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    Maharaja Ranjit

    Singh College

    of ProfessionalSciences-Indore

    (Approved by Govt. of M.p. &AICTE Delhi &

    Affiliated to

    DAVV & RGPV, Bhopal UGC recognised

    in 2(f))

    Hemkunt Campus, Khandwa Road, Indore-

    452017(M.P.) India

    Project report

    On Technical analysis of a company for

    Investment

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    SUBMITTED TO - SUBMITTED BY -

    PRO. VISHAL SOOD SIR DHEERAJ KACHER

    MRSC INDORE DEEPAK SEN

    NEHA RATHORE

    (MBA FA 2 SEM)

    .

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    I want to express my sincere gratitude to all those who made this study

    possible. First of all I am thankful to the helpful staff and the faculty of

    MAHARAJA RANJIT SINGH COLLAGE OF PROFESSIONAL

    SCIENCE. One of the most important tasks in every good study is its

    critical evaluation and feedback which was provided to me by my guide

    Mr.Vishal Sood sir. Or investing his precious time to discuss and

    criticize this study in depth and explained the meaning of different

    concepts and how to think when it comes to problem discussions and

    theoretical discussions.

    I am also thankful to Mr. Akhilesh Rathi owner of SNR Securities &

    Finance A Franchisee of Angel Broking Ltd. for his support and

    guidance for the project.

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    CERTIFICATE OF THE COMPANY

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    TABLE OF CONTENT

    CONTENT PAGE

    NO.

    1 Executive summary 4

    2 Preface-Research overview 7

    3 Introduction-Brief overview on perception of people regarding to Is Investment In

    Stock Market Recommended or Not In Present Scenario.

    9

    4 Industrial view 12

    5 Theoretical background 15

    6 objective 24

    7 Research Methodology- Population size, sample size, tools used, technique of data

    collection, sampling method, analysis procedure

    25

    8 Data analysis- Interpretation of data collected, its brief summary 26

    9 CONCLUSION 53

    10 Limitation-Difficulties in doing research 54

    11 Recommendation 55

    12 Bibliography 56

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    TITLE: -

    Technical analysis of a company for investment

    OBJECTIVES: - TO know the present Scenario of different companies because

    todays it is highly unpredictable.Negatives would be unpredictability of stockmarket, investing in stocks wihtout research, industry environment impacting

    negatively the stock, financial market volatility, scams, price manuplation etc..

    RATIONALE OF THE STUDY:- The purpose of this research project is to find

    out the present condition and their future trend of different companies in stock

    market. I am conducting a research only to know that what is the present condition

    of a company in stock market whether it is good to invest in a company or not.

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    METHODOLOGY: For Study secondary data has been used as a source of data

    collection.Some secondary data was designed to know the Current position of a

    company.

    SUGGESTIONS:- The findings of the study suggest that there is good market for

    Investment in a company of stock Market. Because it is so much profitable duo to

    increment of stock market . The need is just to increase awareness regarding

    Market conditions.For this there is need of constant..

    CONCLUSIONS:- Finally the research is concluded with applicability of the

    study in different areas and some suggestions are given that would be helpful for

    Investors because present scenario of a company in Stock market condition

    prevailing is High volatility, sharp rallies, unexpected market direction, extremely

    fickle sentiments and high influence of the international markets. So after doing

    this research I recommended that market is highly volatile and unexpected, there is

    need of constant analyzing the situation of stock market.investors should invest in

    sound companies and keep update.

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    PREFACE -

    The urge for the knowledge gives rise to quarries and the query is the mother of the

    research. Thus for exploring a new insight into a matter we do research. In this

    research project, various methods had been implemented to know about the present

    scenario of a company in stock market so that by this research Investment in this

    market recommended or not.

    Data for the study was collected from different sources like print media and multi

    media. The data was analyzed in tables and interpretation has declared the

    authenticity of the topic of the research.

    We hope this report will be helpful to the other student doing research on this

    subject or topic.

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    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Bombay-Stock-Exchange.jpg
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    INTRODUCTION

    What is project

    Project is about to understand the present condition of a company and their

    future trend in stock market to invest fund by analyse the different data of

    companies regarding to there performance

    HYPOTHESIS:-

    Is Investment In Stock Market in different companies Recommended or Not In

    Present Scnario?

    Purpose of the project

    To predict the future trend on the basic of identified market trend with

    the help of historical data.

    To identify market trend shown by the selected companies, scrips on

    the basis of oscillators .

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    Scope of the project

    This project is all about the performance of a company by which we

    can understood the present condition and scenario and use this project in

    all type of investment field also there players like NBFC , BROKER ,

    FII, and mainly for GENRAL INVESTORE

    This project is also helpful to the student for the pupose of the study

    about of stock market .

    The research is based upon the price of the two companies that is

    TATA COFFEE, AND CIPLA.

    The research is based upon the oscillators, tools for technical analysis

    and involves the calculation of three oscillators that are MACD,ROC,RSI

    The research data include the daily closing price quoted on the

    national stock exchange.

    MACD has been calculated by taking short term moving average for

    five periods(item) and long term moving average for ten periods.(item)

    ROC has been calculated by taking seven period.

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    RSI has been calculated by taking six period.

    INDUSTRIAL REVIEW

    Introduction to the organization

    Name of the organization:

    SNR Securities

    Brief Histiory:

    SNR Securities & Finance was established & started excellence in

    customer relations in year 2000. Today, SNR Securities & Finance has

    emerged as one of the most respected Stock-Broking and WealthManagement Companies in Central India. With its unique retail-focused

    stock trading business model, SNR Securities & Finance is committed to

    providing Real Value for Money to all its clients.

    The SNR Securities & Finance is a registered with the Bombay Stock

    Exchange (BSE), National Stock Exchange (NSE) and the two leading

    Commodity Exchanges in the country: NCDEX & MCX. SNR Securities

    & Finance is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL.

    Major Operations:

    Equity Trading

    Commodities

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    Mutual Funds

    Life Insurance

    IPO

    Depository Services

    Investment Advisory

    Vision statement of company:

    To provide best value of money to its investors through its innovative

    products, trading & investment strategies, state of the art technology &

    personalized services.

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    THEORATICAL BACKGROUND

    TOOLS TO PREDICT FOR INDIVIDUAL SHARE TREND

    With the help of the technical indicators, analysis of the individual share

    is done to identify buying and selling signal. The signals are generated

    with the help of such technique which are foolproof and much in

    advance of the actual movement. Following tools are used for this-

    A> Moving average analysis

    B> Oscillators

    MACD

    ROC

    RSI

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    C> Chart patterns.

