telecommunications sector romania - emis insight - romania... · telecommunications sector romania...

57
- 1 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved. Produced by: Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved. Telecommunications Sector Romania May 2015

Upload: lamhanh

Post on 06-Feb-2018

224 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 1 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Produced by:

Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Telecommunications Sector

Romania

May 2015

Page 2: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 2 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Table of Contents

I. Sector Overview

1. Sector Highlights

2. Key Sector Data

3. Economic Importance

4. Telecom revenues – forecasts

5. Regulatory framework

6. National strategy on 2020 digital agenda

7. Digital Agenda for Romania 2014-2020

II. Fixed Telephony

1. Segment Highlights

2. Key Segment Data

3. Market Shares

III. Mobile Telephony

1. Segment Highlights

2. Key Segment Data

3. Traffic volume on mobile networks

4. Market concentration

5. Market Shares

6. Operator Switching

IV. Internet Services

1. Segment Highlights

2. Key Segment Data

3. Internet access providers

4. Mobile connections

5. Fixed connections

6. Internet Speed

7. Recent Developments

V. Television

1. Key Segment Data

2. TV Services Providers

3. Advertising Market

4. Recent Developments

Page 3: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 3 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Table of Contents

VI. Telecom Sector Headlines

VII. Main Players

1. Top M&A Deals

2. M&A Activity, 2013-2014

3. Telekom Romania

4. Telekom Romania Communications

5. Telekom Romania Mobile Communications

6. Orange Romania

7. Vodafone Romania

8. RCS&RDS

9. UPC Romania

Page 4: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 4 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

I. Sector Overview

Page 5: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 5 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Revenues

Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and services in Romania decreased in 2013 by 1.5%

to RON 14.4bn, according to market watchdog ANCOM. In 2014, the figure is expected to have decreased again due to lower

revenues of telecom operators, influenced by mobile termination rate (MTR) cuts and additional taxation introduced by the

government.

Market

consolidation

The market is expected to continue to consolidate, with companies providing an increasing number of integrated services,

including data, broadband, internet, television and video services. Competition is increasing in all segments and operators are

exploring the need for new services in their battle for clients. For example, internet, TV and telecoms leader RCS&RDS has

announced plans to expand into the energy market and become a power supplier.

Market segments

Fixed line telephony services declined by 2% in terms of subscribers in 2014, with revenues also expected to follow the same

trend, as users switch to mobile telephony and continue to buy smartphones. Mobile telephony services registered a stagnation

in terms of clients, while revenues have been affected by MTR cuts. Growth was recorded by internet access services and pay

TV, due to improvements in coverage and infrastructure development.

Digital Agenda

for Europe

Romania continued to make progress towards the achievement of the Digital Agenda for Europe (DAE) objectives in

2012/2013, a European Commission (EC) report published in July 2014 shows. The number of fixed broadband lines reached

over 3.79mn in January 2014, representing the 9th highest number of lines among European Union (EU) countries. Fast

broadband (at least 30Mbps) penetration reached 10.5%, which is well above the EU average of 6.3%. Ultrafast broadband (at

least 100Mbps) penetration reached 4.6%, also above the EU average of 1.6%.

Sector Highlights

Page 6: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 6 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Key Sector Data

No of telecom services users (mn)

Revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and services, by segment (RON mn)

National Authority for Management and Regulation in Communications (ANCOM)

4.04 4.01 4.04 3.96

23.4 22.8 22.9 22.9

3.3 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 7.1

9.6 12.0

5.7 6.0 6.5 6.9

2011 2012 2013 2014

Subscribers to fixed telephony services Active users of mobile telephony services Fixed broadband connections

Mobile broadband connections Subscribers to television services

2,187 2,007 1,907

7,644 7,428 6,948

1,857 2,216 2,592

448 470 446 1,536 1,584 1,610

2011 2012 2013

Fixed telephony services Mobile telephony services Internet access services Data tranmission services Audiovisual media programme services

Page 7: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 7 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Comments

Economic Importance

Romania's GDP increased by a real 2.8% in 2014, supported by good performances in the industrial sector, which grew by 3.6%, and the information and

communication sector, which continued to outperform other sectors in terms of growth and rose by 8.2%.

At the same time, the direct and indirect impact on the economy of the Strategy for Digital Agenda for Romania may be translated into GDP growth of 13%,

an increase the number of jobs by 11% and a reduction of administration costs by 12% over the years 2014-2020.

The EC expects GDP growth of 2.8% for 2015 and 3.3% for 2016, mainly driven by private consumption, investment and a benign external environment.

The Romanian government targets 3.3% economic growth in 2015.

Economic importance

National Statistics Institute, Ministry of Finance, National Bank of Romania, ANCOM , *EC

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

IT&C revenues, EUR bn 3.61* 3.44 3.28 3.26 n/a

IT&C % of GDP 3.4% 3.2% 4.5% 5.4% 5.9%

GDP, EUR bn 124 131 134 144 150

GDP growth, % -1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 3.4% 2.8%

CPI, % 6.1% 5.8% 3.3% 4.0% 1.1%

Net FDI, % of GDP 1.8% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.6%

Unemployment rate (ILO), % 7.3% 7.4% 7.0% 7.3% 6.8%

Budget Deficit ESA 95, % of GDP 6.8% 5.5% 3.0% 2.3% 1.9%

Net FDI, EUR bn 2.26 1.70 2.49 2.71 2.43

Page 8: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 8 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Comments

Telecom Revenues - Forecasts

The mobile telephony market is expected to grow in the medium term due to rising smartphone and tablet sales, while fixed line telephony is estimated to

drop as it is replaced by mobile usage. According to estimates by the Economist Intelligence Unit, revenues from fixed telephony will drop from USD 348mn

in 2014 to USD 157mn in 2018, while those from mobile telephony will grow from USD 1.7bn in 2014 to USD 1.9bn in 2018.

A 30% increase in the sale of smartphones is forecast for 2015, up from the 2.5-2.7mn units sold in 2014, according to executives of Samsung Romania.

Telecom revenues

Economist Intelligence Unit

621

530

416

398

348

288

235

194

157

2,09

3

1,70

6

1,49

1 1,69

9

1,73

6

1,73

2

1,80

3

1,89

3

1,94

2

0.5%

0.4% 0.4%

0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Fixed telecom revenue, USD mn Mobile telecom revenue, USD mn Telecom Investments (% of GDP)

Page 9: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 9 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Regulatory framework

Lower

termination

rates

Under EU telecoms rules, as of April 1, 2014, the maximum termination rates in Romania decreased from 0.67

eurocents/minute to 0.14 eurocents/minute for fixed call termination and from 3.07 eurocents/minute to 0.96 eurocents/minute

for mobile call termination.

The new tariffs have become mandatory for all network providers in Romania which are identified as having significant power

on fixed and mobile call termination markets. According to sector regulator ANCOM, 44 providers of fixed networks and 6

providers of mobile networks fall into this category.

Special

industrial

assets

taxation

In 2014, Romania introduced a tax on "special industrial assets" levied at a rate of 1.5% of the value of their construction. This

significantly affects telecom operators, due to the networks and other property subject to this tax that they possess. The tax,

which has been highly criticized, could result in the postponement of a portion of the investments planned by operators. In

2014, the companies in the sector paid around EUR 35mn on account of this tax.

