supply chain collection model development and feasibility … · 2016. 10. 19. · supply chain...
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1 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Supply chain collection model development and feasibility
analysis of coffee grind resource for biofuel production.
Written By: Steven A. Corica,
Submission of Engineering Honours Student Thesis on the 20th day of June, 2016
School of Engineering and Information Technology
Murdoch University Perth, Western Australia
Supervisors: Professor Parisa Arabzadeh Bahri and Dr. Karne de Boer.
2 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Executive Summary As the world’s conventional source of energy is predominantly reliant on depleting non-renewable fuel
sources; the necessity to introduce a cleaner viable fuel alternative to the market to reduce the dependency
of conventional fuel is considered imperative for a sustainable future. An opportunity to utilise the coffee
grinds waste as a feedstock for biodiesel production has been considered as an alternative source of
energy. The objective of the paper is to evaluate whether or not this opportunity can be considered as a
economically viable option.
The paper assesses the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) per year pre-tax over the expected lifespan of the
project as a quantitative measure for economic feasibility for different production, collection and logistic
schemes for major cities within Australia. The available waste coffee residue (WCR) has been calculated
using assumption factors to mathematically model the likely collection of the resource for a specific area.
A sensitivity analysis has scrutinised the key assumption factors to find the affect that differing
independent variables have on the final project outcome.
The yields that have been further analysed throughout the paper represent material acquired from M. Haile
[1] in which 19.73% of oil is extracted from the WCR and a value of 80.4% conversion to biofuel from
the waste coffee oil.
The findings of the paper suggest that all Australian cities aside from Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane
can be dismissed as feasible locations for the project due to the operational expenditure for collection of
the dispersed resource exceeding potential revenue from the sale of the biofuel and biomass of the
remaining WCR.
Depending on initial investment and model selection, viable IRR can be expected in Sydney, Melbourne
and Brisbane. The feasible IRR values are directly related to the quantity of the resource available within
the city offsetting the operational and production expenditure.
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Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................... 2
Figures ....................................................................................................................................................................... 5
Tables ......................................................................................................................................................................... 6
Biodiesel Extraction Process ................................................................................................................................... 10
Coffee Consumption ............................................................................................................................................... 11
Global Coffee Consumption Study ................................................................................................................. 11
Analysis of Grind Resource Availability.......................................................................................................... 12
Total Revenue Available ................................................................................................................................. 14
Analysis of Resource Collection from Australian Cafés ......................................................................................... 15
Coffee & Café Establishments within Australia ............................................................................................. 17
Market Segmentation of Grind within Australia ........................................................................................... 18
Model Derived Resource Calculation ..................................................................................................................... 20
Collection Model 1 - Soluble Coffee Production Collection .......................................................................... 21
Perth, Western Australia Quantity ................................................................................................................. 26
Collection Model 2 – Approx. collection of grind resource from café and coffee shops in Perth (CM2) ..... 28
Collection Model 3 - The collection of grind resource from homes in a given area (CM3) .......................... 29
Adaption of Collection Models to Other Australian Cities ............................................................................ 30
Supply Chain and Logistics ...................................................................................................................................... 32
1. In-store Supermarket Processing ................................................................................................................... 33
1.1 Daisy Chain Collection – 30km Radius from Perth CBD ........................................................................... 35
1.2 Daisy Chain Collection – 30km Radius from Other Australian Cities ...................................................... 37
1.3 Star Collection Model - 30km Radius from Perth CBD............................................................................. 38
1.4 Star Collection Model - 30km Radius from Other Australian Cities ........................................................ 43
2. WCR Collection from IGA supermarket .......................................................................................................... 43
2.1 Logistics and Collection for Central Process Facility in Perth .................................................................. 44
2.2 Logistics and Collection for Central Process Facility Australian Cities .................................................... 46
2.3 Logistics and Collection for Multiple Process Facilities in Perth ............................................................. 47
2.4 Logistics and Collection for Multiple Process Facilities in Australia........................................................ 50
3. WCR Collection from IGA Supermarket by Waste Management Partners ................................................... 52
Cost Analysis ............................................................................................................................................................ 53
Nestle, Gympie Cost Analysis of Proposed Model ......................................................................................... 53
In-store Supermarket Processing ................................................................................................................... 58
WCR Collection from IGA Supermarket by Waste Management Partners ................................................... 68
Sensitivity Analysis .................................................................................................................................................. 72
