susan schorr, head, a.i., regulatory and market ... · monopoly 29% partial competition 17%...

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International Telecommunication Union 10 years of regulatory trends 10 years of regulatory trends Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market Environment Division BDT, International Telecommunication Union Symposium on Telecommunications to Commemorate the 10th Anniversary of the Fourth Protocol to the GATS 20-21 February 2008, WTO, Geneva, Switzerland The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership.

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Page 1: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

InternationalTelecommunicationUnion

10 years of regulatory trends10 years of regulatory trends

Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market Environment Division

BDT, International Telecommunication Union

Symposium on Telecommunicationsto Commemorate the 10th Anniversary of the

Fourth Protocol to the GATS20-21 February 2008,

WTO, Geneva, Switzerland

The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership.

Page 2: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008 2

Agenda

IntroFirst wave of regulatory reform: ICT Market and Regulatory TrendsIs it time for a second wave?

Page 3: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

WTO Reference Paper 1997

Topics covered:1. Competition2. Interconnection3. Universal Service4. Licensing5. Independent Regulators6. Allocation of scarce resources

Page 4: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008 4

Flexibility & forward-looking approach being adopted worldwide, but tailored to local circumstances, towards a converged regulatory frameworkConverging technologies (FMC, etc.)

Changing focus:From regulating voice towards regulating data services, multimedia, broadcasting: regulatory parityFrom regulating multiple services over multiple delivery platforms towards NGN regulationFrom regulating PSTN to regulation IPInfrastructure sharingFrom heavy-handed regulation to light-touch approach, but also functional separation Transparency & accountabilityAdopting and enforcing of clear rulesComplexity vs. simplicity (i.e. interconnection, etc.)International cooperation

Regulation in an era of convergence

Page 5: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Effective regulation

14

43

86

106

124137

148

1990 1995 1998 2000 2002 2004 2007

Regulatory agencies, world (cumulative)

59%

83%

89%

85%

Americas

Africa

Asia-Pacific

Europe

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database

Number of regulators worldwide

Percentage of regulators in each region, 2007

Page 6: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Competition

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database

Growth in competition and in nb of subscribers, selected services

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1995 1997 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Basic services MobileCountries

Grow th of competition, 1995 to 2006

Growth in fixed lines, mobile cellular subscribers and Internet users, in billions, 1996-2006

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

billi

ons

Fixed lines Mobile subscribers Internet users

Page 7: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Private ownership worldwide, 2007

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1991 1993 1995 1999 2001 2005 2007

nb o

f eco

nom

ies

Private State-owned

Status of fixed-line incumbents, worldwide, 1991-2007

Proportion of privately-owned incumbents, by region, 2007

74%

53%

56%

48%

76%Europe

Americas

Asia-Pacif ic

Africa

Arab States

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database

Page 8: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Sector reformPrivatizations of incumbent operators worldwide, 1997

The designations employed and the presentation of material in this map do not imply any opinion whatsoever on the part of the ITU concerning the legal or other status of any country, territory or area or any endorsement or acceptance of any boundary.

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database

Page 9: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Sector reformPrivatizations of incumbent operators worldwide, 2007

Page 10: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Functional Separation

A new kind of re-structuring?Separation of legacy fixed line operators’ non-replicable or bottleneck assets into a new business division which provides wholesale accessThis wholesale access division is kept separate from the incumbent’s own retail divisionsAustralia, Ireland, Italy, Mongolia, New Zealand, Sweden and U.K.

Page 11: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

LicensingTechnology and service neutralityTransparency (criteria, procedure time, terms, etc.)Expansion in the number of services that are subject to only minimal or even no licensing, andDevelopment of converged licensing frameworks that break down traditional service-based and technology-based licensing distinctions.Ensuring a level playing field between legacy operators and new market playersWhat about Voice over IP?

» GSR Best Practice Guidelines on Licensing (2004)

Page 12: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Interconnection Trends

Who has to provide?Different countries may require interconnection from incumbentsincumbentsor dominant operatorsdominant operators or operators with SMPoperators with SMPIncreasingly, countries take a technology neutral approach and impose interconnection obligations on all network operatorsall network operatorsStill asymmetric regulationasymmetric regulation places heavier interconnection obligations placed on major suppliers

When is it provided?Immediately through Reference Interconnection OfferDeadlines (e.g. 3 months – to 135 days from time of request)

How much does it cost?Cost-oriented rates, using fully allocated costs, LRIC or othersBenchmarkingPrivately negotiated

What information is available?Role of regulators’ websites to publish RIOs

Dispute settlement

Page 13: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

What interconnection information is made publicly

available?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Africa Americas Arab States Asia-Pacific Europe

Interconnection prices RIO Interconnection agreements

ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database (2005 & 2006)

Page 14: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008 14

IXPs and International gateway liberalization

Monopoly29%

Partial competition

17%

Competition54%

Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database

Number of IXPs and number of countries with and without IXP, by region, 2007

35

22

28

1918

13

21

35

020406080

100120140160180

Africa Americas Asia-Pacific Europe & CIS

Nb o

f IXP

s

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Nb o

f cou

ntrie

s pe

r reg

ion

Nb IXPs Countries without an IXP Countries with an IXP

Page 15: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

Universal access

» GSR Best Practice Guidelines on Universal Access (2003)

Universal Sevice ObligationTraditional Approach Implemented By PlacingObligations on Fixed Line Monopoly OperatorGoal: universal household connectionsLargely achieved in developed world

Universal Access OpportunityFirst step: Sector reform measuresUse of funds and smart subsidies combined with competitive auctionsGoal: promote public access to un-served areasMobile communications have reached more voice users than through fixed line USO programmesNew steps needed to promote broadband

Page 16: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

CompetitionCompetition, Price and , Price and TechnologyTechnology

Competitive bidding keeps subsidy, if any, lowLack of competition for access services willimpact financial viabilityPrice of services to end users and fromincoming calls can make or break financialviabilityTechnology choice can push forward the envelope of financial sustainability and affordability

Page 17: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008 17

Towards the second wave of sector reform

Liberalize the international gateways and VoIP to promote IP servicesLeverage on the success in the mobile market to migrate to IMT technologiesLeapfrog to fiber backbone and backhaul networks, by providing financial and fiscal incentives to encourage the deployment of backbone infrastructureCreate national IXPsContinue to use market liberalization and competition as a force for developmentThink outside the box

encouraging network deployment with incentivessupporting small-scale deployment in rural areasUsing infrastructure sharing and open access models to promote deployment

Promote cross-border harmonization for issues like international mobile roamingRemember where we started? . . . Convergence!First steps taken to address convergence; new issues arising for new applications and services like IPTV and mobile broadcasting

Page 18: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008

http://www.itu.int/GSR08/

GSR 2008

Trends in TelecommunicationReform 2008: Open Access &

Infrastructure Sharing

Six degrees of sharing: Six degrees of sharing:

Innovative infrastructuresharing and open accessstrategies to promote

affordable access for all

Coming soon!

Page 19: Susan Schorr, Head, a.i., Regulatory and Market ... · Monopoly 29% Partial competition 17% Competition 54% Liberalization of the int’l gateway worldwide, 2007 Source: ITU World

February 2008 19

Thank [email protected]

www.itu.int