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A project financed by: European Commission DG Trade
Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment (SIA) of the EU‐Libya Free Trade Agreement
Inception ReportFebruary 2009
Personal data in this document have been redacted according to the General Data Protection Regulation 2016/679 and the European Commission Internal
Data Protection Regulation 2018/172
A project financed by:
2
European Commission DG Trade
Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment (SIA) of the EU‐Libya Free Trade Agreement
INCEPTION REPORT February 2009
Implemented by:
This report was commissioned and financed by the Commission of the European Communities. The views expressed herein are those of the Consultant, and do not represent any official view of the Commission.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
Table of Contents
Glossary ..................................................................................................................................... 5
Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 6
1. Background ............................................................................................................................ 7
1.1 Economic Context ............................................................................................................ 9
1.1.1 Trade ......................................................................................................................... 9
1.1.2 Tariffs ...................................................................................................................... 10
1.1.3 Horizontal issues ..................................................................................................... 10
1.1.4 Agriculture, animal products, processed foods and fisheries ................................ 11
1.1.5 Industrial and manufactured products................................................................... 12
1.1.6 Energy ..................................................................................................................... 12
1.1.7 Retailing and the informal sector ........................................................................... 12
1.1.7 Services ................................................................................................................... 13
1.2 Social Context ................................................................................................................ 14
1.2.1 Labour ..................................................................................................................... 14
1.2.2 Migrants ................................................................................................................. 14
1.2.3 Equity ...................................................................................................................... 15
1.2.4 Health & Basic Amenities ....................................................................................... 15
1.2.5 Education ................................................................................................................ 15
1.3 Environment Context‐ ................................................................................................... 16
1.3.1 Atmosphere ............................................................................................................ 16
1.3.2 Water ...................................................................................................................... 16
2. Work Plan of EU‐Libya Trade SIA ......................................................................................... 18
3. Methodology of the EU‐Libya Trade SIA ............................................................................. 20
3.1 Analytical Tools .............................................................................................................. 20
3.2 Quantitative Modelling Components ............................................................................ 20
3.2.1 Partial Equilibrium Modelling & Basic GISM Framework ....................................... 21
3.2.2 Data and Scenarios ................................................................................................. 22
3.3 Qualitative Methodology .............................................................................................. 22
3.3.1 Sectoral Selection: Sectoral Priority Scale .............................................................. 23
3
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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3.3.2 Environmental and Social Assessment ................................................................... 24
3.4 Consultation Tools ......................................................................................................... 26
3.4.1 Interviews ............................................................................................................... 26
3.4.2 Questionnaires ....................................................................................................... 27
3.4.3 Electronic SIA‐Trade Newsletter............................................................................. 28
3.4.4 Website ................................................................................................................... 28
3.4.5 Consultation Workshops ........................................................................................ 28
Annex 1 – Preliminary Stakeholder Network .......................................................................... 30
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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Glossary
FTA Free Trade Agreement
GMMR Great Man Made River Project
GMRA Great Man‐made River Authority
GPC General People’s Congress
ILO International Labor Organisation
LD Libyan Dinar
NGO Non‐Governmental Organisation
NOC National Oil Company
NTBs Non‐tariff Barriers
PCCP Pre‐Stressed Concrete Cylinder Pipes
SCM Stakeholder Consultation Meeting
SOP Standard Operating Procedures
TRIPS Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights
(T)SIA (Trade) Sustainability Impact Assessment
UN United Nations
WITS World Integrated Trade Solution
WTO World Trade Organisation
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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Executive Summary
The Inception Report of the Trade Sustainability Impact Assessment (SIA) of the EU‐Libya Free
Trade Agreement (FTA) provides an overview of the proposed conceptual framework of
sustainability assessment analysis and methodologies to be employed, including the
consultations activities, for the study. The Inception Report follows a review of literature,
covering prior studies of relevance to the economic, social and environmental context of the
regions, as well as previously implemented studies of similar design using quantitative and/or
qualitative analysis. The Inception Report is designed to prompt discussion and preliminary
analysis of global and sectoral issues related to EU‐Libya trade negotiations, and define
indicators of importance to the detailed global and sectoral analysis to be undertaken in the
study. The Inception Report is also designed to provide indicative timings for the research,
consultation and reporting deliverables of the project.
Feedback on the Inception Report is encouraged from interested stakeholders. Information
regarding the project and access to project documents is available at www.eulibya‐sia.org.
Feedback on the project in general, or the Inception Report in particular, can be sent
to enquiries@eulibya‐sia.org
More specifically, the Inception Report in Section One provides a background to EU‐Libyan trade
and the context that has created opportunities for deeper economic partnership. This section
provides an economic context of the trading relationship covering trade, tariffs, horizontal
issues, agriculture, processed foods and fisheries, energy and financial services; and the social
and environmental context of key impact areas. The work plan of the SIA and the reports that
will be produced and the structured consultations that will take place is detailed in Section Two.
Section Three outlines the methodology to be employed in the study, examining the
quantitative modelling components and the qualitative approaches, include the social and
environment impact assessment. Finally, Section Four highlights the consultation tools that will
be used in the study to solicit feedback from key stakeholders to inform the work of the project.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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1. Background
Following a series of policy shifts over the last decade, including the end of UN sanctions in
2003, the application to join the WTO in 2004 and the recent $5 billion settlement with Italy
relating to outstanding issues arising from the colonial period, Libya finds itself on the cusp of
significant economic reform. President Muammar Gaddafi’s February 2009 election to chair of
the African Union may also add to this reform. Although the European Commission (EC) does
not maintain a delegation in Libya, using the delegation in Tunisia to cover both countries,
Libya’s leading existing trading partners are presently found in Europe and its prospects for
enhanced economic collaboration with the European Union are significant.
“Reform of the administration has already begun. Our code will be adapted to that of the EU,
our main trading partner. We have readjusted our tax system. We are studying a modification of
our customs regulations to make them comparable to those of WTO member countries. We are
also fighting against unnecessary bureaucracy.”
Mohamed Ali El Huwej
Libyan Finance Minister
7 February 2005
Like other many other countries in the region, Libya suffers from significant structural
imbalances. For example, its territory is roughly three times the size of France yet most of it is
uninhabitable. To create even the most basic infrastructure requires massive investment. Libya
is also one of the least diversified economies in the Maghreb: in 2005 oil comprised 94 percent
of total exports, 25 percent of GDP and 60 percent of wages. Despite this, the energy sector
returns little in the form of local employment. Given rising unemployment levels, a rising
population, and the fact that Libya imports 75 percent of its food intake, economic
diversification has become a policy priority.