    (A) MOVING AVERAGE ANALYSIS-

    Moving average is simply the rolling average of past price . to

    calculate the moving average daily or weekly prices are taken for a

    period and every time an average is calculated by dropping the

    oldest and a new value is added. This average is plotted on a graph

    along with price of the share on the basis of which such average is

    calculated. A study of the movement of these prices and average

    helps in generating buying and selling signals. A short term moving

    average is used to predict near future movement whereas a long term

    moving average is used to take the decision about the longer time

    period. With the help of moving average the following signals can

    be generated.

    BUYING SIGNAL

    SELLING SIGNAL

    BUYING FSIGNALS

    Whenever the price line is above the moving average

    line , kit means towards the average line but false to

    penetrate it , instead starts arising upward , supported by

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    an upward movement of the average line it is a buying

    signal

    When price line is below the moving average line , and it

    penetrates towards the upside and continues to move

    upward , supported by an upward movement of the

    average line , it is a buying signals

    When price line is above the moving average line and is

    moving upwards continually , supported by the similar of

    average line , it is also a buy signal

    SELLING SIGNALS

    When price line is below the moving average line , it move

    towards the average line but falls to penetrates , instead starts

    declining , supported by a downward movement of the

    average line , it is a sale signal

    When price line is above the moving average line , and it

    penetrate towards the down side and continues to move

    downward , supported by a downward movement of the

    average line it is a sale signal

    When price line is below the moving average line and

    moving downward continually , supported by similar

    movement of the average line , it is also a sale signal

    (B) Oscillators

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    By oscillation we mean a movement of certain item again

    and again on the same park with the same frequency, like that

    of a pendulum in the walk clock. On this basis certain

    oscillators have been developed to predict the trends about

    the individuals shares. These oscillators are fine tools to

    predict future movements much before such movement take

    place and thus leave a sufficient time gape to take decision on

    the basis of these. Prominent oscillators are as follows

    MACD (MOVING AVERAGE CONVERCENCE AND DIVERGENCE)

    ROC(RATE OF CHANGE)

    RSI(RELATIVE STAND INDEX)

    MACD (MOVING AVEREGE CONVERGENCE AND DIVERGENCE)

    MACD is one of the most widely used. Average oscillators. MACD as

    the name itself suggest, is the difference two moving average of

    different length and plotting that differences. The long term moving

    average is deducted from the short term values to arrived at the MACD

    for any particular day , though the most commonly used moving

    average are

    12 days and 14 days

    MACD= short term moving average long term moving average

    TABLE 1.1 a complete example of calculating MACD

    date Closing price 5 days moving 10 days MACD

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    average moving

    average

    9-1-2006 102

    10-1-2006 105

    11-1-2006 108 105.00

    12-1-2006 99 104.00

    13-1-2006 100 102.3314-1-2006 105 101.33

    16-1-2006 109 104.67 104.00 -0.67

    17-1-2006 112 108.67 105.43 +3.24

    18-1-2006 115 112.00 106.86 +5.14

    19-1-2006 117 114.67 108.14 +6.53

    20-1-2006 118 116.67 110.86 +5.81

    21-1-2006 120 118.33 113.71 +4.62

    Along with the price data, MACD data are plotted on the above figure and the

    following parameter are used to study j the trend

    Whenever the MACD line is above the zero mark line , it indicate the signal

    of bullish market for the scrip

    Whenever the MACD line is above the zero mark line but declining it is

    early warning signal of a bearish market

    Whenever the MACD line is below the zero mark line , it is signal of bearish

    market

    Whenever MACD line is below the zero mark line but rising it gives signal

    of a bullish market ahead

    Whenever MACD line is form a peak at the top it gives signal that a market

    will soon turn bearish, i.e. it represent over bought situation

    Whenever MACD line reaches its bottom it signified over sold situation i.e.that is the market will start becoming bullish

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    ROC (RATE OF CHANGE)

    ROC =CURRENT PRICE /PRICE n DAYS AGO

    TABLE 1.2 shows the complete example of calculating ROC for 7 days

    TABLE 1.2 example showing calculation of ROC

    DAYS CLOSING PRICE

    1 135.45

    2 150.9

    3 166.14 170.75

    5 181.4

    6 238.7

    7 249.65

    8 248.55

    7 days ROC on 8th days = (248.55/135.45)=1.83

    Along with price data, the ROC data are plotted on the above table and thefollowing parameters are used to identify the trend

    When ROC is at the peak , it signifies the overbought market

    When ROC is above one mark line and increase with , it signifies the

    bullish trend in the market for the script

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    When ROC is above one mark line but declining it signifies the bears trend

    in the market for the scrip

    When ROC has reached at it bottom , it signifies the oversold market

    When ROC is below one (after reaching the bottom), it signifies the

    conversion of selling pressure into buying pressure and it is the early signalof bullish market

    RSI (RELATIVE STRENGHT INDEX)

    RSI was developed by j. Welles wilder J. R. In 1978. RSI upper limits respectively

    for its vertical scale.

    RSI is calculated using the following formula

    RS = AVERAGE OF n PERIODS PRICE GAIN / AVERAGE OF n PERIODS

    PRICE LOSS

    TABLE 1.3 shows a complete example of calculating RSI for 6 days

    Table 1.3 RSI calculations for 6 days

    Days Closing p1rice Gain Loss

    1 135.4 - -

    2 150.9 15.4 -

    3 166.1 15.2 -

    4 170.75 4.65 -

    5 181.4 10.65 -

    6 238.7 57.3 -Total 103.25 -

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    RS = (103.25/6)/ (0/6) =0

    RSI =100-[100/ (1+RS)]

    RSI = 100-0[100/ (1+0)] = 0

    The RSI value for 6 days is 0. For calculating the RSI value from 7th day we have

    to exclude the first days closing price and add 7th days price and so one.

    Along with the price data RSI data are plotted on the (figure 1.3) and the following

    parameter are used to identify the trend

    When RSI process 50 mark lines, it signifies a bullish market ahead for the

    scrip.

