thailand strategy - osk188.co.th · given the current high level 2250of the set, 1with our...

15
Thailand Strategy See important disclosures at the end of this report 1 Powered by the EFA Platform 2 November 2017 Strategy - Thailand Overweight (maintained) Stocks Covered: 87 Price Correction Ratings (Buy/Neutral/Sell): 52 /20 /15 Last 12m Earnings Revision Trend: Neutral In October, the SET tested the 1,729 points level, which was close to the high level of 1,789 points established back in Jan 1994, as a result of the following: 1. A better GDP growth outlook; 2. Elections scheduled earlier; Thailand would hold its election eight months earlier than previously planned, in Nov 2018. Given that the SET trades at a high multiple of 17.7x P/E, corroborated with poor corporate earnings, we think that the market may experience a correction at any time. We point out the disappointing results of the Thai banks (-10% YoY, +5% QoQ) due to higher NPL provisions and the preparation of capital reserves to comply with the IFRS9 accounting standard to be implemented in 2019. We expect a price correction in November. SET index closed 1,721.37 pts (+2.9% MoM, +11.6% YTD) 2017’s SET target (5-year average 17.5x) 1,718 pts 2018’s SET target (5-year average 17.5x) 1,909 pts Upward target SET index from 16.58x to 17.51x Source: Bloomberg SET Index and the P/E band Source: Bloomberg Foreign net out flows in October Source: Bloomberg Short-term price risk. The SET index (SET) corrected by 56.79 points within three working days from 1,729 points (Oct 17, 2017) down to 1,673 points (Oct 19, 2017). The current index level may imply a further correction to take place in November. The market has rallied for three consecutive months since August, (+2.9% MoM, +11.6% YoY), and currently we see no catalysts present. On a monthly view, if the SET breaks above its recent peak of 1,729, a further rise at 1,749 is possible and we would recommend a “sell-into-strength” if this happens. However, if the SET fails to break the resistance of the 1,729 level, the index is likely to drift in a downside range of 1,729-1,670. Given the current high level of the SET, with our anticipation of a price correction in November, we advise a short-term strategy of an asset allocation with one-third in stocks and two-thirds cash. 3Q17 results and our recommendations. The eight listed Thai banks reported a combined net profit of THB40.7bn in 3Q17 (+5% QoQ, -10% YoY), and THB125.2bn (-5% YoY) for 9M17 largely due to higher provisions and reserves. For the upcoming results announcements, we see an overheating in the valuation of certain stocks. Therefore we take this opportunity to recommend (as per the table below) to “TAKE PROFIT” in AOT TB, BH TB, SIRI TB, TOP TB, WORK TB, and RS TB while we suggest to “SELL” KTB TB and QH TB. We recommend BUY for BJC TB, BDMS TB, PLAT TB and SPALI TB which we expect to have a good set of 3Q17 results; also we recently upgraded KBANK TB to “BUY” (from “Neutral”). Until all results are out by mid-November, corporate earnings would continue to be the catalysts to drive prices. Nonetheless, we see overall the 3Q17 sentiment on the results may not favour the market. Raising the target P/E for SET from 16.58x (7-year average) to 17.51x (5- year average). Fundamentally, we maintain the SET’s earnings growth forecast of 10.1% in 2017, and 11.1% in 2018. We have also raised the assigned target P/E from 16.58x, a 7-year average (1,627 pts) to 17.51x, a 5-year average (1,718 pts) for 2017F and 2018F. The Thai market looks pricey in the short-term but as it is approaching year-end, on a continuation of the GDP growth and an envisioned earnings expansion in 2018F, we recommend “OVERWEIGHT” for the next 12 months, with a target index level of 1,909. Source: Company data, RHB 2017E 2018E 2017E 2018E 98.11 109.02 795.71 850.22 15.23 1,494 1,660 1.89 1,506 1,609 16.58 1,627 1,808 2.03 1,618 1,729 17.51 1,718 1,909 2.05 1,632 1,743 18.72 1,837 2,041 2.09 1,662 1,776 19.00 1,864 2,071 2.15 1,711 1,828 SET Target 1,718 1,909 SET's mean P/E P/BV Market return 11.3% 11.1% 3-year 18.71 2.03 Div.Yield 3.0% 3.4% 5-year 17.51 2.09 Total return 14.4% 14.5% 7-year 16.58 2.05 ROE 12.3% 12.7% 10-year 15.23 1.89 EPS (THB) P/E (x) P/BV (x) BV (THB) R² = 0.8476 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000 2250 Dec-01Dec-02Dec-03Dec-04Dec-05Dec-06Dec-07Dec-08Dec-09Dec-10Dec-11Dec-12Dec-13Dec-14Dec-15Dec-16Dec-17Dec-18 P/E (x) 18.7 17.5 16.6 15.2 The SET Index: Mean P/E for 3yr = 18.7x, 5yr = 17.5x, 7yr = 16.6x, 10yr = 15.2x (40,000) (30,000) (20,000) (10,000) - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Local Institutes ProprietaryTrading Foreign Investors Local Investors THB m P/E (x) P/B (x) Yield (%) Dec-18F Dec-18F Dec-18F Bangkok Dusit Medical BUY THB21.20 THB24.00 13.2 37.0 5.6 1.6 Berli Jucker BUY THB53.50 THB59.50 11.2 30.9 1.9 1.6 Kasikornbank BUY THB220.00 THB251.00 14.1 12.2 1.4 2.0 Supalai BUY THB24.60 THB27.00 9.8 8.1 1.6 4.7 The Platinum Group BUY THB9.00 THB10.30 14.4 28.7 2.8 2.2 Krung Thai Bank SELL THB18.20 THB16.30 (10.4) 10.2 0.8 3.7 Quality Houses SELL THB2.94 THB2.40 (18.4) 10.4 1.2 3.8 Airports of Thailand TAKE PROFIT THB59.50 THB51.50 (13.4) 33.8 5.7 1.5 Bumrungrad Hospital TAKE PROFIT THB220.00 THB178.00 (19.1) 38.9 8.9 1.2 Sansiri PCL TAKE PROFIT THB2.34 THB2.00 (14.5) 10.7 1.1 3.8 Thai Oil TAKE PROFIT THB102.00 THB85.33 (16.3) 11.2 1.6 3.9 Workpoint Entertainment TAKE PROFIT THB98.00 THB80.00 (18.4) 36.3 11.4 1.9 Company Name Price Target % Upside (Downside) Rating Analyst Kasamapon Hamnilrat +66 2088 9739 [email protected]

Upload: danganh

Post on 07-Jul-2018

212 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Thailand Strategy

See important disclosures at the end of this report 1

Powered by the EFA Platform

2 November 2017

Strategy - Thailand Overweight (maintained)

Stocks Covered: 87 Price Correction Ratings (Buy/Neutral/Sell): 52 /20 /15

Last 12m Earnings Revision Trend: Neutral In October, the SET tested the 1,729 points level, which was close to the high level of 1,789 points established back in Jan 1994, as a result of the following: 1. A better GDP growth outlook; 2. Elections scheduled earlier; Thailand would hold its election eight

months earlier than previously planned, in Nov 2018. Given that the SET trades at a high multiple of 17.7x P/E, corroborated with poor corporate earnings, we think that the market may experience a correction at any time. We point out the disappointing results of the Thai banks (-10% YoY, +5% QoQ) due to higher NPL provisions and the preparation of capital reserves to comply with the IFRS9 accounting standard to be implemented in 2019. We expect a price correction in November.