Following the strong negative impact on the private sector and on investments, the government decided to cut this tax to 1% as

of 2015. The government also plans to eliminate it altogether in the medium term.

Page 10: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 10 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

National strategy on 2020 digital agenda

National strategy

on 2020 digital

agenda

At the start of April 2015, the Romanian government passed its national strategy on the 2020 digital agenda. A full

implementation of the strategic vision for ICT sector in Romania that will meet the national targets specified in this strategy will

require a total investment of more than EUR 3.9bn.

According to a document prepared by the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT), which is

responsible for e-government strategy and policy development at the national level, implementing this strategy over the years

2014-2020 will have a direct and indirect impact on the economy which will translate into 13% additional cumulative GDP

growth, an 11% increase in the number of jobs, and a 12% reduction in administrative costs.

Digital Agenda for

Europe

Romania has adapted to its current context the 7 Pillars that form the basis of The Digital Agenda for Europe 2014-2020 and

has defined 4 major Fields of Action to follow in order to drive economic growth and increased competitiveness.

Page 11: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 11 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Digital Agenda for Romania 2014-2020

E-Government

Field of Action 1 refers to e-Government, Interoperability, Cyber Security, Cloud Computing, Open Data, Big Data and

Social Media. Progress in this field will help increase efficiency and reduce public sector costs in Romania by modernising

the administration.

Education,

Health &

Culture

Field of Action 2 refers to the support of ICT in education, health, culture and e-Inclusion and will help ensure that ICT

investments create a positive social impact.

The implementation and correlation of the first two Fields of Action are expected to generate, over the period 2014-2020, an

estimated impact on the Romanian economy of about 5% GDP growth and a 1% rise in the number of jobs.

E-Commerce

Field of Action 3 refers to e-Commerce, Research & Development and Innovation in ICT. This builds on the comparative

advantages of Romania and supports economic growth in the private sector. The implementation of the measures

envisaged in this Field of Action is expected to generate an impact on the Romanian economy of around 3% in GDP and 2%

in terms of jobs in the period 2014-2020.

Digital services Field of Action 4 targets broadband and digital services infrastructure, aiming to support social inclusion and benefits across

all other Fields of Action.

Page 12: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 12 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Digital Agenda for Romania 2014-2020 (cont'd)

Objectives and areas of actions

Ministry of Communications and Information Technology

Objective 2020 EU Targets RO Targets Current situation in

Romania

Covered by broadband 100% by 2013 100% by 2020 90.0% (2013)

Covered by broadband above 30 Mbps 100% by 2020 80% by 2020 66.0% (2013)

Subscriptions to fixed broadband above 100 Mbps 50% by 2020 45% by 2020 25.0% (2013)

Population to buy online 50% by 2015 30% by 2020 8.0% (2013)

Population to buy online cross-border 20% by 2015 5% by 2020 1.0% (2013)

SMEs to make online sales 33% by 2015 20% by 2020 7.3% (2014)

Regular internet usage overall 75% by 2015 60% by 2020 48.0% (2014)

Among disadvantaged people 60% by 2015 45% by 2020 24.0% (2012)

Population that has never used the internet 15% by 2015 30% by 2020 39.0% (2014)

Citizens using e-Government 50% by 2015 35% by 2020 5.7% (2014)

Returning completed forms 25% by 2015 20% by 2020 6.6% (2013)

Page 13: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 13 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

II. Fixed Telephony

Page 14: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 14 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Segment Highlights

Revenues from fixed telephony services, on both the retail and the wholesale market, continued to decline in 2013, falling to RON 1.9bn – a 5%

drop on a 2013 figure that itself represented an 8% decrease on 2012. Fixed telephony accounted for 13% of total revenues from IT&C services,

according to ANCOM. Demand for fixed-line telephony is expected to decline as mobile telephone usage replaces fixed-line usage.

Revenues

Fixed/Mobile integration

Traffic

Outlook

Fixed voice services have become mostly a retention tool that is offered as part of a fixed/mobile service bundle. However, consolidation and

integration between fixed and mobile services is just starting in Romania.

In contrast to mobile telephony, traffic in public fixed-line telephony has continued to decline, falling by 13.5% y/y to 3bn minutes in 2014, after

dropping by 11.7% in 2013. The biggest decline was recorded by internet access traffic (for dial-up and ISDN access) which slipped 67%, due to

users' switch to faster broadband connections. Traffic to fixed networks decreased by 13% and to mobile networks by 6%. The only upward trend

was the one maintained by traffic to networks outside Romania, which rose by 4%, most likely supported by important diaspora communities.

According to the Romanian government, 6-8mn Romanians live outside the country's borders.

The Romanian government, which still controls a 46% stake in fixed-line operator Romtelecom – currently rebranded as Telekom Romania

Communications – is expected to make a decision in 2015 about selling its shares. A possible listing of Romtelecom shares was announced for

2014, but procedures have dragged on and flotation is now not expected to occur sooner than 2016.

Page 15: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 15 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Comments

Source:

Key Segment Data

There are 44 active fixed telephony providers on the Romanian market, which in 2014 recorded decreases in terms of both number of access lines (3%

lower at 4.6mn) and number of subscribers (down 2% to 4mn).

As of end-2014, the fixed telephony penetration rate per 100 inhabitants had decreased to 22.9%, from 23.5% at end-2013, while the fixed telephony

penetration rate per 100 households was 49.9%, down from 51% in the previous year.

Access lines/subscribers to fixed telephony services, mn Fixed telephony penetration rates (%)

ANCOM

4.04 4.01 4.04 3.96

4.68 4.65 4.71

4.57

31-Dec-11 31-Dec-12 31-Dec-13 31-Dec-14

subscribers lines

23.2% 23.1% 23.5% 22.9%

51.3% 50.8% 51.0% 49.9%

31-Dec-11 31-Dec-12 31-Dec-13 31-Dec-14

Penetration rate per 100 inhabitants

Penetration rate per 100 households

Page 16: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 16 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Key Segment Data (cont'd)

Fixed number portability, thousands Traffic volume on the fixed public telephone networks

ANCOM

89.5 72.7

84.7

310.6

383.3

468

2012 2013 2014

Ported numbers Cumulated no. of ported numbers as of Oct 2008

72.9% 69.1% 66.9%

21.9% 24.8%

26.0%

5.2% 6.1% 7.1%

0.11% 0.09% 0.08%

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

2012 2013 2014

Internet andSMS traffic

Voice traffic tonetworksoutsideRomania(international)

Voice traffic tomobilenetworks

Voice traffic tofixed networks

Page 17: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 17 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Market Shares

Market share

Telekom Romania Communications (former Romtelecom)

has the highest number of clients for fixed telephony

services, with 2.2mn voice telephony lines (including

CDMA) at the end of 2014, followed by RCS&RDS with

1.5mn clients.

The other prominent company offering services in the

fixed-telephony segment is UPC Romania, one of the

leading cable companies and internet service providers.

The entrance in 2007 of the two main mobile operators –

Vodafone (UK) and Orange (owned by France Telecom) –

injected further competition into the fixed-line market.

However, their call tariffs are higher than those of the

leading providers, their main target customers being those

without access to wireline networks (in rural or suburban

areas).

