technological advances in pv and their role in the

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Technological advances in PV and their role in the viability of PV projects Roberto Murgioni, Technical Service Manager Europe, JinkoSolar

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Page 1: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Technological advances in PV and their role in the

viability of PV projects

Roberto Murgioni, Technical Service Manager Europe, JinkoSolar

Page 2: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Robust Global Solar Demand

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Q1 2019 Global PV Market Outlook and broker reports.

Page 3: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Market Trend: Mono vs. Poly

• Poly still cost-effective, mature option in many regions to sustain market growth

• Wafer cutting technique as key factor in production cost reduction and tech.

develop.

• Mono driving capacity expansion, both P/N-type technologies

Page 4: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Market Trend: Bifacial technology

The market share of bifacial modules rises sharply from 2018 and will reach 15% in 2020.

Market Share Forecast of Bifacial Modules

Source: ITRPV

Page 5: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Bifacial Technology Benefits

Bifacial Double-Glass

Bifacial Transparent Sheet

Easy-to-clean Tedlartransparent film

Half-cell technology reduces the risk of hot spot caused by high current

Electricity generation can increase by 5-25%

Higher IRR given that electricity generation can increase by 5-25% depending on terrestrial surface types

30-yr linear power warranty

Max power output of 500W

Weight reduction by 25%

BOS cost can decrease by 3% and O&M cost can decrease by 5% compared to that of monofacial mono modules

Industry-leading right-angle large-cell technology brings about higher conversion efficiency and power output

Page 6: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Bifacial Technology Benefits: 25% lighter

25%

Lighter25% Less Weight Compared to G-G

Page 7: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Bifacial Technology Benefits: Stain resistance

The hydrophobic surface offers excellent anti-staining features, making

cleaning of the modules easier

5%O&M

Tedlar PVF FilmsEasy-to-clean Surface Finish

Page 8: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Bifacial with Transparent Backsheet Business Case

Project Size

100MW

TOTEX

72,000,000

$

OPEX

2,000,000$

during 25 years

Energy yield

during 25 years

2,850,000

MWh

CAPEX

70,000,000$

1,500 kWh/m2Annual Irradiance

PR 85%

Page 9: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Bifacial with Transparent Backsheet Business Case

Assumption: Rest of the costs (loan interest, development costs, installation costs, etc.) remains the same in two different options.

Option 1:

Monofacial 400Wp

modules

Option 2:

Bifacial module with transparent backsheet400Wp modules

• +10% energy yield

• Lower annual degradation

• TOTEX 72m$

• LCOE 72m$/2,850,000MWh = 25.3$/MWh

• LCOE 75m$/3,157,000MWh = 23.7$/MWh

• 1.6$/MWh lower or 6.3% reduction of the LCOE by using the Jinko bifacialmodules with transparent backsheet (compared with Monofacial modules)

• Additional benefit: with Jinko modules the lifetime of the PV park increases to 30 years

• TOTEX 75m$

MONO-FACIAL

Bifacialwith

transparent backsheet

Page 10: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Market Trend: Multi-Busbar technology

Source: ITRPV

Page 11: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

TR 9 Busbar technology Benefits

Mono-facial Bifacial

21

82

22

05

1029 1032

Less

Weight

IRR

TR technology to eliminate the

cell gap

Half Cell Technology

Rear side energy gain to increase IRR

9BB with circular ribbonPerfectly compatible with transparent backsheet,

same weight with monofacial module

Use DuPont Tedlar film with

high reliability and self-cleaning

features

Page 12: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

TR 9 Busbar technology Benefits: More Energy Generation

Comparing with traditional 5BB HC module, due to the secondary reflection of circular

ribbon, energy generation will increase by approx. 1.57%.

1.09%

1.49%

1.83%

1.59%1.66%

1.91%

1.31%

1.57%

1.84%

1.46%

1.73%

1.91%

1.72%

0.95%

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/15 9/16 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/22 9/23

ENERGY GAIN

(KWH/KW) Energy Gain of TR 9BB Module

5BB HC Tiger Module Relative Gain

Because of higher Rs

and second reflection,

9BB shows excellent

performance

especially in low

irradiance environment.

Page 13: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Financial Benefits of TR 9 Busbar Technology

ProcurementEngineering Construction

36.4%

36.4%

36.4%

6.9%

6.9%

6.9%

12.9%

12.0%

11.4%

31.4%

30.1%

29.5%

0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0%

405w

440w

Tiger 465w

Procurement Cost Comparison Australia 100MW Project

Module Inverter Tracker Combiner, Cable and others

Power output per string

String number

-

1.66%

Construction cost

-

1.84%

Saving > 1.2% EPC cost

*Example : Australia – 164 MW Project

-4% Land Area

Land

Page 14: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

LCOE Analysis TR 9 Busbar technology

LCOE Analysis

Module Normal Perc Module Bigger size Perc Module 9BB TR Module

Power 405 440 465

Efficiency 20.13% 19.8% 20.71%

EPC cost 100% 97% 96%

Land 100% 101% 97%

Opex 100% 94% 88%

1st Year Generation 352085(MWh/year) 353374(MWh/year) 360351(MWh/year)

Result

LCOE(US cents/kWh) 2.67 2.64 2.59

IRR 11.06% 11.23% 11.52%

As a next generation product, TR 9BB brings not only advanced technology but also lower LCOE and higher IRR

*Example : Australia - 164MW Project

Page 15: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Market Trend: N-type technology

Page 16: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

N-type technology Benefits

9 BB TR N-type

Mono-facial

9 BB TR N-type

Bifacial

21

82

22

05

1029 1032

Eliminate the cell gap

N-type Cell

Technology

Better warranty

Higher bifacial factor

Better Temp. coefficient

More Energy Generation

85±5%475W

21.16%

-0.34%

+2.52%

1st year: 1%

2-30 years: 0.4%

Page 17: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Haining Energy Generation Performance

23%

13% 12%

8%6%

20%

11% 10%

7%5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Whith Paint Sand Cement Grass Water

Re

ar s

ide

en

erg

y ga

in

N-type P-type

80%-85% 22%-25% 30%-33% 10%-20% 2%-5%Albedo

Address:Jinko factory, Haining,30.3° N/ 120.4° E

Fixed Tilt Angle:30 °

Mounting Height:distance from lower edge to ground is 1.2m

Capacity: 1.5kW/array

Energy Gain: Compared with mono-facial module in same condition

✓N-type module hasbetter rear sideperformance than P-type

✓Testing module is using Transparent backsheet

Page 18: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

3rd Party Testing Result

0.90

0.92

0.94

0.96

0.98

1.00

1.02

1.04

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

Energy generation

(kWh/kW)

N-type P-type Energy generation gain

Location:Qionghai, China

Tilt:+/-60°

Installation height:1.5m

Ground type:Sand

Albedo: 20.41%

Test period:

2019.10.23~2019.11.13

Source: Testing result from CQC

Page 19: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

LCOE Analysis N-type module

*Example : Australia - 164MW Project

LCOE Analysis

Module P-type module N-type module

Power 455 470

Efficiency 20.19% 20.65%

1st Degradation 2.5% 1%

Linear Degradation 0.55% 0.4%

Bifacial Energy gain 9% 10.9%

1st Year Generation 392783(MWh) 406530(MWh)

Result

LCOE(US cents/kWh) 2.42 2.28

IRR 12.34% 13.15%

Page 20: Technological advances in PV and their role in the

Thank you!

[email protected]