    As soon as RSI process 70 mark line it signifies the overbought market .now

    it is expected that peak will we touched

    When RSI declines after touching the peak , it signifies the bearish market

    ahead

    When RSI crosses 50 mark line from upward and continuously decline , but

    has not 30 mark line it signifies the bearish market

    As soon as RSI farces 30 mark line from upward it signifies the oversold

    market .now it is expected that the bottom will we touched soon. this is the

    early signal of bullish market

    When are RSI is above 30 mark line and progressing toward 50 mark it

    signifies a bullish market

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    (C)CHART PATTERNS -

    When prices of individual share are plotted on a line chart these indicate several

    patterns, like head and soldier movement, inverse head and soldier, flag, and

    triangle, etc. these pattern are used to generate signal about the expected movement

    of the market. Under technical analysis it is believed that prices show a particular

    pattern again and again and due to this tendency chart pattern get generated. These

    chart pattern can be used to predict about the near future price volume, but these

    are not as strong as oscillator and moving average.

    This chart pattern can be generated for the index value as well for the price of the

    individual share, these help in identifying the following

    Support level

    Resistance level

    SUPPORT LEVEL

    It is the lower price level at which demand for the share gains

    momentum, as the result of which declining price take an upward tern at this level.

    it is expected that price will not fall below this level and hope of gaining something

    from the rising prices creates a demand.

    RESISTENCE LEVEL

    It is the upper price level at which supply for the share gainsmomentum, as a result of which rising price take a downward turn at this level. It

    is expected that price will not rise above this level and the fear of likely loss due to

    decline in the share prices generates the supply.

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    TYPE OF CHART PATTERNS -

    HEAD AND SOLDIER

    INVERSE HEAD AND SOLDIER

    TRIANGLE

    FLAG.

    HEAD AND SOLDIER

    This reflect resistance and support level in an upward moving market, to identify

    expected movement in the market .either indexes or prices of individual share can

    be used for these .in this neck line is considered as the ultimate support level,

    whereas soldier lines are the intervening resistance level and head line are the final

    resistance level. With the help of such identification buy and sell signals can be

    generated,

    NECK HEAD

    SOLDIER

    INVERSE HEAD AND SOLDIER

    This reflects resistance and support level in a downward moving market, to

    identify expected movement in the market. Either index or prices of individual

    share can be used for these. In this neck line is consider as the ultimate resistance

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    level, whereas, soldier line are the intervening support level and head line is the

    final; support level. With the help of such identification buy and sell signal can be

    generated.

    Soldier

    Head Neck

    TRIANGLE

    These are the price pattern which shows the movement of shifting resistance and

    support level. Whenever in declining market resistance line tend to shift toward

    support level at a faster rate, it will form a triangle indicating a future declining in

    the near future. Similarly in an upward moving market support level tend to shift

    toward the resistance line at a faster rate, it indicates an improvement in the market

    in the near future and market is likely to advance in the future.

    FLAG

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    A flag is identifies as a narrow movement of the market either after an uptrend or

    adown trend. This means market has taken a pause after the previous trend and

    after the short while market is likely to continue in the same direction as previously

    OBJECTIVE

    RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

    The inside story

    Business research can help managers to plan strategies by determining nature of

    situation or by identifying the existence of opportunities present in the market.

    Business research may uses as a scanning activity to provide information about

    what is occurring within an organization or in its environment.

    Primary Objective of the research:

    To make people aware about the stock market either it is investable or not.

    Secondary Objective of the Research:

    To collect the data related with Stock market and companies.

    To know the present situation of stock market.

    To know the awareness about Business Cycle.

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    To provide the secondary data for other research.

    REASERCH METHOLOGY

    TYPE OF RESEARCH- Empirical

    DATA TYPE-- Secondary Data

    DATA COLLECTION TOOLS- Sampling Method are used for colleting the

    Data.

    TYPE OF SAMPLING- Judgement Sampling Plan.

    SAMPLING FRAME- Data taken from companies listed on the

    National Stock Exchange. The research has

    been taken two selected companies.

    DATA SIZE-- Data has taken from two selected companies as

    per day closing price of one year

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    DATA ANALYSIS, RESULT AND

    INTERPRITATION

    DATA ANALYSIS-

    CALCULATION OF VARIOUS OSCILLATORS OF ONGC

    MACD = SHORT TERM MOVING AVERAGE LONG TERM MOVING

    AVERAGE

    SHORT TERM MOVING AVERAGE = MOVING AVERAGE OF 5 DAYS CLOSING PRICE

    LONG TERM MOVING AVERAGE = MOVING AVERAGE OF 10 DAYS CLOSING PRICE

    ROC = CURRENT PRICE / PRICE n DAYS AGO

    n = 7 DAYS

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    RSI = 100 - [100/ (1+RS) ]

    RS = AVERAGE OF n PERIODS OF PRICE GAIN / AVERAGE OF n PERIODS

    PRICE LOSSES

    RS calculated on 6 days

    Here according to given data

    AVERAGE OF n PERIODS OF PRICE GAIN = sum of 6 days gain/6

    AVERAGE OF n PERIODS PRICE LOSSES = sum of 6 days loss/6

    TABLE SHOWING MACD AND ROC

    Date Close Price5 DAYS M.AVG. 10 DAYS M. AVG MACD ROC

    1-Jun-09 1176.7 . . .

    2-Jun-09 1163.85 . . .

    3-Jun-09 1168.25 1171.99 . .

    4-Jun-09 1169.35 1159.36 . .

    5-Jun-09 1181.8 1153.02 . .

    8-Jun-09 1113.55 1152.59 . .9-Jun-09 1132.15 1142.83 1151.935 -9.105

    10-Jun-09 1166.1 1131.88 1146.81 -14.93 0.991

    11-Jun-09 1120.55 1134.26 1143.1 -8.84 0.963

    12-Jun-09 1127.05 1133.18 1132.395 0.785 0.965

    15-Jun-09 1125.45 1112.2 1116.225 -4.025 0.962

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    16-Jun-09 1126.75 1089.62 1098.98 -9.36 0.953

    17-Jun-09 1061.2 1066.08 1087.01 -20.93 0.953

    18-Jun-09 1007.65 1039.76 1076.465 -36.705 0.890

    19-Jun-09 1009.35 1019.75 1064.95 -45.2 0.866

    22-Jun-

    09 993.85 1017.7 1056.195 -38.495 0.88723-Jun-

    09 1026.7 1022.77 1045.46 -22.69 0.911

    24-Jun-09 1050.95 1024.84 1037.375 -12.535 0.934

    25-Jun-09 1033 1034.99 1031.295 3.695 0.917

    25-Jun-09 1019.7 1042.84 1031.905 10.935 0.961

    26-Jun-09 1044.6 1046.11 1036.3 9.81 1.037

    29-Jun-09 1065.95 1049.83 1048.025 1.805 1.056

    30-Jun-09 1067.3 1071.21 1062.255 8.955 1.074

    1-Jul-09 1051.6 1089.52 1066.56 22.96 1.024

    2-Jul-09 1126.6 1090.28 1066.41 23.87 1.072

    3-Jul-09 1136.15 1086.71 1064.185 22.525 1.100

    6-Jul-09 1069.75 1078.54 1062.05 16.49 1.049

    7-Jul-09 1049.45 1052.89 1056.25 -3.36 1.005

    8-Jul-09 1010.75 1022.98 1048.785 -25.805 0.948

    9-Jul-09 998.35 1007.29 1042.025 -34.735 0.935

    10-Jul-09 986.6 997.34 1040.805 -43.465 0.938

    13-Jul-09 991.3 1003.07 1030.445 -27.375 0.880

    14-Jul-09 999.7 1008 1021.135 -13.135 0.880

    15-Jul-09 1039.4 1019.29 1020.225 -0.935 0.97216-Jul-09 1023 1033.16 1019.78 13.38 0.975