Vodafone is considering entry into the fixed telephony

market via an acquisition. According to media reports in

late 2014, Vodafone Group was exploring the possibility of

merging with Liberty Global, the owner of UPC, the

second player on the cable TV market and the third player

on the fixed telephony market.

EMIS Insight, Vodafone

Telekom Romania

Communications 53%

RCS-RDS 33%

UPC 11%

Vodafone 3%

Page 18: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 18 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

III. Mobile Telephony

Page 19: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 19 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Segment Highlights

Revenues from mobile telephony services, both on the retail and the wholesale market, reached RON 6.9bn (EUR3.2bn) in 2013. This total

represented 48% of total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and services, but also marked an absolute decrease

of 6.46% y/y, according to ANCOM. In 2014, revenues of the four mobile telecom operators active in Romania reached EUR 2.4bn, significantly

lower than in the previous year, due to a challenging macroeconomic, competitive and regulatory environment.

Revenues

Prices

New entry

Outlook

The EU roaming regulations introduced in 2014 – which imposed lower prices for mobile phone calls, SMS and data traffic – also influenced the

Romanian operators, who came up with new options and tariff plans. The low level of these charges might mean not just an intensification of

competition among existing operators but also a lowering of the barriers to market entry by mobile network virtual operators (MNVOs). The first

virtual mobile operator entered the Romanian market at the start of 2015.

In March 2015, Lycamobile, the largest mobile virtual network operator in the world, launched its services in Romania, which became the 18th

country in its international network. Over the next year, the operator aims to boost its subscriber base by 25%. Romanians can make international

calls for 1 eurocent/minute using prepaid SIM cards from Lycamobile. The company's operations have been launched through a partnership with

Telekom Romania.

Further market consolidation is expected on the mobile telephony market, as operators seek new clients and integration of services. The market

could also see consolidation via partnerships between large telecom operators. According to media reports, these are holding talks to close

strategic collaborations aimed at joint development and use of networks. Such alliances could help mobile service providers to expand on the fixed

services market and fixed service providers to have access to mobile networks.

Page 20: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 20 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Key Segment Data

Mobile telephony users

The number of active users on the mobile telephony

market remained unchanged at the end of 2014, at

22.9mn. Despite this, the usage rate of mobile telephony

services continued to rise, most likely due to lower

interconnection prices.

Interconnection tariffs on the mobile market in Romania

have been subject to gradual reductions in recent years,

as a result of regulations imposed by ANCOM.

As a result, the total voice traffic on mobile networks

(excluding roaming) rose by 5.3% in 2014 compared with

2013, to 67bn minutes.

The demand for pre-paid mobile services in Romania has

traditionally been very strong. There are 15.3mn pre-paid

mobile users in the country, compared to 9.8mn users of

subscription services. The majority (67%) of all mobile

calls in Romania are made by pre-paid users.

Mobile penetration for valid SIM cards stood at 126%, as

of end-2014.

Mobile Telephony Penetration Rates

22.8 22.9 22.9

9.3 9.4 9.8

16.2 16.1 15.3

13.5 13.5 13.1

12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014

active users (postpaid and “active” prepaid cards)

post paid users

valid prepaid cards

active prepaid cards

127.0% 127.2% 126.1%

113.6% 114.5% 114.9%

12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014

Valid SIM card penetration rate per 100 inhabitants

Active SIM card penetration rate per 100 inhabitants

Page 21: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 21 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Traffic volume on mobile networks

\

Voice traffic volume, retail market (%)

Voice traffic, wholesale market, (mn minutes)

ANCOM

85.4% 84.6% 80.0%

9.5% 10.2% 13.6%

3.7% 3.3% 3.2%

1.4% 1.9% 3.2%

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

2012 2013 2014

to internationalnetworks andnetworks withsatellitetransmission

to fixed publicnetworks

to other terrestrialmobile publicnetworks

on own mobilenetworks

5,9

52

7,2

90

7,6

97

8,1

76

8,9

54

9,4

66

10,

678

1

4,32

4

+ 34.0%

+ 22.4% + 5.6%

+ 6.2%

+ 9.5% + 5.7%

+ 12.8%

+ 34.2%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Voice traffic terminated on mobile telephone networks, mn minutes

y/y evolution

Page 22: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 22 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Comments

Source:

Traffic volume on mobile networks (cont'd)

The traffic volume achieved in outbound international roaming has continued to rise over the last few years, with the most significant increase registered by

internet access and data transmission services.

The country has great potential in terms of mobile internet and the number of users is expected to increase significantly, also supported by smartphone

sales. The smartphone market is forecast to increase by 30% in 2015, from the level of 2.5-2.7mn units sold in 2014.

Dynamics of the traffic volume achieved in outbound int. roaming Dynamics of SMS, MMS and 3G video calls traffic (except roaming)

ANCOM

2012 2013 2014

SMS total traffic (mm)

13,873

16,904

19,499

MMS total traffic (mn)

15

15

17

3G video calls traffic(mn minutes)

1.6

1.3

1.1

2012 2013 2014

total voice traffic, of which (mn

minutes)

359

423

647

outgoing calls (mn minutes)

94

105

196

incoming calls (mn minutes)

265.0

318.0

451.0

outgoing SMS traffic (mn) 105 112 123

outgoing and incoming MMS

traffic (mn)

0.7

0.8

1.1

internet access and data

transmission (including MMS)

traffic (thousand GB)

14

34

202

Page 23: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 23 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Comments

Market concentration

Measured by the widely accepted Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), the concentration of the mobile services market in Romania is high, considerably

exceeding the score of 2,000 that is commonly treated by competition authorities as the threshold for a seriously concentrated market. Romania’s HHI has

not changed radically in recent years, its values recording a slight increase in each of the three segments calculated. The index for the voice traffic segment

has seen the highest growth, reaching the level of 3,823 in 2014.

This HHI index stability is due to the stability of the market shares of major mobile operators in Romania. Although it has not undergone a really noteworthy

change in recent years, the market share of the leader is on an upward trend, to the detriment of its competitors.

Mobile telephony market concentration degree

ANCOM

3,287

3,413

3,487 3,526

3,482

3,592

3,740 3,748

3,818 3,823

3,206 3,202 3,247 3,262

3,262

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

HHI trafic de voce (exclusiv roaming) HHI trafic SMS (exclusiv roaming) HHI cartele "SIM" active

Page 24: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 24 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Market Shares

Market share by SIM cards

Currently, the mobile telephony market includes four

operators – Orange, Vodafone, Telekom Romania and

RCS&RDS.

According to the Body of European Regulators for

Electronic Communications (BEREC), quoted by

Romania's Competition Council, the situation at end-

January 2014 was as follows: Romania’s mobile

telephony market leader had a market share of around

43% and its main competitor covered 29.2% of the

market, while the remaining 27.8% was shared between

other operators (with the majority of the latter owned by a

company with a share of 22.8%). Market shares were

calculated based on the number of active SIM cards.

At the end of 2014, Orange Romania had 10.5mn mobile

clients, while Vodafone Romania had 8.06mn users of

mobile services, followed by Telekom Romania with

5.9mn mobile subscribers. RCS&RDS does not publish

data on its clients, but according to estimates of local

business daily Ziarul Financiar, its mobile telephony

clients number around 1.1mn.