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Sensitivity Analysis for Collection Model 1 .................................................................................................... 72
Sensitivity Analysis for Collection Model 2 .................................................................................................... 74
Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................................... 77
References ............................................................................................................................................................... 78
Appendix 1 ............................................................................................................................................................... 81
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Figures
Figure 1 – General Flow Chart of Biodiesel Process from WCR. M. Haile [1] .......................................................... 10
Figure 2 – Consumption of Global Coffee (1964-2012) ........................................................................................... 12
Figure 3 – Coffee Shop Establishments in Australia (%) .......................................................................................... 17
Figure 4 – Types of Coffee Imported Into Australia from 2007 to 2011 .................................................................. 20
Figure 5 – Flow Diagram of Spent Coffee Ground Waste to Fluidised Bed Boiler ................................................... 23
Figure 6 – Perth and Greater Metro Area IGA Locations ......................................................................................... 34
Figure 7 – Block Diagram Daisy Chain Logistics Model ........................................................................................ 35
Figure 8 – IGA Supermarkets Located within 30km Radius of Perth CBD ............................................................... 36
Figure 9 – 30km Radius from Parramatta, Sydney (Highlighted Pink Region Sydney Boundary) ......................... 38
Figure 10 – Block Diagram Star Collection Model.................................................................................................... 39
Figure 11 – Biofuel Available From IGA Supermarkets in Perth Over a Year ........................................................... 40
Figure 12 – Frequency of Collection When 200L Available at IGA Supermarket (In-store Processing Model) ....... 40
Figure 13 – Frequency of Collection When 400L Available at IGA Supermarket (In-store Processing Model) ....... 41
Figure 14 – Frequency of Collection When 600L Available at IGA Supermarket (In-store Processing Model) ....... 41
Figure 15 – Gross Profit Per Year (1st Year) Comparing Sale Price of Coffee Oil ...................................................... 55
Figure 16 – Gross Profit Over Lifespan of Project Comparing Sale Price of Coffee Oil ............................................ 56
Figure 17 – Interest Return Per Year Pre-Tax Against Varying Capital Expenditure for Nestle Model .................... 58
Figure 18 – Gross Loss per Year for Instore Processing Model in Australia ............................................................. 61
Figure 19 – Gross Profit Over A Year Period Comparing Different Collection Periods ............................................ 65
Figure 20 – Internal Rate of Return Varying Capital Expenditure for Central Processing Model ............................ 66
Figure 21 – Gross Profit Available for Waste Management Partner Collection Model ........................................... 70
Figure 22 – Internal Rate of Return per Year Pre-Tax for Waste Management Partner Collection Model ............. 71
Figure 23 – IRR Sensitivity Analysis Comparing Operating Hours of Nestle ............................................................ 74
Figure 24 – IRR Sensitivity Analysis Comparing Multiplication Factor for Likelihood Collection of WCR ................ 76
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Tables Table 1 – Global Coffee Consumption, WCR Collection and Potential Maximum Revenue ............................................. 15
Table 2 – Total WCR Resource Available From Cafes and Coffee Shops in Australia ....................................................... 17
Table 3 – Potential Revenue of Biofuel for Café and Coffee Shops within Australia ........................................................ 18
Table 4 – Market Segmentation of Coffee within Australia ............................................................................................. 19
Table 5 – Nestle Gympie Assumed Current Energy Requirements .................................................................................. 24
Table 6 – Nestle Gympie Proposed Energy Model ........................................................................................................... 26
Table 7 – Model 2 Calculations for Perth ......................................................................................................................... 29
Table 8 – Model 3 Calculations for Perth ......................................................................................................................... 30
Table 9 – Resources Available from WCR Collection Over A Year Period in Australia ...................................................... 30
Table 10 – Derived WCR Collection Model Calculations Over A Year Period in Australia ................................................ 31
Table 11 – Resources Available from WCR Collection Over A Year Period in Australia .................................................... 32
Table 12 – Available Resources and Expense Factors (In-store Processing Model) ......................................................... 37
Table 13 – Resource Collection via Daisy Chain Collection Model (In-store Processing Model) ...................................... 38
Table 14 – Total Collection Periods for Biofuel in Perth with Varying Quantities (In-store Processing Model) ............... 42
Table 15 – Total Distance for Resource Collection in Perth with Varying Quantities (In-store Processing Model) ......... 42
Table 16 – Time Required for Biofuel Collection for Varying Quantities in Perth (In-store Processing Model) ............... 43
Table 17 – Distance Travelled And WCR Collection for Daisy Chain Model in Perth for Three Courier Zones ................. 45
Table 18 – Total Time and Distance Travelled for Different Collection Periods in Perth ................................................. 46
Table 19 – WCR Quantity for Different Collection Periods in Australia ............................................................................ 46
Table 20 – Total Time and Distance Travelled for Different Collection Periods in Australia ............................................ 47
Table 21 – Pivot Table of Collection Zones in Perth (Multiple Process Model) ................................................................ 48
Table 22 – Multiple Process Facilities Separated in Zones ............................................................................................... 48
Table 23 – WCR Summary of Perth Multiple Process Zones ............................................................................................ 49
Table 24 – WCR Quantity for Zone Collection in Perth ..................................................................................................... 49