Funding for such policy shifts themselves mostly derive from oil‐related revenues. According to
figures from the Central Bank, 2007 total public revenue stood at just over LD53 billion, of which
oil comprised almost LD49 billion. In addition to oil‐related taxes, individual income taxes range
from 5% to 35%, while the highest corporate tax level of 40% is for annual profit of over LD
500,000 (€ 287,000). Total public expenditure in 2007 was almost LD31 billion,1 of which as
much as 60% was consumed by Libya’s extensive public sector.
In this context of a well‐resourced yet severely structurally deficient economy, opportunities for
deeper economic partnership between Libya and the European Union (EU) are extensive. Trade
negotiations for a free trade agreement (FTA) with Libya were formally launched in November
2008, with the second round occurring in Tripoli on 10‐11 February 2009. There is hope among
the EC that the EU‐Libya FTA will pave the way for Libya’s accession to the WTO and as such, the
FTA will not be in the strict sense a “development‐oriented” FTA. In assessing the economic
1 Economic Bulletin for the First Quarter of 2008, Central Bank of Libya, 2008
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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relationship between the EU and Libya, a few of the baseline factors that will likely most affect
the nature of this partnership– trade issues, issues by economic sector and social and
environmental considerations‐‐ are now outlined in this study and will form a baseline of
sectoral studies considered in the study.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
1.1 Economic Context
1.1.1 Trade
The 2007 balance of payments figures indicate export revenue of LD55 billion, of which oil
makes up almost LD54 billion. Imports amount to almost LD22 billion, leaving a trade balance of
just over LD33 billion. The current account reflects a surplus of LD29 billion, or 26% of GDP,
down from 35% in 2006.2 Figure 1 illustrates rising trade flows across the last decade.
Figure 1: Libyan Trade Flows (million LD)
Source: Central Bank of Libya, Economic Bulletin: 1st Quarter 2008, 2008.
As reflected in Figure 1, the value of Libyan exports in 2005 rose by almost 50% from the
previous year, standing at LD 31.1 billion. At that time, oil accounted for 97.3% of all exports,3
while remaining exports are mainly made up of chemical materials. Generally, imports comprise
goods and services of almost every kind (other than alcoholic drinks and products containing
pork), with machinery, foodstuffs, transport equipment and consumer goods dominating.
Across the period as a whole, imports increased by 311% while exports expanded by 887%. The
trade balance in the meantime improved significantly, from LD 1.75 billion in 1999 to LD 28.4
billion in 2006.
In terms of trade partners, Italy, Germany, Great Britain, France and Spain are Libya’s leading
partners, with the former two comprising 37.8% and 14.8% of Libya’s merchandise exports in
2006. Despite historically close economic ties to Europe, as globalisation has enhanced
opportunities and competition around the world, Europe’s market share has tended slowly
downward, most rapidly since the end of UN sanctions in 2003. To this end, total European
exports in 2007 were worth $4.2 billion. Imports to the European Union in the same year were
worth $27.4 billion.4 Machinery, electrical products and metals dominate European exports to
Libya. Petroleum accounts for a staggering 96.6% of Libya’s exports to Europe; potential exports
9
2 Socialist People’s Libyan Arab Jamahiriya: 2008 Article IV Consultation, IMF, September 2008
3 Annual Report, Central Bank of Libya, 2006 4
Eurostat Statistical yearbook for External and intra‐European trade (1958‐2007)
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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from Libya to the EU are expected to be broadly similar to those from Tunisia, Morocco, and
Algeria.
1.1.2 Tariffs
In line with Libya’s WTO ambitions, in August 2005 the Libyan Customs Administration
eliminated duties from over 3,500 product categories, which at that time were levied at a flat
rate of 4%. About 80 products, including high‐end furnishings and furs retain duties of between
25 and 50%.5 By 2007, overall import duties had been reduced to 0% for all goods except
tobacco, which incurs an applied tariff of 10%. Generally, exemptions from import duties apply
to particular areas: those under the Petroleum Law, including all equipment for use in the oil
sector and products at least 40% Arab in origin.
Exports duties meantime are applied to agriculture in varying amounts, from LD 100 to LD 1,500
per kilo. Manufactured goods incur an export duty of 50%. On average none of Libya’s imports
incurred a tariff, while Libyan exports abroad are also subject to low tariffs, at a weighted
average of .2% in the EU, where 98.5% of Libyan goods are imported duty free.6 Goods
manufactured in Israel, 7 as well as alcohol, pornography and pork‐related products are
prohibited. Issues remain over a Libyan provision stipulating foreign companies are charged an
agency commission counted according to a predetermined and non‐negotiable tariff.
1.1.3 Horizontal issues
In the context of project‐related materials, exports need full clearance prior to berthing and the
estimated waiting time before final clearance is one week. For general cargo, excluding food,
there is no pre‐clearance available and the estimated waiting time in‐port is at most one week.
For food imports requiring health clearance there is an estimated waiting time of ten days
before final clearance is granted. The required documents for clearing customs are the original
bills of loading, copies of all invoices, health certificates, packing list and certificate of origin.8
Since Libya is not yet a member of the WTO it is not party to agreements, including the Sanitary
and Photosanitary Measures (SPS) and Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) Agreements, which
detail restrictions on these and other types of import restrictions.
Additionally, there are a number of horizontal market access issues involving transit. Some of
these issues include the repeal of administrative restrictions and visa restrictions in the case of
exchanging the crew of marine vessels in Libyan ports; maritime cabotage services, market
access to underwater and dredging works in certain ports and in Libyan territorial sea waters;
and access to market supply of marine vessels in spare parts in Libyan ports without customs
and administrative charging.
5 Doing Business in Libya , US Department of Commerce, 2008
6 Libya Tariff Profile, World Trade Organisation, accessed 9 September 2008
7 Some EC members expressed interest in negotiating on restrictions of administrative restrictions concerning calling at an
Israeli port
8 Doing Business in Libya , US Department of Commerce, 2008
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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Since Libya is not yet a member of the WTO, it is not a party to the Agreement on Trade‐Related
Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS). There are widespread violations of trademarks in
the country, but foreign firms have occasionally pursued claims against trademark infringements
successfully.9
Libya is not party to the General Procurement Agreement (GPA). There is continued interest in
opening the public procurement market for trade between Libya and the EU.
