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Draft Slope stability evaluation of iron ore fines during marine transportation in bulk carriers Journal: Canadian Geotechnical Journal Manuscript ID cgj-2016-0468.R1 Manuscript Type: Article Date Submitted by the Author: 01-Jun-2017 Complete List of Authors: Munro, Michael; RMIT University, School of Engineering, Civil Engineering Mohajerani, Abbas; RMIT University, School of Civil, Environmental and Chemical Engineering Keyword: Iron ore fines; cargo shift; factor of safety against slope failure; triaxial testing; marine transportation via bulk carrier https://mc06.manuscriptcentral.com/cgj-pubs Canadian Geotechnical Journal

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Page 1: testing; marine transportation via bulk carrier Draft · 52 practice that is to be followed when shipping hazardous solid bulk cargoes. To prevent cargoes from To prevent cargoes

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Slope stability evaluation of iron ore fines during marine

transportation in bulk carriers

Journal: Canadian Geotechnical Journal

Manuscript ID cgj-2016-0468.R1

Manuscript Type: Article

Date Submitted by the Author: 01-Jun-2017

Complete List of Authors: Munro, Michael; RMIT University, School of Engineering, Civil Engineering Mohajerani, Abbas; RMIT University, School of Civil, Environmental and Chemical Engineering

Keyword: Iron ore fines; cargo shift; factor of safety against slope failure; triaxial testing; marine transportation via bulk carrier

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Slope stability evaluation of iron ore fines during marine 1

transportation in bulk carriers 2

3

Michael C. Munro and Abbas Mohajerani* 4

School of Engineering, Civil Engineering, RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia 5

6

Abstract – A commodity, such as iron ore fines, shifting in the hold of a bulk carrier can lead to the 7

vessel listing or capsizing. The objective of this study is to investigate the factors of safety pertaining 8

to slope failure for both untrimmed and trimmed cargoes of iron ore fines during marine 9

transportation. In order to determine the shear strength parameters needed to perform this 10

analysis, triaxial testing was performed on samples of iron ore fines under varying densities and 11

moisture contents. Using the shear strength parameters of the material, the Morgenstern-Price 12

method of slices and infinite slope analysis, referred to as rotational and translational slope stability 13

analyses, were used to determine the factors of safety against slope failure. The study concludes 14

that, considering a factor of safety of 1.5, an untrimmed cargo of iron ore fines is unstable at angles 15

of heel that bulk carriers are expected to experience during a typical voyage. If the cargo is trimmed 16

it is shown to be significantly more stable. The results support the recommendation that it becomes 17

mandatory for cargoes of iron ore fines to undergo trimming in order to reduce the chance of slope 18

failure occurring, which may result in the loss of human life and industry assets. 19

20

Keywords – Iron ore fines; cargo shift; factor of safety against slope failure; triaxial testing; marine 21

transportation via bulk carrier 22

Introduction 23

A solid bulk cargo, such as iron ore fines, shifting in the hold of a bulk carrier can lead to the 24

transporting vessel listing and possibly capsizing. Most incidents where cargoes shift during 25

transportation can be attributed to the occurrence of one of four distinct failure modes. Three of 26

these failure modes, referred to as slope failures, can be seen in Figure 1. All four failure modes 27

relate to the reduction in shear strength between the particles of a solid bulk cargo. 28

29

The first failure mode, liquefaction, is significantly more likely to occur in a cargo that contains 30

sufficient amounts of fine particles and moisture (International Maritime Organization, 2013). 31

Liquefaction occurs when there is a reduction in the shear strength, and, therefore, the effective 32

stress within a cargo. This can occur in the cargo either partially or as a whole, propagating rapidly 33

from a single point of origin. Described in further detail in related publications (Munro and 34

Mohajerani, 2014, 2015, 2016a, 2016b, 2016c, 2016d, 2017a, 2017b), liquefaction is more accurately 35

described as “a phenomenon wherein a mass of soil loses a large percentage of its shear resistance, 36

when subjected to monotonic, cyclic or shock loading, and flows in a manner resembling a liquid until 37

the shear stresses acting on the mass are as low as the reduced shear resistance” (Sladen et al., 38

1985). 39

40

The second failure mode, sliding en masse, occurs when the shear strength and friction along the 41

stratum between the cargo and the hold is overcome by external forces and the entire cargo mass 42

shifts as a single entity in the hold; thus en masse. The third and fourth failure modes, herein 43

referred to as rotational and translational slope failure, can occur when a slip plane develops due to 44

* Corresponding Author: [email protected]

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the internal resisting shear strength of the cargo being exceeded by the resultant stresses being 45

applied (i.e. equilibrium being overcome) (Budhu 2011; Das 2013). 46

47

The consequence of all failure modes, if the transporting vessel acquires an asymmetric resulting 48

moment, is one of buoyancy, commonly resulting with the vessel listing to either port or starboard. 49

The International Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes Code (IMSBC Code), published by the International 50

Maritime Organization, is an internationally recognised and mandatorily implemented code of safe 51

practice that is to be followed when shipping hazardous solid bulk cargoes. To prevent cargoes from 52

shifting, the IMSBC Code provides procedures to be followed if shifting of the cargo within the hold 53

is considered to be a possibility (Sladen et al. 1985). 54

55

To prevent “Group A” cargoes, that are listed as liquefiable in appendix 4, from undergoing 56

liquefaction, sections 7 and 8 of the IMSBC Code state that laboratory testing must be performed to 57

determine the maximum safe moisture content that the cargo may contain so that it is not 58

considered to be at risk of liquefying during transportation. To prevent slope failure from occurring, 59

sections 5 and 6 of the IMSBC Code mandate procedures for trimming cohesionless cargoes that are 60

listed in appendix 3 of the code. The IMSBC Code notes that the possibility of shear failure and 61

shifting of a cargo is increased when the cargo being transported has minimal cohesion between the 62

particles (Sladen et al. 1985). 63

64

Regardless of the cause of the cargo shifting, for a bulk carrier to list or capsize, the mass of the 65

cargo that has shifted must result in an overturning moment, MO, which exceeds the restoring 66

moment, MR. These moments, which are off-centred forces, are caused by both buoyancy, which is 67

an upward force applied by the sea that opposes the weight of the vessel, and gravity, which is the 68

downwards force of the vessel on the sea itself. The conditions that are considered to be unstable 69

are shown in Figure 2 (right) in which the centre of buoyancy of the hull, B, stays inwards of the 70

centre of gravity of the vessel, G. 71

72

The location of the metacentre is critical to the stability of the vessel. The metacentre is considered 73

to be the intersection between two theoretical lines, both drawn through the centres of buoyancy; 74

one when the vessel is vertical and one when the vessel is tilted. When the resulting metacentre, M, 75

is below the centre of gravity, as seen in Figure 2 (right), the overturning moment, MO, exceeds the 76

restoring moment, MR, causing instability. Under these conditions the bulk carrier develops a list and 77

may capsize if preventative measures are not taken. Listing vessels can often be righted by using 78

ballast, but due to the weight of iron ore fines it sometimes requires more ballast than what is 79

available and further shifting of the cargo may cause the vessel to capsize. A bulk carrier 80

transporting a cargo of iron ore fines that has shifted can be seen in Figure 3. 81