Table 25 – Total Distance for Zone Collection for Different Collection Periods (Multiple Process Model) ...................... 49
Table 26 – Feasible Zone Collection Calculation for Australian Cities .............................................................................. 51
Table 27 – Total Distance Travelled for Zone Collection in Australia ............................................................................... 51
Table 28 – Total Time and Distance for Different Collection Periods in Australia (Multiple Process Model) .................. 52
Table 29 – Assumed Current Vs Proposed Sawdust Requirements for Nestle Energy Model ......................................... 53
Table 30 – Nestle Energy Model Comparisson ................................................................................................................. 54
Table 31 – Operational Expenditure if DME Process Model Implemented on Site .......................................................... 54
Table 32 – Total Gross Profit Value Neglecting Capital Expenditure for DME Process Implemented at Nestle .............. 57
Table 33 – Department of Transport of W.A Freight Guideline Rates .............................................................................. 59
Table 34 – Total Expense Per Year for Daisy Chain Collection Model .............................................................................. 59
Table 35 – Total Revenue Per Year for Daisy Chain Collection Model.............................................................................. 60
Table 36 – Varying Capital Expenditure Multiplied by Quantity of Processes for Each City ............................................ 62
Table 37 – Operational Expenditure of Production Process for Central Process System ................................................. 63
Table 38 – Operational Expenditure For Collecting WCR ................................................................................................. 64
Table 39 – Total Available Revenue for Central Processing Systems ............................................................................... 64
Table 40 – Operational Expenditure of Production Process for Multiple Processing System Model ............................... 67
Table 41 – Resources Available and Revenue for Multiple Processing System in Australia ............................................. 67
Table 42 – Gross Profit Available Utilising Waste Management Partners ........................................................................ 69
Table 43 – Fuel Share Available to Waste Management Partners ................................................................................... 69
Table 44 – Green House Gas (GHG) Emission Comparisson of Biodiesel B100 and Equivalent Diesel ............................. 70
Table 45 – Revenue with respect to Differing Operating Hours at Nestle Production Facility ......................................... 73
Table 46 – Gross Profit with Respect to Differing Operating Hours at Nestle Production Facility ................................... 73
Table 47 – Gross Profit with Respect to Sensitivity Analysis of Multiplication Factor for Model 2 .................................. 75
7 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Acknowledgements
Firstly, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my honours thesis supervisors Professor Parisa
Bahri and Dr. Karne De Boer for their continuous support throughout the project. Their patience,
motivation, knowledge and advice has helped me achieve the highest possible quality of work for which
I am very grateful.
Besides my supervisors, I would like to thank the rest of the Engineering staff at Murdoch University
whom over the past five and a half years have continually supported me and provided me with the
knowledge I have acquired.
I thank my fellow class mates for the stimulating discussions, for the sleepless nights we were working
together before deadlines, and for all the fun we have had over the years.
I would like to thank my first Engineering Manager, Andy Stevenson, whom provided me with an
opportunity to be part of his team, as well as the encouragement for continual improvement.
I would like to thank my friends for understanding my busy schedule and not holding it against me for
missing several events. I deserve and accept the nick name of ‘Digital Steve”.
I would like to thank my family: my parents Charlie and Mary Corica, my sisters Jody and Jessica and
brother in-laws Raymond and Matthew for continual support throughout my studies and my life in
general. Without you I would not be the person I am today.
Last but not the least, I would like to thank my beautiful partner Sarah Elford, for putting up with me over
the past few years and for continually encouraging and supporting me.
8 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Introduction
With society’s increasing concern of the effect that the combustion of fossil fuels has on the environment,
along with the growing demand for energy and the depletion of current fuel reserves; there is a push to
identify alternate viable sources of renewable energy.
An opportunity to utilise the coffee grinds waste as a feedstock for biodiesel production has been
considered as an alternative source of energy. The project objective is to evaluate whether or not this
opportunity can be economically considered as a viable option.
The preliminary objective of this paper is a study of the collection of the dispersed resource itself, with
respect to the quantity that is available. This paper analyses multiple collection models, based on
mathematical models and assumptions to determine the resource available for a specified area.
The collection philosophy is to utilise existing supermarkets based in a given area where population
density and coffee shop establishment density is high. Different logistic models and collection strategies
analysing the cost and investment potential have been evaluated throughout the paper to find an optimised
strategy.
Included in the paper is the development study of implementing the dimethyl ether (DME) process system
at a soluble coffee production and manufacturing facility where the Waste Coffee Residue (WCR) is
readily available. Energy calculations have been undertaken to provide a comparison with the assumed
current model implemented at the facility and the proposed model.
Economic and financial viability has been explored through analysis providing a quantitative measure by
evaluating the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) per year pre-tax over an expected lifespan of the project. As
the initial capital expenditure of the different schemes is unknown, a varying capital expenditure with
respect to IRR has been plotted to determine the feasibility of the project and also to provide break even
values from an initial investment point of view.
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Each implementation model has varied risks, in which the accepted IRR percentage has been aligned. For
schemes in which the collection of the dispersed resource is required, the risk significantly increases due
to the reliance on obtaining the WCR in comparison to models where the resource is readily available.
To adjust to this risk, the IRR pre-tax per year percentages for models which rely on collection has been
set for investment feasibility at 15% and the model where the resource is readily available at 9%.
