table 1 - no-nonsense portfolios for sound investing

18
Dimensional Returns 2.0 Data Base Source S&P 500 (Buffett) Total US Market (Collins) Total World Market 3-Fund' - Equity only - (Bogleheads) Total US + 30% US SCV (Fama/French) Total World + 30% US SCV (Fama/French) All Value US Only (Merriman) Dimensional US Market Index 100% 70% 70% S&P 500 Index ( US Large Cap Blend ) 100% Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index 50% Dimensional US Small Cap Index Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index 30% 30% 50% Dow Jones US Select REIT Index Dimensional International Market Index 30% Dimensional International Large Index Dimensional International Large Value Index Dimensional International Small Cap Index Dimensional International Small Cap Value Index Dimensional Global Market Index 100% 70% Note: All portfolios rebalanced annually. 3-Fund Dimensional Returns 2.0 Data Base Source Core 4 - Equity only - (Ferri) US Only 4-Fund (Merriman) World 4-Fund (TrevH) All Value World (Merriman) Representative Expense Ratio applied to index Dimensional US Market Index 60% 0.03% S&P 500 Index ( US Large Cap Blend ) 25% 25% 0.03% Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index 25% 25% 0.35% Dimensional US Small Cap Index 25% 0.07% Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index 25% 25% 25% 0.25% Dow Jones US Select REIT Index 10% 0.12% Dimensional International Market Index 30% 0.11% Dimensional International Large Index 0.05% Dimensional International Large Value Index 25% 25% 0.39% Dimensional International Small Cap Index 25% 0.39% Dimensional International Small Cap Value Index 25% 0.58% Dimensional Global Market Index 0.10% © 2020 Merriman Financial Education Foundation US Int'l / Global 4-Fund Portfolios Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing: Equity Asset Allocation 1-Fund Portfolios 2-Fund Portfolios US Int'l / Global All Indexes , no explicit funds use. Rebalanced Annually. No Contributions. Data from Dimensional All 4-Fund Portfolios Equally Weighted . Representative Expense Ratios applied to all index returns. US Asset Classes & International Asset Classes WHAT PORTFOLIOS DID YOU MODEL?

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Page 1: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

Dimensional Returns 2.0 Data Base Source

S&P 500

(Buffett)

Total US

Market

(Collins)

Total World

Market

3-Fund'

- Equity only -

(Bogleheads)

Total US

+ 30% US SCV(Fama/French)

Total World

+ 30% US SCV(Fama/French)

All Value

US Only

(Merriman)

Dimensional US Market Index 100% 70% 70%S&P 500 Index (US Large Cap Blend ) 100%Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index 50%Dimensional US Small Cap Index

Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index 30% 30% 50%

Dow Jones US Select REIT Index

Dimensional International Market Index 30%Dimensional International Large Index

Dimensional International Large Value Index

Dimensional International Small Cap Index

Dimensional International Small Cap Value Index

Dimensional Global Market Index 100% 70%

Note: All portfolios rebalanced annually. 3-Fund

Dimensional Returns 2.0 Data Base Source

Core 4

- Equity only -

(Ferri)

US Only

4-Fund

(Merriman)

World

4-Fund

(TrevH)

All Value

World

(Merriman)

Representative

Expense Ratio

applied to

index

Dimensional US Market Index 60% 0.03%

S&P 500 Index (US Large Cap Blend ) 25% 25% 0.03%

Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index 25% 25% 0.35%

Dimensional US Small Cap Index 25% 0.07%

Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index 25% 25% 25% 0.25%

Dow Jones US Select REIT Index 10% 0.12%

Dimensional International Market Index 30% 0.11%

Dimensional International Large Index 0.05%

Dimensional International Large Value Index 25% 25% 0.39%

Dimensional International Small Cap Index 25% 0.39%

Dimensional International Small Cap Value Index 25% 0.58%

Dimensional Global Market Index 0.10%

© 2020 Merriman Financial Education Foundation

US

Int'

l / G

lob

al

4-Fund Portfolios

Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing: Equity Asset Allocation

1-Fund Portfolios 2-Fund Portfolios

US

Int'

l / G

lob

al

All Indexes, no explicit funds use.

RebalancedAnnually.

No Contributions.

Data fromDimensional

All 4-Fund PortfoliosEqually Weighted.

RepresentativeExpense Ratiosapplied to allindex returns.

USAsset Classes

&InternationalAsset Classes

WHAT PORTFOLIOS DID YOU MODEL?

Page 2: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

Why Only 1990-2019?• I wanted to use data from a consistent source over the entire analysis

period and some of the indexes only went back to 1990. (Intl Large Cap Value and Global Market.)

• In the future we may be able to use different sources of returns and extend the analysis back to 1970 or earlier.

Why Indexes vs ‘Real’ Funds?• I used indexes because I wanted to show the relationship of asset

class/portfolio performance without the impact of varying implementation costs between fund suppliers.

Page 3: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

What is the difference between Dimensional Indexes and Dimensional Funds?• Index returns reflect only the performance of the asset class.

• i.e., Indexes have no implementation expenses.

• When using indexes, performance differences between asset class indexes are just that, and not attributable to costs associated with how a fund is managed or used by the investor.• e.g., Fund costs: expense ratios, management fees, trading fees, taxes, etc.

• Chris’s “Best in Class” recommendations are a useful source for achieving good asset class returns as he considers which fund(s) best allow you to get most of the asset class, or factor, return.

Page 4: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

How Were the Value Indexes Constructed? (1/2)Sources and Descriptions of Data

All Dimensional portfolio returns are net of all fees unless otherwise indicated.All Dimensional trust returns are net of administrative fees only unless otherwise indicated.Prior to April 2002, certain international equity portfolios charged a reimbursement fee to the purchasers of shares of those portfolios

Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index 06, 1927- 06, 2020

June 1927 - December 1974: Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index Composition: A subset of the US Large Cap Index. The subset is defined as companies whose relative price is in the bottom 25% of the US Large Cap Index after the exclusion of utilities, companies lacking financial data, and companies with negative relative price. The Eligible Market is composed of securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market. Exclusions: Non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and Investment Companies Source: CRSP and Compustat.