SET index closed 1,721.37 pts (+2.9% MoM, +11.6% YTD) 2017’s SET target (5-year average 17.5x) 1,718 pts 2018’s SET target (5-year average 17.5x) 1,909 pts Upward target SET index from 16.58x to 17.51x

Source: Bloomberg

SET Index and the P/E band

Source: Bloomberg Foreign net out flows in October

Source: Bloomberg

Short-term price risk. The SET index (SET) corrected by 56.79 points within three working days from 1,729 points (Oct 17, 2017) down to 1,673 points (Oct 19, 2017). The current index level may imply a further correction to take place in November. The market has rallied for three consecutive months since August, (+2.9% MoM, +11.6% YoY), and currently we see no catalysts present. On a monthly view, if the SET breaks above its recent peak of 1,729, a further rise at 1,749 is possible and we would recommend a “sell-into-strength” if this happens. However, if the SET fails to break the resistance of the 1,729 level, the index is likely to drift in a downside range of 1,729-1,670. Given the current high level of the SET, with our anticipation of a price correction in November, we advise a short-term strategy of an asset allocation with one-third in stocks and two-thirds cash.

3Q17 results and our recommendations. The eight listed Thai banks reported a combined net profit of THB40.7bn in 3Q17 (+5% QoQ, -10% YoY), and THB125.2bn (-5% YoY) for 9M17 largely due to higher provisions and reserves. For the upcoming results announcements, we see an overheating in the valuation of certain stocks. Therefore we take this opportunity to recommend (as per the table below) to “TAKE PROFIT” in AOT TB, BH TB, SIRI TB, TOP TB, WORK TB, and RS TB while we suggest to “SELL” KTB TB and QH TB. We recommend BUY for BJC TB, BDMS TB, PLAT TB and SPALI TB which we expect to have a good set of 3Q17 results; also we recently upgraded KBANK TB to “BUY” (from “Neutral”). Until all results are out by mid-November, corporate earnings would continue to be the catalysts to drive prices. Nonetheless, we see overall the 3Q17 sentiment on the results may not favour the market. Raising the target P/E for SET from 16.58x (7-year average) to 17.51x (5-year average). Fundamentally, we maintain the SET’s earnings growth forecast of 10.1% in 2017, and 11.1% in 2018. We have also raised the assigned target P/E from 16.58x, a 7-year average (1,627 pts) to 17.51x, a 5-year average (1,718 pts) for 2017F and 2018F. The Thai market looks pricey in the short-term but as it is approaching year-end, on a continuation of the GDP growth and an envisioned earnings expansion in 2018F, we recommend “OVERWEIGHT” for the next 12 months, with a target index level of 1,909.

Source: Company data, RHB

2017E 2018E 2017E 2018E98.11 109.02 795.71 850.22

15.23 1,494 1,660 1.89 1,506 1,60916.58 1,627 1,808 2.03 1,618 1,72917.51 1,718 1,909 2.05 1,632 1,74318.72 1,837 2,041 2.09 1,662 1,77619.00 1,864 2,071 2.15 1,711 1,828

SET Target 1,718 1,909 SET's mean P/E P/BVMarket return 11.3% 11.1% 3-year 18.71 2.03Div.Yield 3.0% 3.4% 5-year 17.51 2.09Total return 14.4% 14.5% 7-year 16.58 2.05ROE 12.3% 12.7% 10-year 15.23 1.89

EPS (THB)P/E (x) P/BV (x)

BV (THB)

R² = 0.8476

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

1750

2000

2250

Dec-01Dec-02Dec-03Dec-04Dec-05Dec-06Dec-07Dec-08Dec-09Dec-10Dec-11Dec-12Dec-13Dec-14Dec-15Dec-16Dec-17Dec-18

P/E (x)

18.7

17.5

16.615.2

The SET Index: Mean P/E for 3yr = 18.7x, 5yr = 17.5x, 7yr = 16.6x, 10yr = 15.2x

(40,000) (30,000) (20,000) (10,000)

- 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Apr-1

6

May

-16

Jun-

16

Jul-1

6

Aug-

16

Sep-

16

Oct

-16

Nov

-16

Dec

-16

Jan-

17

Feb-

17

Mar

-17

Apr-1

7

May

-17

Jun-

17

Jul-1

7

Aug-

17

Sep-

17

Oct

-17

Local Institutes ProprietaryTradingForeign Investors Local Investors

THB m

P/E (x) P/B (x) Yield (%)Dec-18F Dec-18F Dec-18F

Bangkok Dusit Medical BUY THB21.20 THB24.00 13.2 37.0 5.6 1.6 Berli Jucker BUY THB53.50 THB59.50 11.2 30.9 1.9 1.6 Kasikornbank BUY THB220.00 THB251.00 14.1 12.2 1.4 2.0 Supalai BUY THB24.60 THB27.00 9.8 8.1 1.6 4.7 The Platinum Group BUY THB9.00 THB10.30 14.4 28.7 2.8 2.2 Krung Thai Bank SELL THB18.20 THB16.30 (10.4) 10.2 0.8 3.7 Quality Houses SELL THB2.94 THB2.40 (18.4) 10.4 1.2 3.8 Airports of Thailand TAKE PROFIT THB59.50 THB51.50 (13.4) 33.8 5.7 1.5 Bumrungrad Hospital TAKE PROFIT THB220.00 THB178.00 (19.1) 38.9 8.9 1.2 Sansiri PCL TAKE PROFIT THB2.34 THB2.00 (14.5) 10.7 1.1 3.8 Thai Oil TAKE PROFIT THB102.00 THB85.33 (16.3) 11.2 1.6 3.9 Workpoint Entertainment TAKE PROFIT THB98.00 THB80.00 (18.4) 36.3 11.4 1.9

Company Name Price Target% Upside

(Downside) Rating

Analyst Kasamapon Hamnilrat +66 2088 9739 [email protected]

Thailand Strategy

2 November 2017

See important disclosures at the end of this report 2

Conviction BUYs Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB, BUY, TP: THB24.00) has 45 hospitals under its umbrella, and increasing to 50 by 2020F; 9 top-tier hospitals in major provinces and Bangkok are Centres of Excellence. Focus is on the mid-to-high end customers and 30% of its revenue is from foreign patients. Our DCF-based TP is THB24.00 (WACC 8%, TG 2%).

i. Complete healthcare services from hospitals nationwide to top rated BDMS wellness clinics in Bangkok CBD to Chiva Transitional Care hospital;

ii. Better momentum moving forward given a pickup in the number of patients, improved margins from its record low in 2Q17 and less financing costs relating to convertible bonds;

iii. Solid long-term growth is expected given room for efficiency improvement, synergy of its hospital network, complete healthcare services and an influx of medical tourists from a strong government support.

Supalai (SPALI TB, BUY, TP: THB28.00) - we have a higher TP of THB28.00 (from THB27.00, 14% upside), pegged at 10x 2018F P/E, given:

i. Its attempt to upgrade from a low-end developer into a more aggressive mid- to high-end well-diversified developer, with upcoming mixed use commercial property in Bangkok’s CBD;

ii. Massive backlog, which could ensure a double-digit earnings growth over the next few years;

iii. Strong presales momentum to continue, particularly with a potential recovery in demand from upcountry.