1.1.4 Agriculture, animal products, processed foods and fisheries
Only 1% of Libya’s land mass is considered arable due to poor water conditions,10 in turn
helping to explain why agriculture comprises just 12% of GDP (2001). Sustainable irrigation is a
major issue, regarding which the long‐running Great Man Made River project (GMMR) provides
attractive opportunities for investors. Credit facilities for seeds, fertilizers and machinery are
widely available, including to foreign investors.
Significant opportunity is also found in Libya’s under‐exploited commercial fishing stocks. As
such, Libya aims to increase fish exports to the EU.
An example of European investment in Libyan agriculture is the consortium from Rieti, Italy,
which in 2006 invested €500,000 to produce and process vegetables to export to Europe. When
production reaches full capacity in 2012 the project will create up to 3,000 jobs and have an
estimated annual turnover of €500 million. To this end, it is noted that while agriculture
contributes little to aggregate GDP, it is responsible for around one‐fifth of employment, and
thus the sector yields significant social influence.
There are a number of food products in which the EU and Libya have expressed interest in
trading and developing. There are opportunities for the EC to provide technical assistance to
Libyan producers towards increasing production standards to facilitate entry of Libyan goods like
olive oil, dates, and tuna into Europe. Cooperation between the EC and Libya trading a variety of
products, such as milk, preparations of milk, sugar, wheat and barley, fodder, potato crops,
prepare foodstuffs is also of interest. There is also expressed interest in further trade in animal
products, such as cheese and curd.
9 Ibid
10 Ibid
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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1.1.5 Industrial and manufactured products
Members of the EC have expressed interested in developing ties with Libya to strengthen trade
in industrial products. Herein, a variety of sectors are of interest. 11
1.1.6 Energy
Libyan oil is valued because of its low cost of recovery, its high quality and its close proximity to
European markets. Libya also has the highest proven oil reserves in Africa at 41.5 billion barrels,
with further discoveries being probable. Oil is sold on a term basis, the majority of which is
exported to Europe. The oil industry itself is controlled by the state‐owned National Oil
Corporation (NOC), which in turn runs a number of subsidiary companies.
To raise daily production levels from 1.7 million at present to 3 million barrels by 2010‐13
(roughly the same as pre‐sanctions levels), NOC is seeking to discover about 20 billion barrels of
oil through continued exploration efforts. An estimated investment of about US$ 10 billion
would enlarge production to the intended level, for which Libya is seeking international
investment of more than US$ 7 billion in its ten‐year exploration plan which started in 2005.
Over 40 foreign companies already operate in the country’s energy sector.
Proven natural gas reserves meanwhile are at 46.4 trillion cubic feet, ranking 14th in the world.
The Western Libya Gas Project dominates gas production, and pumps gas from Libya’s southern
border to Sicily and mainland Italy. Natural gas is also used instead of oil for power generation
so that more oil can be exported. Already a number of countries have invested in the gas sector,
including the US, Germany, the Netherlands, UK, Russia, Algeria and Poland.
Significant issues remain involving transit restrictions within Libya’s energy market. These issues
include equal access to pipelines and other infrastructure, and information on domestic pricing
of oil products. More specifically, issues involve access of maritime transport between Libyan
ports and offshore oil & gas installations, including platforms and rigs; access to pushing and
towing services, including supply of drilling platforms and oilrigs in Libyan territorial waters; and
market access to certificated services and engineering supervision over a gas‐pipelines and oil
pipelines.
1.1.7 Retailing and the informal sector
The retail market in Libya is strongly dominated by local shops and an informal sector of souks.
Some small supermarkets and shopping centers are developing in the country; however, most
“modern” retailing is non‐existent. Retailing is largely under state control via a number of
11 These include base metal (flat‐rolled products), plastics and articles thereof (polymers and ethylene), wood and article of
wood (sheets for veneering), machinery (machine tools, lathes); optical, measuring and medical instruments and apparatuses;
products of base metal (tubes and pipes); motor vehicles, aircrafts, and vessels.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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subsidies from Libya’s National Supply Company and policies to restrict foreign enterprising.12
Wholesale and retail trade, and hotels and restaurants are an important source of employment
in major urban areas, accounting for 5.6% of GDP in 2006.13
1.1.7 Services
1.1.7.1 Financial Services
Libya remains largely a cash economy with an archaic banking system focused on trade
financing. Insurance income is limited, at only LD 190mn in 200614. Equities are all but
nonexistent, and fixed income instruments are limited to a small stock of outstanding
government securities. There are eleven commercial banks, four specialised credit institution,
48 regional banks (most of which have already been or are in the process of being merged), one
exchange bureau and five insurance companies. In aggregate, banking system assets are
equivalent to about 60% of GDP, suggesting considerable potential for growth. State banks
account for nearly 90% of total banking sector assets, private sector banking having only been
re‐established in 1993.
Tangible privatisation efforts began in 2007, with BNP Paribas acquiring a 19% stake in Sahara
Bank, with plans to purchase up to 51% by 2012. In early 2008 Wahda Bank was acquired by
Arab Bank with a similar timeline towards controlling ownership. 15 The remaining two
remaining public commercial banks are expected to be privatised in the near future through
IPLs on Libya’s stock exchange, established in 2006.16
1.1.7.3 Tourism
The tourism industry in Libya is only in the incipient stages, although there is potential for
growth. There are notable visa and travel restrictions, and limited places to accommodate
tourists. However, the tourism industry is growing with the construction of hotels, resorts, and
upgrades in transportation systems. In fact, the Libyan government has committed to increasing
the number of visitor arrivals significantly by 2010.17
12 Libya Country Profile 2006, Egyptian Export Promotion Center, accessed February 2008
13 Libya Country Report 2008, Oxford Business Group
14 Socialist People’s Libyan Arab Jamahiriya: 2008 Article IV Consultation, IMF, September 2008
15 Socialist People’s Libyan Arab Jamahiriya: 2008 Article IV Consultation, IMF, September 2008
16 Ibid 17
Travel and Tourism in Libya, EuroMonitor, April 2007
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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1.2 Social Context
1.2.1 Labour
Libya’s small population of 5.6mn is growing fast, and will continue to do so since approximately
one third of the inhabitants are less than 15 years old and one half under 20. Presently the
labour force comprises around 1.3 million people, of whom 31% work in industry, 27% in
services, 24% in government and 18% in agriculture. Officially unemployment stands at 13%.
Unofficially the rate is estimated to be at least 30% ‐ a major motivation behind the push for
economy‐wide foreign investment.18
Libya has relatively well developed legislation concerning labour and employment issues:
dismissal regulations, laws and enforcement tend to be strict and to favour the employee.