82

A cargo that is now considered “Group A” or liquefiable but is not considered cohesionless is iron ore 83

fines (International Maritime Organization, 2015b). Recent studies have shown that slope failure 84

within a cargo of iron ore fines, as shown in Figure 1 (middle) and (right), is a possibility because of 85

the low cohesion of the material. These same studies have hinted that the causes of some incidents 86

may be due to slope failure rather than liquefaction, as is suggested in the incident reports (Munro 87

and Mohajerani 2016a, 2017b; "TML Testing Wiki - Incidents" 2015). 88

89

Iron ore fines is a finer, less valuable by-product of iron ore produced after initial grading of the 90

extracted ore. Iron ore fines commonly has particle sizes less than 6.3 mm and an iron content of 91

approximately 50%. After separation, iron ore fines are stockpiled and shipped to places, such as 92

China, to be further refined. Iron ore fines can be loaded onto bulk carriers using many methods, 93

most commonly being conveyors and bucket grab cranes. Due to the wide variety of differing types 94

of iron ore fines (Munro and Mohajerani 2015) along with the many loading methods and 95

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sequences. The initial conditions of the cargo within the hold of the bulk carrier is hard to estimate 96

especially since the heights of the cargoes can vary significantly based on the size of the vessel and 97

may even undergo trimming, or flattening, prior to the vessel disembarking. 98

99

The objective of this study is to investigate the factors of safety against slope failure of iron ore fines 100

being transported on bulk carriers under both untrimmed and trimmed conditions. In order to 101

determine these factors of safety, triaxial testing was performed under varying densities and 102

moisture contents to obtain the range of shear strength parameters expected during marine 103

transportation. Using these shear strength parameters, the Morgenstern-Price method of slices and 104

infinite slope analysis, referred to as rotational and translational slope stability analyses, were then 105

used to determine the factors of safety against slope failure for iron ore fines being transported 106

under varying conditions. 107

Material and Methods 108

Material 109

Although iron ore fines can have significantly varying properties, a number of samples of iron ore 110

fines were tested during a related study in order to determine the physical properties of a typical 111

cargo (Munro and Mohajerani 2015). The sample identified as MA004, which can be seen in Figure 4, 112

was chosen for this study because it was considered to be a typical cargo of iron ore fines that is 113

commonly transported on bulk carriers. The physical properties of this sample can be seen in Table 1 114

and Figure 5. 115

116

The moisture contents shown in Table 1 have been reported according to the relevant standard. In 117

geotechnical engineering and soil mechanics, the Net Water Content by Weight (NWC) is commonly 118

used, whereas, in most other cases, including metallurgy and the transportation of solid bulk 119

cargoes, the Gross Water Content by Weight (GWC) is favoured. Both the GWC and NWC are shown 120

in Table 1 for convenience and the relevant calculations are shown in Equation 1 and Equation 2. 121

122

��� = � =�������� ���

���������� ������100 (Eq. 1) 123

��� = �� =�������� ���

������� �� ������100 (Eq. 2) 124

Methods 125

Triaxial Testing 126

The 14kN Pneumatic Universal Testing Machine (UTM-14P), seen in Figure 6, was employed to 127

perform triaxial testing on samples of iron ore fines. The widely accepted 3-point monotonic shear 128

test (British Standard 1990) was performed using the apparatus on unsaturated samples of iron ore 129

fines under drained conditions at varying densities and moisture contents. These conditions are 130

considered to be characteristic of what can be expected in the hold of a typical bulk carrier. 131

132

From the 3-point monotonic shear tests the shear strength parameters, including the internal 133

friction angles and cohesion factors of the samples, were determined. These variables were needed, 134

along with the bulk density during testing, in order to perform the rotational and translational slope 135

stability analyses. 136

137

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The hammer chosen to perform the compaction of the samples into a split mould prior to testing 138

was a 150 g hammer with a drop height of 150 mm. The samples of iron ore fines were compacted in 139

5 layers, and, depending on the final density that was to be achieved, between 20 and 40 drops of 140

the hammer were used for each layer. The compaction produced a range of typical initial densities 141

that were expected to occur in the hold of a bulk carrier. The range of densities tested can be seen in 142

Table 3 and Figure 13. 143

144

The 150 g hammer with a drop height of 150 mm was chosen as during recent research it was shown 145

to produce a similar density to that of iron ore fines in the hold of a bulk carrier (International 146

Maritime Organization 2015b; Iron Ore Technical Working Group 2013a). The Modified 147

Proctor/Fagerberg Test, outlined in Appendix 2 of the IMSBC Code (International Maritime 148

Organization, 2016), utilises this hammer to determine a safe transportable moisture content in 149

order to prevent a cargo of iron ore fines from liquefying. The procedure involves compacting a 150

sample in five layers into a 1 litre cylindrical mould. This compaction is performed at varying 151

moisture contents to produce a compaction curve. The compaction curve is presented by plotting 152

void ratio against gross water content alongside varying degrees of saturation. The safe moisture 153

content is taken from where the compaction curve intersects the degree of saturation equal to 80%. 154

Additional details regarding this test is provided in related publications (Munro and Mohajerani 155

2014, 2015, 2016b, 2016c). 156

157

Slope Stability Analysis 158

During this study, two common types of slope failure analysis, rotational and translational, were 159

performed using the shear strength parameters obtained during the triaxial testing. Rotational and 160

translational analysis were performed in order to determine the factors of safety against slope 161

failure for the iron ore fines described in the Materials section. 162

163

A method known as the Morgenstern-Price method of slices was used to perform the rotational 164

analysis (Morgenstern and Price 1965). The Morgenstern-Price method is one of many referred to as 165

a the ‘method of slices’. The ‘method of slices’ also refers to other similar methods based on the 166

limit equilibrium of circular slip surfaces, such as those developed by Spencer (1967), Bishop (1955), 167

Bell (1968), Janbu (1973) and Sarma (1975) (Bell 1968; Bishop 1955; Budhu 2011; Janbu 1973; Sarma 168

1975; Spencer 1967). Figure 7 shows a hypothetical failure surface along with a free-body diagram of 169

a slice used for general slope stability analysis as per the ‘method of slices’. 170

171

The program chosen to perform this analysis was Geo-Slope International’s GeoStudio SLOPE/W 172

(2012 Edition), herein referred to as SLOPE/W (Geo-Slope International 2016; Stability Modeling with 173

SLOPE/W - An Engineering Methodology 2015). The Morgenstern-Price method was chosen for a 174

number of reasons, including: 175

176

1. it is widely accepted in geotechnics and therefore commonly used for geotechnical 177

engineering purposes, 178

2. it considers both the shear and normal interslice forces, and 179

3. it satisfies both the moment and force equilibrium. 180

181

The method was developed by Morgenstern and Price (1965) and has similarities to the Spencer 182

method (1967); however, unlike the Spencer method it allows for various user-specified interslice 183

force functions (Morgenstern and Price 1965; Spencer 1967; Stability Modeling with SLOPE/W - An 184