    17-Jul-09 1043.05 1042.22 1027.95 14.27 1.032

    20-Jul-09 1060.65 1052.83 1037.415 15.415 1.062

    21-Jul-09 1045 1066.83 1051.24 15.59 1.059

    22-Jul-09 1092.45 1083.19 1061.725 21.465 1.102

    23-Jul-09 1093 1090.29 1071.95 18.34 1.093

    24-Jul-09 1124.85 1101.68 1077.855 23.825 1.082

    27-Jul-09 1096.15 1102.88 1085.66 17.22 1.072

    28-Jul-09 1101.95 1104.49 1097.76 6.73 1.056

    29-Jul-09 1098.45 1112.33 1109.625 2.705 1.036

    30-Jul-09 1101.05 1128.96 1119.305 9.655 1.054

    31-Jul-09 1164.05 1136.93 1129.49 7.44 1.0663-Aug-09 1179.3 1156.1 1135.485 20.615 1.079

    4-Aug-09 1141.8 1166.48 1136.91 29.57 1.015

    5-Aug-09 1194.3 1161.49 1143.375 18.115 1.090

    6-Aug-09 1152.95 1157.79 1148.435 9.355 1.046

    7-Aug-09 1139.1 1159.94 1151.31 8.63 1.037

    10-Aug-09 1160.8 1146.52 1157.725 -11.205 1.054

    11-Aug-09 1152.55 1148.97 1163.37 -14.4 0.990

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    12-Aug-09 1127.2 1165.25 1161.935 3.315 0.956

    13-Aug-09 1165.2 1166.08 1165.975 0.105 1.020

    14-Aug-09 1220.5 1172.01 1162.535 9.475 1.022

    17-Aug-09 1164.95 1178.55 1165.19 13.36 1.010

    18-Aug-

    09 1182.2 1181.41 1170.435 10.975 1.03819-Aug-

    09 1159.9 1175.62 1173.94 1.68 0.999

    20-Aug-09 1179.5 1181.8 1177.05 4.75 1.023

    21-Aug-09 1191.55 1182.09 1181.74 0.35 1.057

    24-Aug-09 1195.85 1184.93 1182.545 2.385 1.026

    25-Aug-09 1183.65 1183.68 1178.365 5.315 0.970

    26-Aug-09 1174.1 1181.11 1180.42 0.69 1.008

    27-Aug-09 1173.25 1179.04 1178.49 0.55 0.992

    28-Aug-09 1178.7 1174.89 1178.055 -3.165 1.016

    31-Aug-09 1185.5 1171.18 1174.13 -2.95 1.005

    1-Sep-09 1162.9 1164.58 1172.795 -8.215 0.976

    2-Sep-09 1155.55 1164.48 1172.055 -7.575 0.966

    3-Sep-09 1140.25 1165.07 1172.27 -7.2 0.963

    4-Sep-09 1178.2 1169.65 1172.87 -3.22 1.003

    7-Sep-09 1188.45 1174.56 1173.615 0.945 1.013

    8-Sep-09 1185.8 1182.65 1173.42 9.23 1.006

    9-Sep-09 1180.1 1182.36 1171.01 11.35 0.99510-Sep-09 1180.7 1176.95 1169.265 7.685 1.015

    11-Sep-09 1176.75 1168.88 1168.615 0.265 1.018

    14-Sep-09 1161.4 1162.67 1170.5 -7.83 1.019

    15-Sep-09 1145.45 1158.35 1169.045 -10.695 0.972

    16-Sep-09 1149.05 1155.73 1165.715 -9.985 0.967

    17-Sep-09 1159.1 1154.48 1163.32 -8.84 0.977

    18-Sep-09 1163.65 1157.76 1160.31 -2.55 0.986

    22-Sep-09 1155.15 1157.95 1157.97 -0.02 0.978

    23-Sep-09 1161.85 1157.59 1159.26 -1.67 0.987

    24-Sep-09 1150 1162.79 1160.32 2.47 0.990

    25-Sep-09 1157.3 1166.16 1163.995 2.165 1.010

    29-Sep- 1189.65 1170.23 1166.065 4.165 1.035

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    09

    30-Sep-09 1172 1174.18 1168.635 5.545 1.011

    1-Oct-09 1182.2 1179.68 1170.575 9.105 1.016

    5-Oct-09 1169.75 1178.36 1175.285 3.075 1.013

    6-Oct-09 1184.8 1184.41 1181.135 3.275 1.020

    7-Oct-09 1183.05 1192.04 1190.785 1.255 1.029

    8-Oct-09 1202.25 1207.39 1201.26 6.13 1.039

    9-Oct-09 1220.35 1222.84 1208.06 14.78 1.02612-Oct-09 1246.5 1237.76 1215.45 22.31 1.064

    14-Oct-09 1262.05 1246.49 1221.305 25.185 1.068

    15-Oct-09 1257.65 1250.57 1225.405 25.165 1.075

    16-Oct-09 1245.9 1243.42 1224.805 18.615 1.052

    17-Oct-09 1240.75 1226.77 1223.685 3.085 1.049

    20-Oct-09 1210.75 1209.61 1221.045 -11.435 1.007

    21-Oct-09 1178.8 1195.6 1215.68 -20.08 0.966

    22-Oct-09 1171.85 1180.79 1207.485 -26.695 0.940

    23-Oct-09 1175.85 1171.55 1194.665 -23.115 0.932

    26-Oct-09 1166.7 1162.56 1185.25 -22.69 0.928

    27-Oct-09 1164.55 1160.89 1173.84 -12.95 0.935

    28-Oct-09 1133.85 1152.08 1161.625 -9.545 0.91429-Oct-09 1163.5 1142.46 1153.89 -11.43 0.961