January 1975 - Present: Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index Composition: Consists of companies with market capitalizations above the 1000th largest company of the Eligible market whose relative price is in the bottom 30% of large companies after the exclusion of utilities, companies lacking financial data, and companies with negative relative price. The Index emphasizes securities with higher profitability, lower relative price, and lower market capitalization. Profitability defined as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense divided by book equity. The Eligible Market is composed of securities US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market. Exclusions: Non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and Investment Companies Source: CRSP and Compustat.

The Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index has been retrospectively calculated by Dimensional Fund Advisors and did not exist prior to March 1st, 2007. Accordingly, the results shown during the periods prior to March 1st, 2007 do not represent actual returns of the Index. Other periods selected may have different results, including losses. Backtested index performance is hypothetical and is provided for informational purposes only to indicate historical performance had the index been calculated over the relevant time periods. Backtested performance results assume the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains. The index monthyreturns are computed as the simple average of the monthly returns of 12 sub-indices, each one reconstituted once a year at the end of each month of the year. Index is unmanaged and is not subject to fees and expenses typically associated with managed accounts or investment funds. Investments cannot be made directlyin an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The calculation methodology for the Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index was amended on January 1st, 2014 to include profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index.

Currency: USDDimensional Index data compiled by Dimensional.

Page 5: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

How Were the Value Indexes Constructed? (2/2)Sources and Descriptions of Data

All Dimensional portfolio returns are net of all fees unless otherwise indicated.All Dimensional trust returns are net of administrative fees only unless otherwise indicated.Prior to April 2002, certain international equity portfolios charged a reimbursement fee to the purchasers of shares of those portfolios

Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index 06, 1927- 06, 2020

June 1927 - December 1974: Dimensional US Small Cap Value IndexComposition: A subset of the US Small Cap Index. The subset is defined as companies whose relative price is in the bottom 25% of the US Small Cap Index after the exclusion of utilities, companies lacking financial data, and companies with negative relative price. The Eligible Market is composed of securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market. Exclusions: Non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and Investment Companies Source: CRSP and Compustat.

January 1975 - Present: Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index Composition: A subset of the US Small Cap Index. The subset is defined as companies whose relative price is in the bottom 35% of the US Small Cap Index after the exclusion of utilities, companies lacking financial data, and companies with negative relative price. The Eligible Market is composed of securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market. Exclusions: Non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and Investment Companies and companies with the lowest profitability within the small cap value universe. The index also excludes those companies with the highest asset growth within the small cap universe. Profitability is defined as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense divided by book equity. Asset growth is defined as change in total assets from the prior fiscal year to current fiscal year. Source: CRSP and Compustat

The Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index has been retrospectively calculated by Dimensional Fund Advisors and did not exist prior to March 1st, 2007. Accordingly, the results shown during the periods prior to March 1st, 2007 do not represent actual returns of the Index. Other periods selected may have different results, including losses. Backtested index performance is hypothetical and is provided for informational purposes only to indicate historical performance had the index been calculated over the relevant time periods. Backtested performance results assume the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains. The index monthly returns are computed as the simple average of the monthly returns of 12 sub-indices, each one reconstituted once a year at the end of each month of the year. Index is unmanaged and is not subject to fees and expenses typically associated with managed accounts or investment funds. Investments cannot be made directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The calculation methodology for the Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index was amended on January 1st, 2014 to include profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index was amended in December 2019 to include as growth as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index.

Currency: USDDimensional Index data compiled by Dimensional.

Page 6: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

How Was the Small Cap Index Constructed?Sources and Descriptions of Data

All Dimensional portfolio returns are net of all fees unless otherwise indicated.All Dimensional trust returns are net of administrative fees only unless otherwise indicated.Prior to April 2002, certain international equity portfolios charged a reimbursement fee to the purchasers of shares of those portfolios

Dimensional US Small Cap Index 06, 1927- 06, 2020

June 1927 - December 1974: Dimensional US Small Cap Index Composition: Market-capitalization-weighted index of securities of the smallest US companies whose market capitalization falls in the lowest 8% of the total market capitalization of the Eligible Market. The Eligible Market is composed of securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market. Exclusions: Non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and Investment Companies Source: CRSP and Compustat.

January 1975 - Present: Dimensional US Small Cap Index Composition: Market-capitalization-weighted index of securities of the smallest US companies whose market capitalization falls in the lowest 8% of the total market capitalization of the Eligible Market. The Eligible Market is composed of securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market. Exclusions: Non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and Investment Companies and companies with the lowest profitability and highest relative price within the small cap universe. The index also excludes those companies with the highest asset growth within the small cap universe. Profitability is defined as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense divided by book equity. Asset growth is defined as change in total assets from the prior fiscal year to current fiscal year. Source: CRSP and Compustat.

The Dimensional US Small Cap Index has been retrospectively calculated by Dimensional Fund Advisors and did not exist prior to March 1st, 2007. Accordingly, the results shown during the periods prior to March 1st, 2007 do not represent actual returns of the Index. Other periods selected may have different results, including losses. Backtested index performance is hypothetical and is provided for informational purposes only to indicate historical performance had the index been calculated over the relevant time periods. Backtested performance results assume the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains. The index monthly returns are computed as the simple average of the monthly returns of 12 sub-indices, each one reconstituted once a year at the end of each month of the year. Index is unmanaged and is not subject to fees and expenses typically associated with managed accounts or investment funds. Investments cannot be made directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The calculation methodology for the Dimensional US Small Cap Index was amended on January 1st, 2014 to include profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional US Small Cap Index was amended in December 2019 to include asset growth as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index.

Currency: USDDimensional Index data compiled by Dimensional.

Page 7: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

Risk has many different dimensions.

• We look at several different parameter to get a better feel for the ‘Risk Landscape’

• Portfolio Return Performance• Standard Deviation, both total (up- and down-side and down-side only)

• Maximum drawdown (over several intervals)

• Risk adjusted return (Sharp ratio and Sortino ratio)

• Portfolio Withdrawal Performance• ‘Sustainable’ Withdrawal Rate (SWR, aka ‘Safe’ Withdrawal Rate)

• Portfolio failure rates (for given withdrawal rates)

Page 8: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

What is a Telltale Chart?• The Telltale chart is a term popularized by John Bogle for a chart which compares

the performance of one security to another. It is also known as a "price-relative" or "relative strength" chart.

• Typical growth charts are very sensitive to start and end dates, and tend to hide the periods of time that make a big difference to the trajectory.

• A telltale chart shows the aggregate growth of one asset (or several assets) divided by the aggregate growth of a benchmark asset.

