sustainable infrastructure for energy and water...

1
Sustainable Infrastructure for Energy and Water Supply (SINEWS) Arizona State University, Georgia Institute of Technology, The University of Georgia - Athens National Science Foundation, EFRI RESIN Project Steve French, Ke Li George Karady, Eric Williams, Miroslav Begovic, Bert Bras John Crittenden, Eric Williams, Sam Ariaratnam Dynamic life cycle energy of multicrystalline-Silicon Photovoltaic EIOLCA = economic input-output LCA Process LCA = bottom up materials flow based LCA Aqua Conserve Weathermatic HydroPoint Data Systems Life cycle CO 2 savings (kg/yr) 39 to 92 43 to 122 -2 to 190 Annual water bill savings -$3 to $62 $7 to $66 -$37 to $95 Life cycle CO 2 and cost for different models of smart irrigation controllers for Phoenix households Reliability of Energy Production System Life Cycle Assessment of Decentralized Energy Production and Electrified Transportation Reliability of Water Distribution System 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Energy Use Per Passenger Distance (MJ/person-km) -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 CO 2 Output Per Passenger Distance (g/person-km) PTW CO2 Output Per Passenger Distance WTP CO2 Output Per Passenger Distance Poor environmental performance of electric vehicles, all sizes, due to coal fired powerplants (Georgia Power’s Plant Bowen emits about 0.9kgCO 2 /kWh_ Marta rail & bus performance bad due to low ridership Renewable distributed generators (such as PV) may be located at several locations across distribution feeders or microgrids At strategic locations, reclosers are installed to allow the possibility or system separation into islands Islanded operation within zones with balanced generation and load is expected to be allowed under future standards, such as IEEE 1547.4, currently undergoing balloting In such cases, faults within any of the islands (outlined by dashed lines) would only affect the loads within the island and not the entire feeder That would create positive impact on overall reliability of the feeder, but requires that the topology of the feeder (or microgrid), distributed generators and recloser(s) be optimized (ongoing work) Land Use and Policy Land Use Scenarios and Forecasting Unit : kWh/10 6 gal Raw Water Acquisition Treatment Distribution Surface Water 0 ~ 9,200 (depending on the conveyance distance) ~1,200 (can be up to 5,200 for desalination) ~ 1,100 (varies depending on the topography and distance) Groundwater 500 2,000 (depending on depth) 100 5,000 (depending on water quality) Wastewater Typically gravity flow ~ 2,500 N/A Energy for Water Water for Energy Membrane Bioreactor (MBR) Centralized Wastewater Treatment with MBR Decentralized Stormwater Management - Bioretention Area Future Failure Rate Prediction Water Main Break Data Break/Mile/Year (1991-96) Decade ACP DIP CIP RCP GALV STL.CYL PVC STL 1900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1910 0 0 0 0 1.58 0 0 0 1920 0.38 5.11 2.72 0 9.53 0 0 0 1930 0.23 1.06 0.31 0.09 0.82 0 0 0 1940 1 1 0.48 0.38 3.71 0 0 0.98 1950 0.19 0.72 0.38 0.04 3.67 0.02 0 0.36 1960 0.19 0.77 0.25 0.05 3.16 0 0 4.16 1970 0.13 0.37 0.27 0.03 2.83 0.72 1.37 0.09 1980 0.1 0.24 0.2 0.03 5.08 0 0 0.47 1990 0.13 0.19 0.89 0.01 0 0 0 0 Legend: ACP: Asbestos Cement Pipe, DIP: Ductile Iron Pipe, CIP: Cast Iron Pipe, RCP: Reinforced Concrete Pipe, GALV: Galvanized Steel Pipe, PVC: Polyvinyl Chloride Pipe, STL.CYL.: Steel Cylinder pipe STL: Steel pipe Past and Current Rate Reliability can be defined as “the probability that the system performs its specified tasks under specified conditions in specified time” (Kaufmann et al. 1977) Life Cycle Assessment of Centralized and Decentralized Water/Wastewater Systems Energy Source Gallons Per kWh (Evaporative loss) Hydro 18.27 Nuclear 0.62 Coal 0.49 Oil 0.43 PV Solar 0.030 Wind 0.001 Household Wastewater Effluent to Dosing/Distribution Network Discharge to subsurface Septic Tank Intermittent Sand Filter (Single Pass) Decentralized Wastewater Treatment Smart Irrigation Controller Phoenix growth scenarios (above) and urban form indicator(below) Atlanta growth scenarios (above) and employment location(below) Employees /Acre POWER FLOW ENGINE (MATLAB) Input (Feeder Information) - LOAD profiles - Voltage Controls Power Flow Solutions - Voltages - Currents - Power, loss, power factor,… METHODOLOGY MONTE CARLO SIMULATION - Impact of PV penetration - Inverter control strategies - Impact of DG placement - Voltage profile, power factor, losses, reliability improvement Input - Random DG size and locations - Transformable feeder topologies - Random DG generation Load Profiles PV Output Boundaries of Islands ASU developing a design method for design Urban, Electrical Micro-grid with Distributed Generation The first step is the determination of the capacity of the existing infrastructure: How many kW the water, gas etc system can support Preliminary results: In a community which has 81 houses and 475 kW maximum electrical load the water is supplied by a 6” pipe The capacity of this pipe is: < 415 gal/min The present water surplus is: > 22.4 gal/min The available surplus water can support: 112 kW combined cycle gas turbine > 7465 kW Fuel cell Similar analysis has been done for the natural gas and sewer Mobility System Design & Assessment: Initial Energy & CO 2 Results for Atlanta The relationship between local policy, urban structure, and actual consumption is being explored by examining two decades of 'planning for quality growth' in communities in the Atlanta, Georgia area www.georgiaencyclopedia.org 2030 2030 #0836046 City Mean House Price Increase in Plant Richness Increasing distance to water course WTP change % METRO AREA $167,344 2.37% -0.15% PEORIA $160,646 6.02% -0.78% SCOTTSDALE $302,579 -3.14% -0.49% PHOENIX $140,802 -6.77% -0.18% GLENDALE $145,922 -9.07% -0.22% MESA $146,538 TEMPE $178,749 -5.90% -0.58% AVONDALE $134,961 -35.3% -0.97% GILBERT $179,702 -0.66% CHANDLER $150,438 -0.46% SURPRISE $155,464 GOODYEAR $167,673 1.38% Willingness to pay for reliability of supply through a hedonic price function-Phoenix Vi Charles Perrings, Doug Noonan, Marilyn Brown Hedonic Price Estimation for Infrastructure Reliability Hedonic price analysis Z X 0 lnP Determine how price affected by reliability of infrastructures Breakpoint analysis Sup-Wald tests track price jump point Compare to infrastructure changes. Where P: House sale price : Infrastructure reliability : Other factors affecting sale price ε: error term X Z sup-Wald test time Floods and house value in Atlanta Property Value Low High Flash point