Market share by total revenues, 2014

BERC, company data

Orange 43%

Vodafone 29.2% Telekom

22.8%

RCS RDS 5%

Orange 37%

Vodafone 27%

Telekom 18%

RCS RDS 18%

Page 25: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 25 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Comments

Source:

ARPU

The rate of decline in average revenue per user (ARPU) accelerated in 2014, as a result of regulatory cuts to mobile termination rates (MTRs) implemented

in April 2014. Operators' data for the end of 2014 also indicates that the cuts to MTRs resulted in decreases of ARPU. BMI Research estimates that the

market average monthly blended ARPU declined to RON26.2 in 2014.

However, according to BMI Research, ARPUs have the potential to rise again as more expensive 4G services are rolled out in the country and operators

promote value-added services such as mobile payments (an example is Vodafone's launch of mobile payment service M-Pesa, which it sees as having

significant growth potential).

Monthly Blended ARPU, RON

Mobile number portability, thousands

BMI Research, ANCOM (right)

28.3

26.9

26.2

25.7 25.4

25.2 25 25

2012 2013 2014E 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F

166 201

480

623

824

1,304

2012 2013 2014

Ported tel. numbers

Cumulated number of ported telephony numbers as of Oct 2008)

Page 26: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 26 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Comments

Operator switching

Between the introduction of number portability in October 2008 and the end of 2014, the cumulative total of numbers ported in Romania reached 1,772,073.

Of these, 1,304,091 (74%) were mobile and 467,982 (26%) were fixed telephone numbers. An interesting y/y doubling of numbers ported took place in

2014, after rather gradual growth between 2009 and 2013.

According to Ziarul Financiar, RCS&RDS remains the operator that has drawn the highest number of clients away from other networks. Thus, in the first four

months of 2015, RCS&RDS topped the list, followed by Vodafone, Orange and Telekom Romania.

Yearly evolution of the trend of ported numbers since the service launch

ANCOM

15,681

180,239

221,219 260,256 255,893

274,137

564,648

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 27: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 27 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

IV. Internet Services

Page 28: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 28 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Segment Highlights

Revenues

In 2013, revenues from internet access services amounted to RON 2.6bn, up 17% on the previous year and representing 18%

of total IT&C services, according to ANCOM data.

Users, Speed

Connectivity

Romania had 16mn broadband internet connections as of end-2014, of which 12mn were mobile (up 25% y/y) and 4mn were

fixed (up 6% y/y).

Romania has progressed in terms of connectivity, as increasing numbers of people are subscribing to fast broadband networks

(59% of fixed subscriptions are to a fast connection, in comparison to 54% in 2013). The country, in fact, ranks 2nd in the entire

EU in this area.

EU

comparison

Romania has the lowest percentage of regular Internet users in the EU (48%), well below the EU average of 75%. Similarly, the

proportion of the Romanian population that has never used the internet is as high as 39%, compared to the EU average of

18%.

E-commerce

Romania ranks last among EU countries in respect of the share of internet users who shop online: that percentage is just 11%,

compared to an EU28 average of 59%, according to EU statistics office Eurostat.

Only 7.3% of SMEs in Romania sell online, with these sales making up just 4.3% of their turnover.

Page 29: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 29 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Key Segment Data

Internet Users/Subscribers, mn

Evolution of the penetration rates of active mobile internet access connections

BMI Research, ANCOM

50.4%

68.2%

81.1%

35.5% 48.0%

60.2%

7.2% 7.9% 8.8%

2012 2013 2014

penetration rate of active mobile connections per 100 inhabitants

penetration rate of active mobile broadband connections by CDMA, EDGE,3G, EV-DO, 3G+, 4G per 100 inhabitants

penetration rate of active mobile broadband connections via modems/cards/USB per 100 inhabitants

9.4 10.5 11.1

11.7 12.4 13.1 13.8 14.4

4.3 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.7 5.9 6.1 6.2

2011 2012 2013E 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F

Internet users Broadband internet subscribers

Page 30: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 30 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Comments

Internet Access Providers

In 2014, the broadband market structure comprised 773 operators providing fixed broadband internet access (down from 894 in December 2012). Of these,

34 operated by cable networks, 171 by fibre, 164 by radio, 10 by xDSL, and 635 by UTP/FTP cable.

The market consolidation process is expected to contribute further to the decline in the number of providers.

According to estimates of BMI Research, Romania had 11.7mn regular internet users at the end of 2014, taking into account the growing number of internet

users who access the internet via mobile broadband devices or USB sticks.

Number of operational internet access providers, by access means

ANCOM

2012 2013 2014

Total number of internet access providers 896 793 775

fixed broadband access services 894 791 773

coaxial cable access 40 36 34

fiber optic access 177 170 171

radio access 186 159 164

UTP/FTP cable access 770 659 635

xDSL access 12 14 10

mobile access services 6 6 6

Page 31: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 31 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Mobile Connections

Total mobile internet access

Comments:

Mobile broadband access

Comments:

ANCOM

The total number of mobile internet access connections increased 19%

y/y in 2014, to 16mn. Of these, broadband connections numbered 12mn

– a 25% growth on 2013.

Out of the 12mn mobile broadband connections, 10.7mn were using 3G

and 3G+ technology and 0.7mn were achieved through 4G technology.

All these connections generated total traffic of more than 46,000

terabytes, according to sector watchdog ANCOM.

The majority of mobile broadband connections (53%) were by way of

subscription-based cards.

The growth of the total number of connections also led to an increase of

the mobile broadband penetration rate, to 60.2% at end-2014 – which

represents rises of 12% and 25%, respectively, compared to end-2013

and end-2012.

10,124

13,647

16,172

7,136

9,617

12,001

5,878

8,184

10,693

22

709

2012

2013

2014

4G connections3G and other superior to 3G connectionsBroadband connectionsTotal mobile internet access connections

7.1

9.6 12

.0

4.0

4.8 6.

4

3.1

4.8 5.6

35.4%

47.9% 60.2%

2012 2013 2014

mobile broadband connections

mobile broadband connections - subscriptions

mobile broadband connections - prepaid cards

Penetration rate per 100 inhabitants

Page 32: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 32 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Fixed Connections

Fixed broadband connections (mn)

Comments

Support types (%)

Comments

ANCOM

Fixed broadband connections registered an annual growth of 5% in

2014, reaching 4mn and generating a total annual traffic of 3.6mn

terabytes, while the penetration rate per 100 inhabitants reached

20.1%.

Out of the total 4mn connections, 2.9mn were installed in urban areas

(up 4.2% y/y), while rural areas registered an increase of 10.2% in

connections during 2014, bringing the rural total up to 1.1mn

connections.

Residential users accounted for 91% of the fixed broadband

connections that had been installed . Business users accounted for

the other 9% – that is, for less than 400,000.

As regards the main support types, the structure of fixed internet

access connections remained almost unchanged from 2013, with

some 2.3mn UTP/FTP cable connections (58%), 1mn xDSL

connections (25.9%), and half a million coaxial cable connections

(11.6%).

3.5

3.8

4.0

17.6%

18.9%

20.1%

2012 2013 2014

fixed broadband connections Penetration rate per 100 inhabitants

UTP/FTP cable

connections 58%

xDSL connections

25.9%

coaxial cable connections

11.6%

Page 33: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 33 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Comments

Internet speed on fixed broadband connections

• The average download speed of fixed broadband connections in Romania is 72.15 Mbps, the third highest in the world, after those in Singapore and

Hong Kong, according to the Ookla Global Net Index. The result is staggering, but it is to be taken very seriously indeed: Ookla, which compiles the

index, is a global leader in broadband testing and web-based network diagnostic applications.