The Platinum Group (PLAT TB, BUY TP: THB10.30) operates mixed-use shopping malls and hotels in Bangkok and Koh Samui. Two-thirds of its sales comes from sources that offer recurring turnover. Our DCF-based TP is THB10.30 (WACC 8.7%, TG 3%) and it implies a 33x FY18F P/E.

i. The Platinum Pratunam delivered a splendid performance; major contract renewal at its wholesale mall in 2017F and 2019F would be earnings growth catalyst, while its successful Novotel hotel has a c.90% occupancy rate;

ii. Plans to open “The Market Bangkok” in 4Q18F, which is a retail mall with 3x larger NLA than The Platinum Pratunam, focusing on the lower-middle income segment;

iii. We expect earnings to grow by 11% this year, 13% in 2018, and increase to 41% in 2019, on the back of new project openings, the rental rate hike and economies of scale in its operations that would lead to opex savings.

iv. A strong outlook for Thailand’s tourism and a focus on wholesales at its key shopping malls should help limit concerns over online retail trade

Kasikornbank (KBANK TB, BUY, TP: THB251.00). We anticipate more sustainable fundamentals for KBANK, given:

i. A growth rebound;

ii. Softer credit cost policy;

iii. An uptrend in ROEs going forward.

The bank has also strengthened its balance sheet to both counter possibly higher NPLs and ahead of the advent of IFRS 9 in 2019. We project earnings to return to a growth of 14.1-10.1% YoY for 2018-2019 (2017: -6%) and ROE to increase for 2018F. We maintain our BUY call, with a new GGM-based THB251.00 TP (from THB237.00, 14% upside).

Thailand Strategy

2 November 2017

See important disclosures at the end of this report 3

TAKE PROFIT and SELL recommendations

Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB, SELL, TP: THB16.30). We anticipate a deterioration in KTB’s asset quality, leading to high provisions and eroded profitability going forward. The bank has the lowest LLC ratio, as well as low and required reserves when compared to peer banks. It might have to set aside extra provisions for 4Q17F and 2018F, in order to maintain its LLC ratio at a comfortable level and prepare for IFRS 9. We revise down our earnings projections by 13-20% for 2017-2019F. Downgrade to SELL (from Neutral), with a lower GGM-based THB16.30 TP (from THB18.40, 11% downside).

Sansiri (SIRI TB, TAKE PROFIT, TP: THB 2.00). We maintain our TAKE PROFIT call on Sansiri due to its challenging full-year presales target, limited future growth (as presales/new launch/earnings are on a high base), high reliance on foreign buyers, below industry average margins and ROEs (given excessive marketing expenses), and high gearing levels in line with its aggressive business style. Our new TP of THB2.00 (from THB1.90, 13% downside) is based on a 2018F P/E of 9x or at a slight premium to its long-term mean P/E of 8x.

Thai Oil (TOP TB, TAKE PROFIT, TP: THB85.33). We recommend TAKE PROFIT as Thai Oil’s share price has surpassed our revised TP. As a result of our expectations of stronger earnings this year in 3Q and 4Q, we revised our earnings up by 32% to take into account the stronger spreads, as well as stock gains (c.THB2.8bn). We also believe that 2018-2019F would see a continuous strong refined product demand and similar GRM as that of 2017 at c.USD6/bbl. We have adjusted the refinery run rate at 109% from 100%. However for 2019F, we assumed that the refinery run rate would decrease to 95% as a result of an expected 45-day planned major turnaround.

Airports of Thailand (AoT) (AOT TB, TAKE PROFIT, TP: THB51.50). TAKE PROFIT on stretched valuations. Our conservative FY18F DCF-based TP dips to THB51.50, implying a 30x P/E or 1.5SD above its 5-year historical mean. Despite AoT’s favourable long-term business outlook, we believe the expectations on its far-off investment activities – of which details remain uncertain – have been overly priced in. Its current valuations are also too demanding. AoT is trading above 2SD from its P/E mean, at 40x FY17 P/E and 35x FY18 P/E. Compared to its regional peer, it may book lower EPS growth in FY17-18F, but it has too much premium on P/E and P/BV. We recommend investors to TAKE PROFIT and revisit at more reasonable valuation levels.

Workpoint Entertainment (WORK TB, TAKE PROFIT, TP: THB80.00). We expect Workpoint to perform very well in the second half, thanks to a record high ads rate in 3Q17. A break for the Royal Cremation ceremony of the late King Bhumibol Adulyadej would be around three weeks in October, unlike the mourning period last year which lasted around three months. However, given a high base in 2017, its future growth should normalise starting with next year. Hence, the company does not deserve such a high premium compared to its long-term outlook. Recommend TAKE PROFIT with a FY18F TP of THB80.00 (9.3% WACC and 2% TG).

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB, TAKE PROFIT, TP: THB178.00). Thailand’s premium hospital in Bangkok’s CBD; 65% of its patient revenue comes from international patients. DCF-based TP is THB178.00 (WACC 8%, TG 2%). Now trades at a premium to other Thai and regional hospitals

i. Peak season in 3Q as usual, given the end of the Ramadan period and rainy season in Thailand. Hence, we expect revenue and earnings to grow at single-digit rates in the range of 6-8% YoY;

ii. Volume set to decline at a slower rate. To compensate for the loss of Middle East patients, Bumrungrad has been able to drive growth with patients from Myanmar and Cambodia to c.13% from c.8-9% during 2012-2013. The next step is to boost spending per head for patients from CLMV;

iii. Its 3-year renovation programme is still ongoing. We expect the renovation at BI Tower to be completed by end-2017, and be fully operational by next year. New construction ie BI Hospital Annex on Soi1/1 and Petchburi campus should kick off in the medium term.

Thailand Strategy

2 November 2017

See important disclosures at the end of this report 4

Figure 1: The SET index and the key events (strong resistance at 18x or 1,765 pts)

Source: RHB

Figure 2: The movement of TIPs market indices

Source: Bloomberg

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

1750

2000

2250

2500

Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18

P/E (x)

1918

20

17

16

1413

21

15QE2 ended

QE2 announced

QE1 ended

QE3 announced

Coup d'etat in May 22, 2014

Slumped in oil price - Oil & Gas sector posted net loss

Greece reject austeritydemanded by creditors , concerns on Thai bank's NPLs

Ratchaprasong bomb blast

Operation Twist announced

The beginning of Euro debt crisisYellow shirt uprising

against Thaksin government

PDRC protest against Yingluck government

US subprime crisis & QE 1 announced

QE1 expanded

Operation Twist extended

QE3 endedQE3 expanded

China stocks rout stings global equities and oil price

Paris bomb blast

BREXIT

Thailand constitution referendum Aug'07

Thailandconstitution referendum Aug'16

Late King passing

Fed ratehiked

GDP upward revision, Election set for Nov'18

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

Oct

-12

Nov

-12

Dec

-12

Jan-

13Fe

b-13

Mar

-13

Apr

-13

May

-13

Jun-

13Ju

l-13

Aug

-13

Sep

-13

Oct

-13

Nov

-13

Dec

-13

Jan-

14Fe

b-14

Mar

-14

Apr

-14

May

-14

Jun-

14Ju

l-14

Aug

-14

Sep

-14

Oct

-14

Nov

-14

Dec

-14

Jan-

15Fe

b-15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15Ju

l-15

Aug

-15

Sep

-15

Oct

-15

Nov

-15

Dec

-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

Apr

-16

May

-16

Jun-

16Ju

l-16

Aug

-16

Sep

-16

Oct

-16

Nov

-16

Dec

-16

Jan-

17Fe

b-17

Mar

-17

Apr

-17

May

-17

Jun-

17Ju

l-17

Aug

-17

Sep

-17

JCI Index (LHS) PCOMP Index (LHS) SET Index (RHS)