A sensitivity analysis in which key assumptions and computations with respect to the collection model
factors have been altered to assess the effect of the final derived IRR value to evaluate the uncertainty of
the key assumptions made.
The Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) discounts awarded by the Clean Energy Regulator of Australia
have not been taken into account in this paper. This is because the paper focuses not on generating
electricity from the resource, but from the sale of the alternative renewable energy source itself.
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Biodiesel Extraction Process
To utilise the WCR as a renewable source of fuel, different production process systems can be applied.
Most commonly, the oil is extracted from the WCR using n-hexane process system as per Figure 1.
FIGURE 1 – GENERAL FLOW CHART OF BIODIESEL PROCESS FROM WCR. M. HAILE [1]
Research and analysis has been undertaken by the stakeholders of this paper to develop a more effective
and efficient process system to replace the traditional hexane solvent extraction method. The process
system which has been identified for optimal performance to produce higher yields under similar
conditions is the use of dimethyl ether (DME) as the extraction solvent. The DME model does pose further
complications, of which under standard conditions, takes the form of vapour.
11 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
For the purpose of this paper, the extraction process that will be implemented will not disturb the final
outcome; which is to develop a supply chain collection model for the WCR and undertake an economic
feasibility assessment of the biofuel production system if it were to be implemented in Australia.
The yields that have been further analysed throughout the paper represent material acquired from M. Haile
[1] in which a yield 19.73% of oil is extracted using n-hexane.
The biofuel development occurs via a two-step process incorporating, “acid catalysed esterification
followed by base catalysed transesterification using catalysts sulfuric acid and sodium hydroxide
respectively” [1]. The conversion value of WCR oil to biodiesel used throughout this paper is 80.4%.
Coffee Consumption
Global Coffee Consumption Study
An important part of any commercial model for an alternative fuel source supply business is the
availability and collection of the energy resource. This paper which focuses on harnessing and extracting
the energy from coffee grind resource requires people around the world to consume coffee.
The aim of this section of the paper is to conduct research and analysis to provide accurate information
on possible collection of the dispersed grind resource itself; so that further models with respect to logistics,
supply chain and Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) can be accurately modelled and calculated.
As per data from 2008, a total of 7,358,897 [2] metric tonnes of coffee is consumed globally. This on
average equates to approximately 1.3kg per person per year [2].
The future outlook of coffee consumption globally will continue to grow at a rate of approximately 2%
per year given past data and trends [3].
12 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
The measurement “Million Bags” in Figure 2 below indicates the International standard of a bag of coffee
beans weighing 60kg. It is evident as per Figure 2, the consumption from traditional markets has stabilised
whilst continued growth from emerging markets and exporting countries has increased significantly over
the time period.
FIGURE 2 – CONSUMPTION OF GLOBAL COFFEE (1964-2012)
Analysis of Grind Resource Availability
Initially, all major cities included in this section of the report for analysis have data in the form of
approximate coffee consumption based on ‘green bean equivalent’ [2].
Green bean equivalent is an unroasted coffee bean which has the approximate ratio of 1kg of roasted
coffee to 1.19kg of green coffee beans. The conversion as shown in Table 1, (Column D) is 0.8403
multiplied by green bean equivalent (column C).
Experimentation was undertaken to find the relationship of roasted coffee beans and the available
remaining resource once coffee had been produced. The value using an automatic coffee machine, with
weight 700 grams blend of Arabica and Robusta beans indicated a total mass value of 1519 grams waste
resource. The resultant average of coffee beans to grind waste resource was 1 gram in of beans to 2.17
grams out of resource.
Mass balance states that in a model with no external interaction or losses, mass into the system will equal
mass out. With this in mind, it is obvious that water adds moisture to the grind resource and is the reason
13 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
for the increase of weight resource from the initial 1 gram. This approximate model 1: 2.17 conversion of
roast bean to resource has been used throughout the initial stage of the report.
With the moisture content of the waste resource now approximately known, the resource can be dried and
then weighed again to accurately identify how much of the weight value was moisture content and how
much of the beans weight was lost through the production of the coffee.
The figure of the final moisture content value after the dehydration of moisture had taken place was
approximately 59%. The final weight of the resource available for biodiesel production from the initial
starting value of 700 grams of coffee beans was 623 grams. To ensure testing throughout the process was
conducted correctly, further research from Haile, Mebrahtu [1] was undertaken which identified the
average moisture content of the beans from coffee production being 57.2% of the resource. This value,
57.2% is very close to the value obtained from experimentation and has been used as an approximation
in Table 1, Column F.
To calculate the oil extracted from the grind weight, the Hexane extraction model figures identified and
published by Haile, Mebrahtu [1] of 19.73% have been utilised to give the project a clear and precise
value. This value has been implemented in the Table 1, Column G.
A conversion figure, after the esterification of waste coffee residue oil to biofuel diesel of 80.4% has been
used to calculate the mass value of biofuel available in terms of ‘millions of kilograms’. This is shown
for each city that has been analysed in Table 1, Column H.