• In Romania, prices for internet access are among the lowest in Europe. Despite this, providers have continued to expand the communications

infrastructure, and a large share of population now has access to latest-generation technologies.

Evolution of the no. of fixed broadband internet access connections, by transfer speeds

ANCOM

0.07 0.06 0.06

0.88 0.71

0.60

0.94 0.93 0.96 0.99 1.17

0.44

0.67

0.93

1.95

2012 2013 2014

144kbps - 2Mbps

2-10Mbps

10-30Mbps

30 - 100Mbps

over 100Mbps

Page 34: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 34 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Recent Developments

Romania has launched the Ro-NET project, worth EUR 83mn, which uses EU structural funds to build up broadband infrastructure in areas still

uncovered.

The project will cover 783 of the 2,268 localities identified as "blank areas" and will contribute to narrowing the digital gap between urban and rural

areas, bringing broadband internet closer to approximately 130,000 households, 400,000 people, 8,500 enterprises and 2,800 public institutions.

In 2014, Romania achieved one of Europe's highest coverage rates for ultra-fast fixed internet (over 100Mbps), as well the highest consumption of

mobile telephony services per user in the European Economic Area, ANCOM said in its 2014 annual report.

Nine cities in Romania are among the top 15 cities in the world in terms of download speed of fixed broadband internet connections, according

to the Ookla Global Net Index.

As regards high-speed internet access, Romania performs better than the EU at large. Networks capable of providing at least 30 Mbps are available

to two-thirds (66%) of Romanian households (against 62% in the EU overall). In terms of take-up, 60% of fixed internet subscriptions are to high-

speed connections, although the overall level of take-up remains low (25th in the EU).

Internet Speed

Internet connection

EU Funds

Page 35: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 35 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

V. Television

Page 36: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 36 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Comments

Key Segment Data

• In 2014, there was a 5.9% increase in the total number of subscribers to audio-visual programme retransmission services provided on a commercial

basis. The end-year number reached 6.9mn (compared to 6.5mn at end-2013).

• Most subscribers are cable TV subscribers – numbering 4.4mn at the end of 2014 (up 6.3% on 2013) – while 2.5mn are direct-to-home TV service

subscribers (up 4.7% on 2013) and around 70,000 are IP TV subscribers (26% more than in 2013).

• The penetration rate at household level reached 92%, according to the data the providers reported to ANCOM.

Subscribers (mn)

ANCOM

3.79 4.12 4.38

2.19 2.35 2.46

0.037 0.054 0.068

6.02 6.53

6.91

2006 2007 2008

cable network subscribers

satelite network subscribers (DTH)

IPTV subscribers

total number of subscribers

80.5% 87.2%

92.4%

50.7% 55.1% 58.6%

29.3% 31.4% 32.9%

0.5% 0.7% 0.9%

2012 2013 2014

Household penetration rate %household penetration rate for cable networks%household penetration rate for DTH %household penetration rate for IPTV %

Page 37: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 37 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

TV Services Providers

No of providers

Given the significant appetite of Romanian users for

television programs, cable networks have developed

rapidly, with providers diversifying their services, by

offering packages that include Internet and voice.

On the pay-TV market, three companies are competing in

practically all communications sectors: these are

RCS&RDS, UPC Romania and Romtelecom, which have

interests in cable, satellite, broadband and, in some

cases, also telecommunications and IPTV.

RCS&RDS has the largest number of cable and satellite

TV clients – a result both of its aggressive price policy and

of its acquisitions of smaller players.

Another important player on the TV market is AKTA, the

largest independent cable TV service provider

in Romania, which operates via two companies, Digital

Cable Systems (DCS) and AKTA Telecom. The company

is also an active buyer of smaller rivals, as it plans to

consolidate the customer base and expand coverage to

new areas.

Market players by cable & satelite TV clients (mn)

ANCOM, company data, estimates by Ziarul Financiar daily

2012 2013 2014

Total no. of active providers 404 363 294

on cable networks 400 359 290

on satellite networks (DTH) 3 5 5

on IP technology (IPTV) 3 2 2

RCS RDS 3.2

Telekom 1.3

UPC 1.2

Orange 0.11

Page 38: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 38 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Advertising Market

Advertising market (EUR mn) Comments

The Romanian advertising market amounted in 2014 to

EUR 313mn, up 2.6% y/y, and in 2015 is expected to

reach EUR 322mn, due to a positive macroeconomic

environment. These are among the conclusions of the

2015 edition of Media Fact Book, a report released by

media agency Initiative.

Television remained the leading mass medium for

advertising, with a 63% share of the market.

In Romania, the main players in the television market are

Central European Media Enterprises (CME) and the Intact

Media Group.

In 2014, CME had a 62% share of the local TV advertising

market, making USD 126mn on this segment, according

to its financial report for 2014. The group had about a

quarter of the total TV audience in Romania and more

than 30% of the combined prime time audience.

CME owns Romania's largest TV station PRO TV, as well

as several niche TV stations and online portals.

Intact Group, which owns the Antena 1, Antena 3, Antena

Stars, Euforia Lifestyle and ZU TV channels, had a 23%

share of the TV advertising market in Romania in 2014.

The other sizeable competitors are Kanal D, with a 5%

market share, and Prima TV, with 4%.

Media Fact Book 2015, Initiative agency

193 198

205

19 17 16 19 18 18

28 28 27

46 51

56

2013 2014 2015E

TV print media radio outdoor online media

Page 39: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 39 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Recent Developments

By June 17, 2015 Romania has to switch off the analog signal and make the transition to digital terrestrial television. However, the switch may be

subject to delays in implementation. Five companies – 2K Telecom, Radio M Plus, Regal, Cargo Sped and Digital Video Broadcast – have

submitted applications to participate in the second procedure allocating digital terrestrial television multiplexes, which will be granted for 10 years.

The TV services market is expected to consolidate further as companies plan to increase their customer bases and expand coverage to new areas.

RCS&RDS and AKTA are the companies most active on the M&A front, in their search for clients and niche services. At the end of 2014, RCS&RDS

reached an agreement with Central European Media Enterprises (CME) to acquire all of the latter's Romanian radio licences (comprising Pro FM,

Info Pro, ProClasic, Music FM and Dance FM). The deal value was around EUR 4mn according to market estimates. The acquisition is in line with

RCS&RDS' aim of building an integrated media portfolio.

Revenues from audiovisual media programme services rose by 1.6% y/y in 2013, according to ANCOM, and are expected to have risen further in

2014, due to improved macroeconomic conditions and higher investments in the sector.

Romania’s advertising market is also on a path of strong recovery, with investments in TV ads making the biggest contribution.

Revenues

Market consolidation

Digital Television

Page 40: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 40 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

VI. Telecom Sector Headlines

Vodafone, UPC

merger

Vodafone is considering the potential acquisition of Europe's leading cable operator Liberty Global,, in order to counter

impending consolidation among rivals in Britain, Reuters has reported. In Romania, Liberty Global owns UPC Romania.