Thailand Strategy

2 November 2017

See important disclosures at the end of this report 5

Figure 3: The SET Index (23 years high) Figure 4: The SET’s P/E

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

Figure 5: The JCI Index (new record high) Figure 6: The JCI’s P/E

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

Figure 7: The PCOMP Index (new record high) Figure 8: The PCOMP’s P/E

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

0200400600800

100012001400160018002000

Apr

-93

Jun-

94

Aug

-95

Oct

-96

Dec

-97

Feb-

99

Apr

-00

Jun-

01

Aug

-02

Oct

-03

Dec

-04

Feb-

06

Apr

-07

Jun-

08

Aug

-09

Oct

-10

Dec

-11

Feb-

13

Apr

-14

Jun-

15

Aug

-16

Oct

-17

Index VolumeThailand

17.16X

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

Jan-

02A

ug-0

2M

ar-0

3O

ct-0

3M

ay-0

4D

ec-0

4Ju

l-05

Feb-

06S

ep-0

6A

pr-0

7N

ov-0

7Ju

n-08

Jan-

09A

ug-0

9M

ar-1

0O

ct-1

0M

ay-1

1D

ec-1

1Ju

l-12

Feb-

13S

ep-1

3A

pr-1

4N

ov-1

4Ju

n-15

Jan-

16A

ug-1

6M

ar-1

7O

ct-1

7

P/E (x) 2002-2017

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Nov

-95

Jan-

97

Mar

-98

May

-99

Jul-0

0

Sep

-01

Nov

-02

Jan-

04

Mar

-05

May

-06

Jul-0

7

Sep

-08

Nov

-09

Jan-

11

Mar

-12

May

-13

Jul-1

4

Sep

-15

Nov

-16

Index VolumeJakata

22.12X

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

Dec

-02

Jun-

03D

ec-0

3Ju

n-04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05D

ec-0

5Ju

n-06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07D

ec-0

7Ju

n-08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09D

ec-0

9Ju

n-10

Dec

-10

Jun-

11D

ec-1

1Ju

n-12

Dec

-12

Jun-

13D

ec-1

3Ju

n-14

Dec

-14

Jun-

15D

ec-1

5Ju

n-16

Dec

-16

Jun-

17

P/E (x) 2002-2017

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

Index VolumePhilippines

23.27x

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

Dec

-02

Jul-0

3Fe

b-04

Sep

-04

Apr

-05

Nov

-05

Jun-

06Ja

n-07

Aug

-07

Mar

-08

Oct

-08

May

-09

Dec

-09

Jul-1

0Fe

b-11

Sep

-11

Apr

-12

Nov

-12

Jun-

13Ja

n-14

Aug

-14

Mar

-15

Oct

-15

May

-16

Dec

-16

Jul-1

7

P/E (x) 2002-2017

Thailand Strategy

2 November 2017

See important disclosures at the end of this report 6

Figure 9: THB vs the US dollar index (after diverging in mid-May, THB is relatively stronger than the USD)

Figure 10: IDR vs the US dollar index (after diverging in mid-May 2017, IDR turns weaker than the USD)

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

Figure 11: Philippines Peso vs the US dollar index (after diverging in mid-May, the Peso turned weaker than the USD

Figure 12: Foreign portfolio investment in equities market (outflowing from the JCI market)

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

Figure 13: Foreign portfolio investment in bond market (invest more in TIP’s bond market)

Figure 14: TIPs market fund flows – Indonesia has experienced fund outflows since August

Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg

31.0

32.0

33.0

34.0

35.0

36.0

37.0

9092949698

100102104

Oct

-16

Nov

-16

Nov

-16

Nov

-16

Dec

-16

Dec

-16

Jan-

17Ja

n-17

Jan-

17Fe

b-17

Feb-

17M

ar-1

7M

ar-1

7M

ar-1

7Ap

r-17

Apr-1

7M

ay-1

7M

ay-1

7Ju

n-17

Jun-

17Ju

n-17

Jul-1

7Ju

l-17

Aug-

17Au

g-17

Aug-

17Se

p-17

Sep-

17O

ct-1

7O

ct-1

7

DXY Curncy USD/THB (RHS)

12600

12800

13000

13200

13400

13600

13800

9092949698

100102104

Oct

-16

Nov

-16

Nov

-16

Nov

-16

Dec

-16

Dec

-16

Jan-

17Ja

n-17

Feb-

17Fe

b-17

Mar

-17

Mar

-17

Apr-1

7Ap

r-17

May

-17

May

-17

May

-17

Jun-

17Ju

n-17

Jul-1

7Ju

l-17

Aug-

17Au

g-17

Sep-

17Se

p-17

Oct

-17

Oct

-17

DXY Curncy USD/IDR (RHS)

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

90

92

94

96

98

100

102

104

Oct

-16

Nov

-16

Nov

-16

Nov

-16

Dec

-16

Dec

-16

Jan-

17Ja

n-17

Jan-

17Fe

b-17

Feb-

17M

ar-1

7M

ar-1

7M

ar-1

7Ap

r-17

Apr-1

7M

ay-1

7M

ay-1

7Ju

n-17

Jun-

17Ju

n-17

Jul-1

7Ju

l-17

Aug-

17Au

g-17

Aug-

17Se

p-17

Sep-

17O

ct-1

7O

ct-1

7

DXY Curncy USD/PHP (RHS)

-35

176 457

-739 -195

-573

-1,379

-2,612

-3 -34

1,032

425

-3000

-2500

-2000

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

WTD MTD YTD 12M

Thailand - NetFund flow inEquity (USDMillion)

Indonesia - NetFund flow inEquity (USDMillion)

Philippines - NetFund flow inEquity (USDMillion)

-4 -85

8,562 7,216

37

-877

10,275 9,622

0 331 1,058

2,171

-2000

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

WTD MTD YTD 12M

Thailand - NetFund flow in Fixedincome (USDMillion)

Indonesia - NetFund flow in Fixedincome (USDMillion)

Philippines - NetFund flow in Fixedincome (USDMillion)

Thailand Strategy

2 November 2017

See important disclosures at the end of this report 7

Figure 15: Correlation between the SET index and the energy sector index (which contributed 31% of total net profit and 20% of market capitalization to the SET index)

Source: Bloomberg

Figure 16: SETEnergy index vs WTI Crude Oil (rebased from October 2007 = 100). After the slump in oil price, the SETEnergy index has turned to trade at a premium to the WTI oil price

Source: Bloomberg

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

22000

24000

26000

Oct

-12

Nov

-12

Jan-

13Fe

b-13

Apr

-13

May

-13

Jun-

13A

ug-1

3S

ep-1

3O

ct-1

3D

ec-1

3Ja

n-14

Mar

-14

Apr

-14

May

-14

Jul-1

4A

ug-1

4O

ct-1

4N

ov-1

4D

ec-1

4Fe

b-15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

Jun-

15Ju

l-15

Sep

-15

Oct

-15

Nov

-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

May

-16

Jun-

16A

ug-1

6S

ep-1

6O

ct-1

6D

ec-1

6Ja

n-17

Mar

-17

Apr

-17

May

-17

Jul-1

7A

ug-1

7S

ep-1

7

SETENERG Index SET Index (RHS)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Oct

-07

Jan-

08M

ar-0

8Ju

n-08

Aug

-08

Nov

-08

Feb-

09A

pr-0

9Ju

l-09

Sep

-09

Dec

-09

Mar

-10

May

-10

Aug

-10

Oct

-10

Jan-

11M

ar-1

1Ju

n-11

Sep

-11

Nov

-11

Feb-

12A

pr-1

2Ju

l-12

Oct

-12

Dec

-12

Mar

-13

May

-13

Aug

-13

Oct

-13

Jan-

14A

pr-1

4Ju

n-14

Sep

-14

Nov

-14

Feb-

15M

ay-1

5Ju

l-15

Oct

-15

Dec

-15

Mar

-16

Jun-

16A

ug-1

6N

ov-1

6Ja

n-17

Apr

-17

Jul-1

7S

ep-1

7

SETENERG Index WTI Crude Oil ($/BBL)

