tanker investments ltd. first quarter 2014 earnings presentation
TRANSCRIPT
First Quarter 2014 Earnings PresentationMay 15, 2014
TANKER INVESTMENTS LTD.
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Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements which reflect management’s current views withrespect to certain future events and performance, including statements regarding: the crude oil andrefined product tanker market fundamentals, including the balance of supply and demand in the tankermarket; the Company’s financial position and ability to take advantage of growth opportunities; and theexpected effect of any acquisitions on the Company’s financial results. The following factors are amongthose that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements, whichinvolve risks and uncertainties, and that should be considered in evaluating any such statement:changes in the production of or demand for oil; changes in trading patterns significantly affecting overallvessel tonnage requirements; greater or less than anticipated levels of tanker newbuilding orders anddeliveries or greater or less than anticipated rates of tanker scrapping; changes in applicable industrylaws and regulations and the timing of implementation of new laws and regulations; changes in interestrates and the financial markets; delays in the delivery of any new vessels; increases in the Company'sexpenses, including any dry docking expenses and associated off-hire days; and other factorsdiscussed in Tanker Investment Ltd.’s filings from time to time with the Financial Supervisory Authorityof Norway. The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly anyupdates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in theCompany’s expectations with respect thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances onwhich any such statement is based.
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• Q1-14 Results (based on only 136 revenue days)○ Reported net loss of USD 0.2 million, or USD 0.01 per share○ Generated cash flow from vessels operations1 of USD 0.9 million
• TIL has raised net equity proceeds of $412 million from the Private Placement and Initial Public Offering○ Since January 2014, TIL has acquired or agreed to acquire 13 ships
representing a total investment of approx. $400 million
4 Suezmaxes 5 Aframaxes 2 VLCCs 2 Coated Aframaxes
• Conservative leverage and lean cost structure provide for low cash breakeven rate of $12,000 per day
• Current vessel values significantly below long-term average and newbuilding prices○ TIL continuing to evaluate further investment opportunities
Recent Highlights
1 Cash flow from vessel operations (CFVO) is a non-GAAP financial measure used by certain investors to measure the financial performance of shipping companies. Includesboth CFVO from vessels that are consolidated and CFVO from vessels that are equity-accounted for on the Company’s financial statements. Please see appendices in the Q1-14 earnings release for a reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure as used in this presentation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure.
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Rationale for VLCC and coated Aframax Purchases
Acquisition of VLCC sister ships Hemsedal Spirit and Voss Spirit:
• Opportunistic acquisitions at an attractive price
• Greater liquidity in VLCC vs. other tanker segments
• VLCC newbuilding prices up ~14% (~$90 million in Aug. ’13 to ~$103 million in May ‘14).
• Viewed as a leading indicator for second-hand prices.
Acquisition of coated Aframax sister ships Hovden Spirit and Trysil Spirit:
• Attractive supply / demand fundamentals despite the larger LR2 orderbook
• Optionality to trade refined products or crude oil
• Ships will continue to trade clean products in the Teekay Taurus pool through Q2 and Q3-2014
• TIL will assess option to trade crude during expected stronger Aframax market in Q4
25-30% upside between current secondhand values and the 10-year average
5
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Aframax Asset Values
NB5 yr10yr Avg NB10 yr Avg 5 yr old
45
65
85
105
125
145
165
185
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
VLCC Asset Values
NB5y-old10yr avg NB10yr avg 5y-old
NB 5y-old
Upside to 10y avg.
8%
31%34%NB 5y-old
Upside to 10y avg.
14%
Asset Values Have Risen, But Upside Remains
Secondhand tanker values still well below mid-cycle
VLCC Suezmax Aframax
2 x VLCC (2010) @ $77m 4 x Suezmax (2009) @ $40.8m
2 x Aframax (2009) @ $28.5m
2 x Aframax (2010) @ $29.5m
1 x Aframax (2009) @ $36.8m
2 x coated Aframax* (2012) @ $47.5m
Source: Clarksons Source: Clarksons Source: Clarksons
TIL
Acq
uisi
tions
35
45
55
65
75
85
95
105
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Suezmax Asset Values
NB5 yr Old10 yr avg. NB10 yr avg 5 yr old
NB 5y-old
8%
Upside to 10y avg.