Further, following similar public sector moves, in 2007 the General People’s Congress (GPC)
initiated an increase in the minimum salaries of private sector employees, and similarly
removed their wage ceiling. Trade unions and professional associations remain illegal, while
women remain underrepresented with only 32% of work‐able women joining the active labour
force against 82% of men.19
Given the high unemployment challenges, the government has assumed a direct role in the
hiring procedures of foreign companies. In 2006 a decree formalised that all foreign oil
companies must employ a Libyan national as the Deputy Country Manager as well as one to be
the Finance Manager. The National Oil Corporation often allocates unqualified Libyans to work
at foreign energy companies. These companies also regularly receive lists of unemployed
Libyans from the GPC’s Committee for Manpower and are asked to voluntarily find work for
them.
1.2.2 Migrants
Migrant flows to Libya are usually related to oil price rises as this is when domestic production
most expands. Many such workers, typically from African states including sub‐Saharan Africa,
ultimately act to take advantage of proximity to Europe for onward migration purposes, legal or
illegal. Recently, the dual pressures of rising unemployment and diplomatic pressure from the
EU has spurred the government to resort to deportation, as well as stricter penalties for use of
illegal labour. Further, in 2007 the Egyptian border was even closed to migrant workers.
As at mid‐2008, over 166,000 foreign nationals, or one‐fifth of the labour force were legally
residing in Libya, while illegal migrant workers were estimated to number 800,000 from Africa
alone in 2006. Libya continues to be a hub for the trafficking of persons in regional North Africa,
with the Libyan government failing to provide sufficient proof of increased investigation and
enforcement efforts after an international request in 2007.20
18 Ibid
19 World Development Indicators Database, World Bank, accessed September 2008
20 Libya, CIA World Fact Book, 4 September 2008
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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1.2.3 Equity
Despite high unemployment, equity is regarded as relatively high in Libya, helped by high
government subsidies on a number of basic needs such as healthcare, education, housing,
utilities, staple foods and energy goods such as oil. Further, the cost of basic consumer goods
has declined by 19% since 1999. Poverty rates have also declined in recent years, to 7.4% (2005).
Given pervasive unemployment levels, the creation of mechanisms such as an early retirement
fund, a re‐tooling and re‐training programme, and the establishment of a stronger social safety
net are under discussion. Further, the government has undertaken to implement some
measures to provide shares in public and private companies to “those Libyans deprived of
wealth”, while a government‐funded savings account for Libyans born after August 2007 has
been implemented.
1.2.4 Health & Basic Amenities
In general the medical system is considered to be relatively well developed, especially by
regional standards. This is partly attributable to the mixed system of private and government
implementation of healthcare, covering a wide range of areas from basic healthcare, health
training, rehabilitative care, health education and disability and elderly care.21 As a result of
increased funding for healthcare the number of doctors in Libya has increased seven‐fold
relatively to population growth and the number of hospital beds by a factor of three since 1970,
while infant mortality has declined from 84 per 1,000 in 1984 to 18 per 1,000 in 2004.22
More generally, public health is bolstered by the high rate of sanitation of over 97% (2002). This
compares to 81% throughout the Middle East and North Africa and to 84% in upper‐middle
income countries globally. Only 72% of Libyans however enjoy access to safe water,23 though
100% of the population enjoys access to electricity, compared to 87% in the region and 83%
among similar income countries.
1.2.5 Education
Male literacy rates are traditionally higher than those of women, 92.4% compared to 72%
(2003). This ratio is a positive change from the 1980s when male literacy rates were similar
while the female rate was as low as 35%.24 Compulsory and free education for the 12 years of
primary and secondary education has helped to achieve these results. In addition, the cost of
private and tertiary education has declined by 19.2%, further increasing access to educational
21 Decision No 119, General People’s Committee on the Promulgation of the By‐Law Enforcement Law No. 20 of 1998 on the
Social Care Fund, General People’s Committee of Libya, 9 December 1999
22 The Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya: Statistical Appendix, IMF, May 2007
World Development Indicators Database, World Bank, accessed September 2008
23 Country Snapshots – Libya, Private Participation in Infrastructure Database, World Bank Group, July 2008
World Development Indicators Database, World Bank, accessed September 2008
24 Country Study: Libya, Library of Congress, Federal Research Division, April 2005
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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opportunities since 1999.25 While all women over the age of 15 have lower literacy rates than
men, in recent years women are more likely to continue their education to the tertiary level.26
1.3 Environment Context‐
Libya is a part of a number of environmental protection initiatives and treaties. It is a signatory
to the Barcelona Convention, which aims to protect the Marine Environment and the Coastal
Region of the Mediterranean. Libya ratified the original Convention for the Protection of the
Mediterranean against pollution but has not ratified the amended Convention or its protocols.
Libya could participate as an observer to Horizon 2020, Europe’s main method of tackling the
top sources of pollution in Libya and the larger Mediterranean by the year 2020. Given this basis
of cooperation, there is potential for the EU to further explore technical assistance and support
programs with Libya related to environmental issues.
1.3.1 Atmosphere
In 2004 Libya emitted 59.4 mega‐tonnes of CO2, with emissions of CO2 are growing at a rate of
4.2% per year between 1990 and 2004.27 Although Libyan CO2 emissions continue to grow they
remain low in terms of per capita emissions, at only 9.3 tonnes per capita in 2004, compared to
13.2 in high‐income OECD countries but notably higher than the Arab countries average of 4.5
tonnes per capita. Libya’s oil sector contributes to approximately 70.5% of the country’s CO2
emissions, and the natural gas sector contributes to about 29.5%.28
1.3.2 Water
The severe shortage of water in Libya is worsened by the fact that the coastal aquifers on which
the population has relied are inadequate and have become contaminated by seawater. Surveys
conducted in the late 1970s provided for the Great Man‐made River Authority (GMRA), an
independent authority established to implement and manage the colossal undertaking of
brining water from desert aquifers to coastal population centers. Since its conception, the
system has grown to include almost 4,000 km of mainly four‐metre diameter pre‐stressed
concrete cylinder pipes (PCCP). Eventually, over 6.0 million cubic metres of water will be
conveyed every day from well fields deep in the Sahara desert to population centres that are
concentrated on the coast.
25 The Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya: Statistical Appendix, IMF, May 2007
26 Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, The Human Development Index, United Nations Development Programme, accessed September
2008
27 Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, The Human Development Index, United Nations Development Programme, accessed September
2008
28 Socialist People’s Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, Energy and Environment Data Reference Bank (EEDRB), IAEA, accessed February
2008
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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Over 70% of the water from this man‐made river system is intended for agricultural purposes. It
is expected that 130,000 hectares of agricultural land will result. A water storage and
distribution plan has also been adopted and aims to maintain a constant supply of water
throughout the year through the use of large storage reservoirs to meet fluctuating demands.