• Mathematically, this is a simple way to normalize performance and display it in a relative manner.

• Practically speaking, the telltale chart can provide remarkable insights, showing the dynamics year over year much more effectively than a growth chart.

Ref: https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Telltale_chart

Page 9: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

“Growth” vs “Telltale” Comparison

Growth of $1: US 4-Fund and S&P 500 Telltale Chart: US 4-Fund vs S&P 500 (benchmark)

Page 10: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

Outperform? or Breakeven?

until ‘back to even’

SCV outperform S&P 500

S&P 500 outperform SCV

Page 11: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing
Page 12: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950S&P 500

43.6%

US LCV

2.8%

S&P 500

-24.9%

S&P 500

-43.3%

S&P 500

-8.2%

US SCV

125.3%

US SCB

15.7%

US SCB

56.1%

US SCV

66.5%

S&P 500

-35.0%

US SCB

39.8%

S&P 500

-0.4%

US SCB

-3.6%

US LCV

1.0%

US SCV

34.1%

US SCV

78.5%

US SCV

52.6%

US SCV

65.4%

US LCV

-6.3%

US SCV

8.8%

S&P 500

5.5%

US SCB

20.9%

US SCV

63.4%

US SCB

42.9%

S&P 500

-8.4%

US LCV

-34.1%

US SCB

-46.2%

4-Fund

-10.3%

US SCB

111.0%

4-Fund

-0.2%

4-Fund

48.5%

US SCB

52.5%

US LCV

-36.6%

US SCV

32.6%

US SCB

-0.8%

US LCV

-5.4%

US SCV

-0.2%

4-Fund

25.4%

US SCB

56.9%

US SCB

42.1%

US SCB

64.2%

S&P 500

-8.1%

US LCV

7.2%

US LCV

1.5%

US SCV

19.7%

US LCV

47.2%

4-Fund

35.9%

4-Fund

-19.2%

4-Fund

-34.8%

4-Fund

-51.5%

US SCV

-10.5%

4-Fund

95.7%

S&P 500

-1.4%

US SCV

47.7%

4-Fund

50.5%

4-Fund

-42.6%

S&P 500

31.1%

4-Fund

-2.5%

4-Fund

-6.7%

4-Fund

-5.5%

US SCB

25.4%

4-Fund

48.1%

4-Fund

36.0%

4-Fund

52.0%

4-Fund

-8.7%

S&P 500

5.7%

4-Fund

-0.8%

S&P 500

18.8%

4-Fund

45.4%

US SCV

32.4%

US SCB

-34.1%

US SCB

-36.5%

US SCV

-55.5%

US LCV

-10.7%

US LCV

92.5%

US SCV

-6.3%

S&P 500

47.7%

US LCV

49.1%

US SCB

-48.3%

4-Fund

30.4%

US SCV

-3.9%

US SCV

-8.1%

US SCB

-11.1%

US LCV

22.0%

US LCV

31.0%

US LCV

29.7%

US LCV

41.9%

US SCB

-9.9%

4-Fund

5.2%

US SCV

-4.9%

4-Fund

18.7%

US SCB

39.1%

US LCV

24.6%

US SCV

-37.1%

US SCV

-43.6%

US LCV

-61.1%

US SCB

-11.6%

S&P 500

54.0%

US LCV

-8.7%

US LCV

42.4%

S&P 500

33.9%

US SCV

-50.6%

US LCV

18.1%

US LCV

-4.9%

S&P 500

-9.8%

S&P 500

-11.6%

S&P 500

20.3%

S&P 500

25.9%

S&P 500

19.7%

S&P 500

36.4%

US SCV

-10.4%

US SCB

-0.8%

US SCB

-5.4%

US LCV

15.5%

S&P 500

31.7%

1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973S&P 500

24.0%

S&P 500

18.4%

S&P 500

-1.0%

US SCV

64.4%

S&P 500

31.5%

US SCB

8.2%

S&P 500

-10.8%

US SCV

77.0%

US SCB

19.3%

S&P 500

0.5%

US SCB

29.9%

US LCV

-4.4%

US SCV

29.6%

US SCV

25.5%

US SCV

40.1%

US LCV

-5.7%

US SCB

79.1%

US SCV

49.0%

S&P 500

-8.5%

US LCV

10.8%

US SCB

20.4%

S&P 500

19.0%

US LCV

-8.7%

US LCV

19.2%

US LCV

15.1%

US SCB

-2.9%

US LCV

63.5%

4-Fund

25.0%

US LCV

7.2%

US LCV

-14.4%

US SCB

61.2%

US SCV

15.0%

US LCV

-0.2%

US SCV

29.2%

S&P 500

-8.7%

US LCV

24.8%

4-Fund

19.7%

US SCB

37.1%

US SCB

-7.2%

US SCV

69.3%

US SCB

40.1%

US LCV

-18.0%

S&P 500

4.0%

US SCV

15.1%

US LCV

17.4%

S&P 500

-14.7%

4-Fund

16.8%

4-Fund

13.0%

4-Fund

-5.0%

4-Fund

59.8%

US SCV

23.8%

S&P 500

6.6%

4-Fund

-14.6%

4-Fund

57.5%

4-Fund

14.1%

US SCB

-2.6%

4-Fund

27.9%

4-Fund

-9.8%

4-Fund

23.5%

US LCV

19.1%

4-Fund

26.8%

4-Fund

-8.2%

4-Fund

49.3%

4-Fund

30.7%

4-Fund

-20.7%

4-Fund

0.0%

4-Fund

14.8%

4-Fund

12.2%

4-Fund

-22.6%

US SCB

13.9%

US SCB

9.7%

US LCV

-5.5%

US SCB

58.8%

US LCV

23.5%

4-Fund

5.9%

US SCB

-14.7%

US LCV

48.2%

S&P 500

12.0%

4-Fund

-3.3%

S&P 500

26.9%

US SCV

-10.3%

S&P 500

22.8%

US SCB

17.5%

US LCV

17.5%

US SCV

-9.6%

US LCV

24.7%

US LCV

22.5%

US SCB

-27.2%

US SCV

-1.3%

S&P 500

14.3%

US SCV

7.8%

US SCV

-30.2%

US SCV

9.9%

US SCV