    30-Oct-09 1131.8 1136.23 1151.295 -15.065 0.960

    3-Nov-09 1118.6 1140.03 1149.945 -9.915 0.955

    4-Nov-09 1133.4 1139 1149.04 -10.04 0.964

    5-Nov-09 1152.85 1146 1145.74 0.26 0.988

    6-Nov-09 1158.35 1149.02 1144.33 4.69 0.995

    9-Nov-09 1166.8 1152.43 1145.745 6.685 1.029

    10-Nov-09 1133.7 1151.46 1147.805 3.655 0.974

    11-Nov-09 1150.45 1156.61 1154.585 2.025 1.016

    12-Nov-

    09 1148 1163.17 1160.035 3.135 1.02613-Nov-

    09 1184.1 1171.05 1164.68 6.37 1.045

    16-Nov-09 1199.6 1176.93 1165.76 11.17 1.041

    17-Nov-09 1173.1 1180.06 1166.8 13.26 1.013

    18-Nov-09 1179.85 1176.99 1168.765 8.225 1.011

    19-Nov-09 1163.65 1174.36 1172.725 1.635 1.026

    20-Nov-09 1168.75 1174.4 1175.68 -1.28 1.016

    23-Nov-09 1186.45 1174.43 1178.295 -3.865 1.033

    24-Nov-09 1173.3 1176.53 1176.4 0.13 0.991

    25-Nov-09 1180 1175.81 1176.415 -0.605 0.984

    26-Nov-09 1174.15 1178.47 1178.885 -0.415 1.001

    27-Nov-09 1165.15 1183.37 1179.395 3.975 0.988

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    30-Nov-09 1199.75 1184.36 1183.025 1.335 1.031

    1-Dec-09 1197.8 1189.52 1184.06 5.46 1.025

    2-Dec-09 1184.95 1192.31 1183.32 8.99 0.999

    3-Dec-09 1199.95 1188.17 1183.965 4.205 1.023

    4-Dec-09 1179.1 1184.56 1183.96 0.6 0.999

    7-Dec-09 1179.05 1183.56 1186.09 -2.53 1.004

    8-Dec-09 1179.75 1182.66 1188.535 -5.875 1.013

    9-Dec-09 1179.95 1184.76 1188.87 -4.11 0.98310-Dec-09 1195.45 1189.57 1188.475 1.095 0.998

    11-Dec-09 1189.6 1192.39 1188.88 3.51 1.004

    14-Dec-09 1203.1 1194.2 1188.95 5.25 1.003

    15-Dec-09 1193.85 1195.24 1189.565 5.675 1.013

    16-Dec-09 1189 1194.37 1189.455 4.915 1.008

    17-Dec-09 1200.65 1189.34 1187.585 1.755 1.018

    18-Dec-09 1185.25 1182.78 1187.485 -4.705 1.004

    21-Dec-09 1177.95 1180.77 1187.685 -6.915 0.985

    22-Dec-09 1161.05 1180.13 1186.88 -6.75 0.976

    23-Dec-09 1178.95 1179.39 1184.01 -4.62 0.980

    24-Dec-09 1197.45 1178.68 1182.425 -3.745 1.003

    29-Dec-09 1181.55 1182.07 1182.27 -0.2 0.994

    30-Dec-

    09 1174.4 1183.77 1183.03 0.74 0.97831-Dec-09 1178 1185.93 1186.855 -0.925 0.994

    4-Jan-10 1187.45 1194.32 1191.54 2.78 1.008

    5-Jan-10 1208.25 1204.4 1197.005 7.395 1.041

    6-Jan-10 1223.5 1211.94 1200.76 11.18 1.038

    7-Jan-10 1224.8 1217.75 1200.11 17.64 1.023

    8-Jan-10 1215.7 1214.29 1201.485 12.805 1.029

    11-Jan-10 1216.5 1208.65 1207.22 1.43 1.036

    12-Jan-10 1190.95 1210.04 1210.4 -0.36 1.011

    13-Jan-

    10 1195.3 1208.86 1212.91 -4.05 1.00714-Jan-

    10 1231.75 1208.07 1211.765 -3.695 1.019

    15-Jan-10 1209.8 1209.24 1205.53 3.71 0.989

    18-Jan-10 1212.55 1202.41 1197.045 5.365 0.990

    19-Jan-10 1196.8 1184.05 1186.925 -2.875 0.984

    20-Jan- 1161.15 1164.99 1177.38 -12.39 0.955

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    10

    21-Jan-10 1139.95 1146.69 1169.175 -22.485 0.957

    22-Jan-10 1114.5 1129.11 1159.88 -30.77 0.932

    25-Jan-10 1121.05 1117.35 1146.345 -28.995 0.910

    27-Jan-10 1108.9 1108.64 1135.52 -26.88 0.917

    28-Jan-10 1102.35 1106.05 1124.775 -18.725 0.909

    29-Jan-10 1096.4 1102.86 1118.475 -15.615 0.916

    1-Feb-10 1101.55 1107.84 1116.32 -8.48 0.949

    2-Feb-10 1105.1 1115.29 1111.09 4.2 0.969

    3-Feb-10 1133.8 1113.54 1108.865 4.675 1.017

    4-Feb-10 1139.6 1111.68 1108.575 3.105 1.017

    5-Feb-10 1087.65 1114.29 1108.31 5.98 0.981

    6-Feb-10 1092.25 1108.78 1106.775 2.005 0.991

    8-Feb-10 1118.15 1098.26 1107.16 -8.9 1.020

    9-Feb-10 1106.25 1100.78 1105.835 -5.055 1.004

    10-Feb-10 1087 1099.99 1105.625 -5.635 0.984

    11-Feb-10 1100.25 1096.96 1102.215 -5.255 0.970

    15-Feb-10 1088.3 1095.65 1098.605 -2.955 0.955

    16-Feb-10 1103 1098.95 1100.82 -1.87 1.014

    17-Feb-10 1099.7 1100.86 1102.345 -1.485 1.007

    18-Feb-10 1103.5 1104.7 1100.68 4.02 0.987

    19-Feb-

    10 1109.8 1104.4 1100.18 4.22 1.00322-Feb-

    10 1107.5 1104.71 1102.465 2.245 1.019

    23-Feb-10 1101.5 1105.98 1104.2 1.78 1.001

    24-Feb-10 1101.25 1107.54 1106.275 1.265 1.012

    25-Feb-10 1109.85 1107.85 1106.06 1.79 1.006

    26-Feb-10 1117.6 1107.72 1105.595 2.125 1.016

    2-Mar-10 1109.05 1106.48 1104.695 1.785 1.005

    3-Mar-10 1100.85 1103.41 1103.765 -0.355 0.992

    4-Mar-10 1095.05 1099.99 1102.635 -2.645 0.9895-Mar-10 1094.5 1097.42 1101.34 -3.92 0.994

