team hk: package 2
DESCRIPTION
3/2/2012TRANSCRIPT
PACKAGE 2: SITE DECISION
GLOBAL URBAN DESIGN COURSE - STANFORD TECHNOLOGY CAMPUS IN HONG KONG PROPOSAL
students:Andy LiSam WrightTheodore LimJakob LozejDominik Košak mentors:Derek OuyangSinan Mihelčič
00_CONTENT
01_PROPOSED SITES MAP 02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA 03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS a. economic b. transportation c. construction d. parks and zoning e. environment and sustainability f. politics & neighborhood feasibility 04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION 06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT
01_PROPOSED SITES MAP
01_KAI TAK AIRPORT, KOWLOON
02_WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON
03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON04_FO TAN, NEW
TERRITORIES05_TUEN MUN, NEW
TERRITORIES C H I N A
01_PROPOSED SITES MAP
01_KAI TAK AIRPORT, KOWLOON02_WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON04_FO TAN, NEW TERRITORIES05_TUEN MUN, NEW TERRITORIES
01_KAI TAK AIRPORT, KOWLOON
02_WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON
03_AUSTIN, KOWLOON
04_FO TAN, NEW TERRITORIES
05_TUEN MUN, NEW TERRITORIES
02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA
a. Economic - 20 % a1. construction cost - 33,3 % a2. land prices - 33,3 % a3. financial feasibility - 33,3 % b. Transportation - 20 % b1. Travel Time to Airport - 5% b2. Travel Time to Downtown HK - 15% b3. Travel Time to China Mainland Travel Hub - 5% b4. Distance to Closest MTR station - 30% b5. Frequency of MTR Trains - 15% b6. Number of MTR Lines near the Site - 30%c. Construction - 15 % c1. existing infrastructure (water 33,3%, electricity 33,3%, roads 33,3%) - 30 % c2. land quality - 25 % c3. typhoon flooding danger - 10 % c4. landslide danger - 10 % c5. casting shadows - 10 % c6. traffic noise - 15 % d. Parks and zoning - 10 % - subcriteria 1 + percentage for each - subcriteria 2... e. Environment and sustainability - 15 % - subcriteria 1 + percentage for each - subcriteria 2... f. Politics & neighborhood feasibility - 20 % f1. Survey Results - 40% f2. Existing Site Conditions - 20% f3. Political Climate - 4% f4. Crime Rate - 10% f5. Distance to nearest fire station - 15% f6. Distance to nearest police station - 10% f7. Elevation above sea level - 1% f8. Density - intensity factor
02_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA AND SUB-CRITERIA
Decision matrix explanation: - each criteria and sub-criteria is evaluated in 1-5 tier system (1 - worst, 5 - best)- each sub-criteria is differently weighted, based on the importance of the subject- all provided data is objective and was found on the Internet or other authentic sources- decision matrix also includes subjective data, provided by the locals
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Five locations are distributed into two groups, based on the similar prices; West Kowloon and New Territories. a1. CONSTRUCTION COSTS Due to the fact of our search for a larger amount of land and the fact that profit is already included in the price of facilities, this prices are certainly exaggerated, but is hard to say how much, although the relationship between prices in Kowloon and New Territories should remain the same.Low prices=5 High prices=1
economic
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
a2. LAND PRICES Some recent articles on the internet claim that some companies bought very large amounts of land in Kowloon and the price was between 1600 and 2000 USD per square meter. Another article metioned the price per squre meter in Tuen Mun which is situated in the area of the New Territories and it is around 600 USD.The next step will be to send an email to real estate agents and real estate appraisals in order to get the latest available information about the land value. a3. FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY As one of the world's leading international financial centres, Hong Kong has a major capitalist service economy characterised by low taxation and free trade. In order to continue its rapid GDP growth it has to have a strong international educational system.In the year 2009, Hong Kong raised 22 percent of worldwide initial public offering (IPO) capital, making it the largest centre of IPOs in the world and the easiest place to raise capital. Many international companies have the genuine interest to invest in high quality universities to have access to the top personnel and the best knowledge.High possibility of financial feasibility=5 Low possibility of financial feasibility=1
economic
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
economic - decision matrix
Site / subject Construction Costs Land prices Financial feasibility Weighted total
Kai Tak Airport 3 2 5 3,33
Austin 3 2 5 3,33
West Kowloon 3 2 5 3,33
Fo Tan 4 4 4 4
Tuen Mun 4 4 4 4
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Transportation - Travel Time
Sub-criteria 1: Travel TimeAirport - 5%, Downtown - 15%, China - 5% Formula for Evaluation: 0 - 14 min = 515 - 29 min = 430 - 44 min = 345 - 59 min = 260+ min = 1
To Airport To Downtown
To China
Kai Tak Airport 1 3 4
West Kowloon 3 5 5
Austin 2 4 5
Fo Tan 1 2 3
Tuen Mun 1 1 1
Transportation - 20%
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Transportation - Closest MTR Station
Going to put map here.
