: The Agro-ecological Sugarcane Zoning in Brazil · Bioenergy Conference: discuss the future paths of the energy matrix of the Dominican Republic. Project Milling: 2.0 million tons

MINISTRY OF MINES AND ENERGY

THANK YOU

MARLON ARRAES J. LEALRenewable Fuels Department

[email protected]