Thailand Strategy

2 November 2017

See important disclosures at the end of this report 8

Figure 17: Foreign investors net buy/sell Figure 18: Local institution net buy/sell

Source: SET Smart, RHB Source: SET Smart, RHB

Figure 19: Local investors (retails) net buy/sell Figure 20: Proprietary trading net buy/sell

Source: SET Smart, RHB Source: SET Smart, RHB

List of reports issued during the past week (24 - 27 Oct) Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB, SELL (from Neutral), TP: THB16.30) Krung Thai Bank : Not Out Of The Woods Yet

Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB, BUY (from Neutral), TP: THB237.00) Kasikornbank: Anticipating a Growth Rebound

Media Media: The Good News Is Already Priced In

Kiatnakin Bank (KKP TB, NEUTRAL, TP: THB76.00) Kiatnakin Bank : Despite High Dividend, Growth Slowdown

Banks Banks: Growth Rebound Intact

48,611

12,287

55,437 30,227

(3,134)

(33,068)(6,426)

14,338

(24,609)

5,612

118,542

83,446 55,018

(162,346)

38,231

81,724

(5,119)

76,388

(193,911)

(36,584)

(154,346)

77,909

2,541

-250,000

-200,000

-150,000

-100,000

-50,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

YTD

(THB m)

(2,329)

(17,722)(22,453)

(3,239)(2,872)

(948)(538)

13,708

19,573

6,236

(51,204)

(12,757)

3,764

45,177

(2,303)(15,200)

(29,149)(24,302)

108,163

71,424 79,054

(8,653)

66,783

-60,000

-40,000

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

YTD

(THB m)

(46,283)

5,434

(32,984)(26,987)

6,006

34,016

6,963

(28,046)

5,036

(8,702)

(67,217)(71,772)

(57,181)

116,246

(37,316)

(66,075)

32,962

(59,342)

87,471

(38,421)

81,708

(94,628)(81,252)

-150,000

-100,000

-50,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

(THB m)

(3,758)(4,786)

(6,838)

(6,176)

(1,275)

177 1,719

20

(665)(3,146)

(121)

1,084

(1,601)

924 1,388

(449)

1,307

7,256

(1,723)

3,582

(6,418)

25,372

11,910

(15,000)

(10,000)

(5,000)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

YTD

(THB m)

Thailand Strategy

9

RHB Guide to Investment Ratings Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months Take Profit: Target price has been attained. Look to accumulate at lower levels Sell: Share price may fall by more than 10% over the next 12 months Not Rated: Stock is not within regular research coverage

Investment Research Disclaimers RHB has issued this report for information purposes only. This report is intended for circulation amongst RHB and its affiliates’ clients generally or such persons as may be deemed eligible by RHB to receive this report and does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. This report is not intended, and should not under any circumstances be construed as, an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities referred to herein or any related financial instruments. This report may further consist of, whether in whole or in part, summaries, research, compilations, extracts or analysis that has been prepared by RHB’s strategic, joint venture and/or business partners. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of such information and accordingly investors should make their own informed decisions before relying on the same. This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to the applicable laws or regulations. By accepting this report, the recipient hereof (i) represents and warrants that it is lawfully able to receive this document under the laws and regulations of the jurisdiction in which it is located or other applicable laws and (ii) acknowledges and agrees to be bound by the limitations contained herein. Any failure to comply with these limitations may constitute a violation of applicable laws. All the information contained herein is based upon publicly available information and has been obtained from sources that RHB believes to be reliable and correct at the time of issue of this report. However, such sources have not been independently verified by RHB and/or its affiliates and this report does not purport to contain all information that a prospective investor may require. The opinions expressed herein are RHB’s present opinions only and are subject to change without prior notice. RHB is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information and opinions expressed herein or to provide the recipient with access to any additional information. Consequently, RHB does not guarantee, represent or warrant, expressly or impliedly, as to the adequacy, accuracy, reliability, fairness or completeness of the information and opinion contained in this report. Neither RHB (including its officers, directors, associates, connected parties, and/or employees) nor does any of its agents accept any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits and/or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of this research report and/or further communications given in relation to this report. Any such responsibility or liability is hereby expressly disclaimed. Whilst every effort is made to ensure that statement of facts made in this report are accurate, all estimates, projections, forecasts, expressions of opinion and other subjective judgments contained in this report are based on assumptions considered to be reasonable and must not be construed as a representation that the matters referred to therein will occur. Different assumptions by RHB or any other source may yield substantially different results and recommendations contained on one type of research product may differ from recommendations contained in other types of research. The performance of currencies may affect the value of, or income from, the securities or any other financial instruments referenced in this report. Holders of depositary receipts backed by the securities discussed in this report assume currency risk. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Income from investments may fluctuate. The price or value of the investments to which this report relates, either directly or indirectly, may fall or rise against the interest of investors. This report does not purport to be comprehensive or to contain all the information that a prospective investor may need in order to make an investment decision. The recipient of this report is making its own independent assessment and decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments referenced herein. Any investment discussed or recommended in this report may be unsuitable for an investor depending on the investor’s specific investment objectives and financial position. The material in this report is general information intended for recipients who understand the risks of investing in financial instruments. This report does not take into account whether an investment or course of action and any associated risks are suitable for the recipient. Any recommendations contained in this report must therefore not be relied upon as investment advice based on the recipient's personal circumstances. Investors should make their own independent evaluation of the information contained herein, consider their own investment objective, financial situation and particular needs and seek their own financial, business, legal, tax and other advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report. This report may contain forward-looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such as “believe”, “estimate”, “intend” and “expect” and statements that an event or result “may”, “will” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to RHB and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievement to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievement, expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Caution should be taken with respect to such statements and recipients of this report should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. RHB expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. The use of any website to access this report electronically is done at the recipient’s own risk, and it is the recipient’s sole responsibility to take precautions to ensure that it is free from viruses or other items of a destructive nature. This report may also provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, websites. RHB takes no responsibility for the content contained therein. Such addresses or hyperlinks (including addresses or hyperlinks to RHB own website material) are provided solely for the recipient’s convenience. The information and the content of the linked site do not in any way form part of this report. Accessing such website or following such link through the report or RHB website shall be at the recipient’s own risk. This report may contain information obtained from third parties. Third party content providers do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or