Engineering Methodology 2015). Using the constant interslice function makes the Morgenstern-Price 185

method identical to the Spencer method, but, in this study, the half-sine interslice function was used 186

to more accurately calculate the resulting factors of safety (Morgenstern and Price 1965). 187

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188

Along with the rotational analysis, infinite slope analysis, herein referred to as translational analysis, 189

was also performed. The translational analysis used is also a limit equilibrium method, but instead of 190

using a circular slip surface, as assumed in the rotational analysis, it uses a planar slip surface (Budhu 191

2011). This failure mode is more common in a coarse grained cohesionless material, similar to the 192

sample of iron ore fines tested. 193

194

Equation 3 and Equation 4 are the modified formulas used to perform the translational analysis. The 195

equations illustrate the assumed addition of the resisting cohesion force, Cbj/Wjsinαs, which is not 196

explicitly represented in the original infinite slope analysis equation for non-cohesive materials 197

(Budhu 2011). 198

199

The translational analysis enabled the minimum factors of safety to be determined based on the 200

position of the weakest slip plane, and these results were compared with the results from the 201

rotational analysis. 202

203

#$ = %&'()' �*+

,'=

%&'

�'��*-.+

�'0�-. �*+

�'��*-. (Eq. 3) 204

205

#$ = %&'

�'��*-.+

�*+

�*-. (Eq. 4) 206

207

208 209

During this study, static slope stability analysis was performed rather than dynamic analysis because 210

recent studies have shown that the average frequency of cyclic loading applied to a bulk carrier by 211

the sea state being traversed was lengthy at 0.1Hz (1 cycle per 10 seconds), and only produced a 212

relatively low peak acceleration of approximately 10 m/s2 (Iron Ore Technical Working Group 213

2013b). Due to this finding, an assumption was made for this study that, due to the lengthy cycle and 214

low peak acceleration, the loading transferred to the cargo is typically considered insignificant. 215

216

Both the rotational and translational analysis were performed on hypothetical trimmed and 217

untrimmed cargoes at varying angles of heel, α. The cargoes and conditions analysed are depicted in 218

Figure 8 and Table 2. The hold dimensions used during analysis were those of a typical Capesize 219

subclass of bulk carrier (Iron Ore Technical Working Group 2013c). These dimensions were used due 220

to the majority of iron ore fines being transported using this subclass of bulk carrier (Munro and 221

Mohajerani 2016b). The cargo was also assumed to be uniform and homogeneous. 222

223

A typical figure, including the cargo dimensions, that was used during the trimmed and untrimmed 224

rotational analysis can be seen in Figure 9 and Figure 10. It is noted that the corner fillets of the hold 225

and the depth of the cargo are not governing factors during the trimmed rotational analysis. 226

Where: FS = FactorofSafety

C = CohesionFactor(kN/mA)

bC = WidthofSlice(m)

NC = WCcosαF = NormalForceonSlipPlane(kN/m)

TC = WCsinαF = MobilizedShearResistanceofSoil(kN/m)

WC = zCbCγN = WeightofSlice(kN/m)

αF = SlopeAnglefromHorizontal()

φ = InternalFrictionAngle()

zC = HeightofSlice(m)

γN = ρNg = BulkUnitWeight(kN/mX)

ρN = BulkDensity(t/mX)

g = AccelerationduetoGravity(~9.807m/sA)

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227

The cargo dimensions used during the trimmed and untrimmed translational analysis can be seen in 228

Figure 11 and Figure 12. It is noted that the width of the slice (width of hold), bj, and the height of the 229

slice, zj, have been assumed to be the typical maximum width and height of the cargo. 230

231

Analysis was only performed in the transverse direction as it is assumed that a cargo shifting in the 232

longitudinal direction would not cause a significant buoyancy issue. A previous investigation has 233

considered a cargo of iron ore concentrate sliding en masse (Kruszewski 1988), but, as previously 234

mentioned, this study only focussed on the internal slip planes within the cargo (i.e. rotational and 235

translational slope failure). 236

237

The height of a typical cargo of iron ore fines used during analysis of 16.4m was used as it is the 238

considered the maximum height expected within the hold of a larger, capesize, subclass of bulk 239

carrier(Munro and Mohajerani, 2017a). It to be noted that during analysis, a factor of safety of 1.5 240

was considered an acceptable value as it is commonly used in soil mechanical and geotechnical 241

engineering for design purposes (Das 2013). 242

Experimental Results 243

Triaxial Testing 244

The following are the results from the triaxial testing performed in order to determine the strength 245

parameters needed to analyse the slope stability of a cargo of iron ore fines described in the 246

Materials section. Prior to the triaxial test, each sample was given a Unique Identification Number 247

(ID). The ID of the samples along with the initial and final physical properties that were measured are 248

shown in Table 3 and Figure 13. 249

250

The physical properties of the samples tested are considered to exhibit the range of properties that 251

a cargo of iron ore fines with the physical properties, described in the Materials section, could 252

possess while being transported. The samples are said to be either before or after transportation by 253

looking at a curve produced by performing the Modified Proctor/Fagerberg test (MPFT) on the same 254

sample of iron ore fines. The curve produced by the MPFT is shown in Figure 13 as ‘typical cargo 255

density before transportation’ because the hammer is said to produce a density similar to the 256

average of that of a cargo iron ore fines before transportation (International Maritime Organization 257

2015b; Iron Ore Technical Working Group 2013a). More information regarding the MPFT can be seen 258

in related publications (Munro and Mohajerani 2014, 2015, 2016b, 2016c). 259

260

Table 4 shows the results from the 3-point monotonic shear test that was performed on each sample 261

of iron ore fines using the triaxial apparatus. Additionally, a typical total failure envelope along with 262

the resulting Mohr’s circles, produced from the triaxial tests, is shown in Figure 14. 263

264

The resulting shear strength parameters produced from the triaxial testing are considered to be 265

typical of that for iron ore fines (Iron Ore Technical Working Group 2013c; Wang et al. 2016). It is 266

noted that due to the high internal friction angles, the cohesion factors have a relatively low effect 267

on the shear strength of the material. 268

Slope Stability Analysis 269

In order to determine the factors of safety when transporting a cargo of the described iron ore fines 270

on a bulk carrier, slope stability analysis was carried out, as described in the Methods section. Table 271

