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Thank you For Reading…

• Welcome to the FIFTH issue of the TradingFibz,

LLC weekly supplemental newsletter.

• It is my hope that the newsletter will take on a

new look and add in additional features to make

this a useful weekly tool in addition to my weekly

video recap and outlook.

• Major changes already in action with a new

chart look this week and video outlook on select

markets in next several weeks.

Disclaimer • Trading Stock, Futures, options on stocks/ futures and

retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.

• You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources.

• You may lose all or more of your initial investment.

• The lower the day trade margin, the higher the leverage and riskier the trade.

• Leverage can work for you as well as against you; it magnifies gains as well as losses.

• Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

CFTC

• HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME

OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY

ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE

SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY

ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED

WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT

INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY

ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE,

THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING

PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO

ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER

FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY

SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE

PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN

ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.

Markets can remain irrational longer than

you can remain solvent.

– John Maynard Keynes

Recap/Outlook Video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=npbi6g-KSds&feature=youtu.be

Jesse Livermore said it best…

(modified gender neutral)

“The average person doesn’t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What they desire is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. They

want to get something for nothing. They do not wish to work. They do not even wish to have to think.”

….take my charts/comments for the value that it all may go in either direction and always be prepared

regardless of where you think it should be.

Is there really a Crystal Ball?

• While there are a plethora of weekend forecasts of where the market may be headed in the next week, in the end, only a margin of those who claim to “know where we are going” get it right. The other half get it wrong.

• Truth is I have no clue and this is the core of my belief to simply trade the charts in front of me. My outlook is simply based on a “where we are currently” in technical momentum and what you should know may lie ahead or behind whether you are an intraday, short or long term trader.

Chart Key

BIG PICTURE

SPX (4hr)

Technical Momentum: BULLISH

T3 Moving Average: Bullish Pullback

Last month TREND: Bullish Indecision; Last major pullback in 2011/2012

VIX (4r)

Technical Momentum: BEARISH

T3 Moving Average: Bearish trend under 50/200 moving averages

Low Range: 9.3

This week: Look for continued momentum on Heikin Ashi bars to low range until trend change on bars followed by T3 averages. 50 period moving averages for 1st line in the sand.

Big Picture Technical Momentum

• Short term

– Q1 Earnings Season – APPL, FB to move QQQ/NQ

– Resistance and testing 2015 highs.

– Watch for pullbacks to key fib levels.

– Watch VIX as it nears low range and holds below 50ema.

– End of the Month Window Dressing, FOMC minutes

• Long Term

– Retesting highs; look for key moving averages for support

– Open Gaps will eventually be closed below signifying market will return to 2015 lows.

KEY INDICES

Key Indices

T3 Momentum

SPX(SP500)

Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to

continue trend or counter to key moving averages.

$DXY (Dollar)



XAU (Gold/Silver)



XOI (Oil Index)



NYA (Composite Index)



INDUSTRY LEADERS

Industry Leaders

T3 Momentum

IYJ (industrials)



IYT (transportation)



XLB (materials)



XLE (energy)



XLF (financial)



XLK (technology)



XLP (consumer staples)



XLU (utilities)



XLV (health care)



FUTURES

Indices

Index Futures

T3 Momentum

ES

Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.

ES Daily – Open Gaps/Fibs

NQ


NQ Daily – Open Gaps/Fibs

TF


TF Daily – Open Gaps/Fibs

YM


YM Daily - Open Gaps/Fibs

6E


FUTURES

Commodities

CL


CL Daily - Fibs

GC


ETF FUTURES

ETF Futures

T3 Momentum

DIA



FXE



IWM



QQQ



SPY



GLD



USO



EEM (emerging markets)



TLT (20yr Bond)



MARKET CAP LEADERS

Market Cap Leaders

T3 Momentum

AAPL



AMZN



FB



GOOG



NFLX



SBUX



FX PAIRS

FX Pairs

T3 Momentum

AUD/USD



EUR/USD



GBP/USD



USD/CAD



USD/CHF



USD/JPY



TOTAL STOCK MARKET INDEX

ETF

Total Stock Index

T3 Momentum

IYY (Dow Jones)



VTI (Vanguard)



SCHB (Schwab)



WATCHLIST/HOLDINGS

Jason Kelly Strategy

Jason Kelly Strategy

T3 Momentum

Jason Kelly Quarter Signal:

BUY to achieve 3% growth

Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.

IJR (small cap)

Jason Kelly Quarter Signal:

BUY to achieve 3% growth

Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.

MVV (mid cap)

CONNECT WITH….

For more information…

If you are interested in attending a FREE session in the trading room, please email me

[email protected] For a complimentary Friday Session

mailto:[email protected]

Where to find me online…

Recommended Sites

• JasonKelly.com

• Shadowtrader.net

• Educofin.com

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