1) Kai Tak Airport2) West Kowloon3) Austin4) Fo Tan5) Tuen Mun
Sub-criteria 2: Distance to Closest MTR Station - 30% Formula for Evaluation: 0 - 1/4 mile = 51/4 mile - 1/2 mile = 41/2 mile - 3/4 mile = 33/4 mile - 1 mile = 2+ 1 mile = 1
Closest MTR Station (Miles)
Grade
Kai Tak Airport 1 2
West Kowloon 1/4 5
Austin 1/2 4
Fo Tan 1/4 5
Tuen Mun 1 2
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Transportation - Frequency of MTR
Sub-criteria 3:Frequency of MTR Trains - 15%(Saturday Non-Peak Hours)
Formula for Evaluation: 4 - 6 min = 56 - 8 min = 48 - 10 min = 310 - 12 min = 2+12 min = 1
Frequency of MTR Trains
(min)
Grade
Kai Tak Airport 4-5 5
West Kowloon 6-12 3
Austin 6-12 3
Fo Tan 4-8 5
Tuen Mun 6-8 4
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Transportation - Closest MTR Station
1) Kai Tak Airport2) West Kowloon3) Austin4) Fo Tan5) Tuen Mun
Sub-criteria 4: Number of MTR Lines near Site - 30% (Within 1 mile) Formula for Evaluation: 4 lines = 53 lines = 42 lines = 31 line = 20 lines = 1
Number of Lines
Grade
Kai Tak Airport 2 3
West Kowloon 4 5
Austin 4 5
Fo Tan 2 3
Tuen Mun 1 2
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Transportation - Matrix
- Travel Time to Airport - 5% - Travel Time to Downtown HK - 15% - Travel Time to China Mainland Travel Hub - 5% - Distance to Closest MTR station - 30% - Frequency of MTR Trains - 15% - Number of MTR Lines near the Site - 30%
Transportation Matrix
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
c.1 EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE (water 33,3%, electricity 33,3%, roads 33,3%) - 30 % Each site is examined for existing infrastructure. Formula for evaluation - water (yes=5, needs extension = 3, no=0)Formula for evaluation - electricity (yes=5, needs extension = 3 no=0)Formula for evaluation - roads (no roads=1, one minor road=2, more minor roads=3, minor roads and major road=4, more major and minor roads=5)
construction - existing infrastructure
Site / subject
Water
Electricity
Roads
Weighted total
Kai Tak airport
3
3
5
3.66
West Kowloon
3
3
4
3.33
Austin
0
0
5
1.66
Fo Tan
0
0
2
0.66
Tuen Mun
0
0
1
0.33
Source: http://www.ozp.tpb.gov.hk/
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
c2. LAND QUALITY - 25 % 6 % of onshore area in Hong Kong is reclaimed land (granular sediment and rock material) which is considered to be convenient land to build on, however, it demands some special construction interventions (deep foundations, preventing liquefaction,...). In higher parts of HK can be found volcanic rocks and granite which are of medium quality to build on. In addition, there is hilly terrain, so excavations would be credible. Formula for evaluation (poor quality = 1, medium quality = 3, excellent quality=5)
construction - land quality
Source: http://www.cedd.gov.hk/eng/about/organisation/org_geo_pln_map.htm
Site / subject
Soil type
Weighted total
Kai Tak airport
reclaimed land
5
West Kowloon
reclaimed land
5
Austin
reclaimed land
5
Fo Tan
coarse-grained granite
3
Tuen Mun
volcanic rocks, sedimentary rocks
3
volcanic rocks
coarse-grained granite
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
A scheme showing pre- and post- land reclamation process.
construction - land quality
The process of making the reclaimed land.
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
c3. TYPHOON FLOODING DANGER - 10 % Floods are most likely to happen in lower parts, just above sea level, while areas above 60 feet are relatively safe. The maximum tide magnitude is ~ 9 feet, while storm surges can reach up to 20 feet. The evaluation is based on area’s height above sea level, Formula for evaluation (areas below 10 feet = 1, areas between 10-20 feet = 2, areas between 20-40 feet = 3, areas between 40-60 feet = 4, areas above 60 feet = 5)
construction - typhoon flooding danger
Source: http://www.cityu.edu.hk/gcacic/IGCP588Yim.pdf
Site / subject
Height above sea level(feet)
Weighted total
Kai Tak airport
21 3
West Kowloon
9 1
Austin
16 2
Fo Tan
<500 5
Tuen Mun
<220 5
Typhoon shelter in West Kowloon.