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5 shows the tabulated results from the rotational analysis and Figure 15 shows a graphical 272

representation of the average factors of safety, and upper and lower boundaries for the iron ore 273

fines described in the Materials section. The average computational results from SLOPE/W can be 274

seen in Appendix A – Average Rotational Analysis Computational Results. 275

276

The rotational analysis, produced using the Morgenstern-Price method of slices, shows a significant 277

increase in the angle of heel at failure, αf, between an untrimmed and trimmed cargo. Figure 15, and 278

the figures thereafter, show the average maximum and the maximum angles of heel that bulk 279

carriers may experience. As these angles vary for each individual bulk carrier, a reasonable 280

expectation of the maximum survivable angles had to be determined. 281

282

During a previous study, seven investigation reports into cargo shifts were summarised and 283

discussed (Munro and Mohajerani 2016a). The study noted the actions and observations made by 284

the crew and rescuers relating to the angles of heel of bulk carriers before, during and after the 285

events. To summarise, the Hui Long, Trans Summer and Nasco Diamond investigation reports 286

indicate that the bulk carriers experienced a 10-degree roll caused by the sea state prior to the 287

vessels listing (Panama Maritime Authority - Maritime Accident Investigation Department, 2011b; 288

The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region - Marine Department - Marine Accident Investigation 289

Section, 2005, 2015). The Hui Long, Trans Summer and Padang Hawk investigation reports indicate 290

that, once the cargo shift had occurred, the vessels developed a permanent 15-degree list after the 291

initial rolling moment (Australian Transport Safety Bureau 2000; The Hong Kong Special 292

Administrative Region - Marine Department - Marine Accident Investigation Section 2005, 2015). 293

294

Noting that, under the International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS Convention), all 295

lifeboats must be “capable of being safely launched under … list of up to 20-degrees”, The crew of 296

the Hui Long, Trans Summer, Jian Fu Star and Bulk Jupiter abandoned their vessels at approximately 297

40-degrees, 20-degrees, 45-degrees and 45-degrees, respectively (Panama Maritime Authority - 298

Maritime Accident Investigation Department 2011a; The Bahamas Maritime Authority 2015; The 299

Hong Kong Special Administrative Region - Marine Department - Marine Accident Investigation 300

Section 2005, 2015). 301

302

Additional studies recorded the maximum roll angles of a bulk carrier transporting iron ore fines 303

being 10-degrees while traversing typical sea states and also determined roll angles of up to 35-304

degrees while analysing theoretical extreme sea states (Iron Ore Technical Working Group 2013b, 305

2013c, 2013d). Also, in relation to the marine transportation of coal, a recent study has shown that a 306

Handysize bulk carrier sailing through beam seas under a 95th percentile storm will produce a 307

maximum angle of heel of 29-degrees (International Maritime Organization 2015a). 308

309

Noting that the angles of heel produced during rolling are suspected of causing the cargo to shift, it 310

was decided to adopt the maximum expected angle of heel as being 35-degrees, as vessels did not 311

report roll angles exceeding this value, only listing angles. Additionally, using the maximum 312

calculated angle of heel from the individual Handysize bulk carrier, the average maximum angle of 313

heel adopted during this study was 29-degrees (International Maritime Organization 2015a). 314

315

Considering the maximum angle of heel that a bulk carrier may experience as being 35-degrees, the 316

rotational analysis shows that a bulk carrier transporting an untrimmed cargo could traverse through 317

a sea state producing an angle of heel of approximately 30-degrees. Comparing this to an angle of 318

heel at failure for a fully trimmed cargo of 62-degrees, analysis shows that trimming significantly 319

increases the factor of safety against rotational failure during normal operation. 320

321

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As described in the Methods section translational analysis was also performed in conjunction with 322

the rotational analysis. Table 6 and Figure 16 show the tabulated results from the translational 323

analysis and a graphical representation of the average factors of safety along with upper and lower 324

boundaries for the iron ore fines described in the Materials section. 325

326

Similar to the rotational analysis, the translational analysis shows a significant increase in the angle 327

of heel at failure between an untrimmed and trimmed cargo. When compared to the rotational 328

analysis, the translational analysis produced an angle of heel at failure 16-degrees lower for both the 329

trimmed and untrimmed cargo, which were 46-degrees and 14-degrees, respectively. 330

331

The results shown depict the average untrimmed angle of heel at failure to be 14-degrees. This value 332

can be validated by looking at the aforementioned case studies in which the founding of bulk 333

carriers seems to commence when the vessels experience an angle of heel of approximately this 334

degree. 335

336

Rotational slope failure commonly occurs in a fine-grained material with cohesion, and, therefore, it 337

is considered that the infinite slope or translational analysis governs the resulting factors of safety. 338

Hence, the lower factor of safety produced by the translational analysis, shown in Table 6 and Figure 339

16, is assumed to more accurately depict the cargo or iron ore fines in question. 340

341

In soil mechanics, a factor of safety of 1 is rarely perceived as safe and never used for design 342

considerations. This is due to a factor of safety of 1 being the point at which the material is 343

considered to be undergoing failure. In geotechnical engineering, a factor of safety of 1.5 is 344

commonly used during slope stability analysis (Budhu 2011). As expected, if a factor of safety of 1.5 345

is used for analysis, the angle of heel at failure decreases significantly, as seen in Table 7 and Figure 346

17. 347

348

Considering the safer operating factor of safety of 1.5, the values indicate that an untrimmed cargo 349

for the iron ore fines, as described in the Materials section, would be considered unstable under all 350

expected angles of heel during operation. If trimmed, the cargo would be considered stable unless 351

angles of heel above the average maximum are experienced. 352

353

The translational analysis shown in Table 7 and Figure 17 indicate that if a cargo is untrimmed and a 354

conservative safety factor of 1.5 is utilized, the angle of heel at failure would be 1-degree, or 355

assumed to be unstable under all conditions. Even utilizing a factor of safety of 1.2 the angle of heel 356

at failure would only increase to 8-degrees, which is a common angle of heel experienced during a 357

typical voyage of bulk carriers transporting iron ore fines. Depending on the factor of safety that is 358

considered reasonable to account for uncertainties during analysis, the expected safe angle of heel 359

will increase or decrease accordingly. 360

361

If a factor of safety of 1.5 was to be used, it would be recommended to increase the density of the 362

trimmed cargo by compaction during loading to increase the internal friction angle, and, therefore, 363

the angle of heel at failure. Overall, the results confirm that an untrimmed cargo of iron ore fines, as 364

described in the Materials section, would become unstable at the expected angle of heel while a 365

trimmed cargo would be unlikely to reach the same unstable conditions in the hold of a bulk carrier. 366

Conclusion 367

The objective of this study was to investigate the factors of safety against the rotational and 368

translational slope failure of iron ore fines being transported on bulk carriers under both untrimmed 369

and trimmed conditions. In order to determine these factors of safety, triaxial testing was performed 370

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under varying densities and moisture contents to obtain a range of shear strength parameters 371

expected during marine transportation. Using these shear strength parameters, the Morgenstern-372

Price method of slices and infinite slope analysis, referred to as rotational and translational slope 373

stability analyses, were then used to determine the factors of safety against slope failure for iron ore 374

fines being transported under varying conditions. 375

376

The results from this study indicate that if the cargo of iron ore fines is untrimmed it would become 377

unstable at the angles of heel that bulk carriers are expected to experience during a typical voyage. 378