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Page 1: Sustainable Infrastructure for Energy and Water …sustainable.gatech.edu/sites/default/files/documents/NSF EFRI...Sustainable Infrastructure for Energy and Water ... Energy Membrane

Sustainable Infrastructure for Energy and Water Supply (SINEWS)

Arizona State University, Georgia Institute of Technology, The University of Georgia - Athens

National Science Foundation, EFRI RESIN Project

Steve French, Ke Li

George Karady, Eric Williams, Miroslav Begovic, Bert BrasJohn Crittenden, Eric Williams, Sam Ariaratnam

Dynamic life cycle energy of

multicrystalline-Silicon Photovoltaic

EIOLCA = economic input-output

LCA

Process LCA = bottom up materials

flow based LCA

Aqua

ConserveWeathermatic

HydroPoint

Data

Systems

Life cycle CO2

savings (kg/yr)39 to 92 43 to 122 -2 to 190

Annual water bill

savings-$3 to $62 $7 to $66 -$37 to $95

Life cycle CO2 and cost for different models

of smart irrigation controllers for Phoenix households

Reliability of Energy Production System

Life Cycle Assessment of Decentralized Energy Production

and Electrified Transportation

Reliability of Water Distribution System

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Ene

rgy

Use

Pe

r P

asse

nge

r D

ista

nce

(M

J/p

ers

on

-km

)

-500

50100150200250300350400450500

CO

2O

utp

ut

Pe

r P

asse

nge

r D

ista

nce

(g

/pe

rso

n-k

m)

PTW CO2 Output Per Passenger DistanceWTP CO2 Output Per Passenger Distance

• Poor environmental performance of electric vehicles, all sizes, due

to coal fired powerplants (Georgia Power’s Plant Bowen emits

about 0.9kgCO2/kWh_

• Marta rail & bus performance bad due to low ridership

• Renewable distributed generators (such as PV)

may be located at several locations across

distribution feeders or microgrids

• At strategic locations, reclosers are installed to

allow the possibility or system separation into islands

• Islanded operation within zones with balanced

generation and load is expected to be allowed under

future standards, such as IEEE 1547.4, currently

undergoing balloting

• In such cases, faults within any of the islands

(outlined by dashed lines) would only affect the loads

within the island and not the entire feeder

• That would create positive impact on overall

reliability of the feeder, but requires that the topology

of the feeder (or microgrid), distributed generators

and recloser(s) be optimized (ongoing work)

Land Use and Policy

Land Use Scenarios and Forecasting

Unit :

kWh/106 gal

Raw Water

AcquisitionTreatment Distribution

Surface

Water

0 ~ 9,200 (depending on

the conveyance

distance)

~1,200 (can be up to

5,200 for

desalination)

~ 1,100 (varies depending

on the topography

and distance)Groundwater

500 – 2,000 (depending on

depth)

100 – 5,000 (depending on

water quality)

WastewaterTypically

gravity flow~ 2,500 N/AE

ne

rgy f

or

Wa

ter

Wa

ter

for

En

erg

y

Membrane Bioreactor (MBR)