As biodiesel is traded on the commodity market using volumetric units, the figure is then rearranged to
reflect this. As the current mass value of biofuel is in kilograms a conversion is required. Mass is equal
to the multiplication of 𝑉𝑜𝑙𝑢𝑚𝑒 𝑏𝑦 𝐷𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑦; and the density of the biofuel is calculated to 891.5𝑘𝑔
𝑚3. With
the density and the mass available of the biofuel now known, a volumetric figure, in the form of 𝑚3can
be calculated. This is shown for each city that has been analysed in Table 1, Column I.
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Total Revenue Available
From the biodiesel production process explained briefly in Figure 1, the product after the oil extraction
would suggest the fuel would be considered in its pure form, with no blend. Pure form biodiesel is
signified as B100, meaning that it is 100% biodiesel. This type of fuel quality is recognised by the
Department of the Environment of Australia in the Fuel Quality Standards Act, 2000.
On March the 9th 2016, B100 biodiesel can be purchased by an end user within Australia, for example,
Ecotech Biodiesel [4] at $1.07 per litre or $1070.00 Australian Dollars per 𝑚3 inclusive of GST. It should
be noted, that the current market conditions for all types of oil are at the lowest level seen since 2003.
Table 1 Indicates the total available resource located for the given city if 100% of the dispersed resource
was collected and could be utilised to produce energy. Table 1, Column J, also gives the reader an
approximation of how much revenue can be made in Australian dollars when sold to the final end user.
This figure indicates maximum potential revenue with consideration to the price of the biofuel.
Reality would indicate that collection of 100% of the dispersed coffee grind resource would not be
feasible; so moving forward, a more precise model will be calculated with a revised collection percentage.
15 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 1 – GLOBAL COFFEE CONSUMPTION, WCR COLLECTION AND POTENTIAL MAXIMUM REVENUE
Analysis of Resource Collection from Australian Cafés
It is currently known from statistics reports from IBISWorld that Australian Cafes & Coffee Shops [5]
generate 5.3 billion AUD of revenue every year with 7,264 business enterprises and a total of 9,634
establishments.
A further break down from the statistics indicates that of those 5.3 billion Australian dollars, 51.5% of
the revenue is generated directly from coffee sales. This would mean that approximately 2.7295 billion
AUD in revenue is made from coffee sales in café & coffee shops around Australia alone.
Food standards Australia and New Zealand indicate that on average the medium/regular sized coffee sold
at cafés and coffee shops is approximately 350mL [6]. As per the Specialty Coffee Association of America
16 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
[7] , it is noted that 0.055g of roasted coffee bean per 1mL of water is required per standard cupping ratio,
or equivalently 1.5 shots of coffee at 9 grams per shot per standard cupping ratio.
This indicates that the medium sized coffee would contain approximately 13.5 grams of roasted coffee
beans. It has been noted from research that the price of an average medium sized coffee throughout
Australia can differ in price with respect to location, to give an overall indication to the stakeholders; the
national average of $3.63 has been used for approximation [8].
With this given information, a mass value of roasted coffee beans used by coffee shops around Australia
can be calculated. This equation is shown below:
$2.7295𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛
$3.63= 751.9284𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑐𝑢𝑝𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑒 𝑠𝑜𝑙𝑑 𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝐶𝑎𝑓𝑒 & 𝐶𝑜𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑒 𝑆ℎ𝑜𝑝𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝐴𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑎
751.9284 𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑐𝑢𝑝𝑠 ∗ 0.0135𝑘𝑔
= 10151033 𝑘𝑔𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑜𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑓𝑟𝑜𝑚 𝐶𝑎𝑓𝑒 & 𝐶𝑜𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑒 𝑆ℎ𝑜𝑝𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝐴𝑢𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑎
Knowing that café and coffee shops in Australia consume 10.151 million kilograms of roasted beans; and
that there is currently in Australia 9,634 establishments in this market, an average roasted coffee bean
consumption per establishment can be generated as well as an approximate average model for available
Waste Coffee Residue (WCR).
10151033𝑘𝑔
9,634𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑖𝑠ℎ𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠= 1053.668𝑘𝑔 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑜𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑏𝑒𝑎𝑛𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑖𝑠ℎ𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
With the figure of average roasted beans per café & coffee shop establishment within Australia now
calculated, the factors for the resource grind conversion of 2.17:1 of roasted beans and the 57.2% total
mass of moisture can be now included to the equation to get an approximate figure for grind resource
available per establishment.
1053.668𝑘𝑔 ∗ 2.17 ∗ (1 − 0.572) = 978.6𝑘𝑔 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑜𝑢𝑟𝑐𝑒 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑖𝑠ℎ𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
17 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Coffee & Café Establishments within Australia
The breakdown of the 9,634 establishments within Australia is shown Figure 3. [5]
FIGURE 3 – COFFEE SHOP ESTABLISHMENTS IN AUSTRALIA (%)
Utilising this information from IBISWorld [5], values can be calculated to show the total available grind
that could be collected from coffee shops and cafés within each State of Australia as per Table 2.