8.9%

US SCV

-10.6%

S&P 500

52.6%

US SCB

21.2%

US SCV

1.7%

US SCV

-18.6%

S&P 500

43.4%

US LCV

10.2%

US SCV

-10.7%

US LCV

25.6%

US SCB

-15.7%

US SCB

17.0%

S&P 500

16.5%

S&P 500

12.5%

S&P 500

-10.0%

S&P 500

24.0%

S&P 500

11.1%

US SCV

-28.9%

US SCB

-13.7%

US LCV

9.4%

US SCB

4.5%

US SCB

-36.6%

1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996US LCV

-17.6%

US SCV

65.6%

US SCV

58.5%

US SCB

23.0%

US SCV

23.1%

US SCB

39.6%

US SCB

37.5%

US SCV

20.4%

US SCV

37.1%

US SCV

49.4%

US LCV

13.2%

US SCB

32.6%

US LCV

19.2%

S&P 500

5.2%

US SCV

34.0%

S&P 500

31.5%

S&P 500

-3.1%

US SCV

47.0%

US SCV

34.8%

US SCV

26.0%

US SCV

2.7%

US LCV

41.1%

US LCV

27.1%

US SCV

-17.8%

US SCB

54.3%

US SCB

48.0%

US SCV

22.4%

US SCB

22.1%

US SCV

35.3%

S&P 500

32.4%

US LCV

9.0%

US SCB

30.7%

US SCB

39.1%

S&P 500

6.3%

S&P 500

32.2%

S&P 500

18.5%

US LCV

5.0%

US LCV

28.7%

US LCV

30.8%

4-Fund

-15.7%

US SCB

46.5%

US SCB

23.9%

US LCV

22.0%

US LCV

2.5%

S&P 500

37.6%

US SCV

25.9%

4-Fund

-22.2%

4-Fund

51.6%

US LCV

44.4%

4-Fund

9.7%

4-Fund

14.9%

4-Fund

29.7%

4-Fund

28.6%

4-Fund

7.5%

4-Fund

27.3%

4-Fund

35.8%

4-Fund

4.4%

4-Fund

31.3%

4-Fund

13.7%

4-Fund

-1.2%

4-Fund

26.4%

4-Fund

22.6%

US LCV

-15.7%

4-Fund

39.1%

4-Fund

20.9%

US SCB

20.6%

4-Fund

1.5%

4-Fund

35.3%

4-Fund

24.5%

S&P 500

-26.5%

US LCV

49.2%

4-Fund

43.7%

US LCV

0.5%

US LCV

7.8%

US LCV

25.5%

US SCV

24.2%

US SCB

5.4%

S&P 500

21.4%

US LCV

32.4%

US SCV

2.1%

US LCV

30.9%

US SCV

8.6%

US SCV

-5.8%

US SCB

25.9%

US SCB

14.5%

US SCB

-20.1%

US LCV

32.3%

US LCV

17.2%

4-Fund

19.7%

S&P 500

1.3%

US SCB

31.3%

S&P 500

23.0%

US SCB

-27.1%

S&P 500

37.2%

S&P 500

23.8%

S&P 500

-7.2%

S&P 500

6.6%

S&P 500

18.4%

US LCV

20.2%

S&P 500

-4.9%

US LCV

19.9%

S&P 500

22.5%

US SCB

-4.0%

US SCV

29.4%

US SCB

8.4%

US SCB

-9.1%

S&P 500

16.8%

US SCV

13.5%

US SCV

-23.9%

S&P 500

30.5%

S&P 500

7.6%

S&P 500

10.1%

US SCB

-0.3%

US SCV

31.2%

US SCB

22.1%

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019US SCV

39.2%

S&P 500

28.6%

US SCB

22.8%

US SCV

20.5%

US SCV

28.3%

US SCV

-7.0%

US SCV

66.3%

US SCV

23.9%

US LCV

9.7%

US LCV

22.2%

S&P 500

5.5%

US SCB

-36.0%

US SCV

50.1%

US SCV

31.1%

S&P 500

2.1%

US LCV

20.2%

US SCB

44.4%

S&P 500

13.7%

S&P 500

1.4%

US SCV

37.2%

S&P 500

21.8%

S&P 500

-4.4%

S&P 500

31.5%

US LCV

38.4%

US LCV

8.4%

S&P 500

21.0%

US LCV

12.8%

US SCB

14.5%

US LCV

-12.5%

US SCB

55.3%

US SCB

22.0%

US SCV

7.5%

US SCV

21.8%

US SCB

-4.5%

US SCV

-36.8%

US SCB

38.9%

US SCB

29.5%

4-Fund

-2.8%

US SCB

18.2%

US SCV

42.8%

US LCV

8.5%

4-Fund

-4.2%

US SCB

26.4%

US LCV

16.0%

4-Fund

-11.1%

US LCV

24.3%

4-Fund

35.0%

4-Fund

7.3%

4-Fund

15.1%

4-Fund

7.3%

4-Fund

8.4%

US SCB

-13.1%

4-Fund

47.0%

US LCV

19.5%

4-Fund

7.3%

4-Fund

19.8%

4-Fund

-4.8%

S&P 500

-37.0%

4-Fund

36.1%

4-Fund

24.0%

US LCV

-2.9%

4-Fund

17.8%

4-Fund

39.7%

4-Fund

7.5%

US LCV

-4.9%

4-Fund

25.0%

4-Fund

14.5%

US SCB

-12.8%

4-Fund

22.2%

S&P 500

33.4%

US SCB

-2.5%

US LCV

8.4%

US SCB

4.8%

US LCV

2.7%

4-Fund

-13.7%

US LCV

37.6%

4-Fund

19.1%

US SCB

7.3%

US SCB

19.4%

US LCV

-8.4%

4-Fund

-38.2%

US LCV

28.9%

US LCV

20.5%

US SCB

-4.2%

US SCV

16.7%

US LCV

39.3%

US SCB

4.3%

US SCB

-5.4%

US LCV

24.3%

US SCB

13.1%

US SCV

-13.2%

US SCB

19.2%

US SCB

29.1%

US SCV

-5.2%

US SCV

8.3%

S&P 500

-9.1%

S&P 500

-11.9%

S&P 500

-22.1%

S&P 500

28.7%

S&P 500

10.9%

S&P 500

4.9%

S&P 500

15.8%

US SCV

-11.6%

US LCV

-43.2%

S&P 500

26.5%

S&P 500

15.1%

US SCV

-6.2%

S&P 500

16.0%

S&P 500

32.4%

US SCV

3.6%

US SCV

-8.1%

S&P 500

12.0%

US SCV

7.1%

US LCV

-14.1%

US SCV

13.8%

© 2020 The Merriman Financial Education Foundation

US 4 Asset Classes and 4-Fund Combo Relative Performance Rankings (1928-2019)