Thailand Strategy

10

availability of any information and are not responsible for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of such content. Third party content providers give no express or implied warranties, including, but not limited to, any warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. Third party content providers shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of their content. The research analysts responsible for the production of this report hereby certifies that the views expressed herein accurately and exclusively reflect his or her personal views and opinions about any and all of the issuers or securities analysed in this report and were prepared independently and autonomously. The research analysts that authored this report are precluded by RHB in all circumstances from trading in the securities or other financial instruments referenced in the report, or from having an interest in the company(ies) that they cover. RHB and/or its affiliates and/or their directors, officers, associates, connected parties and/or employees, may have, or have had, interests in the securities or qualified holdings, in subject company(ies) mentioned in this report or any securities related thereto and may from time to time add to or dispose of, or may be materially interested in, any such securities. Further, RHB and/or its affiliates may have, or have had, business relationships with the subject company(ies) mentioned in this report and may from time to time seek to provide investment banking or other services to the subject company(ies) referred to in this research report. As a result, investors should be aware that a conflict of interest may exist. The contents of this report is strictly confidential and may not be copied, reproduced, published, distributed, transmitted or passed, in whole or in part, to any other person without the prior express written consent of RHB and/or its affiliates. This report has been delivered to RHB and its affiliates’ clients for information purposes only and upon the express understanding that such parties will use it only for the purposes set forth above. By electing to view or accepting a copy of this report, the recipients have agreed that they will not print, copy, videotape, record, hyperlink, download, or otherwise attempt to reproduce or re-transmit (in any form including hard copy or electronic distribution format) the contents of this report. RHB and/or its affiliates accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect. The contents of this report are subject to copyright. Please refer to Restrictions on Distribution below for information regarding the distributors of this report. Recipients must not reproduce or disseminate any content or findings of this report without the express permission of RHB and the distributors. The securities mentioned in this publication may not be eligible for sale in some states or countries or certain categories of investors. The recipient of this report should have regard to the laws of the recipient’s place of domicile when contemplating transactions in the securities or other financial instruments referred to herein. The securities discussed in this report may not have been registered in such jurisdiction. Without prejudice to the foregoing, the recipient is to note that additional disclaimers, warnings or qualifications may apply based on geographical location of the person or entity receiving this report. The term “RHB” shall denote, where appropriate, the relevant entity distributing or disseminating the report in the particular jurisdiction referenced below, or, in every other case, RHB Investment Bank Berhad and its affiliates, subsidiaries and related companies. RESTRICTIONS ON DISTRIBUTION Malaysia This report is issued and distributed in Malaysia by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd. The views and opinions in this report are our own as of the date hereof and is subject to change. If the Financial Services and Markets Act of the United Kingdom or the rules of the Financial Conduct Authority apply to a recipient, our obligations owed to such recipient therein are unaffected. RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd has no obligation to update its opinion or the information in this report. Thailand This report is issued and distributed in the Kingdom of Thailand by RHB Securities (Thailand) PCL, a licensed securities company that is authorised by the Ministry of Finance, regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand and is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand. The Thai Institute of Directors Association has disclosed the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies made pursuant to the policy of the Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand. RHB Securities (Thailand) PCL does not endorse, confirm nor certify the result of the Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. Indonesia This report is issued and distributed in Indonesia by PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia. This research does not constitute an offering document and it should not be construed as an offer of securities in Indonesia. Any securities offered or sold, directly or indirectly, in Indonesia or to any Indonesian citizen or corporation (wherever located) or to any Indonesian resident in a manner which constitutes a public offering under Indonesian laws and regulations must comply with the prevailing Indonesian laws and regulations. Singapore This report is issued and distributed in Singapore by RHB Research Institute Singapore Pte Ltd and it may only be distributed in Singapore to accredited investors, expert investors and institutional investors as defined in the Financial Advisers Regulations and the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289), as amended from time to time. By virtue of distribution to these categories of investors, RHB Research Institute Singapore Pte Ltd and its representatives are not required to comply with Section 36 of the Financial Advisers Act (Chapter 110) (Section 36 relates to disclosure of RHB Research Institute Singapore Pte Ltd ’s interest and/or its representative's interest in securities). Recipients of this report in Singapore may contact RHB Research Institute Singapore Pte Ltd in respect of any matter arising from or in connection with the report.

Thailand Strategy

11

Hong Kong This report is issued and distributed in Hong Kong by RHB Securities Hong Kong Limited (興業僑豐證券有限公司) (CE No.: ADU220) (“RHBSHK”) which is licensed in Hong Kong by the Securities and Futures Commission for Type 1 (dealing in securities) and Type 4 (advising on securities) regulated activities. Any investors wishing to purchase or otherwise deal in the securities covered in this report should contact RHBSHK. RHBSHK is a wholly owned subsidiary of RHB Hong Kong Limited; for the purposes of disclosure under the Hong Kong jurisdiction herein, please note that RHB Hong Kong Limited with its affiliates (including but not limited to RHBSHK) will collectively be referred to as “RHBHK.” RHBHK conducts a full-service, integrated investment banking, asset management, and brokerage business. RHBHK does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this research report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Importantly, please see the company-specific regulatory disclosures below for compliance with specific rules and regulations under the Hong Kong jurisdiction. Other than company-specific disclosures relating to RHBHK, this research report is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. United States This report was prepared by RHB and is being distributed solely and directly to “major” U.S. institutional investors as defined under, and pursuant to, the requirements of Rule 15a-6 under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). Accordingly, access to this report via Bursa Marketplace or any other Electronic Services Provider is not intended for any party other than “major” US institutional investors, nor shall be deemed as solicitation by RHB in any manner. RHB is not registered as a broker-dealer in the United States and does not offer brokerage services to U.S. persons. Any order for the purchase or sale of the securities discussed herein that are listed on Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad must be placed with and through Auerbach Grayson (“AG”). Any order for the purchase or sale of all other securities discussed herein must be placed with and through such other registered U.S. broker-dealer as appointed by RHB from time to time as required by the Exchange Act Rule 15a-6. This report is confidential and not intended for distribution to, or use by, persons other than the recipient and its employees, agents and advisors, as applicable. Additionally, where research is distributed via Electronic Service Provider, the analysts whose names appear in this report are not registered or qualified as research analysts in the United States and are not associated persons of Auerbach Grayson AG or such other registered U.S. broker-dealer as appointed by RHB from time to time and therefore may not be subject to any applicable restrictions under Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) rules on communications with a subject company, public appearances and personal trading. Investing in any non-U.S. securities or related financial instruments discussed in this research report may present certain risks. The securities of non-U.S. issuers may not be registered with, or be subject to the regulations of, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Information on non-U.S. securities or related financial instruments may be limited. Foreign companies may not be subject to audit and reporting standards and regulatory requirements comparable to those in the United States. The financial instruments discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. Transactions in foreign markets may be subject to regulations that differ from or offer less protection than those in the United States. OWNERSHIP AND MATERIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST Malaysia RHB does not have qualified shareholding (1% or more) in the subject company (ies) covered in this report except for: a) - RHB and/or its subsidiaries are not liquidity providers or market makers for the subject company (ies) covered in this report except for: a) - RHB and/or its subsidiaries have not participated as a syndicate member in share offerings and/or bond issues in securities covered in this report in the last 12 months except for: a) - RHB has not provided investment banking services to the company/companies covered in this report in the last 12 months except for: a) - Thailand RHB Securities (Thailand) PCL and/or its directors, officers, associates, connected parties and/or employees, may have, or have had, interests and/or commitments in the securities in subject company(ies) mentioned in this report or any securities related thereto. Further, RHB Securities (Thailand) PCL may have, or have had, business relationships with the subject company(ies) mentioned in this report. As a result, investors should exercise their own judgment carefully before making any investment decisions. Indonesia PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia is not affiliated with the subject company(ies) covered in this report both directly or indirectly as per the definitions of affiliation above. Pursuant to the Capital Market Law (Law Number 8 Year 1995) and the supporting regulations thereof, what constitutes as affiliated parties are as follows: 1. Familial relationship due to marriage or blood up to the second degree, both horizontally or vertically; 2. Affiliation between parties to the employees, Directors or Commissioners of the parties concerned; 3. Affiliation between 2 companies whereby one or more member of the Board of Directors or the Commissioners are the same; 4. Affiliation between the Company and the parties, both directly or indirectly, controlling or being controlled by the Company; 5. Affiliation between 2 companies which are controlled, directly or indirectly, by the same party; or