    8-Mar-10 1100.5 1094.96 1099.59 -4.63 0.999

    9-Mar-10 1096.2 1092.7 1097.075 -4.375 0.988

    10-Mar-10 1088.55 1090.74 1092.295 -1.555 0.974

    11-Mar-10 1083.75 1084.6 1088.5 -3.9 0.977

    12-Mar-10 1084.7 1079.58 1085.765 -6.185 0.985

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    15-Mar-10 1069.8 1076.57 1081.68 -5.11 0.977

    16-Mar-10 1071.1 1070.66 1077.915 -7.255 0.979

    17-Mar-10 1073.5 1065.09 1073.78 -8.69 0.975

    18-Mar-10 1054.2 1062.96 1071.085 -8.125 0.962

    19-Mar-

    10 1056.85 1062.59 1067.895 -5.305 0.97122-Mar-

    10 1059.15 1059.22 1067.51 -8.29 0.977

    23-Mar-10 1069.25 1064.36 1068.345 -3.985 0.986

    25-Mar-10 1056.65 1071.6 1071.095 0.505 0.988

    26-Mar-10 1079.9 1079.23 1073.855 5.375 1.008

    29-Mar-10 1093.05 1085.12 1074.95 10.17 1.018

    30-Mar-10 1097.3 1090.68 1079.225 11.455 1.041

    31-Mar-10 1098.7 1094.09 1082.025 12.065 1.040

    1-Apr-10 1084.45 1092.45 1084.4 8.05 1.024

    5-Apr-10 1096.95 1089.57 1083.635 5.935 1.026

    6-Apr-10 1084.85 1082.15 1084.35 -2.2 1.027

    7-Apr-10 1082.9 1078.02 1081.65 -3.63 1.003

    8-Apr-10 1061.6 1069.21 1076.38 -7.17 0.971

    9-Apr-10 1063.8 1060.31 1070.615 -10.305 0.969

    12-Apr-10 1052.9 1051.66 1063.885 -12.225 0.958

    13-Apr-10 1040.35 1045.62 1055.82 -10.2 0.959

    15-Apr-10 1039.65 1033.62 1046.375 -12.755 0.948

    16-Apr-10 1031.4 1023.54 1038.86 -15.32 0.951

    19-Apr-10 1003.8 1017.41 1032.08 -14.67 0.92720-Apr-10 1002.5 1012.5 1027.71 -15.21 0.944

    21-Apr-10 1009.7 1009.8 1023.105 -13.305 0.949

    22-Apr-10 1015.1 1012.59 1022.305 -9.715 0.964

    23-Apr-10 1017.9 1021.07 1022.28 -1.21 0.978

    26-Apr-10 1017.75 1027.15 1023 4.15 0.979

    27-Apr-10 1044.9 1033.5 1025.34 8.16 1.013

    28-Apr-10 1040.1 1040.88 1029.72 11.16 1.036

    29-Apr-10 1046.85 1046.85 1033.85 13 1.044

    30-Apr-10 1054.8 1046.63 1035.985 10.645 1.045

    3-May-10 1047.6 1044.82 1038.76 6.06 1.032

    4-May-10 1043.8 1044.02 1041.44 2.58 1.025

    5-May-10 1031.05 1042 1044.755 -2.755 1.0136-May-10 1042.85 1042.66 1043.26 -0.6 0.998

    7-May-10 1044.7 1039.89 1042.045 -2.155 1.004

    10-May-10 1050.9 1039.27 1041.95 -2.68 1.004

    11-May-10 1029.95 1039.88 1040.925 -1.045 0.976

    12-May-10 1027.95 1039.85 1038.865 0.985 0.981

    13-May- 1045.9 1035.07 1039.62 -4.55 1.002

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    10

    14-May-10 1044.55 1039.35 1039.025 0.325 1.013

    17-May-10 1027 1038.78 1046.605 -7.825 0.985

    18-May-10 1051.35 1053.33 1051.61 1.72 1.006

    19-May-10 1025.1 1063.37 1054.72 8.65 0.975

    20-May-10 1118.65 1074.37 1059.755 14.615 1.086

    21-May-10 1094.75 1080.16 1063.96 16.2 1.065

    24-May-10 1082 1089.14 1071.69 17.45 1.035

    25-May-10 1080.3 1090.05 1080.44 9.61 1.034

    26-May-10 1070 1097.51 1094.51 3 1.042

    27-May-10 1123.2 1114.65 1103.94 10.71 1.068

    28-May-

    10 1132.05 1127.72 1001.43 126.29 1.10431-May-

    10 1167.7 913.72 889.565 24.155 1.044

    1-Jun-10 1145.65 689.08 780.09 -91.01 1.046

    TABLE SHOWIRNG RSI

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    Date Close PriceGAIN LOSS

    6 DAYS

    M.AVG.