30%25%
*$2 million premium for coated Aframaxes
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-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Num
ber o
f Ves
sels
Suezmax Fleet Growth
Scrapping Forecast Scrapped
Delivery Forecast Delivered
Net Fleet Growth
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Num
ber o
f Ves
sels
VLCC Fleet Growth
Scrapping Forecast Scrapped
Delivery Forecast Delivered
Net Growth (% of Fleet)
Static / shrinking crude fleet paves the way for a market recovery
• VLCC fleet shows minimal growth while Suezmax and Aframax fleets expected to decrease in size during 2014-16;
• Most major shipyards are full through to late 2016
Source: Clarksons / Internal Estimates
Source: Clarksons / Internal Estimates
Limited Crude Tanker Fleet Growth 2014-16
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Num
ber o
f Ves
sels
Aframax Fleet Growth*
Scrapping Forecast Scrapped
Delivery Forecast Delivered
Fleet Growth (% of Fleet)
Source: Clarksons / Internal Estimates
*Includes Coated Aframaxes
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Q2 / Q3 Crude Shipping Market Outlook
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• Wild card factors that may impact the market over the next 6 months include:– An escalation of the Russia / Ukraine conflict & associated impact on trade
– Potential upturn in OPEC production volumes (Libya, Iran)
– Further strategic stockpiling in China (2nd phase of SPR build)
• Expect a seasonally weaker crudetanker market in Q2 and Q3 dueto scheduled refinery maintenance
• However, rates are expected toaverage higher than in the sameperiod of 2013 due to tighteningsupply / demand fundamentals 73
74
75
76
77
78
79
Jan'14 Feb'14 Mar'14 Apr'14 May'14 Jun'14 Jul'14
mb/
d
Source: IEA
Global Refinery Throughput
Q2 / Q3 tanker rates expected to average higher than in 2013
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• Improvement in rates expected from 2014 onwards due to slowing fleet growth (sub-2% p.a.) coupled with economic recovery, improved oil demand
• Increased level of rate volatility expected as fleet utilization improves
Higher Fleet Utilization Starting in 2014
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
76%
78%
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
92%20
08
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
E
2015
E
Source: Platou / Internal Estimates
Tanker Demand Growth Tanker Supply Growth Fleet Utilization
Strengthening fundamentals the basis for a sustained tanker market recovery
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• TIL strategically planned a heavy drydock schedule for Q2-14 and Q3-14○ ensures all vessels are available for the anticipated winter market rally
• Budgeting 21 days total per drydock
2014 Drydock and Fuel Efficient Upgrade Schedule
Vessel Planned Upgrade Expected Timing
Tarbet Spirit Innovative hi‐spec hull coating
Late‐May 2014
Jiaolong Spirit
Mewis Duct retrofitand innovative hi‐spec hull coating
Late‐May 2014
Shenlong Spirit August 2014
Garibaldi Spirit August 2014
Emerald Spirit August 2014
Dilong Spirit September 2014
Whistler Spirit October 2014
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in USD millions
As of Mar. 31, 2014 Pro Forma
Vessel purchases (347.6) Revolver drawdown 45.0
Other current assets 7.0 7.0 Total current assets 362.8 (302.6) 60.2
Vessels 199.8 365.0 564.8 Vessel deposits 17.4 (17.4) -
Other non-current assets 8.6 8.6 Total assets 588.6 45.0 633.6
Current liabilities 17.9 17.9 Current portion of l/t debt 11.7 11.7 Current liabilities 29.7 29.7
Long-term debt 150.0 Revolver drawdown 45.0 195.0 Total liabilities 179.6 45.0 224.6
Total equity 409.0 409.0
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 588.6 633.6
Net debt to capitalization nm 27%
Condensed Tanker Investments Balance Sheet
Acquisition Adjustments
Vessel purchases
Cash 355.9 53.3
Pro forma Balance Sheet and Leverage
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TIL has a Low Cash Breakeven and High Operating Leverage
After debt service & d/d B/E ~$12,000/day*
5-yr avg. Aframax rate $15,000/day
10-yr avg. Aframax rate $28,000/day
Spot rate increase $1,000 TCE/day
above $12,000 / day
CAD / share increase ~$0.14 p.a.
*Aframax Equivalent basis => VLCCs at 1.4x, Suezmaxes at 1.2x
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Focus on Strategy Execution
Maximize shareholder value by acquiring,operating and selling oil tankers at the righttime in the tanker market cycle.
Strategy
Execution Plan for
Remainder of 2014
• Buy modern, secondhand tankers at 25-30% discounts to 10-year average prices
• Complete $200 million corporate revolver
• Enhance profits by completing 7 drydocks ‘on-time and on-budget’ including investment in low-cost fuel saving vessel modifications
• Operate acquired tankers in Teekay-managed pools to maximize profitability
Appendix
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• Based on approximately 55% and 30% of days booked in the quarter for Suezmax and Aframax segments, respectively, the average spot bookings for Q2-14 to-date are:○ Suezmax $16,200 per day (vs. $17,100 per day in Q1-14)○ Aframax $7,800 per day (vs. $12,300 per day in Q1-14)
Q2-14 Earnings Update
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Fleet Details
Vessel Name Vessel Class Year Built Purchase Price (USD millions)
Month Acquisition Agreed
Dilong Spirit Suezmax 2009 $40.8 Dec 2013
Jiaolong Spirit Suezmax 2009 $40.8 Dec 2013
Shenlong Spirit Suezmax 2009 $40.8 Dec 2013
Tianlong Spirit Suezmax 2009 $40.8 Dec 2013
Emerald Spirit Aframax 2009 $28.5 Dec 2013
Whistler Spirit Aframax 2010 $29.5 Dec 2013
Garibaldi Spirit Aframax 2009 $28.5 Dec 2013
Blackcomb Spirit Aframax 2010 $29.5 Dec 2013
Tarbet Spirit Aframax 2009 $36.8 Mar 2014
Hemsedal Spirit VLCC 2010 $77.0 May 2014
Voss Spirit VLCC 2010 $77.0 May 2014
Hovden Spirit Coated Aframax 2012 $47.5 May 2014
Trysil Spirit Coated Aframax 2012 $47.5 May 2014