Vodafone

lawsuit

Vodafone, the second-largest mobile telephony provider in Romania, has started legal proceedings against communications

market watchdog ANCOM, seeking EUR 15.1mn damages to compensate for its inability to use part of the radio spectrum

acquired at auction from the Romanian government in 2012, telecom sources have told Ziarul Financiar daily. More precisely, it

is claimed that interference from Ukrainian communications companies is rendering Vodafone unable to use part of the radio

spectrum bought in 2012 in more than 20 of Romania's 41 counties – such use having been promised in the conditions of

contract at the time of the auction.

Vodafone

assets in

Romania

Vodafone should sell its assets in several countries, including Romania, Australia, Hungary and the Czech Republic, where it is

not a market leader and where it does not have access to landline telephony infrastructure, according to a report of UBS’

brokerage division, quoted by the UK daily Financial Times. In the long term, Vodafone could be taken over or could consider a

deal to restructure its business in these countries, said UBS, with the potential buyers being American giant AT&T and

SoftBank, the third telecom operator in Japan.

Pinebridge

seeks buyer

for AKTA

Investment fund Pinebridge, the owner of Romanian cable TV operator Digital Cable Systems, which operates under the brand

name of AKTA, is looking to sell the unit for around EUR 200mn. The fund has rejected offers worth around EUR 100mn for the

unit, which is the largest independent player on the local market, Ziarul Financiar has reported, quoting unnamed sources

familiar with the talks.

Page 41: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 41 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

VII. Main Players

Page 42: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 42 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Top M&A Deals

Top 10 M&A Deals in the Telecommunications Sector in Romania in 2014 and 2013

EMIS DealWatch

Date Target Company Deal Type Buyer Country of

Buyer

Deal Value

USD (mn)

Stake

(%)

10-Nov-13 GTS Telecom SRL; GTS Central Europe; GTS Hungary;

GTS Czech s.r.o. Acquisition Deutsche Telekom AG Germany

730

(Official data) 100

18-Mar-14 Orange Romania Minority stake

purchase Atlas Services Belgium SA Belgium

10.84 (Market

estimate) 0.93

25-Sep-14 Ad Net Market Media SA Acquisition Infratel Net SRL; Andrei George Bratu - private

investor Romania N/A 100

22-Jul-14 Vesatel Acquisition RCS & RDS Romania N/A 100

16-Jul-14 Diginet SA Acquisition Clever Media Network Romania N/A 100

26-Feb-14 Electrosim SRL; Vianet Acquisition RCS & RDS Romania N/A 100

23-Dec-13 SBS Broadcasting Media Acquisition Cristian Burci - private investor Romania N/A 100

23-Dec-13 P7S1 Radio Holding SRL Acquisition Antenna Group Greece N/A 100

18-Oct-13 GSP TV; Antena Play Acquisition Orange Romania Romania N/A n/a

16-Oct-13 Digicom Systems Acquisition Ines Group Romania N/A 99.01

Page 43: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 43 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

M&A Activity (2013-2014)

Comments:

Number of Deals by Deal Type (%)

Number of Deals by Deal Value, USD (%)

Number of Deals by Region of Investors (%)

EMIS DealWatch

IT&C was the most dynamic sector in terms of number of

transactions made in 2014, according to a PwC Romania analysis

released at the start of 2015.

An important rise in the M&A activity in Romania is expected for

2015, boosted by improved prospects for economic growth and the

return of investors' confidence.

0-50mn; 7.1%

Undisclosed; 85.7%

500.1-1000; 7.1%

Romania 71.4%

Belgium 7.1%

Austria 7.1%

Greece 7.1%

Germany 7.1%

Acquisition 92.9%

Minority stake purchase 7.1%

Joint Venture 0.0%

Privatisation 0.0%

Page 44: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 44 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Telekom Romania

Romanian operations of Deutsche Telekom, thousands

Germany's Deutsche Telekom entered the Romanian

market in 2008, when it acquired a 20% stake in Greek

telecom operator OTE, the majority owner of fixed line

operator Romtelecom, cellphone operators Cosmote and

Telemobil, mobile phones store Germanos and battery

retailer Sunlight.

In 2011, following several stages, Deutsche Telekom

increased its shareholding to 40% in OTE.

Starting with September 2014, Romtelecom and Cosmote

have been operating under the Deutsche Telekom brand

and were renamed Telekom Romania and Telekom

Romania Mobile. The other company names and brand

identities were not changed.

In 2014, DT recorded total revenues of EUR 1bn in

Romania, down 1.5% against the previous year, while

EBITDA adjusted for special factors reached EUR 266mn,

down 6% from 2013.

Telekom Romania had a 30% market share in 2014, as

turnover.

• The company plans EUR 160mn investments in 2015 to

develop its communications infrastructure. It also plans to

sell old and collateral assets to help finance its

development.

Income Statement (Unconsolidated, EUR mn) Highlights

Deutsche Telekom

6,368

6,153

6,047

2,422

2,369

2,239

1,134

1,193

1,199

2012

2013

2014

Broadband lines Fixed network lines Mobile customers

1,0

37

1,0

17

1,0

02

289

283

266

2012 2013 2014

Total Revenue EBITDA adjusted for special factors

Page 45: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 45 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Telekom Romania Communications (ex Romtelecom)

Income Statement (Consolidated, EUR mn)

Highlights

Telekom Romania is one of the largest telecom operators

in the country. It is owned by OTE Group (54.01%) and

the Ministry for Information Society (44.99%).

Telekom Romania provides traditional fixed-network

telephony, broadband Internet, TV services (satellite,

IPTV and cable, including its own sports TV channel,

Dolce Sport), and ICT services.

According to Deutsche Telekom data, TV and Internet

services continued to have positive trends, both in terms

of customer base and revenues, while the company

posted a growing RGUs base of over 4.85mn for the end

of 2013.

In 2014, the company recorded a 0.1% drop in total

revenues, reaching EUR 609.1mn, while EBITDA was up

1% at EUR 149mn.

The company employs 6,029 people as of end 2014, a

number which decreased by 11.3% compared with the

previous year.

OTE

620

610

609

166

148 14

9

57.3

8.4

6.6

26.8%

24.2% 24.5%

2012 2013 2014

Revenues EBITDA EBIT EBITDA margin

Page 46: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 46 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Telekom Romania Communications (cont'd)

Operations, mn

The company lost 3.2% of its fixed voice telephony lines

in 2014 to 2.18mn subscribers, while broadband internet

subscribers fell by 1.4% to 1.23mn. However, TV

subscribers rose 4.5% to 1.41mn compared with 2013.

Romania's government still controls a 46% stake in

Telekom Romania Communications (former Romtelecom)

and is yet to decide about selling its shares.

According to media reports in early May, quoting PM

Victor Ponta, the government plans to list shares in the

telecom provider, on the London and Bucharest stock

exchanges either in 2015 or 2016.

Deutsche Telekom is interested in acquiring the minority

stake in the fixed line operator, Ziarul Financiar daily

reported, quoting Claudia Nemat, a member in DT board.

The company could be valued at EUR 800mn and the

state's stake at EUR 370mn, considering the 2014 pro

forma EBITDA of EUR 160mn.

