thayer the south china sea and asean
TRANSCRIPT
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South China Sea Time Line
2007 deteriora4on 200809 Chinese asser4veness 2010 Core issue/interna4onaliza4on 2010 China backs off
Fishing incidents with Vietnam declineNo observable pressure on US companiesResump4on of ASEANChina Joint Working Groupon Implemen4ng DOC
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Na4onal Mari4me Strategy to
2010
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Sansha County
level City, Hainan
Island [Paracels,
Zhongsha
(Macclesfield
Bank) and SpratlyIslands]
established
November 2007
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An4China Student Demonstra4ons
Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City
on 9th and 16th Dec. 2007
Chinas Invasion Plan Postedon Chinese web sites in August
2008
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Chinese Unilateral Fishing Ban
May 16-August 1, 2009
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Extended Con4nental Shelf May 2009
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ChinasResponse to
Claims for
ExtendedCon4nental
Shelf
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USS George Washington Aug 2010
USS JohnD. Stennis
April 2009
USS Florida SSGN, Pacific
Command December 2009
USS George H.W. Bush Aug 2010
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Vietnamese Naval Modernisa4on
BPS 500 Missile Boat
3 Gepardclass Guided Missile Frigates
12 Svetlyakclass Fast Aack Cra
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China 5 SSBNs by
2010
Singapore 2 (AIP)
Malaysia 2
Indonesia 3?
Vietnam 6
Australia 12
US submarine redeployments to
Western PacificVietnam recently purchased six Project
636 diesel engine Kiloclass submarines
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1st Joint Naval Engagement
Ac4vi4es (Aug 2010)
15th Anniversary of USVietnam Diploma4c Rela4ons
USS John S. McCain makes port call Da Nang
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North Sea
Fleet anchorsat Fiery Cross
Reef
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MarchApril 2010East Sea and North
Sea Fleets conductmajor exercises
beyond First Island
Chain
Vietnamesefishing cra
swarm around a
Chinese fishery
vessel in Spratlys
PLAN warshipsintervene
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Vietnams Three Nos and the Offer of
Cam Ranh Bay
1. No military alliances2. No foreign military bases on Vietnamese
territory
3. No use of third countries to combatanother country
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Interna4onalizing the South
China Sea Dispute
Core interest (March and May 2010) ShangriLa Dialogue (June) 3rd ASEAN Foreign Ministers Mee4ng (July) 17th ASEAN Regional Forum (July) 2nd U.S.ASEAN Leaders Mee4ng (September)
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Interna4onalizing the South
China Sea Dispute
1st ADMM Plus mee4ng (October)ADSOM PlusExpert Working Groups
17th ASEAN Summit (October) ASEANChina Joint Working Group on
Implemen4ng the DOC reconvenes
President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyonosinterven4on re East Asia Summit
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11th Party Congress
. Development goals and tasks for the201115 period
Overall goals set forth for the country in thenext five years are: enhance externalac4vi4es; firmly defend na4onalindependence, sovereignty and territorialintegrity; thus crea4ng a founda4on for thena4on to become a modernorientedindustrialised country by 2020.
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11th Party Congress
The AsiaPacific, including Southeast Asia , willremain a region of dynamic development but alsocontain many factors possibly leading toinstabili4es. More territorial, sea and island
disputes will occur. New forces and intertwininginterests will take shape. ASEAN will con4nue tospeed up regional connec4vity and building acommunity with a more important role in the
region. However, many difficul4es and challengeslie ahead for the bloc.
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11th Party Congress
Intensifying the na4onal defence andsecurity strength and power; maintaining
sociopoli4cal stability, independence,
sovereignty, unity, territorial integrity, socialorder and security; preven4ng and foiling all
schemes and plots of hos4le forces;
comprehensively and effec4vely carrying out
external ac4vi4es and proac4vely taking partin interna4onal integra4on.