    GAIN

    6 DAYS

    M. AVG.

    LOSS RS RSI

    1-Jun-09 1176.70 -12.85

    2-Jun-09 1163.854.4 0

    3-Jun-09 1168.251.1 0

    4-Jun-09 1169.3512.45 0

    5-Jun-09 1181.8

    0 -68.25

    8-Jun-09 1113.5518.6 0 6.092 13.52 0.45 31.067

    9-Jun-09 1132.1533.95 0 11.750 11.38 1.03 50.811

    10-Jun-09 1166.1

    0 -45.55 11.017 18.97 0.58 36.743

    11-Jun-09 1120.55

    6.5 0 11.917 18.97 0.63 38.586

    12-Jun-09 1127.05

    0 -1.6 9.842 19.23 0.51 33.849

    15-Jun-09 1125.45

    1.3 0 10.058 7.86 1.28 56.140

    16-Jun-09 1126.75

    0 -65.55 6.958 18.78 0.37 27.031

    17-Jun-09 1061.2

    0 -53.55 1.300 27.71 0.05 4.481

    18-Jun-09 1007.65

    1.7 0 1.583 20.12 0.08 7.296

    19-Jun-09 1009.35

    0 -15.5 0.500 22.70 0.02 2.155

    22-Jun-09 993.85

    32.85 0 5.975 22.43 0.27 21.033

    23-Jun-09 1026.7

    24.25 0 9.800 22.43 0.44 30.403

    24-Jun-

    09 1050.95

    0 -17.95 9.800 14.50 0.68 40.329

    25-Jun-09 1033

    0 -13.3 9.800 7.79 1.26 55.708

    25-Jun-09 1019.7

    24.9 0 13.667 7.79 1.75 63.689

    26-Jun-09 1044.6

    21.35 0 17.225 5.21 3.31 76.783

    29-Jun-09 1065.95

    1.35 0 11.975 5.21 2.30 69.690

    30-Jun-09 1067.3

    0 -75 7.933 17.71 0.45 30.939

    1-Jul-09 1051.675 0 20.433 14.72 1.39 58.132

    2-Jul-09 1126.6 9.55 0 22.025 12.50 1.76 63.794

    3-Jul-09 1136.150 -66.4 17.875 23.57 0.76 43.133

    6-Jul-09 1069.750 -20.3 14.317 26.95 0.53 34.693

    7-Jul-09 1049.450 -38.7 14.092 33.40 0.42 29.672

    8-Jul-09 1010.750 -12.4 14.092 22.97 0.61 38.026

    9-Jul-09 998.350 -11.75 1.592 24.93 0.06 6.003

    10-Jul-09 986.64.7 0 0.783 24.93 0.03 3.047

    13-Jul-09 991.3 8.4 0 2.183 13.86 0.16 13.610

    39.7 0 8.800 10.48 0.84 45.655

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    ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION

    ONGC (OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORPORATION)

    Analysis through MACD

    -55

    -55

    -55

    -55

    -55

    5

    5 5

    5 5

    5 5

    5 5

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    55

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    //

    555

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    5

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    5

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    555

    5

    //

    555

    555

    5

    //6 666666

    //

    5555

    55

    //

    555

    555

    5

    //66 66666/

    /

    55

    5555

    55

    //

    55

    5555

    5

    //

    55

    5555

    55

    //

    55

    5555

    55

    //

    66 666666

    //

    55

    5555

    55

    //

    555

    555

    5

    //6 666666

    //

    5555

    55

    //

    555

    555

    5

    //

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    55

    //

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    5

    //

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    55

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    5

    //

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    //

    555

    555

    5 MACD

    Figure 2.1 ONGC MACD

    The figure 2.1 show the following analysis and trend

    During the following period the MACD line from a of peak point giving a signal

    of trend reversal , i.e. is conversion of a bullish market into a bearish market

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    25 June 2009, 3 July 2009, 24 July 2009, 4 Aug. 2009, 17 Aug. 2009

    9 Sep. 2009, 14 Oct 2009, 11 Nov 2009, 7 Jan 2010, 31 March 2010, 24 May 2010

    During the following period the MACD line form a trough , i.e. trend reversal

    takes place and a bearish market starts converting into a bullish market

    13 July 2009, 10 Aug 2009, 21 Aug 2009, 22 Oct. 2009,

    22 Jan 2010, 8 March 2010, 20 Apr. 2010

    During the following periods MACD line moves above zero but is falling

    giving signal of bearish market

    24 Aug. 2009 to 28 Aug 2009, 9 sep. 2009 to 14 sep. 2009

    27 Nov. 2009 to 4 Dec.2009, 2 Feb. 2010 to 8 Feb. 2010

    During the following periods MACD line moves below zero but is rising giving

    signal of bullish market ahead

    18 June 2009 to 25 June 2009, 10 July 2009 to 24 July 2009

    20 Apr. 20010 to 28 Apr. 2010 ,

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    ANALYSIS THROUGH ROC

    .6

    .66

    .6

    .66

    5

    .5 5 5

    .5 5

    .5 5 5

    /

    /

    6

    1

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    16

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    1

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    16

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    31

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    15

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    30

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    14

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    29

    2009

    /

    /

    1014

    2009

    /

    /

    10

    29

    2009

    /

    /

    1113

    2009

    /

    /

    11

    28

    2009

    /

    /

    12

    13

    2009

    /

    /

    1228

    2009

    /

    /

    1

    12

    2010

    /

    /

    1

    27

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    11

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    26

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    13

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    28

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    12

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    27

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    12

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    27

    2010

    ROC

    The figure 2.2 shows the following analysis and trend

    it is shown the figure thet the roc line moves between 1.15 to .85

    market ,which is the indication of some upward and downward

    fluctuation in the price of the scrip over a period of 1 june 2009

    to 31 may 2010 .

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    On the following instences ROC line touched its extreme(peak

    formulation ) whole of the year , it signifies the overbought market(bearish

    market trend )

    3 jule 2009 , 22 july 2009 , 21 aug 2009

    15 oct 2009 , 14 may 2010 , 26 may 2010

    on the following instant ROC line touched its bottom during of the year , so

    these were the point of oversold market for the scrip ;

    19 jun 2009 , 13 and 14 july 2009 , 28 oct. 2009 ,

    28 jan. 2010 , 11 may 2010 , 19 may. 2010

    during the following intervals ROC line declined from its extreme toward

    one mark line , which significance the bearish trend in the market for the

    scrip ;

    3 june 2009 to 7 june 2009

    22 june 2009 to 12 aug 2009

    21 aug 2009 to 3 sep. 2009

    15 oct. 2009 to 28 oct. 2009

    during the following intervals ROC line decline from the one mark toward

    its bottom , which significance the selling pressure in the market for the

    scrip (sell signal);

    1 july 2009 to 16 july 2009

    20 oct 2009 to 6 nov. 2009

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    14 jan. 2010 to 2 feb. 2010

    2 march.2010 to 25 feb. 2010

    8 apr. 2010 to 26 apr.2010

    during the following intervals ROC line rise toward on mark line after

    reaching its bottom ,which signifies the conversion of selling pressure into

    buying pressure (buy signal )