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
construction - typhoon flooding danger
Flooding in West Kowloon.
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
c4. LANDSLIDE DANGER - 10 % In general, the number of occurrence of landslides is closely related to the rainfall distribution and intensity. Most of the landslides are occured at the slope angle above 26°. We prespuppose that there is more rainfall distibution in upper parts of HK due to orographic precipitation Formula for evaluation (most likely to occur = 1, likely to occur = 3, not likely to occur=5)
construction - landslide danger
Source: http://hkss.cedd.gov.hk/hkss/eng/studies/natural/landslide_fact.htm#Natural Terrain Landslidinghttp://dusk.geo.orst.edu/buffgis/PDFs/landslide_hazard_geo580.pdfhttp://www.springerimages.com/Images/Geosciences/1-10.1007_s10346-005-0024-x-10
Rainfall distribution in HK.
Site / subject
Weighted total
Kai Tak airport
5
West Kowloon
5
Austin
5
Fo Tan
3
Tuen Mun
4
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Fo Tan and Tuen Mun are critical sites regarding landslide danger due to being on a higher level and surrounding incline.
construction - landslide danger
~13%
~34%
~24%
~15%
~18%
Fo Tan
Tuen Mun
Landslide endangering residental area on HK island.
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Airport, Fo Tan and Tuen Mun sites are not affected by shading from surrounding buildings and terrain, while Austin and West Kowloon sites are in dense urban fabric where there is a lot of casting shadows elements- Visual presentation of casting shadows by surrounding building on West Kowloon site at different hours and months of the year.
21 / 3
21 / 6
23 / 9
9.00 AM
12.00 AM
6.00 PM
construction - casting shadows
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
- Visual presentation of casting shadows by surrounding buildings on Austin site at different hours and months of the year.
21 / 3
21 / 6
23 / 9
9.00 AM
12.00 AM
6.00 PM
construction - casting shadows
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
The following is a map published by Hong Kong's Planning Department with the various zones represented in different colors. The insert on the lower right-hand corner shows the average distribution of land usage across Hong Kong.
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Kai Tak Airport - Zoning
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Kai Tak Airport - Parks
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Weset Kowloon - Zoning
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
West Kowloon - Parks
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Fo Tan - Zoning
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Fo Tan - Parks
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Tuen Mun - Zoning
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Tuen Mun - Parks
parks and zoning - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Parks and zoning plays an important as it tends to define the lifestyle of the student. Ultimately, we decided that the type of area was not as important as the impact a university campus would make on the nearby area. In addition, creating the lifestyle we wanted the students to have was more of a design challenge than a barrier we were simply going to accept.
parks and zoning - summary
Site / subject measurement
% Park Space1 mile radius
% Park Space5 mile radius
Official Land Utilization
Distance o Edge of City (m)
Distance to shore
Kai Tak airport
0
2.1
Residential
2500 m
0m
West Kowloon
4.8
5.1
Commercial
6500 m
200 m
Austin
4.9
4.8
Vacant
7000 m
250 m
Fo Tan
18.2%
16.0%
Open Space
500 m
8500 m
Tuen Mun
15.3%
14.9%
Commercial
500 m
6700 m
% of Total 20% 30% N/A 30% 20%
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Tuen Mun - Parks
environment - maps
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
Environment Report:In light of the usually sunny days in California, air pollution in Hong Kong is considered a serious problem. In
most cases, visitbility is less than eight kilometers for 30% of the year. The importance of the economic report, however, is limited because one area of Hong Kong will not vary much from another. In the end, we decided air quality was indeed important, giving it a weight factor of 15%
environment - maps
Site / subject measurement H2O2/HNO3 (Ave. 2007) O3 Concentration (Ave. 2007)
Kai Tak Airport 22.4 330 micrograms/cubic meter
West Kowloon 19.5 290
Austin 27.4 320
Fo Tan 8.8 200
Tuen Mun 16.2 250
% Total 60% 40%
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
reputation - overview
REPUTATION, COMMUNITY AND POLITICAL SUPPORT covers: - Survey Results- Local Party Policies- Cultural, Historical, and Community Significance of Site- Perceived and Real Safety
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
reputation - survey
f1. Survey Results - 40% We considered the survey to be the most important factor in determining the political and neighborhood feasibility of the sites. Locals are much more knowledgeable then we are with regards to the important intangibles of a site, such as the atmosphere, culture, and safety, and so we weighted responses heavily. We received 20 responses from residents and other people who are familiar with Hong Kong.