S&P 500 US LCV US SCB US SCV 4-Fund Combo

Page 13: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950S&P 500

43.6%

S&P 500

-24.9%

S&P 500

-43.3%

S&P 500

-8.2%

S&P 500

-35.0%

S&P 500

-0.4%

S&P 500

5.5%

S&P 500

-8.4%

4-Fund

-10.3%

4-Fund

-0.2%

4-Fund

48.5%

4-Fund

25.4%

S&P 500

-8.1%

4-Fund

35.9%

4-Fund

-19.2%

4-Fund

-34.8%

4-Fund

-51.5%

4-Fund

95.7%

S&P 500

-1.4%

4-Fund

50.5%

4-Fund

-42.6%

S&P 500

31.1%

4-Fund

-2.5%

4-Fund

-6.7%

4-Fund

-5.5%

4-Fund

48.1%

4-Fund

36.0%

4-Fund

52.0%

4-Fund

-8.7%

S&P 500

5.7%

4-Fund

-0.8%

S&P 500

18.8%

4-Fund

45.4%

S&P 500

47.7%

4-Fund

30.4%

4-Fund

5.2%

4-Fund

18.7%

S&P 500

54.0%

S&P 500

33.9%

S&P 500

-9.8%

S&P 500

-11.6%

S&P 500

20.3%

S&P 500

25.9%

S&P 500

19.7%

S&P 500

36.4%

S&P 500

31.7%

1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973S&P 500

24.0%

S&P 500

18.4%

S&P 500

-1.0%

S&P 500

31.5%

S&P 500

-10.8%

S&P 500

0.5%

S&P 500

-8.5%

S&P 500

19.0%

4-Fund

25.0%

S&P 500

-8.7%

4-Fund

19.7%

S&P 500

4.0%

S&P 500

-14.7%

4-Fund

16.8%

4-Fund

13.0%

4-Fund

-5.0%

4-Fund

59.8%

S&P 500

6.6%

4-Fund

-14.6%

4-Fund

57.5%

4-Fund

14.1%

4-Fund

27.9%

4-Fund

-9.8%

4-Fund

23.5%

4-Fund

26.8%

4-Fund

-8.2%

4-Fund

49.3%

4-Fund

30.7%

4-Fund

-20.7%

4-Fund

0.0%

4-Fund

14.8%

4-Fund

12.2%

4-Fund

-22.6%

4-Fund

5.9%

S&P 500

12.0%

4-Fund

-3.3%

S&P 500

26.9%

S&P 500

22.8%

S&P 500

14.3%

S&P 500

52.6%

S&P 500

43.4%

S&P 500

16.5%

S&P 500

12.5%

S&P 500

-10.0%

S&P 500

24.0%

S&P 500

11.1%

1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996S&P 500

5.2%

S&P 500

31.5%

S&P 500

-3.1%

S&P 500

32.4%

S&P 500

6.3%

S&P 500

32.2%

S&P 500

18.5%

4-Fund

-15.7%

S&P 500

37.6%

4-Fund

-22.2%

4-Fund

51.6%

4-Fund

9.7%

4-Fund

14.9%

4-Fund

29.7%

4-Fund

28.6%

4-Fund

7.5%

4-Fund

27.3%

4-Fund

35.8%

4-Fund

4.4%

4-Fund

31.3%

4-Fund

13.7%

4-Fund

-1.2%

4-Fund

26.4%

4-Fund

22.6%

4-Fund

39.1%

4-Fund

20.9%

4-Fund

1.5%

4-Fund

35.3%

4-Fund

24.5%

S&P 500

-26.5%

4-Fund

43.7%

S&P 500

21.4%

4-Fund

19.7%

S&P 500

1.3%

S&P 500

23.0%

S&P 500

37.2%

S&P 500

23.8%

S&P 500

-7.2%

S&P 500

6.6%

S&P 500

18.4%

S&P 500

-4.9%

S&P 500

22.5%

S&P 500

16.8%

S&P 500

30.5%

S&P 500

7.6%

S&P 500

10.1%

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019S&P 500

28.6%

S&P 500

5.5%

S&P 500

2.1%

S&P 500

13.7%

S&P 500

1.4%

S&P 500

21.8%

S&P 500

-4.4%

S&P 500

31.5%

S&P 500

21.0%

4-Fund

-2.8%

4-Fund

-4.2%

4-Fund

-11.1%

4-Fund

35.0%

4-Fund

7.3%

4-Fund

15.1%

4-Fund

7.3%

4-Fund

8.4%

4-Fund

47.0%

4-Fund

7.3%

4-Fund

19.8%

4-Fund

-4.8%

S&P 500

-37.0%

4-Fund

36.1%

4-Fund

24.0%

4-Fund

17.8%

4-Fund

39.7%

4-Fund

7.5%

4-Fund

25.0%

4-Fund

14.5%

4-Fund

22.2%

S&P 500

33.4%

4-Fund

-13.7%

4-Fund

19.1%

4-Fund

-38.2%

S&P 500

-9.1%

S&P 500

-11.9%

S&P 500

-22.1%

S&P 500

28.7%

S&P 500

10.9%

S&P 500

4.9%

S&P 500

15.8%

S&P 500

26.5%

S&P 500

15.1%

S&P 500

16.0%

S&P 500

32.4%

S&P 500

12.0%

© 2020 The Merriman Financial Education Foundation 4-Fund Combo

S&P 500 and US 4-Fund Combo Relative Performance Rankings (1928-2019)

S&P 500

Page 14: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

1-Fund Portfolios(1990-2019)

S&P 500

(Buffett)

Total US

Market

(Collins)

Total World

Market 2-Fund Portfolios(1990-2019)

'3-Fund'

- Equity only -

(Bogleheads)

Total US

+ 30% US SCV

(Fama/French)

Total World

+ 30% US SCV

(Fama/French)

All Value

US Only

(Merriman)

30 yr Growth of $10K $172,616 $185,357 $83,605 30 yr Growth of $10K $125,747 $258,039 $150,410 $325,286