    19 jun 2009 to 26 jun 2009

    13 july 2009 to 16 july 2009

    28 oct. 2009 to 09 nov. 2009

    28 jan 2010 to 3 feb. 2010

    11 may 2010 to 13 may 2010

    ANALYSIS THROUGH RSI

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    5

    5 5

    5 5

    5 5

    5 5

    5 5 5

    5 5 5

    /

    /

    6

    1

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    15

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    29

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    13

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    27

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    10

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    24

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    7

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    21

    2009

    /

    /

    105

    2009

    /

    /

    1019

    2009

    /

    /

    112

    2009

    /

    /

    1116

    2009

    /

    /

    1130

    2009

    /

    /

    1214

    2009

    /

    /

    1228

    2009

    /

    /

    1

    11

    2010

    /

    /

    1

    25

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    5

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    19

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    3

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    17

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    31

    2010

    RSI

    The figure 2.2 shows the following analysis and trend

    Over bought market for the script as soon as RSI crosses 70 mark line it

    signifies the overbought market and sooner peak point touched and market

    will be bearish

    On 26 jan.2009 Point cross 70 mark line and touched peak point 84 and

    soon it sign to go for bearish market in 30 point

    Also 17 july cross 70 and ptouched peak point 84

    On 7 oct. 2009 it cross 70 mark line and touched peak point 98 and trend to

    bearish on 17 july in 15 point

    over sold market for the scrip during the following period whenevermarket touched the 30 mark line it indicate to go bottom and sooner trefnd

    to bullish market

    16 jan 2009 , 31 aug 2009 , 11 sep. 2009 , 17 oct. 2009 20 jan 2010 ,

    5 march 2010

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    during the following periods rsi line moved dowenward in the 70 -30 and

    gave clear sell signal

    26 june 2009 to 10 july 2010

    13 aug 2009 to 2 sep. 2009

    16 oct 2009 to 27 oct. 2009

    13 jan 2010 to 28 jan 2010

    3 feb. 2010 to 21 feb. 2010

    TECHNICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH CHART PATTERN

    Different chart pattern help to predict the trend

    header and shoulder

    inverse head and shoulder

    tringle

    flag

    head and shoulder

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    5 5 5

    5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    /

    /

    6

    1

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    15

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    29

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    13

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    27

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    10

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    24

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    7

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    21

    2009

    /

    /

    105

    2009

    /

    /

    10

    19

    2009

    /

    /

    112

    2009

    /

    /

    11

    16

    2009

    /

    /

    11

    30

    2009

    /

    /

    12

    14

    2009

    /

    /

    12

    28

    2009

    /

    /

    1

    11

    2010

    /

    /

    1

    25

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    5

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    19

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    3

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    17

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    31

    2010

    the above circle in the following figure shows the head and shoulder shape which

    indiacate a bullish market to shoulder and then go downward then again go upward then

    shoulder to hed and again down ard to shoulder

    INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER

    Bleak circle shows the inverse head and soulder which indicate the revrse trend of head

    and shoulder

    FLAG

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    5 5 5

    5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    /

    /

    6

    1

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    15

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    29

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    13

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    27

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    10

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    24

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    7

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    21

    2009

    /

    /

    10

    5

    2009

    /

    /

    1019

    2009

    /

    /

    11

    2

    2009

    /

    /

    1116

    2009

    /

    /

    11

    30

    2009

    /

    /

    12

    14

    2009

    /

    /

    1228

    2009

    /

    /

    1

    11

    2010

    /

    /

    1

    25

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    5

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    19

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    3

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    17

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    31

    2010

    A flag movement shown in the figure identify as a narrow movement of the market

    either after an upward or a douwnward . and the position of market chang vise werse in

    a flag movement

    All the chart pattern shown the trend under the SUPPORT LEVEL and

    RESSISTENCE LEVEL

    Bottom line in the figure shows the support line and upper line shows the ressistence

    lavel

    And they keep the movement of price lable under the suppert line and ressistence line

    wich shown in the below figure b red line

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    5 5 5

    5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    5 5 5 5

    /

    /

    6

    1

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    15

    2009

    /

    /

    6

    29

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    13

    2009

    /

    /

    7

    27

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    10

    2009

    /

    /

    8

    24

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    7

    2009

    /

    /

    9

    21

    2009

    /

    /

    10

    5

    2009

    /

    /

    10

    19

    2009

    /

    /

    11

    2

    2009

    /

    /

    1116

    2009

    /

    /

    11

    30

    2009

    /

    /

    1214

    2009

    /

    /

    12

    28

    2009

    /

    /

    1

    11

    2010

    /

    /

    1

    25

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    2

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    8

    2010

    /

    /

    3

    22

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    5

    2010

    /

    /

    4

    19

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    3

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    17

    2010

    /

    /

    5

    31

    2010

    CONCLUSION

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    Thus from the analysis of the calculation and interpretation made one can conclude the

    most of the time the technical analysis gives true result however RSI and ROC gives more

    accurate result, but MACD also able to interpret the market trend most of the time. there are

    however technical correction in the market from time to time, which has been mention

    earlier. In the whole of the year it presents a flag condition according to chart pattern. And

    level of closing price of stock increasing in middle year.

    Although technical analysis is 90 percent psychological and 10 percent

    logical it does give signals of market trend in future accept in some cases whenever the

    MACD line is rising prices so a bullish market and after the peak is formed the marked

    moves an opposite direction and prices starts declining similarly whenever ROC is at the

    bottom trend reversal take place an market starts becoming bullish again similarly if it is a

    1- mark line but declining it signifies the bearish trend in the market for the scrip

    and vies- verse whenever RSI crosses the 50 mark line it signified a bullish market

    ahead for the scrip as soon as RSI crosses 70 mark line it signifies the overbought

    market now it is expected that the peak will be touched . thus be can conclude that the

    three oscillators RSI , ROC and MACD are very helpful tools of technical analysis

    which help in depicting the future market .

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    LIMITATION OF THE RESEARCH-

    Technical analysis is usually undertaken after taking historical data of share

    price of company of longer period, only one year data has been taken by the

    researchers.

    The market of share also get effected by happening of the political and

    economic factors or fundamental of the company, i.e. changes in the intrinsic value of

    the share, hence all the deviation cannot be contributed to the market sentiments.

    Oscillators are only a tool for technical analysis and cannot be used without

    considering other tools. There are several oscillators but only the measure one were

    selected to interpret the market trend.

    The trend may not hold true in circumstances involving profit taking, short

    selling or any other scams.

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    RECOMMENDATIONS

    .

    1] Through this research we recommend that people should aware of present

    situation of stock market.

    2] Financial Advisors should help investors to hedge and protect their portfolio

    from market uncertainties by building and exiting from positions in time to clock

    profits.

    3].Enables investors to profit from research findings and analysis that are

    inaccessible to the lay investor.

    4]. Steps should be taken to Manage portfolio in accordance with present

    situations.

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    Bibliography:

    Books-

    Business Research Methodology: William G. Zikmund

    Investment management and security analysis Dhanesh KumarKhatri

    Newspaper-

    The Economics Times

    The Hindustan Times

    Business Standered

    Software-

    Microsoft Excel

    Microsoft Word

    Ms-paint

    Websites-

    52

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