By examining the translational analysis, which is considered to govern the factors of safety, the slope 379

angle at failure is validated by investigating case studies. If trimmed, the cargo was shown to be 380

significantly more stable using both the rotational and translational analysis. If a factor of safety of 381

1.5 was used, it would be recommended to increase the density of the trimmed cargo by 382

compaction during loading to increase the internal friction angle, and, therefore, the angle of heel at 383

failure to above 35-degrees. 384

385

The cumulative effect of a cargo having a low slope angle from the horizontal and increased density 386

is an increased factor of safety against slope failure. Based on the results it is recommended that it 387

become mandatory for cargoes of iron ore fines to undergo trimming, if not fully, partially, in order 388

to decrease the slope angle of the cargo from horizontal and increase the density. Trimming will also 389

decrease the amount of material that is likely to shift, if slope failure occurs, altering the buoyancy of 390

the bulk carrier. Additionally, due to its inherently low cohesion depicted in this study, it is 391

recommended that iron ore fines be listed as a non-cohesive cargo in appendix 3, section 1.1 of the 392

International Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes Code (IMSBC Code), and tested accordingly. 393

394

The results are based on the assumption that there is no significant dynamic loading applied to the 395

cargo. If dynamic loading is significant, analysis would show that the factors of safety would 396

significantly reduce. It is noted that the results may vary significantly depending on the physical 397

properties of the cargo of iron ore fines being transported. 398

399

Future research is recommended in order to determine the range of strength parameters for iron 400

ore fines with varying properties as well as the strength parameters relating to the resistance that 401

cargoes of iron ore fines have against sliding en masse as well as under dynamic loading. 402

Acknowledgement 403

The results presented in this publication are from an ongoing postgraduate study at RMIT University 404

in Melbourne, Australia, on the liquefaction potential of mineral cargoes on board bulk carriers. The 405

authors would like to thank the laboratory staff at RMIT University for their continuing support 406

throughout the duration of this research. 407

408 Abbreviations: FS, Factor of Safety; GWC, Gross Water Content; ID, Unique Identification Number; IMSBC Code, International Maritime 409 Solid Bulk Cargoes Code; MPFT, Modified Proctor/Fagerberg test; NWC, Net Water Content; SLOPE/W, Geo-Slope International’s GeoStudio 410 SLOPE/W (2012 Edition); SOLAS Convention, International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea; UTM-14P, 14kN Pneumatic Universal 411 Testing Machine. 412

413 Nomenclature: (Δσd)f, Maximum Deviator Stress at Failure (kPa); σ, Normal Stress (kPa); σ1, Principal Stress (kPa) (= σ3 + σd); σ3, Confining 414 Stress (kPa); σd, Deviator Stress (kPa); bj, Width of Slice of Soil of Infinite Slope (m); B, Centre of Buoyancy; c, Cohesion Factor; Cc, Coefficient 415 of Curvature; Cu, Coefficient of Uniformity; e, Void Ratio (= w x Gs / S); Fb, Buoyancy Force; FS, Factor of Safety; g, Acceleration due to 416 Gravity (~9.807 m/s

2); G, Centre of Gravity; Gs, Particle Density (t/m

3); M, Metacentre; MO, Overturning Moment; MR, Restoring Moment; 417

Nj, Normal Force on Slip Plane (kN/m); R2, Coefficient of Determination; S, Degree of Saturation (%) (= w x Gs / e); Tj, Mobilized Shear 418

Resistance of Soil (kN/m); Va, Volume of Air (%) (= (1- ρd x (1 / Gs + w / 100)) x 100); w, Net Water Content by Weight (%); w1, Gross Water 419

Content by Weight (%); W, Vessel Weight; Wj, Weight of Slice (kN/m); zj, Height of Slice of Soil of Infinite Slope (m); α, Angle of Heel (o); αf, 420

Angle of Heel at Failure, where FS = 1 (o); αs, Slope Angle from Horizontal (

o); ϕ, Internal Friction Angle (

o); уb, Bulk Unit Weight (kN/m

3); ρb, 421

Bulk Density (t/m3); ρd, Dry Density (t/m

3) (= Gs / e + 1); τ, Shear Stress (kPa); τm, Minimum Shear Strength (kPa). 422

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References 423

424

Australian Transport Safety Bureau. 2000. Marine Safety Investigation (Report 148) - Investigation 425

into the shift of cargo on board the Singapore flag bulk carrier Padang Hawk 426

Bell, J. M. 1968. General slope stability analysis Journal of Soil Mechanics and Foundations 427

Engineering Division (ASCE), 94(SM6), 1253-1270. 428

Bishop, A. W. 1955. The use of the slip circle in the stability analysis of slopes. Geotechnique, 5(1), 7-429

17. 430

British Standard. 1990. BS1377-7 - Methods of test for soils for civil engineering purposes. Shear 431

strength tests (total stress). 432

Budhu, M. 2011. Soil mechanics and foundations (3rd ed.): John Wiley and Sons, Inc. 433

Das, B. M. 2013. Fundamentals of Geotechnical Engineering (4th ed.): Cengage Learning. 434

Geo-Slope International. 2016. GeoStudio SLOPE/W (2012 Edition). 2016, from http://www.geo-435

slope.com/products/slopew.aspx 436

International Maritime Organization. 2013. International Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes Code. London: 437

International Maritime Organization. 438

International Maritime Organization. 2015a. CCC 2/INF.7 - Amendments to the International 439

Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes Code (IMSBC Code) and Supplements - Information supporting 440

the inclusion of a new TML test and to amend the individual schedule for Coal. London. 441

International Maritime Organization. 2015b. MSC 95/22/Add.2 - Amendments to the International 442

Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes Code (IMSBC Code), Resolution MSC.393(95) Annex 3, adopted 443

on 11 June 2015. London. 444

International Maritime Organization. 2016. International Maritime Solid Bulk Cargoes Code. London: 445

International Maritime Organization. 446

International Standards Organization. 2009. ISO 13320 - Particle size analysis -- Laser diffraction 447

methods. 448

Iron Ore Technical Working Group. 2013a. Iron Ore Fines Proctor-Fagerberg Test - Submission for 449

Evaluation and Verification from http://ironorefines-twg.com/ 450

Iron Ore Technical Working Group. 2013b. Marine Report - Submission for Evaluation and 451

Verification from http://ironorefines-twg.com/ 452

Iron Ore Technical Working Group. 2013c. Reference Tests - Submission for Evaluation and 453

Verification from http://ironorefines-twg.com/ 454

Iron Ore Technical Working Group. 2013d. Terms of Reference 1 - Submission for Evaluation and 455

Verification from http://ironorefines-twg.com/ 456

Janbu, N. 1973. Slope stability computations. Embankment Dam Engineering, Casagrande Memorial 457

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Kruszewski, A. 1988. Iron Ore Concentrate Cargo Drainage. United Kingdom, Stevenage: Warren 459