CAGR (90-19) 10.0% 10.2% 7.3% CAGR (90-19) 8.8% 11.4% 9.5% 12.3%

(90-99) 18.2% 17.9% 11.0% (90-99) 14.7% 17.8% 13.0% 16.7%

(00-09) -0.9% 0.0% 1.1% (00-09) 0.8% 4.0% 4.8% 8.4%

(10-19) 13.6% 13.5% 10.2% (10-19) 11.4% 13.0% 10.7% 11.9%

Number of Up Yrs 24 24 21 Number of Up Yrs 22 24 22 23

Average Up Yr Gain 18.0% 18.3% 18.7% Average Up Yr Gain 18.8% 19.4% 19.5% 23.3%

Sum of Up Yr Gains 431.0% 440.3% 392.5% Sum of Up Yr Gains 413.3% 465.7% 428.1% 534.9%

37.6% 36.9% 36.4% 34.8% 41.8% 45.3% 51.8%

(1995) (1995) (2003) (2003) (2003) (2003) (2003)

Number of Down Yrs 6 6 9 Number of Down Yrs 8 6 8 7

Average Down Yr Loss -14.6% -14.7% -13.8% Average Down Yr Loss -13.0% -12.7% -12.2% -14.8%

Sum of Down Yr Losses -87.6% -88.1% -124.4% Sum of Down Yr Losses -103.9% -75.9% -97.2% -103.9%

-37.0% -36.6% -40.2% -38.5% -36.6% -39.2% -39.8%

(2008) (2008) (2008) (2008) (2008) (2008) (2008)

Sharpe Ratio (90-19) 0.49 0.50 0.34 Sharpe Ratio (90-19) 0.43 0.56 0.46 0.55

(90-99) 1.19 1.15 0.67 (90-99) 1.00 1.08 0.82 0.83

(00-09) -0.09 -0.04 0.04 (00-09) 0.02 0.16 0.20 0.35

(10-19) 0.96 0.91 0.62 (10-19) 0.72 0.81 0.63 0.61

Sortino Ratio (90-19) 1.08 1.14 0.68 Sortino Ratio (90-19) 0.91 1.36 0.99 1.38

(90-99) 17.21 9.14 1.63 (90-99) 3.70 4.69 1.84 2.59

(00-09) -0.15 -0.06 0.08 (00-09) 0.04 0.30 0.39 0.72

(10-19) 8.51 7.38 2.64 (10-19) 3.76 4.83 2.57 2.37

Note: All index return data has had a representative expense ratio subtracted. See Data Disclosure for details.

© 2020 Merriman Financial Education Foundation

Table 2a - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing: Comparison Data

Best Year

Worst Year

Best Year

Worst Year

Risk vs. Reward?

Page 15: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

1-Fund Portfolios(1990-2019)

S&P 500

(Buffett)

Total US

Market

(Collins)

Total World

Market 2-Fund Portfolios(1990-2019)

'3-Fund'

- Equity only -

(Bogleheads)

Total US

+ 30% US SCV

(Fama/French)

Total World

+ 30% US SCV

(Fama/French)

All Value

US Only

(Merriman)

30 yr Growth of $10K $172,616 $185,357 $83,605 30 yr Growth of $10K $125,747 $258,039 $150,410 $325,286

CAGR (90-19) 10.0% 10.2% 7.3% CAGR (90-19) 8.8% 11.4% 9.5% 12.3%

(90-99) 18.2% 17.9% 11.0% (90-99) 14.7% 17.8% 13.0% 16.7%

(00-09) -0.9% 0.0% 1.1% (00-09) 0.8% 4.0% 4.8% 8.4%

(10-19) 13.6% 13.5% 10.2% (10-19) 11.4% 13.0% 10.7% 11.9%

Number of Up Yrs 24 24 21 Number of Up Yrs 22 24 22 23

Average Up Yr Gain 18.0% 18.3% 18.7% Average Up Yr Gain 18.8% 19.4% 19.5% 23.3%

Sum of Up Yr Gains 431.0% 440.3% 392.5% Sum of Up Yr Gains 413.3% 465.7% 428.1% 534.9%

37.6% 36.9% 36.4% 34.8% 41.8% 45.3% 51.8%

(1995) (1995) (2003) (2003) (2003) (2003) (2003)

Number of Down Yrs 6 6 9 Number of Down Yrs 8 6 8 7

Average Down Yr Loss -14.6% -14.7% -13.8% Average Down Yr Loss -13.0% -12.7% -12.2% -14.8%

Sum of Down Yr Losses -87.6% -88.1% -124.4% Sum of Down Yr Losses -103.9% -75.9% -97.2% -103.9%

-37.0% -36.6% -40.2% -38.5% -36.6% -39.2% -39.8%

(2008) (2008) (2008) (2008) (2008) (2008) (2008)

Sharpe Ratio (90-19) 0.49 0.50 0.34 Sharpe Ratio (90-19) 0.43 0.56 0.46 0.55

(90-99) 1.19 1.15 0.67 (90-99) 1.00 1.08 0.82 0.83

(00-09) -0.09 -0.04 0.04 (00-09) 0.02 0.16 0.20 0.35

(10-19) 0.96 0.91 0.62 (10-19) 0.72 0.81 0.63 0.61

Sortino Ratio (90-19) 1.08 1.14 0.68 Sortino Ratio (90-19) 0.91 1.36 0.99 1.38

(90-99) 17.21 9.14 1.63 (90-99) 3.70 4.69 1.84 2.59

(00-09) -0.15 -0.06 0.08 (00-09) 0.04 0.30 0.39 0.72

(10-19) 8.51 7.38 2.64 (10-19) 3.76 4.83 2.57 2.37

Note: All index return data has had a representative expense ratio subtracted. See Data Disclosure for details.

© 2020 Merriman Financial Education Foundation

Table 2a - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing: Comparison Data

Best Year

Worst Year

Best Year

Worst Year

Risk vs. Reward?