The project is being implemented in five stages, the fifth and present stage of which is under
technical exploration. The initial four phases have been undertaken by a range of international
companies, including enterprises from South Korea, the US as well as Libya. The fifth and final
stage, which involves transporting water from Jagboub to the coastal city of Tobruk in the North
East, presently involves companies from the UK, Czech Republic and Egypt.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
18
2. Work Plan of EU‐Libya Trade SIA
The EU‐Libya Trade SIA will be undertaken across three reporting stages from January to late
August 2009 as follows:
Inception Report (January 2009) – Set‐up, scoping and scenario definitions
Lasting approximately for one month, this report serves as the baseline for research
methodologies and information sourcing. Beginning with the Kick‐off meeting on 16 January
2009, a consortium of teams ‐ the Management and Research Coordination Team, the
Modelling Team, the Sustainable Policy Team and the Local Impact Assessment Team ‐ will
undertake research and analysis toward the outputs for the Draft Inception Report expected to
be made available on 23 January 2009. That report will in turn provide a summary of the
collective preliminary results of the qualitative and quantitative research, which will be
presented at the initial Civil Society Dialogue meeting in Brussels on 29 January 2009. After
incorporating feedback from the first Steering Committee and first Civil Society meetings, the
final Inception Report will be published.
Interim Report (February – April 2009) – Parallel field work and computational modelling
work
The Interim Report delivers the significant quantitative and qualitative impact assessment and
provides the preparation for the Civil Society consultation in the region, subject to conditions.
This report will see a parallel process with two teams undertaking their work actively in Libya in
terms of data collection and at research and coordination points internationally. At the same
time, quantitative modelling will be undertaken by the modelling team, based on scenarios
developed in consultation with the EC for the Inception Report. The findings of the local and
modelling teams will in turn be used to recommend sector selection for deeper analysis of the
social and environmental issues in the Final Report, and will be summarised in the quantitative
and qualitative impacts assessment presented in the Draft Interim Technical Report.
The draft interim report is expected to be available in May and will be followed by a local
workshop in Tripoli subject to conditions. A portion of the interim report, most likely a summary,
will be made available ahead of the stakeholder meeting in Tripoli.
Final Report (May – August 2009) – Consultations and detailed social and environmental
assessment
The Draft Final Report which will include a list of flanking measures and policy
recommendations is expected to be available in July 2009 and will be the basis for the Second
Civil Society Meeting to be held also in July 2009. Meantime, dynamic feedback will be taking
place between project teams to ensure new information is constantly included into final
scenarios and teams will be working towards refining and concluding their research and analysis.
At this stage ex post indicators for key impact studies will also be selected, and policy
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
19
conclusions and recommendations will be discussed. This will provide input into the preparation
of the Draft Final Report and an additional Civil Society Dialogue Meeting in Brussels
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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3. Methodology of the EU‐Libya Trade SIA
3.1 Analytical Tools
The models to be used in the study build on the latest developments in trade modelling.
Specifically, the modelling team will take an integrated approach in that qualitative economic,
social and environmental data and civil society survey results will be evaluated in parallel with
the modelling process. Such a methodology builds on those used in previous Trade SIAs, and
focuses on quantitative economic (and, where possible, social and environmental) factors and
outputs. At the same time, it will have to reflect unique issues related to the economy of Libya.
Where data are not available, qualitative sources relating to, for example, labour conditions,
impacts on quality of health, biodiversity, water quality impacts and other issues, such as
regulatory and non‐tariff barriers, will be used to derive indirect measures.
3.2 Quantitative Modelling Components
Quantitative analysis of a trade agreement with Libya poses unique challenges since Libya is not
in the standard databases for model‐based analysis involving computable general equilibrium
models. In turn, special data collection and organisation will be necessary.29 Furthermore, while
the intended partial equilibrium modelling of key sectors will provide output on the expected
changes in a number of economic indicators ‐ bilateral export, output, value added and
employment ‐ in general the results will not hold total comparability with earlier SIA studies
based on more reliable input data.
With this in mind, this initial modelling output will provide the baseline for onward employment
analysis, as well as for qualitative analysis (mostly using causal chain analysis techniques) of
important social variables, including gender, child labour and labour mobility. Modelling will be
done in the Interim Report of the project, as it serves as the basis of much of what is done in
Final Report. While it is recognised that data limits preclude full, multi‐sector CGE modelling,
there is scope for 123‐type CGE modelling to identify possible dynamic effects related to trade
liberalisation and increased FDI flows into Libya. (See: Devarajan, S., D. Go, J. Lewis, S.
Robinson, and P. Sinko. 1997. Simple General Equilibrium Modeling, in J. Francois and K. Reinert,
eds., Applied Methods for Trade Policy Analysis, Cambridge University Press.) This will ensure
the study identifies some macroeconomic effects beyond the sector impacts identified in partial
equilibrium.
29 Where possible, updates and improvements will be made on data from relevant World Bank studies.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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3.2.1 Partial Equilibrium Modelling & Basic GISM Framework
The quantitative model used for individual sectors is a partial equilibrium model, being industry
focused but global in scope. While by definition partial equilibrium models do not take into
account the more diverse array of factors emphasised in general equilibrium trade theory, the
comparatively limited set of factors allows for more rapid and transparent analysis of a wide
range of commercial policy issues together with lower data and computational requirements. To
this end, a series of reduced form equations will constitute the body of an analysis, which in
turn utilises the Walrasian assumption for global markets. At a later point, backwards induction
from the global prices set will enable the derivation of more specific national results. The
following paragraphs provide some further elaboration of the model intended.
Several important assumptions underlie the model: national product differentiation (imports as
imperfect substitutes); the equality of the elasticity of substitution across products from
different sources; the elasticity of demand and also of substitution in aggregate is also assumed
to be constant; among other assumptions. Further, essential to the model are the underlying
own‐ and cross‐price demand elasticity.
In general, the analysis will be carried out for a handful of key sectors through counterfactual
modelling within the GSIM model framework. This approach involves the impact of current
trade costs and tariffs on trade flows by a counterfactual analysis. For example, we will model
the most recent trade flows for which data are available will be modelled, and estimates will be
made for the alternative set of trade and production patterns under a new trade agreement
preferences on tariffs and NTBs, including estimated reductions in trade costs as agreed in
scenario definitions.