TABLE 2 – TOTAL WCR RESOURCE AVAILABLE FROM CAFES AND COFFEE SHOPS IN AUSTRALIA
With knowledge of how much grind resource is available in each café and coffee establishment across
Australia as per Table 2, further calculations can be completed to derive the total volume of biofuel
Victoria, 28.8
N.T, 0.5
Queensland, 17.5
West Australia, 8.6
South Australia, 5.6
ACT, 2
NSW, 35.1
Tasmania, 1.9
Coffee Shop Establishments in Australia (%)
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resource available and potential revenue of sale of the biofuel from all café and coffee shops within
Australia.
The value of fuel is as per mentioned earlier from in this section of the report $1070 per 𝑚3.
TABLE 3 – POTENTIAL REVENUE OF BIOFUEL FOR CAFÉ AND COFFEE SHOPS WITHIN AUSTRALIA
If all the dispersed coffee grind resource was collected from every single café and coffee shop within
Australia the total volume of biodiesel available would be 1678𝑚3 with the maximum revenue
approximately $1,794,971 as per Table 3.
Market Segmentation of Grind within Australia
The market for importing green coffee beans within Australia has grown continuously the past few years.
Most of this growth within Australia is due to the strong domestic demand for local roasted coffee beans
[9]. Although most of the recent growth in terms of domestic demand is for specialty roasted coffee beans
and pods, instant coffee still remains the most consumed coffee product.
As per the data collected by the Australian Bureau of Statistics in 2011-2012, approximately 17 million
cups of coffee were consumed on a given average day in Australia [10]. Of these 17 million cups of
coffee consumed, a breakdown of 2/3 of the total amount consumed was instant coffee, with the
remaining 1/3 consumed being either roasted coffee beans or fresh coffee grounds [10].
19 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Instant coffee is consumed at twice the rate of roasted coffee beans and freshly ground coffee in Australia;
however the total green bean equivalent (GBE) to produce the consumed Instant coffee is less than what
is required to produce the alternative.
A smaller amount of GBE is required as the consumer utilises only a small portion of soluble product to
produce the instant coffee. The ICO, also known as the International Coffee Organization has agreed on
the following conversion factor of “soluble coffee to green bean by multiplying the net weight of
soluble coffee by 2.6” [11].
The average serving standard of soluble coffee is approximately 2.5 grams of roast bean of product per
cup which converts to 6.5 grams of GBE. As previously documented, the average quantity of roast
coffee bean per cup of coffee is approximately 13.5 grams which when applying the adaptation factor
for GBE, equates to 16.065 grams. When a comparison of both the values is undertaken as per Table 4,
it is evident that there is nearly three times as much GBE coffee per cup and a total of 17,433kg
consumption difference of GBE per day in terms of weight between soluble and roasted coffee.
TABLE 4 – MARKET SEGMENTATION OF COFFEE WITHIN AUSTRALIA
It is evident that a figure of 2.73kg of green bean per capita in Australia is used to produce coffee.
However, Australia imports over 70 million kg of green bean coffee per year as per Figure 4, which
equates to a value closer to 3kg of green bean per capita. The additional 0.3kg per capita or 7,200,000 kg
20 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
per year of green bean indicates that potentially a high amount of coffee has gone rancid or unused or
even that the green beans are being utilised for alternative applications, such as herbal medicine.
[12]
FIGURE 4 – TYPES OF COFFEE IMPORTED INTO AUSTRALIA FROM 2007 TO 2011
From an economic perspective to achieve maximum profit, all alternatives into the quantity and collection
of the resource available must be considered. The information presented in Table 4 is significant due to
the fact that the initial intended business model was to collect predominantly the waste from coffee shops
and cafés in Australia.
Using the figures in Table 4, and the intended business model discussed above, it is apparent that if total
grind waste collection from only coffee shops and cafés was to occur, only 12% of the available resource
in Australia could be collected. With this knowledge now available, the business model has now had to
be reconsidered and a concept which will improve the overall percentage collection of the waste grind
resource will be implemented.
Model Derived Resource Calculation
Although calculating the total resource available in a given area is useful, it does not give enough
information on whether or not the project will be feasible from an economic perspective.
21 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Calculating an accurate model which will endeavour to predict the amount of resource that is likely to be
collected for a given area will provide enough information to produce economic and commercial
constraints for the project.
Initially, the project collection is separated into three models that will sum up to the total expected
resource available for collection in a given city. These have initially been selected based on the research
already undertaken, these are:
1. The collection of grind resource from soluble coffee production manufacturers.
2. The collection of grind resource from café and coffee shops in a given area.
3. The collection of grind resource from homes/workplace in a given area
The idea behind the collection methodology is to try and develop an approach where the collection of the
grind resource is maximised from the above models whilst keeping the capital and operational expenditure
down. Explanation with respect to supply chain and logistics will be further developed in the next stage
of this paper; however, for now a central collection point for a designated area which can include the
collection from each model mentioned above will be implemented.