3-Fund Portfolios(1990-2019)

Core 4

- Equity only -

(Ferri)

4-Fund Portfolios(1990-2019)

US Only

4-Fund

(Merriman)

World

4-Fund

(TrevH)

All Value

World

(Merriman)

30 yr Growth of $10K $128,342 30 yr Growth of $10K $283,846 $162,451 $235,804

CAGR (90-19) 8.9% CAGR (90-19) 11.8% 9.7% 11.1%

(90-99) 13.7% (90-99) 17.1% 12.2% 14.0%

(00-09) 2.1% (00-09) 6.1% 7.2% 7.8%

(10-19) 11.3% (10-19) 12.5% 9.9% 8.1%

Number of Up Yrs 23 Number of Up Yrs 23 23 23

Average Up Yr Gain 17.6% Average Up Yr Gain 21.6% 19.0% 21.5%

Sum of Up Yr Gains 404.4% Sum of Up Yr Gains 496.4% 438.1% 494.2%

35.2% 46.9% 52.7% 54.8%

(2003) (2003) (2003) (2003)

Number of Down Yrs 7 Number of Down Yrs 7 7 7

Average Down Yr Loss -13.7% Average Down Yr Loss -12.9% -13.6% -14.8%

Sum of Down Yr Losses -96.0% Sum of Down Yr Losses -90.3% -94.9% -103.7%

-38.8% -38.2% -41.9% -41.8%

(2008) (2008) (2008) (2008)

Sharpe Ratio (90-19) 0.45 Sharpe Ratio (90-19) 0.56 0.46 0.51

(90-99) 0.95 (90-99) 0.95 0.84 0.83

(00-09) 0.07 (00-09) 0.25 0.29 0.37

(10-19) 0.76 (10-19) 0.70 0.55 0.53

Sortino Ratio (90-19) 0.93 Sortino Ratio (90-19) 1.37 1.01 1.17

(90-99) 2.93 (90-99) 3.25 1.96 2.01

(00-09) 0.14 (00-09) 0.50 0.60 0.77

(10-19) 3.79 (10-19) 3.11 1.78 1.76

Note: All index return data has had a representative expense ratio subtracted. See Data Disclosure for details.

© 2020 Merriman Financial Education Foundation

Best Year

Worst Year

Best Year

Worst Year

Table 2b - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing: Comparison Data

Page 16: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

Patience?

until ‘back to even’

SCV outperform S&P 500

S&P 500 outperform SCV

Page 17: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

Rolling 3-yr Cumulative Returns: LCG & SCV

… historically, when SCV has underperformed, it has taken less than 2 years to recover the

underperformance.

… historically, when LCG has underperformed, it has taken longer than 2 years to recover the

underperformance.

US SCV underperform

US SCV outperform

<2 yrs <2 yrs <2 yrs

US LCG underperform

US LCG outperform

>8 yrs

<2 yrs

>3 yrs <3 yrs

Source: Dimensional Returns 2.0 Data Base. Dimensional US Large Cap Growth Index and Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index.

No one knows what will happen this time, however …

Page 18: Table 1 - No-Nonsense Portfolios for Sound Investing

Year 100% Bonds 10/90 20/80 30/70 40/60 50/50 60/40 70/30 80/20 90/10 100% Stock S&P 500

Annual

Contributio

n

Annual

Raise

(%)

1970 $1,079 $1,071 $1,064 $1,056 $1,049 $1,041 $1,033 $1,024 $1,016 $1,007 $998 $1,022 $1,000 3.00%

1971 $2,234 $2,240 $2,245 $2,249 $2,252 $2,255 $2,257 $2,258 $2,258 $2,258 $2,256 $2,276 $1,030 3.00%

1972 $3,428 $3,456 $3,482 $3,508 $3,532 $3,556 $3,578 $3,599 $3,620 $3,639 $3,657 $3,875 $1,061 3.00%

1973 $4,698 $4,608 $4,517 $4,424 $4,331 $4,237 $4,142 $4,046 $3,950 $3,853 $3,757 $4,311 $1,093 3.00%

1974 $6,218 $5,956 $5,700 $5,451 $5,209 $4,974 $4,746 $4,526 $4,312 $4,106 $3,908 $4,127 $1,126 3.00%

1975 $7,909 $7,890 $7,862 $7,826 $7,782 $7,731 $7,672 $7,607 $7,536 $7,460 $7,379 $7,044 $1,159 3.00%

1976 $9,960 $10,204 $10,441 $10,670 $10,890 $11,102 $11,304 $11,497 $11,682 $11,857 $12,023 $10,067 $1,194 3.00%

1977 $11,505 $11,822 $12,133 $12,439 $12,737 $13,029 $13,313 $13,589 $13,857 $14,118 $14,370 $10,526 $1,230 3.00%

1978 $13,058 $13,551 $14,045 $14,537 $15,027 $15,514 $15,995 $16,471 $16,940 $17,402 $17,854 $12,529 $1,267 3.00%

1979 $15,223 $16,062 $16,926 $17,813 $18,724 $19,656 $20,609 $21,581 $22,570 $23,576 $24,596 $16,270 $1,305 3.00%

1980 $17,592 $18,866 $20,204 $21,606 $23,073 $24,602 $26,192 $27,843 $29,552 $31,317 $33,134 $23,112 $1,344 3.00%

1981 $20,739 $22,095 $23,515 $24,996 $26,537 $28,137 $29,793 $31,502 $33,261 $35,067 $36,915 $23,324 $1,384 3.00%

1982 $27,680 $29,442 $31,283 $33,203 $35,198 $37,265 $39,400 $41,598 $43,855 $46,165 $48,521 $29,904 $1,426 3.00%

1983 $31,280 $33,957 $36,830 $39,906 $43,190 $46,688 $50,403 $54,340 $58,500 $62,884 $67,492 $38,279 $1,469 3.00%

1984 $37,330 $40,058 $42,949 $46,005 $49,224 $52,606 $56,148 $59,844 $63,690 $67,679 $71,803 $42,241 $1,513 3.00%

1985 $46,012 $49,766 $53,785 $58,077 $62,647 $67,498 $72,632 $78,050 $83,748 $89,724 $95,970 $57,648 $1,558 3.00%

1986 $54,134 $58,433 $63,028 $67,925 $73,127 $78,635 $84,448 $90,562 $96,972 $103,668 $110,639 $70,057 $1,605 3.00%

1987 $57,420 $61,915 $66,656 $71,631 $76,822 $82,207 $87,756 $93,436 $99,205 $105,017 $110,818 $75,421 $1,653 3.00%

1988 $62,995 $68,947 $75,353 $82,215 $89,529 $97,286 $105,467 $114,045 $122,981 $132,227 $141,722 $89,953 $1,702 3.00%

