survey of arizona registered voters

40
Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

Upload: others

Post on 22-Oct-2021

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

Page 2: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 2

Sample Size600 interviews with Arizona registered voters who are likely to vote in the November 2022 General Elections

Dates of Interview June 17 - 23, 2021

Languages of Interview English, Spanish

Margin of Error +/- 4.0 percentage points

METHODOLOGY

Page 3: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

IMAGE RATINGS &

ARIZONA AUDIT

Page 4: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 4

Governor Doug Ducey

2%

2%

21%

16%

28%

31%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat / Very Unfavorable

Very / Somewhat Favorable 47%

49%

4% of respondents did not recognize or

did not answer

Page 5: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 5

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Favorable 22% 72% 43%

Unfavorable 74% 25% 52%

Do not recognize/No answer 4% 3% 5%

Governor Doug Ducey

Page 6: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 6

3%

8%

31%

40%

18%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat / Very Unfavorable

Very / Somewhat Favorable 49%

48%

3% of respondents did not answer

President Joe Biden

Page 7: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 7

President Joe BidenBY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Favorable 94% 11% 49%

Unfavorable 5% 88% 49%

Do not recognize/No answer 1% 1% 2%

Page 8: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 8

Former President Donald Trump

3%

7%

32%

44%

14%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat / Very Unfavorable

Very / Somewhat Favorable 46%

51%

3% of respondentsdid not answer

Page 9: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 9

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Favorable 8% 86% 38%

Unfavorable 88% 14% 58%

Do not recognize/No answer 4% - 4%

Former President Donald Trump

Page 10: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 10

As you may or may not be aware, in Arizona there is currently an audit that is recounting ballots cast in Maricopa County from last November’s Presidential election. Based on what you know about the audit, do you support or oppose the Maricopa County audit of Presidential ballots?

5%

7%

37%

42%

9%

Don't know/No answer

Somewhat / Strongly Oppose

Strongly / Somewhat Support 46%

49%

Page 11: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 11

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Support 18% 75% 38%

Oppose 78% 19% 56%

Don’t know/No answer 4% 6% 6%

As you may or may not be aware, in Arizona there is currently an audit that is recounting ballots cast in Maricopa County from last November’s Presidential election. Based on what you know about the audit, do you support or oppose the Maricopa County audit of Presidential ballots?

Page 12: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 12

To give you a little more information, the Maricopa County audit of the 2020 Presidential ballots is the first full, hand-recount of all the ballots cast in the county last November. Initiated by Arizona Senate Republicans, the recount is being conducted by a firm with no experience in conducting election audits, and the company’s CEO also believes that widespread fraud marred the 2020 elections. Election experts, Democratic officials and Republican members of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors oppose the recount, pointing out the voting machines have already been checked by an accredited firm and that the election results were validated by a previous audit. Having now heard this information, do you support or oppose the new audit now happening in Maricopa County?

5%

7%

34%

44%

10%

Don't know/No answer

Somewhat / Strongly Oppose

Strongly / Somewhat Support 44%

51%

Page 13: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 13

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Support 17% 73% 37%

Oppose 79% 21% 59%

Don’t know/No answer 4% 6% 4%

To give you a little more information, the Maricopa County audit of the 2020 Presidential ballots is the first full, hand-recount of all the ballots cast in the county last November. Initiated by Arizona Senate Republicans, the recount is being conducted by a firm with no experience in conducting election audits, and the company’s CEO also believes that widespread fraud marred the 2020 elections. Election experts, Democratic officials and Republican members of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors oppose the recount, pointing out the voting machines have already been checked by an accredited firm and that the election results were validated by a previous audit. Having now heard this information, do you support or oppose the new audit now happening in Maricopa County?

Page 14: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 14

Thinking about future elections in Arizona, if a candidate for elected office in Arizona supported this Maricopa County audit, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate?

17%

9%

23%

37%

14%

Don't know/No answer

Somewhat / Much Less Likely

Much / Somewhat MoreLikely 37%

46%

Page 15: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 15

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

More likely 13% 63% 28%

Less likely 77% 15% 46%

Don’t know/No answer 10% 22% 26%

Thinking about future elections in Arizona, if a candidate for elected office in Arizona supported this Maricopa County audit, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate?

Page 16: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 16

Based on how he has performed as President so far, in your opinion does President Joe Biden deserve to be reelected to another 4-year term if he decides to run again in 2024?

37%

53%

10%

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 17: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 17

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Yes 81% 7% 26%

No 7% 91% 53%

Don’t know/No answer 12% 2% 21%

Based on how he has performed as President so far, in your opinion does President Joe Biden deserve to be reelected to another 4-year term if he decides to run again in 2024?

Page 18: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 18

Certified results of 2020 Presidential Election in Arizona

49.4% 49.1%

1.5%Joe Biden Donald Trump Other

1,672,143votes

1,661,686votes Biden +10,457

Page 19: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 19

If the election for President of the United States were held again today and the candidates were – Joe Biden and Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

51% 44%

5%

Joe Biden Donald Trump Don't know/No answer

Page 20: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 20

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Joe Biden 95% 8% 54%

Donald Trump 2% 86% 41%

Don’t know/No answer 3% 6% 5%

If the election for President of the United States were held again today and the candidates were – Joe Biden and Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?