The collection philosophy will utilise already existing supermarkets based in a given area where
population density and coffee shop establishment density is high. These figures are seen to be the most
influential figures when calculating the consumption and availability of the grind resource.
Collection Model 1 - Soluble Coffee Production Collection Throughout the research component of this project, it became evident that obtaining the collection grind
from soluble coffee production manufacturers (Model 1) would be very unlikely. The reason being for
this is that these companies already have a solid foundation in place that enables them to harness and
utilise the energy from the grind resource in a sustainable way. The other main reason is that there are
very limited soluble coffee manufacturing companies around the world, especially within Australia.
22 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
The biggest Australian manufacturer of soluble coffee is Nestle brand which account for 74% of the
market [13]. Currently, the biggest soluble coffee production factory in Australia is Nestle owned and is
located in Gympie, 200km north of Brisbane which produces over 10,000 tonnes of instant plus roast and
ground coffee per year.
The Gympie Factory utilises the discarded coffee grounds as a clean, renewable fuel source. In this
system, the spent coffee grounds leave the coffee production process at 2 tonne per hour with moisture
content of 75%. From the process the grounds enter a dewatering screw press which reduces the moisture
content to approximately 55% where the grinds are air conveyed to a fluidised bed boiler [14], the grind
is then burnt as fuel to produce steam for the coffee production process. The spent coffee grinds account
for directly 60% of the steam required, with the remainder produced from hardwood sawdust for the co-
generation system.
The system utilises a Babcock Wilcox Towerpak boiler and has a steam output of 24 tonnes per hour at
22 bar [15]. The co-generation scheme incorporates a cold-start butane system and is projected to save
4,000 tonnes per annum of greenhouse gas emissions with the fluidised bed boiler having a thermal
efficiency of 75% with particulate emissions lower that 10 parts per million [16].
The total energy conversion between the biofuel extraction system discussed within this report and the
scheme currently implemented at the Nestle factory in Gympie can be calculated and the efficiency of
each compared. The approximate comparison can be done comparing the heating value (calorific value)
of the fuel substances. The calorific value can be measured in units of energy per unit of the substance in
mass.
WCR, depending on type of coffee bean consumed and measured (variation in the oil yield changes with
respect to variety of coffee, solvent type and cultivation climate), has a high calorific power value of
approximately 5,000 kcal/kg (20.92 𝑀𝐽/𝑘𝑔) [17]. In comparison with that of dry hardwood, ~17 𝑀𝑗/𝑘𝑔
[18], WCR has a superior calorific value and is often the preferred choice in industrial boilers.
23 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Utilising the production figures available a Flow Diagram as per Figure 5 can be arranged to find the total
input to the boiler in terms of mass flow rate of WCR. From this information and applying the approximate
calorific value already known, the approximate output energy of the system can be calculated.
FIGURE 5 – FLOW DIAGRAM OF SPENT COFFEE GROUND WASTE TO FLUIDISED BED BOILER
Of the 1,111 kg per hour of WCR that is sent to the fluidised bed boiler, 55% of this is moisture. The
‘boiler’ process removes the moisture and for each kg of remaining residue left, the calorific value is
multiplied. Not included in the back of the envelope calculation for the system is the 75% thermal
efficiency of the fluidised bed boiler.
The equation below, represents the total available energy content of the WCR when burnt neglecting
inefficiencies and factors such as boiler blowdown.
1,111𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟∗ 20.92
𝑀𝐽
𝑘𝑔∗ (1 − 0.55) = 10,458.95
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟
As previously mentioned, the weight of the 1,111𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟 WCR fed to the fluidised bed boiler is of moisture
content 55% equating to 611𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟 . Energy is required to evaporate the water value of 611
𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟. The energy
consumption of this phase change for this process can be calculated utilising the heat of vaporization for
water which is 2.257𝑀𝐽
𝑘𝑔 .
611𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟∗ 2.257
𝑀𝐽
𝑘𝑔= 1379.027
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟
24 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Therefore the total energy available from the WCR which is burnt as fuel for the coffee production process
at Gympie factory is as per equation below.
10,458.95 𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟− 1,379.027
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟= 9,079.923
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟
As Nestle is a production and manufacturing operation, it is assumed they operate 24 hours a day. If a
factor of 20% for shutdowns and maintenance was assumed the total operating time of the plant over the
year would be (8760*0.8) approximately 7000 hours.
7,000 ℎ𝑟 ∗ 15,133.21𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟 = 105,932,470
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟
Table 5 displays the current energy model requirements incorporating resource quantities for Nestle
Gympie factory for the coffee production system inclusive of assumptions.
TABLE 5 – NESTLE GYMPIE ASSUMED CURRENT ENERGY REQUIREMENTS
Assumed Current Energy Model Energy (MJ/hr) Resource
(kg/hr) Energy (GJ/Yr.)
Resource (kg/Yr.)