Thailand Strategy

12

6. Affiliation between the Company and the main Shareholders. PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia is not an insider as defined in the Capital Market Law and the information contained in this report is not considered as insider information prohibited by law. Insider means: a. a commissioner, director or employee of an Issuer or Public Company; b. a substantial shareholder of an Issuer or Public Company; c. an individual, who because of his position or profession, or because of a business relationship with an Issuer or Public Company, has access to

inside information; and d. an individual who within the last six months was a Person defined in letters a, b or c, above. Singapore RHB Research Institute Singapore Pte Ltd and/or its subsidiaries and/or associated companies do not make a market in any securities covered in this report, except for: (a) - The staff of RHB Research Institute Singapore Pte Ltd and its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies do not serve on any board or trustee positions of any issuer whose securities are covered in this report, except for: (a) - RHB Research Institute Singapore Pte Ltd and/or its subsidiaries and/or its associated companies do not have and have not within the last 12 months had any corporate finance advisory relationship with the issuer of the securities covered in this report or any other relationship (including a shareholding of 1% or more in the securities covered in this report) that may create a potential conflict of interest, except for: (a) - Hong Kong The following disclosures relate to relationships between RHBHK and companies covered by Research Department of RHBSHK and referred to in this research report: RHBSHK hereby certifies that no part of RHBSHK analyst compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. RHBHK had an investment banking services client relationships during the past 12 months with: -. RHBHK has received compensation for investment banking services, during the past 12 months from: -. RHBHK managed/co-managed public offerings, in the past 12 months for: -. On a principal basis. RHBHK has a position of over 1% market capitalization of: -. Additionally, please note the following: Ownership and material conflicts of interest: RHBSHK policy prohibits its analysts and associates reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company covered by the analyst. Analyst as officer or director: RHBSHK policy prohibits its analysts, and associates reporting to analysts from serving as an officer, director, advisory board member or employee of any company covered by the analyst. RHBHK salespeople, traders, and other non-research professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to RHB clients that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research report. This research report is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this research report is suitable for their particular circumstances and, if appropriate, seek professional advice, including tax advice.

Kuala Lumpur Hong Kong Singapore

RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd Level 3A, Tower One, RHB Centre

Jalan Tun Razak Kuala Lumpur 50400

Malaysia Tel : +(60) 3 9280 8888 Fax : +(60) 3 9200 2216

RHB Securities Hong Kong Ltd.

12th Floor World-Wide House 19 Des Voeux Road Central, Hong Kong

Tel : +(852) 2525 1118 Fax : +(852) 2810 0908

RHB Research Institute Singapore

Pte Ltd. 10 Collyer Quay

#09-08 Ocean Financial Centre Singapore 049315

Tel : +(65) 6533 1818 Fax : +(65) 6532 6211

Jakarta Shanghai Bangkok

PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia Wisma Mulia, 20th Floor

Jl. Jenderal Gatot Subroto No. 42 Jakarta 12710, Indonesia Tel : +(6221) 2783 0888 Fax : +(6221) 2783 0777

RHB (China) Investment Advisory Co. Ltd.

Suite 4005, CITIC Square 1168 Nanjing West Road

Shanghai 20041 China

Tel : +(8621) 6288 9611 Fax : +(8621) 6288 9633

RHB Securities (Thailand) PCL

10th Floor, Sathorn Square Office Tower 98, North Sathorn Road, Silom

Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Thailand

Tel: +(66) 2 088 9999 Fax : +(66) 2 088 9799

Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) – Corporate Governance Report Rating 2016

Excellent CG Scoring

AMATA BTS DELTA EGCO INTUCH KTB MINT PPS QTC SCB SNC THCOM TSC AOT BWG DEMCO GFPT IRPC KTC MONO PS RATCH SCC SPALI TISCO TTCL BAFS CK DRT GPSC IVL LHBANK NKI PSL SAMART SCCC SSSC TKT TU BAY CPF DTAC GRAMMY KBANK LPN NYT PTT SAMTEL SE-ED STEC TMB UV BCP CPN DTC HANA KCE MBK OTO PTTEP SAT SIM SVI TNDT VGI BIGC CSL EASTW HMPRO KKP MCOT PHOL QH SC SITHAI TCAP TOP WACOAL WAVE

Very Good CG Scoring 2S ASIMAR CGH ERW IRC MFC PCSGH Q-CON SMK SYNTEC TIPCO TSR

AAV ASK CHG FORTH JSP MOONG PDI RICHY SMPC TAE TK TSTE

ACAP ASP CHO FPI K MSC PE ROBINS SMT TAKUNI TKS TSTH

ADVANC AUCT CHOW GBX KSL MTI PG RS SNP TASCO TMC TTA

AGE AYUD CI GC KTIS MTLS PJW RWI SPI TBSP TMI TTW

AH BANPU CIMBT GCAP L&E NCH PLANB S SPPT TCC TMILL TVD

AHC BBL CKP GL LANNA NOBLE PM S & J SPRC TF TMT TVO

AKP BDMS CM GLOBAL LH NSI PPP SABINA SR TFI TNITY TWPC

ALUCON BEM CNS GLOW LHK NTV PR SALEE SSF TGCI TNL UAC

AMANAH BFIT CNT GUNKUL LIT OCC PRANDA SAMCO SST THAI TOG UP

ANAN BLA COL HOTPOT M OGC PREB SCG STA THANA TPC UPF

AP BOL CPI HYDRO MACO OISHI PRG SEAFCO SUSCO THANI TPCORP VIH

APCO BROOK DCC ICC MALEE ORI PRINC SFP SUTHA THIP TRC VNT

APCS CEN EA ICHI MBKET PACE PT SIAM SWC THRE TRU WINNER

ARIP CENTEL ECF IFEC MC PAP PTG SINGER SYMC THREL TRUE YUASA

ASIA CFRESH EE INET MEGA PB PYLON SIS SYNEX TICON TSE ZMICO

Good CG Scoring AEC BA CHARAN EARTH GIFT ITD LALIN NCL PMTA SMG TLUXE VPO AEONTS BEAUTY CITY EASON GLAND J LPH NDR PPM SMIT TMD VTE AF BEC CMR ECL GOLD JMART MAJOR NEP PRIN SORKON TNP WICE AIRA BH COLOR EFORL GSTEL JMT MAKRO NOK PSTC SPA TOPP WIIK AIT BIG COM7 EPCO GYT JUBILE MATCH NUSA QLT SPC TPA WIN AJ BJC CPL EPG HPT JWD MATI PATO RCI SPCG TPAC XO AKR BJCHI CSC ESSO HTC KASET M-CHAI PCA RCL SPVI TPIPL AMARIN BKD CSP FE HTECH KBS MDX PDG RICH SSC TPOLY AMATAV BR CSR FER IFS KCAR MFEC PF RML STANLY TRITN AMC BROCK CSS FOCUS IHL KGI MJD PICO RPC STPI TRT APURE BRR CTW FSMART ILINK KKC MK PIMO SANKO SUC TTI AQUA BTNC DCON FSS INSURE KOOL MODERN PL SAPPE TACC TVI ARROW CBG DIMET FVC IRCP KWC MPG PLAT SAWAD TCCC TWP AS CGD DNA GEL IT KYE NC PLE SCI TCMC U SCN TEAM UBIS SEAOIL TFD UMI

SENA TFG UPOIC

SIRI TIC UT

SKR TIW UWC

SLP TKN VIBHA

IOD (IOD Disclaimer)

การเปิดเผลผลการสํารวจของสมาคมสง่เสริมสถาบนักรรมการบริษัทไทย (IOD) ในเร่ืองการกํากบัดแูลกิจการ (Corporate Governance) นีเ้ป็นการ

ดําเนินการตามนโยบายของสํานกังานคณะกรรมการกํากบัหลกัทรัพย์และตลาดหลกัทรัพย์ โดยการสํารวจของ IOD เป็นการสํารวจและประเมินจากข้อมลูของบรษัทจด