Page 21: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

ARIZONA US SENATORSMARK KELLY &

KYRSTEN SINEMA

Page 22: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 22

US Senator Mark Kelly

6%

5%

18%

26%

23%

22%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat / Very Unfavorable

Very / Somewhat Favorable 48%

41%

11% of respondents did not recognize or

did not answer

Page 23: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 23

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Favorable 82% 17% 46%

Unfavorable 5% 75% 41%

Do not recognize/No answer 13% 8% 13%

US Senator Mark Kelly

Page 24: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 24

Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in whichMark Kelly is handling his job as United States Senator?

14%

13%

24%

22%

27%

Don't know/No answer

Somewhat / StronglyDisapprove

Strongly / Somewhat Approve 51%

35%

Page 25: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 25

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Approve 87% 19% 44%

Disapprove 6% 66% 31%

Don’t know/No answer 7% 15% 25%

Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which Mark Kelly is handling his job as United States Senator?

Page 26: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 26

US Senator Kyrsten Sinema

6%

7%

23%

11%

14%

39%

No answer

Do not recognize

Somewhat / Very Unfavorable

Very / Somewhat Favorable 50%

37%

13% of respondents did not recognize or

did not answer

Page 27: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 27

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Favorable 52% 51% 44%

Unfavorable 34% 36% 40%

Do not recognize/No answer 14% 13% 16%

US Senator Kyrsten Sinema

Page 28: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 28

Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in whichKyrsten Sinema is handling her job as United States Senator?

14%

23%

12%

13%

38%

Don't know/No answer

Somewhat / StronglyDisapprove

Strongly / Somewhat Approve 50%

36%

Page 29: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 29

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Approve 47% 54% 46%

Disapprove 38% 32% 40%

Don’t know/No answer 15% 14% 4%

Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which KyrstenSinema is handling her job as United States Senator?

Page 30: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 30

A filibuster is a procedure used in the U.S. Senate to block a bill from being put to a vote until a supermajority of 60 senators agree to end debate on it. Do you approve or disapprove of the filibuster or do you have no opinion?

18%

12%

34%

24%

12%

Don't know/No answer

Somewhat / StronglyDisapprove

Strongly / Somewhat Approve 46%

36%

Page 31: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 31

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Approve 25% 70% 41%

Disapprove 48% 15% 36%

Don’t know/No answer 27% 15% 23%

A filibuster is a procedure used in the U.S. Senate to block a bill from being put to a vote until a supermajority of 60 senators agree to end debate on it. Do you approve or disapprove of the filibuster or do you have no opinion?

Page 32: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 32

Arizona U.S. Senator Kyrsten Sinema has expressed a preference for maintaining the use of the filibuster in the U.S. Senate. This support may mean the policy priorities of President Biden and the Democratic Leadership may not have a chance of becoming law and being implemented. Do you support or oppose Senator Sinema’s decision to maintain the filibuster in the U.S. Senate?

11%

12%

36%

27%

14%

Don't know/No answer

Somewhat / Strongly Oppose

Strongly / Somewhat Support 50%

39%

Page 33: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 33

BY PARTY

Democrat Republican Independent

Support 21% 75% 51%

Oppose 68% 15% 37%

Don’t know/No answer 11% 10% 12%

Arizona U.S. Senator Kyrsten Sinema has expressed a preference for maintaining the use of the filibuster in the U.S. Senate. This support may mean the policy priorities of President Biden and the Democratic Leadership may not have a chance of becoming law and being implemented. Do you support or oppose Senator Sinema’s decision to maintain the filibuster in the U.S. Senate?

Page 34: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

DEMOGRAPHICS

Page 35: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 35

What is your current political party affiliation – Democrat, Republican, Libertarian, Other or No preference/No party?

40% 36%

12%

3%9%

Republican Democrat No preference/Noparty

Libertarian Other

Page 36: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 36

The media generally classifies people as Non-Hispanic White, Hispanic/Latino, Black, or Asian– what do you consider yourself?

76%

12%4% 2% 4% 2%

Non-Hispanic White Hispanic/Latino Black Asian Other Refused

Page 37: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 37

GENDER

47%53%Male Female

Page 38: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 38

AREA

77%

21%

2%Phoenix DMA and surrounding area Tucson DMA and surrounding area Yuma DMA and surrounding area

Page 39: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 39

Bendixen & Amandi International (B&A) is a full-service public opinion research and communications consultingfirm. B&A’s research capabilities include conducting live operator telephone polling, focus groups, executiveinterviews, door-to-door interviewing, economic impact studies, hard to reach populations and multilingualresearch in more than 30 languages. Utilizing research as the core of our work, the firm specializes in providingsound strategic recommendations and developing impactful multi-media communications campaigns through thecreation of TV/Radio commercials, digital advertising, direct mail and traditional print advertising. Since ourfounding in 1984, B&A has had the honor of conducting numerous complex and large scale projects forcorporations, NGO’s, governmental agencies, and political candidates across the United States and around theworld.

For additional information about the firm please visit www.BendixenandAmandi.com or call us at 305.529.9916

Page 40: Survey of Arizona Registered Voters

Survey of Arizona Registered Voters