Ownership Structure

Highlights

OTE

2.33

2.25

2.18

1.20

1.25

1.23

1.27

1.35

1.41

2012

2013

2014

TV subscribers (DTH, IPTV& Cable)

Broadband subscribers (Incl. CDMA BB)

Voice Telephony Lines (Incl. CDMA)

OTE International

54.01%

Ministry for Information

Society (MSI) 45.99%

Page 47: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 47 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Telekom Romania Mobile Communications (ex Cosmote)

Income Statement (Consolidated, EUR mn)

Highlights

Telekom Romania Mobile Communications, which is part

of the DT-owned Cosmote Group, launched commercial

operations in December 2005.

The company is the third largest telecom operator on the

local market, after Orange Romania and Vodafone

Romania.

Its shareholding structure includes Cosmote Group, part

of OTE Group, with a 70% stake and Telekom Romania

Communications (former Romtelecom), with a 30% stake.

Telekom Romania expanded 4G population coverage in

Bucharest to 90%, while also expanding the service on

mobile phones through a variety of handsets.

In 2014, the company recorded a 4.2% decrease in total

revenues, reaching EUR 439.4mn, while pro forma

EBITDA went down 11.2% to EUR 105.6mn.

OTE

463

459

439 12

0

119

106

25.8%

25.9%

24.0%

2012 2013 2014

Revenues Pro Forma EBITDA Pro Forma EBITDA margin

Page 48: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 48 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Source:

Telekom Romania Mobile Communications (cont'd)

By the end of 2014, Telekom Romania Mobile’s total

customer base stood at 6mn, of which 26.8% was

postpaid.

According to OTE, Blended Average Revenue per User

(ARPU) decreased by 8.5% in 2014 compared to 2013,

due to lower incoming ARPU, adversely affected by

interconnection rate cuts as well as the aggressive

competitive environment.

According to Telekom Romania's strategy for 2015, the

company will continue transferring current customers to IP

(Internet Protocol) technology and the group will continue

to expand its fiber optic network, estimated to cover 1mn

households by the end of 2015 and 2mn by the end of

2016.

At the same time, 4G coverage is set to double by the end

of 2015.

Ownership Structure

Highlights

OTE

Mobile subscribers, mn

6.30

6.09

5.95

2012 2013 2014

Cosmote Mobile

Telecomunications SA

(Greece) 70.0%

Telekom Romania

Communications S.A. 30%

Page 49: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 49 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

Orange Romania

Income Statement (Individual, RON mn)

Balance Sheet (Individual, RON mn)

Orange Romania, the local unit of France Telecom's

Internet and mobile arm Orange, is the biggest mobile

phone service provider in the country by customer base

and turnover.

The telecom operator is the 4G leader in Romania with

coverage of 65% of the population at 31 March 2015.

The company agreed to provide voice mobile

communication services coverage of 80% of the population

by 5 April 2017 and Broadband data mobile communication

services of 30% of the population by 5 April 2019, for 1.8

GHz and 2.6 GHz bands.

According to consolidated results published in February

2015, Orange Romania revenues fell by 2.7% to EUR

909mn in 2014, mainly due to a cut in interconnection

tariffs.

Orange has announced plans to invest EUR 500mn

in Romania over the next three years.

EMIS

4,11

9

4,33

7

2,12

1

1,42

0

1,30

0 645

518

501

193

34.5%

30.0% 30.4%

2012 2013 H1 2014

Net revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

3,59

1 4,25

9 4,77

7

2,23

3

2,36

1 2,46

6

942

1442

1867

0.66

1.11

2.89

2012 2013 H1 2014Total Assets Shareholders' equity net debt Net Debt/EBITDA

Page 50: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 50 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

Orange Romania (cont’d)

Mobile customers, thousands

ARPU per month (annual rolling, EUR)

The company’s number of clients grew by 95,000 to

10.5mn mobile customers at the end of 2014.

The number of internet customers was 19,000 at the end of

H1 2014.

In 2014, mobile internet traffic jumped 85% on the year.

Also, the sales of 4G smartphones and tablets were 4 times

higher in the last quarter compared to the same period in

2013.

ARPU was EUR 6 per month in Q1 2015, down from EUR

6.2 in the previous quarter.

Romania is the first country where the French telecom

operator will be launching a new product for its television

services: Orange TV stick that connects the TV to a

smartphone or tablet. At the end of 2014, Orange TV had a

total on 157,000 subscribers.

Orange entered the local television market through the

release of Orange TV in June 2013.

Orange

10,283

10,436

10,531

10,365

end 2012 end 2013 end 2014 Q1 2015

6.8 6.8 6.7

6.6

6.4 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5

6.4 6.3

6.2

6.0

2012Q1

2012Q2

2012Q3

2012Q4

2013Q1

2013Q2

2013Q3

2013Q4

2014Q1

2014Q2

2014Q3

2014Q4

2015Q1

Page 51: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 51 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

Vodafone Romania

Income Statement (Individual, RON mn)

Balance Sheet (Individual, RON mn)

Vodafone Romania, the second leading mobile telephony

provider in the country, a wholly owned subsidiary of

British Vodafone Group plc, was launched in April 1997 as

the first GSM network in the country.

The company provides a wide range of services, including

voice, messaging, data across mobile and fixed networks,

having a market share of 38% on the mobile segment,

behind Orange and a 3% market share on the fixed

segment, behind Romtelecom, RSD & RCS and UPC.

In April 2005, Vodafone became the first operator to launch

3G services on the Romanian market. It also launched the

first 4G mobile data network in Romania, in October 2012.

According to preliminary results for FY 2014/2015,

Vodafone Romania recorded revenues from services of

EUR 656.6mn, down 6.7% y/y. However, excluding the

interconnection fees cut, the company's revenues grew by

7.2% y/y in the period.

Vodafone

3,45

7

3,29

8

1,55

8

1,17

6

1,04

5

471

502

431

174

34.0%

31.7%

30.2%

2012 2013 H1 2014

Net revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

3,29

0

3,22

9

3,39

9

852

620

992

1,75

0

1,93

3

1,79

4

1.49

1.85

3.81

2012 2013 H1 2014Total Assets Shareholders' equity Net debt Net Debt/EBITDA

Page 52: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 52 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

Vodafone Romania (cont'd)

Users, mn

Mobile ARPU, EUR

The company had 8.7mn clients, of which 8.1mn were

users of mobile services at the end of March 2015,

corresponding to the end of financial year 2014-2015.

At the same time, subscribers accounted for 41.9% of the

customer base, while prepaid users were 58.1%.

During the same time, the company had 43,000 fixed

broadband customers.

Data consumption jumped by 75.6% y/y in the 2014/2015

fiscal year, as the company continued expanding its 4G

network coverage and following investments in technology.

Vodafone also boosted its smartphones sales, by 49% y/y

in the period.

The company plans to continue investments in Romania to

upgrade the 3G communications infrastructure and to

expand its 4G network.

At the end of 2014, Vittorio Colao, Vodafone group CEO,

told Ziarul Financiar daily that the group plans to provide

fixed services in Romania and is also considering to launch

TV services, being open to discuss a merger or an

acquisition. Market sources quoted by the daily later said

Vodafone negotiated the takeover of Digital Cable Systems

(AKTA), the largest local independent cable TV provider,

held by Asian-American private equity firm Pinebridge,

which allegedly refused offers of around EUR 100mn.