Spring Laboratory for the Department of Trade and Industry. 460

Morgenstern, N. R., and Price, V. E. 1965. The Analysis of the Stability of General Slip Surfaces. 461

Geotechnique, 15(1), 79-93. doi: 10.1680/geot.1965.15.1.79 462

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2014. Moisture content limit of iron ore fines for the prevention of 463

liquefaction in bulk carriers. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the 11th International 464

Conference on Hydrodynamics (ICHD 2014) October 19 – 24, 2014, Singapore. 465

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2015. Determination of transportable moisture limit of iron ore fines 466

for the prevention of liquefaction in bulk carriers. Marine Structures, 40(1), 193-224. doi: 467

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marstruc.2014.11.004 468

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2016a. Liquefaction incidents of mineral cargoes on-board bulk 469

carriers. Advances in Materials Science and Engineering, 2016, 20. doi: 470

http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/5219474 471

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2016b. Moisture content limits of iron ore fines to prevent 472

liquefaction during transport: review and experimental study. International Journal of 473

Mineral Processing, 148(2016), 137-146. doi: 474

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.minpro.2016.01.019 475

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2016c. A review of the newly developed method used to prevent 476

liquefaction of iron ore fines on board bulk carriers. Australian Geomechnics, ISSN: 0818-477

9110, 51(1), 43-52. 478

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2016d. Variation of the geotechnical properties of iron ore fines 479

under cyclic loading. Ocean Engineering, 126(2016), 411-431. doi: 480

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2016.09.006 481

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2017a. Cyclic behaviour of iron ore fines on board bulk carriers: Scale 482

model analysis. Journal of Materials in Civil Engineering, 29(7). doi: 483

http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)MT.1943-5533.0001915#sthash.HspuVyaL.dpuf 484

Munro, M., and Mohajerani, A. 2017b. What is causing bulk carriers transporting iron ore fines to 485

founder; liquefaction or shear failure? Unpublished Manuscript. 486

Panama Maritime Authority - Maritime Accident Investigation Department. 2011a. Report: M/V 487

“Jian Fu Star” R- 011-11- DIAM. 488

Panama Maritime Authority - Maritime Accident Investigation Department. 2011b. Report: M/V 489

“Nasco Diamond” R-020-2011/DIAM. 490

Sarma, S. K. 1975. Stability analysis of embankments and slopes. Geotechnique, 25(4), 743-761. 491

Ship.gr - World Shipping Directory. 2009. Cargo ship off Mangalore, India. 2013, from 492

http://www.ship.gr/news6/asianforrest.htm 493

Sladen, J. A., D’Hollander, R. D., and Krahn, J. 1985. The liquefaction of sands, a collapse surface 494

approach. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 22, 564-578. 495

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Spencer, E. 1967. A Method of analysis of the Stability of Embankments Assuming Parallel Inter-Slice 496

Forces. Geotechnique, 17(1), 11-26. doi: 10.1680/geot.1967.17.1.11 497

Stability Modeling with SLOPE/W - An Engineering Methodology. 2015. Geo-Slope International, Ltd. 498

Canada. 499

Standards Australia. 1993. AS 1726-1993 - Geotechnical site investigations. 500

Standards Australia. 2006. AS 1289.3.5.1-2006 - Soil classification tests - Determination of the soil 501

particle density of a soil - Standard method. 502

Standards Australia. 2009a. AS 1289.3.1.2-2009 - Soil classification tests - Determination of the liquid 503

limit of a soil - One point Casagrande method (subsidiary method). 504

Standards Australia. 2009b. AS 1289.3.2.1-2009 - Soil classification tests - Determination of the 505

plastic limit of a soil - Standard method. 506

Standards Australia. 2009c. AS 1289.3.3.1-2009 - Soil classification tests - Calculation of the plasticity 507

index of a soil. 508

Standards Australia. 2009d. AS 1289.3.6.1-2009 - Soil classification tests - Determination of the 509

particle size distribution of a soil - Standard method of analysis by sieving. 510

The Bahamas Maritime Authority. 2015. “M.V Bulk Jupiter” - Report of the marine safety 511

investigation into the loss of a bulk carrier in the South China Sea on January 2nd 2015. 512

The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region - Marine Department - Marine Accident Investigation 513

Section. 2005. Report of Investigation into the Sinking of M.V. Hui Long on 20 May 2005 - 514

Preliminary Imquiry No. 2 of 2005. 515

The Hong Kong Special Administrative Region - Marine Department - Marine Accident Investigation 516

Section. 2015. Report of Investigation into Sinking of Hong Kong Registered Bulk Carrier 517

“Trans Summer” at Position 21°55.3’N, 113°40.4’E West of Dawanshan Dao, Mainland China 518

on 14 August 2013. 519

TML Testing Wiki - Incidents. 2015, April 30, 2015, at 15:13. 2015, from 520

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Wang, H., Koseki, J., Sato, T., and Miyashita, Y. 2016. Geotechnical properties of a type of iron ore 522

fines. Paper presented at the The 15th Asian Regional Conference on Soil Mechanics and 523

Geotechnical Engineering, ARC 2015: New Innovations and Sustainability, Fukuoja, Japan. 524

525

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Figure Captions 526

527 Figure 1 – The three distinct modes of slope failure that can cause a solid bulk cargo to shift during transportation; sliding 528 en masse (left), rotational (middle) and translational (right). 529

Figure 2 – Illustrations depicting a stable (left and middle) and unstable (right) vessel 530 Where: B = Centre of buoyancy of hull; Fb = Buoyancy force; G = Centre of gravity of vessel; M = Metacentre; MO = 531 Overturning moment; MR = Restoring moment; W = Vessel weight; α = Angle of heel. 532

Figure 3 – M.V. Asian forest listing due to the cargo or iron ore fines shifting (suspected liquefaction incident) (Ship.gr - 533 World Shipping Directory, 2009) 534

Figure 4 – Typical iron ore fines sample used during this study (sample MA004) 535

Figure 5 – Particle size distribution of the iron ore fines sample used during this study 536

Figure 6 –14kN Pneumatic Universal Testing Machine (UTM-14P) and data acquisition unit 537

Figure 7 – Failure surface and free-body diagram of a slice using rotational analysis (method of slices) (By Fona (Own work) 538 [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons) details regarding licencing: 539 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Commons:Licensing source of image: 540 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pett_bish.gif 541 542

Figure 8 – Depictions of hypothetical trimmed (left) and untrimmed (right) cargos with and without an angle of heel 543

Figure 9 – Typical trimmed cargo dimensions used during the rotational analysis (method of slices) 544

Figure 10 – Typical untrimmed cargo dimensions used during the rotational analysis (method of slices) 545