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
reputation - existing site conditions
f2. Existing Site Conditions - 20% What cultural or historical importance does the current site hold in the neighbourhood? Is it an eyesore such as a brownfield, or a sacrosanct area, such as a pristine forest? Would a Stanford campus be seen in the community as an improvement or a blight to the area? BROWNFIELD +2WATERFRONT -1PRISTINE FOREST -2
01_KAI TAK AIRPORTBROWNFIELD
02_WEST KOWLOONBROWNFIELD-WATERFRONT
03_AUSTINBROWNFIELD
04_FO TANPRISTINE FOREST
05_TUEN MENPRISTINE FOREST
District Council Seat DistributionWho holds the power?
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
reputation - political climate
f3. Political Climate - 4% A small factor in our decision-making is the political will of the local representatives in power in the district. Most parties in Hong Kong are supportive of development, but we felt that fiscally conservative and more nationalistic parties may be less enthusiastic. However, we felt that existing institutions in an area would create a favorable climate for more educational institutional development. DAB MAJORITY OR PLURALITY: -1OTHER PARTIES: 0 or as evaluatedEXISTING UNIVERSITIES OR COLLEGES ALREADY IN AREA: +1
01_KAI TAK
02_WEST KOWLOON03_AUSTIN 04_FO TAN
05_TUEN MUN
03_DECISION MATRIX CRITERIA ANALYSIS
reputation - safety
f4. Crime - 10%f5. Fire Station Proximity - 10%f6. Police Proximity - 10%f7. Elevation from sea level - 6%(safety and aesthetic) A large part of our analysis deals with the perceived and actual safety of the site for the users. Crime statistics are currently being obtained. For the current decision matrix, crime stats were considered equal across the board for each neighborhood until we can get further data. Proximity by road to edge of site: 0 to 500 m = +2500 m to 1 km = +11 km to 1.5 km = 01.5 km to 2 km = -12 km or more = -2 Elevation parameters:0 to 10 m above sea level: -210 to 30 m above sea level: -130 to 50 m above sea level: 050 m and above: +2Protected by West Kowloon Typhoon Shelter: +1 (special case)
Example: Tuen Mun
1.5 km to nearest firehall (0)1 km to police station (0)
60 m above sea level (+2)-----
Total Score: +2
(Crime data not available yet)
04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS
final decision matrix
Current Weighting:
Economic 20%
Transportation 20%
Construction 15%
Parks & Zoning 10%
Environment & Sustainability 15%
Politics & Neighborhood Feasibility 20%
04_FINAL DECISION MATRIX WITH NUMERICAL RESULTS
final decision matrix
Economic Transportation Construction Parks & Zoning
Environment & Sustainability
Political & Neighborhood Feasibility
Total
Kai Tak Airport
3.33 3 4.3 2 2.5 3.3 3.1
West Kowloon
3.33 4.6 3.7 2.3 2 3.8 3.4
Austin 3.33 4.1 3.1 2.2 1 4.1 3.1
Fo Tan 4 3.7 3 3 5 2.3 3.5
Tuen Mun 4 2.1 3 4 4.1 2.3 3.1
05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION
WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON
05_SELECTED SITE INTRODUCTION
WEST KOWLOON, KOWLOON- highly urbanised area- waterfront proximity- well-integrated in the city
06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT
˝THE ABILITY TO MEET NEEDS OF THE PRESENT WITHOUT COMPROMISING THE ABILITY OF FUTURE GENERATIONS TO MEET THEIR NEEDS.˝ GENERAL SUSTAINABILITY DIRECTIONS IN HONG KONG:- HK has set its sights on raising Hong Kong people's quality of life and improving the environment - because of HK's hilly terrain and attempt to preserve natural areas, it is crucial that each new intervention is deliberately sustainable. - We must be mindful of all three aspects: economy, ecology and social responsibility - there are many technologies, planning schemes and strategic proposals being reviewed in HK, covering many aspects of sustainability (pollution, recycling, energy efficiency, environmental assessments, social development...)
sustainability
06_SUSTAINABILITY REPORT
Good land use: preserving a healthy balance between built environments and natural environments(perserving natural values, avoiding deforestation,...) Good urban planning: includes efficient transportation (especially mass transit, bicycle system) systems and efficient infrastructure systems – laid out to minimize consumption, waste, and pollution during use. Sustainable buildings are long-lasting, attractive, no larger than necessary, adaptable to other uses in the future, efficient in the use of resources (energy and materials – including recycling at the end of service life), and well-fitted toneeds, surroundings, and society. Economic soundness: feasible, affordable, attractive, and economically rewarding building practices, providing long-term benefits Environmental stewardship: conserving material and energy resources, favoring renewable and recyclable resources, preferring less energy-intensive materials, minimizing waste, preserving undeveloped land as a natural resource, and avoiding the pollution of land, water, and air Waste manegement:collect, recycle, treat and dispose waste / providing waste management facilities, because local landfills are rapidly running out of space
sustainability