To summarise, the model allows us to estimate the effects of trade liberalisation on bilateral
trade, production, national income, and price effects of market integration, including likely third
country effects. With appropriate data, the model can also be augmented to identify
employment effects, as well as to modify the basic equations to reflect identifiable information
on the price impacts of NTBs.30 Further, the model will consider the potential of trade diversion
and implications for other bilateral and regional trade agreements, particularly for other
potential EU‐Mediterranean agreements and inter‐Arab agreements.
While the outcomes of this analysis will be limited by the earlier mentioned data constraints, in
our view as long as the limitations of the partial equilibrium approach are kept in mind, useful
insights relating to an EU‐Libya FTA will be able to be drawn from the quantitative modelling
herein described. This includes third country effects, exporter gains, consumer surplus
(importer) gains and changes in tariff revenue. In addition, a more straightforward modelling
exercise will identify basic trade and production patterns, as well as the overall structure of
production and trade in energy sectors, and basic GDP trends. Relevant modelling files and
databases used during the study will be supplied to the EC.
30 Kuwait, Iran, Algeria and other economies with regional characteristics similar to Libya will likely
be used as benchmarks for measuring the benefits of liberalisation.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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3.2.2 Data and Scenarios
Trade data will come from EUROSTAT and COMTRADE. Protection data in the WTO and WITS
tariff databases will be augmented by additional sources, including those developed
endogenous to this study. Intended sources include the WTO's integrated database, with
supplemental information from the World Bank's recent assessment of detailed pre‐ and
post‐Uruguay Round tariff schedules, as well as from the UNCTAD/World Bank WITS dataset,
and finally also the recent post‐Doha scenario estimates mapped to aggregate sectors.
In relation to foreign direct investment, the data gathered will include available information on
regulations, constraints and investment flows in recent years, broken down as far as possible by
sector. The analysis will evaluate the extent to which flows may change as a result of a new
agreement, and any consequent effects on the Libyan and EU economies. The impacts of
increased FDI on Libya and how this impact will differ according to different types of FTAs will be
considered. Analysis of FDI in Libya will, of course, be limited by available data. While any
analysis would be based on gravity modelling, we recognise that new, unknown sources of
detailed bilateral data becoming available as a result of the planned economic missions are very
limited, and so possibilities for gravity modelling are limited. We do expect information from
planned field work on institutional features limiting FDI, and these will of course be analysed in
the qualitative discussion, supplemented with available data. In addition, comparison to
comparable countries in the region, in terms of FDI profiles (depending again on data availability)
will be explored. Furthermore, legal and institutional analysis will also be used to guide later
stage analysis.
The scenarios to be examined in turn include deeper tariff liberalisation (based on the analysis
outlined above) as well as further NTB and other trade cost reductions (to the extent identified
in the other sections of this study). We envision a single set of simulations decomposed by
sector and general instruments (tariffs and NTBs) for each sector. The scenarios will be
developed in consultation with the EC. We will develop the scenarios in the first weeks of the
project, in consultation with the EC, in parallel with identification of sectors. We envision a
range of 3 scenarios, from least to most ambitious. Given the low level of tariffs, it will be
important to agree on NTB and trade facilitation cost savings in the first weeks of the project.
3.3 Qualitative Methodology
The EU‐Libya Trade SIA will use a series of microeconomic indicators to identify the
on‐the‐ground implications of the estimated economic scenarios. It does this firstly through
analysis of sustainability issues, which specifically make use of Revealed Comparative Advantage
and the Finger‐Kreinin Indices, as well as of the extent of intra‐industry trade (both vertical and
horizontal) and the presence of NTBs to trade. Trade and investment flows will be examined,
which will include a broad evaluation of the relative likelihood of trade creation and trade
diversion. Data from the World Bank NTB database and a range of secondary sources31 will be
31 Kee, Hiau Looi, Alessandro Nicita and Marcelo Olarreaga. "Estimating trade restrictiveness indices", World Bank Policy
Working Paper Number 3840, The World Bank, 2006
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
23
used, with the Local Impact Assessment Team playing a critical role in strengthening local data
sourcing and reliability. Not only will the impact on foreign business be measured, but also the
impact on domestic business, especially regarding the establishment of new firms and job
creation.
In the qualitative research phase, most data will be sourced directly by the Local Impact
Assessment Team. The team will comprise a number of local‐language speakers to ensure
access to local documentation, such as statistical annals and policy statements that will enable
maximum extraction of relevant information. In addition, Europe based researchers also will
have access to Arabic language databases.
There are a number of issues identified as being of particular importance within this range of
research. These include public procurement, competition, IPR, sustainable development –
including social dialogue on labour issues32‐‐ and dispute settlement. Agriculture and processed
agricultural products, fisheries, energy products/petrochemicals, retail and informal sector
enterprises, and services such as telecoms, financial services construction, tourism, and
distribution would be the sectors of focus for more detailed study. Insurance industry issues will
be reviewed for inclusion.
3.3.1 Sectoral Selection: Sectoral Priority Scale
Experience from prior studies, in particular the EU‐China Partnership and Cooperation
Agreement, provides the foundations for prioritisation of different sectors in the study. This is
summarized around the following techniques:
(1) Using the indicators outlined in the Handbook for Trade Sustainability Impact
Assessment (DG Trade, 2006), pages 52‐56, as well as noted additional indicators in the
descriptions in subsequent pages of the handbook, economic, social, environmental
and FTA relevance rankings are determined for each sector. These rankings are then
assigned scores between 12 for rank 1 and 1 for rank 12. Environmental, social and
environmental scores are averaged to compute Average Impact Scores.
(2) Average Impact Scores and FTA Relevance Scores are cross referenced to form the
Sectoral Priority Scale. This scale indicates which sectors have both a high potential
impact in addition to being highly relevant to the FTA negotiations. High priority sectors
are located in the red quadrant (top right) while lower priority sectors are in the blue
quadrant (bottom left).
32 The deficiencies in Libya’s labour market provide an opportunity for the EU to explore technical assistance and support
programs. This may take the form of training, labour standards, health and safety at work, and control of migration. Herein,
the possibility of greater social dialogue with Libya on labour issues that might signal progress on improving employee
representation will be considered.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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(3) Average Impact Scores and FTA Relevance Scores are totalled to determine overall
priority sectors. Sectors with an overall score greater than 12 are selected for analysis.
As a result of this process for an earlier study, twelve initial sectors were selected and ranked for
preliminary analysis. It is noted that while a sector such as environmental goods and services
might rank lowly on economic criterion, by weight of political considerations it may move closer
toward being top priority. As such, ambitious targets will be set for goods, services, and other
scenarios in the sectoral selection and analysis. A similar process as to that used for the China
study will be used for the EU‐Libya SIA.