Figure 11 – Trimmed cargo dimensions used during the translational analysis (infinite slope analysis) 546 *Assuming maximum trimmed cargo height (zj) based on maximum untrimmed cargo height of 16.5m (Munro and 547 Mohajerani, 2017a). It is noted that the cargo height is not a major factor when determining the factors of safety using 548 translational analysis unlike other properties, such as the internal friction angle. 549 (Not to scale) 550 551 Figure 12 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions used during the translational analysis (infinite slope analysis) 552 *The height of the slice, zj, was chosen to be 2.9m as this is the weakest slip plane within the cargo (i.e. 2.9m provides the 553 minimum factor of safety based on the cargo dimensions). 554 (Not to scale) 555 556 Figure 13 – Initial properties and assumed conditions of each of the samples tested 557 558 Figure 14 – Mohr’s circles and the resulting total failure envelope of a typical sample (sample 8) 559

Figure 15 – The average rotational analysis factors of safety and boundaries for a trimmed and untrimmed cargo at varying 560 angles of heel (method of slices) 561

Figure 16 – The average translational analysis factors of safety and boundaries for a trimmed and untrimmed cargo at 562 varying angles of heel (infinite slope analysis) 563

Figure 17 – The average results for the translational and rotational stability analysis for factors of safety from 1 to 2 564

Figure Captions for Appendix 565 Figure A1 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 10-degree angle of heel 566 rotational analysis (method of slices) 567

Figure A2 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 20-degree angle of heel 568 rotational analysis (method of slices) 569

Figure A3 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 30-degree angle of heel 570 rotational analysis (method of slices) 571

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Figure A4 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 40-degree angle of heel 572 rotational analysis (method of slices) 573

Figure A5 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 50-degree angle of heel 574 rotational analysis (method of slices) 575

Figure A6 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 60-degree angle of heel 576 rotational analysis (method of slices) 577

Figure A7 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 0-degree angle of heel 578 rotational analysis (method of slices) 579

Figure A8 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 10-degree angle of heel 580 rotational analysis (method of slices) 581

Figure A9 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 20-degree angle of heel 582 rotational analysis (method of slices) 583

Figure A10 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 30-degree angle of 584 heel rotational analysis (method of slices) 585

Figure A11 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 40-degree angle of 586 heel rotational analysis (method of slices) 587

Table Captions 588

589 Table 1 – Physical properties of the iron ore fines sample used during this study 590

Table 2 – The angles of heel used to perform the trimmed and untrimmed slope stability analysis 591

Table 3 – The initial and final physical properties of the samples tested 592

Table 4 – The 3-point monotonic shear test conditions and results produced during the triaxial testing 593

Table 5 – The results of the rotational slope stability analysis for each of the samples of iron ore fines 594

Table 6 – The results of the translational slope stability analysis for each of the samples of iron ore fines 595

Table 7 – The average angle of heel at failure for varying factors of safety 596

597

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1 = Direction of cargo shift 2

Figure 1 – The three distinct modes of slope failure that can cause a solid bulk cargo to shift during transportation; sliding 3 en masse (left), rotational (middle) and translational (right). 4

5

6 Figure 2 – Illustrations depicting a stable (left and middle) and unstable (right) vessel 7

Where: B = Centre of buoyancy of hull; Fb = Buoyancy force; G = Centre of gravity of vessel; M = Metacentre; MO = Overturning moment; 8 MR = Restoring moment; W = Vessel weight; α = Angle of heel. 9

10

11 Figure 3 – M.V. Asian forest listing due to the cargo or iron ore fines shifting (suspected liquefaction incident) (Ship.gr - 12

World Shipping Directory, 2009) 13

14

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15 Figure 4 – Typical iron ore fines sample used during this study (sample MA004) 16

17

18 Figure 5 – Particle size distribution of the iron ore fines sample used during this study 19

20

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21 Figure 6 –14kN Pneumatic Universal Testing Machine (UTM-14P) and data acquisition unit 22

23

24 Figure 7 – Failure surface and free-body diagram of a slice using rotational analysis (method of slices) (By Fona (Own work) 25

[Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons) details regarding licencing: 26 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Commons:Licensing source of image: 27

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Pett_bish.gif 28

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29

30 Figure 8 – Depictions of hypothetical trimmed (left) and untrimmed (right) cargos with and without an angle of heel 31

32

33 Figure 9 – Typical trimmed cargo dimensions used during the rotational analysis (method of slices) 34

35 Figure 10 – Typical untrimmed cargo dimensions used during the rotational analysis (method of slices) 36

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37

38 Figure 11 – Trimmed cargo dimensions used during the translational analysis (infinite slope analysis) 39

*Assuming maximum trimmed cargo height (zj) based on maximum untrimmed cargo height of 16.5m (Munro and Mohajerani, 2017a). It 40 is noted that the cargo height is not a major factor when determining the factors of safety using translational analysis unlike other 41

properties, such as the internal friction angle. 42 (Not to scale) 43

44

45 Figure 12 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions used during the translational analysis (infinite slope analysis) 46

*The height of the slice, zj, was chosen to be 2.9m as this is the weakest slip plane within the cargo (i.e. 2.9m provides the minimum factor 47 of safety based on the cargo dimensions). 48

(Not to scale) 49

50

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51 Figure 13 – Initial properties and assumed conditions of each of the samples tested 52

53

54 Figure 14 – Mohr’s circles and the resulting total failure envelope of a typical sample (sample 8) 55

18

15

198

35

34155 474

y = 1.123x + 17.93

τ = σ.tan(48) + 17.93

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Sh

ea

r S

tre

ss,

τ(k

Pa

)

Normal Stress, σ (kPa)

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56 Figure 15 – The average rotational analysis factors of safety and boundaries for a trimmed and untrimmed cargo at varying 57

angles of heel (method of slices) 58

59

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Figure 16 – The average translational analysis factors of safety and boundaries for a trimmed and untrimmed cargo at 60 varying angles of heel (infinite slope analysis) 61

62 Figure 17 – The average results for the translational and rotational stability analysis for factors of safety from 1 to 2 63

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Appendix A – Average Rotational Analysis Computational Results The trimmed and untrimmed cargo dimensions along with the average computational results for the

rotational analysis (method of slices), including the minimum factor of safety, are shown from Figure A1

to Figure A11. As discussed in the Methods section, the results were produced using Geo-Slope

International’s GeoStudio SLOPE/W (2012 Edition) and are discussed in detail in the Experimental

Results section.