Vodafone

6.00

6.5 6.5

6.4

6.3

5.9

6.2 6.2

6.0

Q4 FY2012

Q1 FY2013

Q2 FY2013

Q3 FY2013

Q4 FY2013

Q1 FY2014

Q2 FY2014

Q3 FY2014

Q4 FY2014

8.08

8.19

8.06

59.3%

59.5%

58.1%

2012 2013 2014users of mobile services, mn prepaid cards

Page 53: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 53 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

RCS-RDS

Income Statement (Individual, RON mn)

Balance Sheet (Individual, RON mn)

EMIS

2,04

7

2,10

2

1,08

2

831

821

397 88

-14

116

40.6%

39.1%

36.7%

2012 2013 H1 2014

Net revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

4,29

6 4,77

1

4,88

8

429

635 674

3,69

2

3,76

5

3,86

0

4.44 4.59

9.72

2012 2013 H1 2014

Total Assets Shareholders' equity net debt Net Debt/EBITDA

RCS&RDS is one of the largest Romanian and

Eastern European telecom companies, offering nation

wide satellite television, cable television, cable

internet, VOIP, and 3G services.

The telecom operator, controlled by businessman

Zoltan Teszari, provides services under Digi brand in

Romania, Hungary, Spain, Italy and Czech Republic.

The company is Romania’s biggest cable TV and

fixed internet service provider and is also growing in

the mobile telephony sector.

The company employs more than 8,800 people and

its annual revenues stand at more than EUR 450mn

only in Romania.

RCS&RDS revenues are expected to decrease in

2014, following a divestment in Slovakia and

continued decline in satellite TV, according to ratings

agency Standard & Poor’s.

According to media reports, the company is reportedly

considering listing on a foreign stock exchange.

Page 54: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 54 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

RCS-RDS (cont'd)

Ownership Structure

The company has over 3.2mn clients for TV services, of

which over 2.4mn via cable, about 1.8mn clients for fixed

internet services and 1.5mn fixed telephony clients.

The company's strategy envisages the exit from non-core

markets and the focus on Romanian and Hungarian

markets.

In March 2015, RCS RDS sold its satellite TV operator Digi

TV in Czech Republic, as part of its strategy to exit non-

core markets and focus on Romanian and Hungary. The

deal value was not disclosed.

The company has also divested its Digi TV operations in

Croatia, Slovakia and Serbia.

On the other hand, the company is pursuing an aggressive

expansion strategy, acquiring almost 100,000 new

customers mostly via companies close to the group since

the beginning of 2014, according to industry sources

quoted by Ziarul Financiar daily, paying more than EUR

10mn in the process.

RCS&RDS has also announced plans to expand in the

energy market and become a power suppler, targeting

customers who are already subscribed to its telephony,

internet and TV services.

EMIS

Zoltan Teszari 58.9%

Sfetozar Bugarszki

7.2%

Nicusor Dorel Schelean 7.0%

Mihai Patap 5.3%

Cable Communicatio

ns Systems NV

(Netherlands) 2.5%

Other private investors

18.8%

Page 55: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 55 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

UPC Romania

Income Statement (Individual, RON mn)

Balance Sheet (Individual, RON mn)

UPC Romania is the 2nd largest cable television operator in

Romania. The company is affiliated to UPC Broadband, the

European division of U.S. group Liberty Global, one of the

world`s largest cable operators.

It provides video, broadband internet, and digital (VoIP)

telephony services to 1.9mn service subscribers (RGUs)

represented by 1.2mn customers as of December 31, 2014.

Last year, UPC Romania launched the wireless Internet

service UPC Wi-Free, which gives clients free access to

Internet outside of their homes. Four months after launch,

over 10% of the company's Internet customers already

used this service.

Over 65% of UPC customers currently subscribe to digital

television services and over 35% of them get HD services.

UPC Romania recorded a growth of 6% of revenues in

2014, to USD 173mn, mainly due to improving Internet

services and boosting its Internet user base.

The company employs around 1,600 people.

EMIS

442

456

238

20

-7

-10

-230

-258

-150

4.5%

-1.5%

-4.4%

2012 2013 H1 2014

Net revenues EBITDA Net Profit EBITDA margin

795

826

846

-193

-428

-578

1,07

4

1,20

9

1,40

7 54.54

-174.00

-134.28

2012 2013 H1 2014

Total Assets Shareholders' equity net debt Net Debt/EBITDA

Page 56: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 56 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Highlights

Source:

UPC Romania (cont’d)

RGUs as of December 31, 2014, thousands

Services Penetration Rate

In 2014, the company had 1.2mn video subscribers, of

which 548,000 were digital cable subscribers.

It also had 434,000 broadband internet subscribers and

313,000 telephony subscribers in the same period.

• The company increased its internet subscriptions by 14%

and fixed telephony subscriptions by 12%.

• For 2015, the company plans investments of EUR 35mn for

new services and the upgrade and expansion of its

network, according to Severina Pascu, CEO of

UPC Romania and Hungary.

• In May 2015, Liberty Global acquired Romanian cable

operator Tita & Company SRL from local entrepreneur Tiţa

Ion for an estimated EUR 2mn. The deal is in line with

Liberty Global's development plan, which is expected to

acquire several small local competitors active in both urban

and rural areas

UPC

Analog Video 306

Digital Video 873

Internet 434

Voice 313

49.7% 56.7%

64.2%

19.5% 18.3% 19.0% 13.4% 13.4% 13.7%

2012 2013 2014

Digital Cable penetration Internet penetration Voice penetration

Page 57: Telecommunications Sector Romania - EMIS Insight - Romania... · Telecommunications Sector Romania ... Total revenues from the provision of electronic communications networks and

- 57 - Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited.

Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved.

Contact:

Corporate Headquarters

6-8 Bouverie Street

London EC4Y 8DD

UK

Voice: +44 20 7779 8100

Fax: +44 20 7779 8224

Americas Headquarters

225 Park Avenue South

New York, New York 10003

US

Voice: +1 212 610 2900

Fax: +1 212 610 2950

Asia Headquarters

Eucharistic Congress Bldg. No.

III

4th Floor, 5 Convent Street

Mumbai 400 001

India

Voice: +91 22 22881123

Fax: +91 22 22881137

Disclaimer:

The material is based on sources which we believe are reliable, but no warranty, either expressed or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy or completeness

of the information. The views expressed are our best judgment as of the date of issue and are subject to change without notice. EMIS and Euromoney Institutional

Investor PLC take no responsibility for decisions made on the basis of these opinions.

Any redistribution of this information is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2015 EMIS, all rights reserved. A Euromoney Institutional Investor company.

About EMIS Insight

EMIS Insight is a unit of EMIS that produces proprietary strategic research and analysis. The service features market overviews, industry trend analysis, legislation

and profiles of the leading sector companies provided by locally-based analysts.

About EMIS

Founded in 1994, EMIS (formerly known as ISI Emerging Markets) was acquired by Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC in 1999. EMIS works from over 15 offices

around the world to deliver electronic information products, by subscription, to institutional customers globally. EMIS provides hard-to-get information covering more

than 100 emerging markets. Its flagship products are EMIS Intelligence and EMIS Professional.

EMIS clients include top investment banks, corporations, law firms, consultants, investment and insurance companies, universities and libraries, multilateral

organisations, and others.