3.3.2 Environmental and Social Assessment
Results from the quantitative equilibrium modelling will identify the expected magnitude of the
increase or decrease in production in each economic sector. In turn, this will form the baseline
for the environmental and social assessment of liberalisation of trade in agricultural and
non‐agricultural products. Areas found to be significantly affected will be further examined
using qualitative techniques, alongside social and environmental effects associated with the
economic effects that have been assessed separately from the equilibrium model.
Further, the baseline environmental study for the EU‐Libya Trade SIA will outline Libya’s range
of geographical, climatic and other environmental characteristics, as well as variations in
biodiversity value in many areas, and varying degrees of pressure on natural habitats, land
degradation, water resources and pollution levels, with considerable differences between rural
and urban areas. It is especially noted that water shortages affect nearly every aspect of
economic, social and environmental impact assessment in Libya and will likely be a key area of
analysis. The potential impacts of climate change will also be included in the baseline
assessment of trends. The baseline study will also review the status of the regulatory systems
through which social and environmental pressures are managed.
Finally, since production changes resulting from liberalisation will in turn induce social and
environmental changes, the results obtained from the economic analysis will be used in
conjunction with information on the regulatory regime. The latter is important since the impact
of social and environmental regulation has a significant influence on how economic changes in
turn affect social and environmental issues. Preventive mitigation and enhancement measures
will be suggested, covering measures that are FTA and non‐FTA related will be considered,
including and for example, incentives for voluntary measures such as product certification and
labelling.
At the methodological level, the three aggregate environmental indicator themes of the SIA
methodology ‐ biodiversity, environmental quality and natural resource stocks ‐ will capture the
principal impacts of the manufacturing sector, specifically as these relate to the use of raw
materials, water usage, discharge of untreated effluents, air pollution and the production of
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
25
hazardous wastes. Impacts to be considered in the agricultural sector will include water source
depletion, deforestation, soil erosion, salinity, degradation of marginal land, and contamination
of land and water from agri‐chemicals and animal wastes. In both manufacturing and
agriculture the trade agreement may also influence opportunities and incentives for the use of
cleaner and more efficient production techniques.
Similarly, the three aggregate social indicator themes of the SIA methodology ‐ poverty, equity
(including gender issues), and health and education ‐ will capture the principal social impacts,
alongside reference to international objectives such as ILO indicators for decent work and the
Millennium Development Goals. Also, the influence of corporate social responsibility will be
reviewed.
Account will also be taken of interactions between the agricultural and non‐agricultural sectors
related to the social and environmental effects of rural‐urban migration and urbanisation. The
potential spill over effects of illegal migration and labour will also be assessed.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
3.4 Consultation Tools Intensive stakeholder consultation is integral to the data‐collection and analysis for this SIA. The
consortium has developed procedures for consultation with relevant stakeholder groups through
the use of interviews, questionnaires, website and online communications, and the
implementation of workshops. The consultation framework is displayed in the following diagram
and a preliminary list of the stakeholder Network is attached as Annex 1 to the Inception
Report.
3.4.1 Interviews
Held via the telephone or face‐to‐face these constitute the most direct form of stakeholder
engagement. Given the key constraint of time, a list of key stakeholders in Europe and in Libya
has been identified. A provisional list of stakeholders to be consulted includes relevant
ministries, trade associations including the Libyan Businessmen Council for example, oil
agencies and associations, diplomatic delegations in Libya, including the EC delegation, UN
agency representatives, as well as leading Libyan and other universities, NGOs, trade unions and
think‐tanks.
26
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
27
3.4.2 Questionnaires
The contents of the survey are the product of extensive consultation by the consortium with
input from Local Impact Assessment experts. Areas to be covered in the questionnaire include
business stakeholders in key sectors would be consulted to highlight key issues on the ground
impacting foreign investment and trade and business facilitation. The questionnaire will ask
business to measure the opportunities lost from these key impacts indentified as a portion of
their overall business. The stakeholder network would be surveyed to highlight key sectors and
horizontal issues affecting the economy and solicit the indication of key issues which have acute
social and environmental implications. Key stakeholders with a range of viewpoints (e.g.
businesses, academics, civil society groups) may, for example, be asked to score the
effectiveness of existing systems and provide estimates of associated costs. For example,
relating to FDI and non‐tariff barriers, we will ask firms to rank the relative impact of general
level of barriers in Libya to their access to the market, relative to other countries in the
region. In particular, as we do have ranking for Egypt from the OECD for FDI, the questionnaire
would cover by way of example the following:
How would you rank restrictions you face in the Libyan market for your operations, relative to:
EGYPT:
1: much more open
2: moderately more open
3: the same
4: moderately more restricted
5: much more restricted
OTHER NORTH AFRICAN ECONOMICS (please name:_______):
1: much more open
2: moderately more open
3: the same
4: moderately more restricted
5: much more restricted
SOUTH AFRICA
1: much more open
2: moderately more open
3: the same
4: moderately more restricted
5: much more restricted
OTHER AFRICA (please name:_______):
1: much more open
2: moderately more open
3: the same
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
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4: moderately more restricted
5: much more restricted
Specifically, questions targeting both quantitative and qualitative data will be included.
Quantitatively, continuous data (e.g. numerical values on a continuous scale, for instance,
monetary value) will be sought so as to best enable onward statistical analysis. As a second
preference, categorical data will be sought (e.g. grading on a 5‐point scale). It is proposed to use
quota sampling for the data, which after random sampling is the statistically most reliable form
of sampling available. The survey results will be distributed in hardcopy and electronically via
the consortium members existing internet platforms.
3.4.3 Electronic SIA‐Trade Newsletter
As part of the project’s consultation activities, an EU‐Libya Trade SIA newsletter will be
disseminated electronically to the consultation network at key points during the project,
coinciding with the release of each report and other project deliverables. Downloadable from the
project website, the newsletter will include a summary of the project progress and results, and
provide updates on notable economic, social or environmental news events in the region.
Information learned from concurrent SIA projects will also be included in the newsletter.
3.4.4 Website
The EU‐Libya Trade SIA project will develop a project website to support the project’s visibility as
well as generate stakeholder feedback. The website can be accessed at www.eulibya‐sia.org and
feedback can be sent to enquiries@eulibya‐sia.org. The website contains all relevant information
concerning the SIA’s progress, reports, minutes, background information, current related news
items, and contact information of the consortium partners. The main website content will be in
English. An Arabic translation of all its homepage sections will be included and will provide links
to those publically available documents which exist in Arabic. A core component of the website is
the communication platform, through which European and Libyan stakeholders will be able to
contribute towards the EU‐Libya Trade SIA process.