1989 $73,196 $80,586 $88,603 $97,261 $106,568 $116,520 $127,107 $138,304 $150,073 $162,361 $175,100 $120,320 $1,754 3.00%

1990 $81,908 $87,794 $93,962 $100,386 $107,030 $113,852 $120,802 $127,820 $134,839 $141,785 $148,576 $118,361 $1,806 3.00%

1991 $96,422 $105,237 $114,674 $124,722 $135,356 $146,542 $158,227 $170,346 $182,814 $195,530 $208,378 $156,575 $1,860 3.00%

1992 $105,373 $116,202 $127,943 $140,607 $154,193 $168,682 $184,036 $200,196 $217,080 $234,583 $252,570 $170,508 $1,916 3.00%

1993 $117,679 $130,349 $144,178 $159,199 $175,427 $192,861 $211,475 $231,220 $252,019 $273,763 $296,310 $189,761 $1,974 3.00%

1994 $115,912 $128,512 $142,300 $157,315 $173,578 $191,095 $209,848 $229,794 $250,863 $272,952 $295,923 $194,314 $2,033 3.00%

1995 $137,385 $154,231 $172,942 $193,629 $216,391 $241,303 $268,416 $297,749 $329,278 $362,938 $398,607 $269,831 $2,094 3.00%

1996 $143,876 $163,929 $186,573 $212,035 $240,533 $272,271 $307,429 $346,154 $388,552 $434,671 $484,491 $334,202 $2,157 3.00%

1997 $156,217 $181,201 $209,969 $242,958 $280,623 $323,421 $371,806 $426,210 $487,029 $554,603 $629,190 $448,307 $2,221 3.00%

1998 $171,226 $198,449 $229,692 $265,375 $305,916 $351,716 $403,144 $460,517 $524,077 $593,971 $670,218 $579,056 $2,288 3.00%

1999 $172,762 $203,135 $238,551 $279,655 $327,118 $381,621 $443,839 $514,415 $593,930 $682,874 $781,597 $703,516 $2,357 3.00%

2000 $195,610 $228,118 $265,731 $309,032 $358,608 $415,036 $478,858 $550,556 $630,522 $719,023 $816,165 $641,771 $2,427 3.00%

2001 $214,151 $249,468 $290,215 $336,961 $390,265 $450,647 $518,569 $594,396 $678,368 $770,558 $870,839 $567,827 $2,500 3.00%

2002 $243,524 $275,838 $311,885 $351,802 $395,651 $443,409 $494,943 $549,998 $608,179 $668,942 $731,580 $444,583 $2,575 3.00%

2003 $254,679 $298,030 $348,086 $405,508 $470,909 $544,828 $627,686 $719,741 $821,043 $931,387 $1,050,259 $575,181 $2,652 3.00%

2004 $267,760 $317,036 $374,694 $441,732 $519,139 $607,850 $708,700 $822,365 $949,293 $1,089,637 $1,243,174 $640,645 $2,732 3.00%

2005 $275,535 $327,651 $388,955 $460,608 $543,773 $639,577 $749,049 $873,056 $1,012,229 $1,166,877 $1,336,900 $675,006 $2,814 3.00%

2006 $286,768 $345,440 $415,475 $498,560 $596,467 $710,998 $843,927 $996,916 $1,171,416 $1,368,549 $1,588,979 $784,774 $2,898 3.00%

2007 $316,566 $376,556 $447,268 $530,067 $626,315 $737,323 $864,278 $1,008,162 $1,169,661 $1,349,066 $1,546,161 $830,961 $2,985 3.00%

2008 $345,488 $390,089 $439,525 $493,767 $552,630 $615,746 $682,548 $752,244 $823,820 $896,033 $967,430 $525,945 $3,075 3.00%

2009 $355,602 $412,996 $478,331 $551,996 $634,187 $724,854 $823,644 $929,846 $1,042,353 $1,159,625 $1,279,687 $668,734 $3,167 3.00%

2010 $378,508 $447,495 $527,376 $618,989 $722,960 $839,618 $968,904 $1,110,277 $1,262,631 $1,424,226 $1,592,640 $772,992 $3,262 3.00%

2011 $412,223 $482,589 $563,033 $654,028 $755,775 $868,116 $990,465 $1,121,729 $1,260,262 $1,403,827 $1,549,605 $792,716 $3,360 3.00%

2012 $429,870 $510,354 $603,854 $711,379 $833,666 $971,071 $1,123,453 $1,290,054 $1,469,399 $1,659,213 $1,856,369 $923,332 $3,461 3.00%

2013 $418,061 $514,647 $631,442 $771,387 $937,399 $1,132,195 $1,358,091 $1,616,749 $1,908,908 $2,234,098 $2,590,354 $1,226,545 $3,565 3.00%

2014 $436,070 $538,528 $662,988 $812,801 $991,330 $1,201,771 $1,446,920 $1,728,904 $2,048,866 $2,406,641 $2,800,419 $1,398,380 $3,671 3.00%

2015 $443,269 $544,817 $667,618 $814,719 $989,103 $1,193,507 $1,430,192 $1,700,676 $2,005,442 $2,343,642 $2,712,803 $1,421,541 $3,782 3.00%

2016 $454,976 $568,583 $708,455 $879,072 $1,085,075 $1,331,056 $1,621,268 $1,959,278 $2,347,551 $2,786,995 $3,276,479 $1,595,699 $3,895 3.00%

2017 $467,491 $590,386 $743,612 $932,937 $1,164,544 $1,444,817 $1,780,029 $2,175,933 $2,637,258 $3,167,121 $3,766,373 $1,948,537 $4,012 3.00%

2018 $474,669 $591,829 $736,016 $911,750 $1,123,658 $1,376,239 $1,673,550 $2,018,827 $2,414,049 $2,859,464 $3,353,105 $1,867,140 $4,132 3.00%

2019 $509,133 $644,679 $814,224 $1,024,264 $1,281,719 $1,593,659 $1,966,915 $2,407,577 $2,920,373 $3,507,971 $4,170,219 $2,459,987 $4,256 3.00%

© 2020 The Merriman Financial Education Foundation Total Contributions $112,797

Table 62 - Fixed Contribution Schedule: 4-Fund Combo ($1,000/yr)Annual contribution grows at 3%/yr. Contributions at BEGINNING OF MONTH. Results reflect Fine Tuning Table returns.