Figure A1 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 10-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Figure A2 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 20-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

Figure A31 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 30-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Figure A4 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 40-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Figure A5 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 50-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Figure A6 – Trimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 60-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Figure A7 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 0-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

Figure A8 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 10-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Figure A9 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 20-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

Figure A10 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 30-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Figure A11 – Untrimmed cargo dimensions and resulting average minimum factor of safety from the 40-degree angle of heel

rotational analysis (method of slices)

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Table 1 – Physical properties of the iron ore fines sample used during this study 1

Property Standard/ Apparatus Results

Sample Identification N/A MA004

IMSBC Code Schedule Applied MSC 95/22/Add.2 (International

Maritime Organization, 2015b)

Iron ore (as cargo contains more than 35%

goethite)

Atterberg Limits

Liquid Limit AS1289.3.1.2 (Standards

Australia, 2009a) 17% NWC or 15% GWC

b

Plastic Limit AS1289.3.2.1 (Standards

Australia, 2009b) 16% NWC or 14% GWC

b

Plasticity Index AS1289.3.3.1 (Standards

Australia, 2009c) 1% NWC/GWC

b

Particle Size Distribution a

Gravel (>2.36 mm) AS1289.3.6.1 (Standards

Australia, 2009d) 51%

Sand (75 μm – 2.36 mm) AS1289.3.6.1 (Standards

Australia, 2009d) 38%

Silt (2 μm – 75 μm)

Mastersizer Aero 3000

(International Standards

Organization, 2009)

9%

Clay (<2 μm)

Mastersizer Aero 3000

(International Standards

Organization, 2009)

1%

Classification AS1726 (Standards Australia,

1993) Poorly graded gravel to silty gravel (GP-GM)

Coefficient of Curvature (Cc) N/A 3.2

Coefficient of Uniformity (Cu) N/A 44.7

Particle Density, Gs AS1289.3.5.1 (Standards

Australia, 2006) 4.15 t/m

3

Quantitative X-Ray Diffraction

Hematite (Fe2O3) X’Pert Pro PW3040 36% Total Weight

Goethite (FeOOH) X’Pert Pro PW3040 62% Total Weight a

The graphical representation of the particle size distribution can be seen in Figure 5 b

The reported moisture content unit, according to the relevant standard, is presented first (i.e. GWC or NWC)

2 Table 2 – The angles of heel used to perform the trimmed and untrimmed slope stability analysis 3

Angle of Heel, α (o)

Rotational Analysis Translational Analysis

Trimmed Untrimmed Trimmed Untrimmed

0 - ✓✓✓✓ - ✓✓✓✓

10 ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓

20 ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓

30 ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓

40 ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ ✓✓✓✓ -

50 ✓✓✓✓ - ✓✓✓✓ -

60 ✓✓✓✓ - ✓✓✓✓ -

4 Table 3 – The initial and final physical properties of the samples tested 5

Unique Sample Identification Number, ID 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Initial Wet Density, ρb (t/m3) 2.55 2.90 2.93 2.95 2.74 2.60 2.50 2.79 2.71

Initial Dry Density, ρd (t/m3) 2.32 2.57 2.58 2.62 2.49 2.41 2.27 2.49 2.43

Initial Void Ratio, e 0.79 0.62 0.61 0.59 0.67 0.72 0.83 0.67 0.71

Initial Gross Water Content, w1 (%) 9.11 11.53 11.97 11.45 9.17 7.23 9.23 10.72 10.51

Initial Degree of Saturation, S (%) 52 88 92 91 63 45 51 75 69

Initial Volume of Air, Va (%) 21 5 3 3 15 23 22 10 13

Final Gross Water Content, w1 (%) 9.11 9.79 9.60 9.87 8.86 7.20 8.84 10.28 9.76

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6 Table 4 – The 3-point monotonic shear test conditions and results produced during the triaxial testing 7

Unique Sample Identification Number, ID 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Triaxial Shear Test 1:

Confining Stress, σ3 (kPa) 35 35 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Maximum Deviator Stress, (Δσd)f (kPa) 232 253 159 163 194 160 124 183 170

Major Principal Stress, σ1 (kPa) 267 288 174 178 209 175 139 198 185

Triaxial Shear Test 2:

Confining Stress, σ3 (kPa) 50 45 35 35 35 35 35 35 35

Maximum Deviator Stress, (Δσd)f (kPa) 300 320 241 229 270 230 185 306 258

Major Principal Stress, σ1 (kPa) 350 365 276 264 305 265 220 341 293

Triaxial Shear Test 3:

Confining Stress, σ3 (kPa) - 1

55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55

Maximum Deviator Stress, (Δσd)f (kPa) - 1

383 364 346 364 325 261 419 355

Major Principal Stress, σ1 (kPa) - 1

438 419 401 419 380 316 474 410

Resulting Shear Strength Parameters:

Internal Friction Angle, φ (o) 43 49 46 44 43 42 39 48 44

Cohesion, c (kPa) 18 6 17 20 28 21 17 18 21 1 Sample failed before the third shear test was completed due to the higher confining pressures initially used. The third

shear test was used for verification of the total failure envelope. Due to the accuracy of the other tests this sample was

included without the verification.

8 Table 5 – The results of the rotational slope stability analysis for each of the samples of iron ore fines 9

Unique Sample Identification Number, ID 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Average

Trimmed Rotational Analysis

Angle of Heel, α (o) Minimum Factor of Safety, FS

10 7.2 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.7 7.3 6.4 8.2 7.5 7.4

20 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.8 3.3 4.2 3.9 3.8

30 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.7 2.5 2.4

40 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.7

50 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.3

60 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.0

Angle of Heel at Failure (FS = 1), αf (o) 61 58 62 61 66 62 55 67 64 62

a

Untrimmed Rotational Analysis

Angle of Heel, α (o) Minimum Factor of Safety, FS

0 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.5 2.4 2.3

10 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.7

20 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.3

30 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.0

40 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8

Angle of Heel at Failure (FS = 1), αf (o) 28 28 28 28 36 30 25 31 30 30

a

a Noting the high coefficient of determinations (R

2) shown in Figure 16, the average angle of heel at failure is based on the

trend lines produced from the data rather than the data itself.

10 Table 6 – The results of the translational slope stability analysis for each of the samples of iron ore fines 11

Unique Sample Identification Number, ID 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Average

Trimmed Translational Analysis

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Angle of Heel, α (o) Factor of Safety, FS, for zj = 12m

10 5.7 7.4 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.0 6.7 5.9 6.0

20 2.8 3.8 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 3.3 2.9 2.9

30 1.8 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 2.1 1.8 1.9

40 1.2 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.3

50 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9

60 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7

Angle of Heel at Failure (FS = 1), αf (o) 44 62 47 45 42 44 40 50 46 46

a

Untrimmed Translational Analysis

Angle of Heel, α (o) Factor of Safety, FS, for zj = 2.9m

0 1.5 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.6

10 1.1 1.7 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2

20 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9

30 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7

Angle of Heel at Failure (FS = 1), αf (o) 14 0.8 14 14 18 15 10 17 16 14

a

a Noting the high coefficient of determinations (R

2) shown in Figure 18, the average angle of heel at failure is based on the

trend lines produced from the data rather than the data itself.

12 Table 7 – The average angle of heel at failure for varying factors of safety 13

Factor of Safety, FS

Angle of heel at failure, αf

Rotational Analysis Translational Analysis

Trimmed Untrimmed Trimmed Untrimmed

1 62 30 46 14

1.1 57 26 42 11

1.2 53 23 40 8

1.3 49 20 37 6

1.4 46 17 35 3

1.5 43 15 33 1

1.6 41 12 31 0

1.7 39 10 30 0

1.8 37 8 28 0

1.9 35 6 27 0

2 34 4 26 0

14

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