3.4.5 Consultation Workshops
Designed to establish a dialogue and to gather the views of interested parties (business, local
public administrations and civil society in particular), a full one‐day consultation workshop with
project stakeholders will be held in Libya, subject to confirmation. In addition, two Civil Society
Dialogue meetings will be held in Brussels for European based project stakeholders in January
and July 2009. Further information in relation to these meetings can be obtained from the
project website, www.eulibya‐sia.org.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
29
TRANSPARENCY AND DOCUMENTATION
The terms of reference for this project states that Reports submitted by the consultants should also
be accompanied by the original statistical databases, modelling files and other data inputs that formed the basis
for the analysis carried out in the approved reports. For all spreadsheet models, the European Commission will
receive for partial equilibrium models the underlying database, modelling files, scenario files and results in an
electronic format. To this end, we propose to supply a detailed technical annex as a supplement to the main
body of the report. This supplement will include tables reported in the text, tables not reported in the text but
serving as a basis for analysis, detailed tables of computational modelling (CGE) results (i.e. computational
modelling output files in a reader‐friendly format) that served as a basis for analysis but may be otherwise only
summarized in the main report itself, detailed tables of econometric modelling results (i.e. econometric
modelling output files in a reader‐friendly format) that served as a basis for analysis and that may be otherwise
only summarized in the main report itself, full documentation of source data used in the report, and
documentation of important technical aspects (an overview of basic theoretical assumptions) of the
computational and econometric models used to support the analysis in the main report. The underlying tables
will also be supplied in Excel format, to supplement the annex and make follow up analysis by the EC and others
easier, where based on the results reported.
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
30
Annex 1 – Preliminary Stakeholder Network
Government bodies and other relevant actors in Libya
Field Related to “Expected Commitments
to be Negotiated” Core Auxiliary Periphery
Trade in Agricultural and Fisheries products;
SPS measures
Ministry of Agricultural, Animal Wealth, and Marine Resources Libya’s agricultural and
development banks
(Libyan Agriculture Bank,
National Agricultural
Bank of Libya, Tripoli
Agricultural Bank)
Libya’s food safety
competent authority
(Libyan Standards and
Specification Centre,
Centre of Food Safety and
Drugs Control)
Localorganisations(e.g. foodassociations)
Local Businesses(e.g. producers, retailers, processors, etc)
Libyan National Centre for Standardisation and Metrology
National Corporation for Marketing Agricultural Products
Agricultural Research Centre (Tripoli)
National Corporation for Food Industries
Energy Products/Petrochemicals
National Oil Corporation Libya’s developmentbanks (AfricanDevelopment Bank,
Local businessesMinistry of Industry and Mines
Council for Oil and Gas Affairs
General People's Committee for Electricity, Water and Gas
Technical Barriers to Trade; Tariff and
non‐Tariff Measures; Trade Defence
Libyan Foreign Ministry Libyan monetary
bodies Local
organisationsCentral Bank of Libya
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
31
Instruments; Customs and Rules of Origin;
Dispute settlement; Trade and Sustainable
Development
Ministry of Finance Local businesses
The General People's Committee for Economy and Trade
Central Statistical Office, Secretariat of Planning
Regulatory issues (Public Procurement,
Competition, IPR) General People’s Committee
Relevant regulatoryinstitutions from Libya
Local institutions
Local businessesIndustrial Research Centre
Trade in Services; Financial Services
Libyan Arab Foreign Bank
• Industry and
Service
Associations
• Local businesses
Central Bank of Libya
Commerce and Development Bank (Tripoli)
The General People's Committee of Finance
Export and Import Board
Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Investment
Investment Issues
Investment Promotion Agency • Libyan Chamber of
Commerce
• Foreign
chambers of
commerce
Libya Foreign Investment Board
Ministry of General Investment
European Government Missions in the Libya
The EC Delegation in Tunisia is the
permanent mission of the European
Commission in Libya.
EC Delegations
EU‐Libya Dialogues and
Cooperation
Programmes
Stakeholders of
EU‐Libya projects
EU Member States also engage in a number
of development cooperation projects. Member States’ Missions to Libya
Member States'
Cooperation
Programmes
Stakeholders of
Member States'
projects
Industry/trade associations
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
32
European MS Chambers of Commerce in
Libya Business on a wide range of issues.
European Chambers of Commerce in Libya (e.g. British Business
Group in Libya, German Arab Chamber of Commerce)
Various sectoral Working
Groups under the
chambers secretariat
and local chapters
Individual European
Businesses
Individual Libyan
Businesses
Umbrella organisation representing Libyan
business, which houses sectoral and
sub‐sectoral chambers of commerce.
General Union of the Chambers Of Commerce Industry and
Agriculture Sectoral and
sub‐sectoral Chambers
of Commerce
Individual European
Businesses
Individual Libyan
Businesses The Libyan Businessmen Council
Academic/research institutions
Leading universities throughout Libya National Universities with disciplines in relevant areas (Al Fateh
University, Garyounis University, Libyan Petroleum Institute)
International Organisations & NGOs
The World Bank provides technical
assistance and development‐related loans to
North African countries across a wide range
of sectors.
World Bank (WB) Local‐level projects
Local‐level project
stakeholders, local
communities
UNDP, along with the UN Environmental
Programme, are implementing a wide range
of projects covering health, poverty
alleviation, environment and energy.
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Local‐level projects
Local‐level project
stakeholders, local
communities
EU‐Libya Trade SIA Inception Report
33
The IEF facilitates the transfer of research
and technology in all areas of energy with a
special emphasis on developing countries. It
has previously conducted projects in Libya
on various forms of energy.
International Energy Foundation. (IEF) Local‐level projects
Local‐level project
stakeholders, local
communities
FAO is a source of knowledge and
information, and helps developing countries
modernise and improve agriculture, forestry
and fisheries practices, ensuring
good nutrition and food security.
Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) Local‐level projects
Local‐level project
stakeholders, local
communities
ECA's mandate is to promote the economic
and social development of its member
States, foster intra‐regional integration, and
promote international cooperation for
Africa's development. In North Africa, ECA
works in the areas of poverty reduction,
sustainable economic growth, regional
integration and trade, statistical
development, governance, and other
sectoral priorities.
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) Local‐level projects
Local‐level project
stakeholders, local
communities