Centralized Wastewater Treatment with MBR

Decentralized

Stormwater Management

- Bioretention Area

Fu

ture

Fail

ure

Rate

Pre

dic

tio

n

Wa

ter

Ma

in B

rea

k D

ata

Bre

ak

/Mil

e/Y

ea

r (1

99

1-9

6) Decade ACP DIP CIP RCP GALV STL.CYL PVC STL

1900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1910 0 0 0 0 1.58 0 0 0

1920 0.38 5.11 2.72 0 9.53 0 0 0

1930 0.23 1.06 0.31 0.09 0.82 0 0 0

1940 1 1 0.48 0.38 3.71 0 0 0.98

1950 0.19 0.72 0.38 0.04 3.67 0.02 0 0.36

1960 0.19 0.77 0.25 0.05 3.16 0 0 4.16

1970 0.13 0.37 0.27 0.03 2.83 0.72 1.37 0.09

1980 0.1 0.24 0.2 0.03 5.08 0 0 0.47

1990 0.13 0.19 0.89 0.01 0 0 0 0

Legend:

ACP: Asbestos Cement Pipe,

DIP: Ductile Iron Pipe,

CIP: Cast Iron Pipe,

RCP: Reinforced Concrete Pipe,

GALV: Galvanized Steel Pipe,

PVC: Polyvinyl Chloride Pipe,

STL.CYL.: Steel Cylinder pipe

STL: Steel pipe

Past

an

d C

urr

en

t R

ate

Reliability can be defined as “the probability that

the system performs its specified tasks under

specified conditions in specified time” (Kaufmann

et al. 1977)

Life Cycle Assessment of Centralized and Decentralized Water/Wastewater Systems

Energy SourceGallons Per kWh

(Evaporative loss)

Hydro 18.27

Nuclear 0.62

Coal 0.49

Oil 0.43

PV Solar 0.030

Wind 0.001

Household Wastewater

Effluent to Dosing/Distribution Network

Discharge to subsurface

Septic Tank Intermittent Sand

Filter (Single Pass)

Decentralized Wastewater Treatment

Smart Irrigation

Controller

Phoenix growth scenarios (above)

and urban form indicator(below)

Atlanta growth scenarios (above)

and employment location(below)

Employees /Acre

POWER

FLOW

ENGINE

(MATLAB)

Input (Feeder

Information)

- LOAD profiles

- Voltage

Controls

Power Flow

Solutions

- Voltages

- Currents

- Power, loss,

power

factor,…

METHODOLOGY

MONTE

CARLO

SIMULATION

- Impact of PV penetration

- Inverter control

strategies

- Impact of DG placement

- Voltage profile, power

factor, losses, reliability

improvement

Input

- Random DG

size and

locations

- Transformable

feeder

topologies

- Random DG

generation

Load Profiles

PV Output Boundaries of Islands

• ASU developing a design method for design

Urban, Electrical Micro-grid with Distributed

Generation

• The first step is the determination of the capacity of

the existing infrastructure:

– How many kW the water, gas etc system can

support

• Preliminary results:

– In a community which has 81 houses and 475

kW maximum electrical load the water is

supplied by a 6” pipe

– The capacity of this pipe is: < 415 gal/min

– The present water surplus is: > 22.4 gal/min

– The available surplus water can support:

• 112 kW combined cycle gas turbine

• > 7465 kW Fuel cell

– Similar analysis has been done for the natural

gas and sewer

Mobility System Design & Assessment: Initial Energy & CO2 Results

for Atlanta

The relationship between local policy,

urban structure, and actual consumption

is being explored by examining two

decades of 'planning for quality growth'

in communities in the Atlanta, Georgia

area www.georgiaencyclopedia.org

2030

2030

#0836046

CityMean House

Price

Increase in

Plant

Richness

Increasing

distance to

water course

WTP change %

METRO AREA $167,344 2.37% -0.15%

PEORIA $160,646 6.02% -0.78%

SCOTTSDALE $302,579 -3.14% -0.49%

PHOENIX $140,802 -6.77% -0.18%

GLENDALE $145,922 -9.07% -0.22%

MESA $146,538

TEMPE $178,749 -5.90% -0.58%

AVONDALE $134,961 -35.3% -0.97%

GILBERT $179,702 -0.66%

CHANDLER $150,438 -0.46%

SURPRISE $155,464

GOODYEAR $167,673 1.38%

Willingness to pay for reliability of

supply through a hedonic price

function-Phoenix Vi

Charles Perrings, Doug Noonan, Marilyn Brown Hedonic Price Estimation for Infrastructure Reliability

Hedonic price analysis

ZX

0lnP

– Determine how price affected by

reliability of infrastructures

Breakpoint analysis

– Sup-Wald tests track price jump point

– Compare to infrastructure changes.

Where P: House sale price

: Infrastructure reliability

: Other factors affecting sale

price

ε: error term

X

Z

-10

sup-Wald test

time

Floods and house value in Atlanta

Property ValueLow High

Flash point