ทะเบียนในตลาดหลกัทรัพย์แหง่ประเทศไทยและตลาดหลกัทรัพย์เอ็มเอไอ ที่มีการเปิดเผยตอ่สาธารณะและเป็นข้อมลูที่ผู้ลงทนุทัว่ไปสามารถเข้าถงึได้ ดงันัน้ผลสํารวจ

ดงักลา่วจงึเป็นการนําเสนอในมมุมองของบคุคลภายนอกโดยไมไ่ด้เป็นการประเมินการปฏิบตัิและมิได้มีการใช้ข้อมลูภายในในการประเมิน

อนึ่ง ผลการสาํรวจดงักลา่ว เป็นผลการสํารวจ ณ วนัที่ปรากฎในรายงานการกํากบัดแูละกิจการบริษัทจดทะเบียนไทยเทา่นัน้ ดงันัน้ผลการสํารวจจงึอาจ

เปลี่ยนแปลงได้ภายหลงัวนัดงักลา่ว ทัง้นีบ้ริษัทหลกัทรัพย์ อาร์เอชบี จํากดั (มหาชน) มิได้ยืนยนัหรือรับรองถึงความถกูต้องของผลการสํารวจดงักลา่วแตอ่ยา่งใด

ขอมูล Anti-Corruption Progress Indicator ของบริษัทจดทะเบียน

ระดบั 1

ACD BAT-3K CCN DTCI HFT LST

NEP PRIN SCN SPPT TCJ TRUBB UPA

AEONTS BIG

CGD

E HTECH

MAJOR

NNCL PSTC

SEAFCO SPVI

TCOAT

TSE UPOIC

AFC BJC

CMR

EMC IHL

MATCH

NWR PYLON

SF STA

TH

TTA UTP

AIRA BLISS

CPH

ESSO ILINK

MAX

OHTL RAM

SHANG STAR

TKS

TTI UVAN

AJ BMCL

CSC

FOCUS ITD

M-CHAI

PICO RICH

SIRI SVH

TNH

TTL VARO

ALUCON BOL

CSP

FSMART JSP

MDX

PK RS

SMART SVOA

TNPC

TTTM VI

AMC BRR

CTW

GIFT KDH

MIDA

PL SANKO

SMM SWC

TPA

TWP VIBHA

AQUA BSBM

DCON

GLAND KTIS

ML

PPM SAUCE

SOLAR TAPAC

TPAC

TWZ VIH

ARIP CBG

DRACO

GRAND KTP

MPIC

PRAKIT SAWAD

SPACK TC

TPOLY

U VTE

AUCT CCET

DSGT

GUNKUL LEE

NC

PRECHA SAWANG

SPG TCCC

TRC

UMS WG

ระดบั 2 2S

ABICO

AF

AKP

AMARIN

AMATA

AOT

APCO

AYUD

BEAUTY

BFIT BH BKD BLAND BTNC CCP CI CSR CSS EFORL

EPCO FE FNS FVC GEL GLOBAL HEMRAJ IEC IFS INET

JUTHA KASET KCAR KKC KSL L&E LALIN LTX M MALEE MBK MBKET MEGA MK MPG MTLS NCH NCL NPP OCC

OCEAN PB PCA PRINC QH ROCK RPC S & J SGP SIAM

SIS SKR SMG SMIT SORKON SUSCO TAKUNI TEAM TF TIC TIP TIPCO TMC TMI TPP TRT TRU TRUE TSC TSI

TTW TVD TVO UKEM UNIQ UWC VNG WIIK WIN XO

ระดบั 3A ABC

ACAP

ADVANC

AEC

AGE

AH

AIE

AMANAH

ANAN

AP

APCS APURE AS ASIA ASIAN ASIMAR BIGC BROOK BTS BWG

CEN CENTEL CFRESH CHARAN CHO CHOTI CM CNT COL CPALL CPF CPI CPL DELTA DEMCO DIMET DNA DTAC EA ECF

EE EVER FPI GBX GC GFPT GLOW HMPRO HOTPOT ICC

ICHI IFEC INOX INSURE IRC JAS JTS JUBILE KC KTC KYE LHK LPN LRH MAKRO MC MCOT MFC MFEC MINT

MJD MONO MOONG NBC NDR NINE NMG NSI NTV OGC

PACE PCSGH PDI PG PHOL PLAT PPS PR PRANDA PREB PS QLT RATCH RML ROBINS ROJNA RWI SAMCO SCCC SCG

SEAOIL SE-ED SENA SINGER SITHAI SMK SMPC SPALI SPC SPCG

SPI SRICHA SSI STANLY SUPER SVI SYMC SYNEX SYNTEC TASCO TCMC TFI THAI THRE THREL TICON TKT TLUXE TMILL TMT TNL VNT

TPCORP WACOAL

TSTE WHA

TSTH ZMICO

TTCL TU TVI UOBKH UREKA VGI

ระดบั 3B AAV

AHC

AI

AIT

AKR

ARROW

ASK

BA

BDMS

BEC

BECL BJCHI BUI CGH CHG CHOW CIG CITY CK CKP

COLOR CWT EARTH EASON EPG F&D FANCY FIRE FMT FORTH GENCO GL GOLD GPSC GRAMMY HYDRO IRPC IT JCT KCM

KWC LH LIT LOXLEY MACO MANRIN MATI MODERN MSC NOBLE

NOK NPK NUSA OISHI OTO PAF PAP PATO PF PJW PLANB PLE POLAR PRG PTL Q-CON QTC RCI S11 SALEE

SAM SAMART SAMTEL SAPPE SC SCP SFP SIM SLP SMT

SPA SPORT SSC SST STEC STPI SUC SUTHA T TAE TBSP TCC TFD TGCI TGPRO THANA THIP TIW TK TMW

TNDT TOPP TPC TPCH TPIPL TSR TT TYCN UAC UBIS

UEC UMI UP UPF UT UV VPO WAVE WINNER YUASA

ระดบั 4 ASP

BAFS

BANPU

BAY

BBL

BKI

BLA

CIMBT

CNS

CSL

DCC DRT DTC EASTW ECL EGCO ERW FSS GCAP HANA

HTC INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCE KGI KKP KTB LANNA LHBANK MTI NKI PSL PTG PTTEP SABINA SCB SNC SNP

SSF SSSC TCAP THCOM TISCO TMB TMD TNITY TOG

ระดบั 5 BCP

CPN

GYT

PE

PM

PPP

PT

PTT

PTTGC

SAT

SCC THANI TOP

ไมเปดเผยหรือไมมีนโยบาย

A ACC AJD AQ BCH BGT BROCK BSM BTC CHUO

CPR CRANE EIC FER JMART JMT KAMART KBS KIAT LDC

MBAX MCS METCO NEW NEWS NYT PAE PDG PERM PMTA POST RCL RICHY ROH S SIMAT TCB TR TSF TVT

WORK

หมายเหต ุ

ระดับ 1: มีนโยบาย ระดับ 2: ประกาศเจตนารมณ ระดับ 3: มีมาตรการปองกัน ซ่ึงทั้ง 2 กรณี ถือเปนผลการประเมินในระดับเดียวกัน 3A: บริษัทมีการประกาศเจตนารมณเขารวมโครงการ CAC หรือภาค 3B: บริษัทมีคํามั่นและนโยบายของบริษัท แตมิไดประกาศเจตนารมณเขารวมโครงการ CAC หรือภาค ระดับ 4: ไดรับการรับรอง ระดับ 5: ขยายผลสูผูที่เกี่ยวของ