testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ......

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Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation parameterization for predicting ice nuclei and simulating mixed-phase clouds during ISDAC Paul J. DeMott 1 , Anthony J. Prenni 1 , James M. Carpenter 1 , Xiaohong Liu 2 , Andrew Glen 3 , Sarah D. Brooks 3 , Mark D. Branson 1 , and Sonia M. Kreidenweis 1 1 Colorado State University 2 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 3 Texas A&M University Acknowledgments: DOE (Grant No. DE-FG02-09ER64772); NSF AGS and CMMAP; DOE Climate Change Prediction Program

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Page 1: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation parameterization for predicting ice nuclei and simulating mixed-phase clouds during ISDAC

Paul J. DeMott1, Anthony J. Prenni1, James M. Carpenter1, Xiaohong Liu2, Andrew Glen3, Sarah D. Brooks3,

Mark D. Branson1, and Sonia M. Kreidenweis1

1Colorado State University2Pacific Northwest National Laboratory3Texas A&M University

Acknowledgments: DOE (Grant No. DE-FG02-09ER64772); NSF AGS and CMMAP; DOE Climate Change Prediction Program

Page 2: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Overview

• Merged aerosol and ice nuclei (IN) data sets from multiple field programs toward a parameterization of ice nucleation as it depends on aerosols and thermodynamic conditions.

• Compare and contrast IN predictions versus TAMU IN data collected during the Indirect and Semi-Direct Aerosol Campaign (ISDAC)

• Incorporate parameterization into cloud resolving model simulations of single layer Arctic clouds during ISDAC

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 3: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

aircraft aerosol sample inlet

CVI inlet (aerosol from evaporated cloud particles

when in clouds)

Sampling methods (CSU in various studies, TAMU in ISDAC)

Continuous flow diffusion chamber (CFDC) in aircraft

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 4: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Ice nuclei concentrations (RHw>100%) in projects over 14 years (292, 10-30 min. averages, coincident aerosol data)

[DeMott et al., 2010; PNAS]

Pacific free trop

Arctic stratus

Storm Peak, CO

Front Range wave clouds

Canadian winter

Amazon wet season

Northeast / Midwest winter

Front Range late winter wave and upslope clouds

LOQ ambient

LOQ CVI

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 5: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Noted sizes of collected ice nuclei translates to noted concentration sensitivity to

concentrations of aerosols > 0.5 µm

Particle 38Particle 38

Alumina-silicateMineral dust

Acknowledgment: RJ Lee Inc.

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Median IN size

Page 6: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Parameterization of ice formation in mixed-phase clouds

( ) ))16.273((5.0,, )(16.273 dTc

aerb

kTINk

knTan +−−=

• Tk is cloud temperature in degrees Kelvin

• naer,0.5 is the number concentration (scm-3) of aerosol particles with diameters larger than 0.5 µm

• nIN is ice nuclei number concentration (std L-1) at Tk

• Valid only in mixed phase conditions, ignores any IN dependence on RHw>100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 7: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Account for particle size and T-dependencies reduces variability within ~1(O) magnitude

~2/3 values within factor 2

DeMott et al. (2010; PNAS)

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 8: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Chemistry or processing impacts on IN variability likely exist and require further research

0.0010.01

0.11

10100

1000

0 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000Observed IN conc. (L-1)

Pred

icte

d IN

Con

c. (L

-1)

Heavy dust at high altitude near Japan (PACDEX)

Prescribed burn plumes (ICE-L)

Denver pollution (ICE-L)

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 9: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Use of ISDAC PCASP number concentrations to predict IN number concentrations

Flight 31 (April 26, 2008) – 1 min IN for RHTAMU-CFDC > 100%

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Cloud phase data courtesy of R. Jackson and G. McFarquhar0: clear1: ice or sub-cloud

precip.2: mixed phase3: liquid

PCASP data courtesy of W. Strapp, P. Liu

Page 10: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Flight 17; April 8, 2008

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 11: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

ISDAC IN – aerosol preliminary data for 2 days (5 minute averages)

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Springtime Arctic is not deficient in IN, at least at -25 to -32 C

Page 12: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Flight 31 (April 26, 2008) – single layer, upper-liquid and lower-ice dominated, precipitating ice at times

Cloud data courtesy of W. Strapp, A. Korolev N1 = 206.9 cm-3; N2 = 8.5 cm-3

s1 = 1.50; s2 = 2.45d1 = 0.2 µm; d2 = 0.7 µm

Acknowledgments to Mengistu Wolde, Mikhail Ovchinnikov, Michael Earle

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Page 13: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Simulations and sensitivity studies using the System for Atmospheric Modeling (SAM v 6.8.2) CRM,

Morrison 2-moment microphysics, “diagnostic” IN

10 x IND

IND (from DeMott et al. (2010))

0.1 x IND

Early glaciation of cloud water and early precipitation

Ice conc. low by ~10; no precipitation to surface

Ice conc. (0.2-0.3 L-1) correct, and precipitation to surface

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX

Precipitating water content

Page 14: Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice nucleation ...€¦ · Testing a new aerosol-dependent ice ... ( std L-1) at T k ... >100%, no sampling represented under sea salt influences March

Conclusions and outlook

• IN predicted by parameterization linking to aerosols (numbers and size) agrees within expectations with observed values during ISDAC – will be compiling a comprehensive comparison.

• Many characteristics of April 26 cloud case are well simulated using IN parameterization – need further analyses of simulation details (cloud water and ice distributions), comparison to remote sensing data.

• Case shows strong sensitivity of clouds to ice formation process. Will attempt prognostic IN implementation next.

• Simulate additional cases and participate in model inter-comparisons.

March 30, 2011 DOE-ASR Science Team Meeting San Antonio, TX