Waste Coffee Residue (20.92MJ/kg) 10459.0 500.0 73296.3 3500000.0
Sawdust (17MJ/kg) 6053.3 356.1 42421.4 2492527.1
Water Boil off (2.257MJ/kg) -1379.0 611.0 -9664.2 4277000.0
Total Energy Required for Gympie 15133.2 MJ/hr 106053.51 GJ/Yr.
If the WCR was converted into biofuel as discussed in this paper with the calorific value 37.88 MJ/kg [1],
the energy content and the quantity of the biofuel available would be as follows:
1,111𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟∗ (1 − 0.55) ∗ 0.1973 ∗ 0.804 = 79.31
𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑖𝑜𝑓𝑢𝑒𝑙 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒
79.31𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟∗ 37.88
𝑀𝐽
𝑘𝑔= 3,004.137
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟
25 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
The energy content value of the biofuel 3,004.137𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟 can be subtracted from the initial energy content
to determine the remaining energy available in the WCR to be burnt to produce steam in the cogeneration
facility.
10,458.95𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟− 3004.137
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟= 7454.813
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟
The coffee grinds produce 60% of the steam required to provide energy for the coffee production process.
The 60% value equates to 9,079.923𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟 which indicates the coffee production at Gympie Factory requires
an energy total of approximately 15,133.21𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟. Hardwood Sawdust is used to provide the remaining 40%
(6,053.282𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟) of steam for the cogeneration system.
For example, if the biofuel was extracted and harnessed, and the WCR only were utilised for steam
conversion, an increase of sawdust would be required to provide the surplus energy. However, before this
can be accurately calculated, consideration of power consumption of the DME process needs to be taken
into account.
After correspondence with the stakeholder of the DME process; Dr. Karne DeBoer, it was ascertained
that the power consumption and electrical requirements of the system would be 0.2kWh/kg of oil
produced.
The total energy required from the sawdust can be calculated as per the following equation below.
15,133.21 𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟− 7,454.813
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟− 57.1
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟= 7,735.5
𝑀𝐽
ℎ𝑟
This results in an increase of 11% from the original 40% of total input energy required for the co-
generation system from the hardwood saw dust.
7,735.5 / 15,133.21 = 51.12%
26 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 6 – NESTLE GYMPIE PROPOSED ENERGY MODEL
Proposed Energy Model Energy (MJ/hr)
Resource (kg/hr)
Energy (GJ/Yr.) Resource (kg/Yr.)
Waste Coffee Resiude (20.92MJ/kg) 10459.0 500.0
Oil Extracted for Biodiesel (37.88MJ/kg) -3004.1 79.3 -21053.0 555146.8
Electrical Power Requirements of DME Process (0.2kWh/kg) -57.1 -400.2
Remaining WCR Energy Content (17.72MJ/kg) 7454.8 420.7 52243.3 2944853.2
Sawdust (17MJ/kg) 7735.5 455.0 54210.4 3185204.6
Total Energy Required for Gympie 15133.2 MJ/hr 106053.51 GJ/Yr.
Table 6 above indicates the requirements if the proposed model of the DME extraction system for biofuel
was implemented at Nestlé’s Gympie production factory. The results in both Table 5 and Table 6 clearly
show the 11% increase of Sawdust required to provide the additional energy lost to the biofuel production
would equate to an additional 98.9 kg/hr (455-356.1). Over the year Nestle Gympie production factory
would require an additional 692,677 kilograms of sawdust to maintain the same level of power generation.
However, the available biofuel that can be extracted and harnessed for sale would be 79.3 kg/hr or
555,146.8 kg/Yr.
For the purpose of this report, as Nestle brand account for 74% of the market for soluble coffee production
within Australia [13], and with the majority of that percentage produced at the Gympie factory, all other
soluble coffee producing factories will be neglected when modelling the collection amount of the
dispersed resource for a given area.
Further analysis for Model 1 “The collection of grind resource from soluble coffee production
manufacturers” will include Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), maximum profit and revenue calculations
inclusive of capital and operational expenditure.
Perth, Western Australia Quantity
As the study for this scope of work was undertaken in Perth, Western Australia, a thorough analysis for
this city has been completed.
27 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
A supermarket chain, Independent Grocers Alliance (IGA) has been identified as the supermarket of
choice for the central collection point within Western Australia. The thought behind this is not only does
the supermarket chain have a market share of 24% of grocery sales within the state [19]; it has
approximately 140 store supermarket locations [20], which span across the state and will be able to
provide the most adequate collection model for the dispersed resource.
As the economy changes and an increasing number of competitors enter the supermarket industry across
the state over time, the idea of solely utilising IGA may change. The idea to only utilise one chain store
initially was that it would provide the supermarket chain with marketing incentive over its competitors to
attract and retain customers, it would also make business agreements easier to manage; and a reward
program could be implemented to entice and encourage people or businesses to drop off their grind
resource.
Attached in Appendix 1 of this paper is the data collated through research with respect to the location of
all IGA stores within Western Australia. This includes the population of people who reside in the same
suburb of each given IGA (data collected via Wikipedia – Suburb Profile), and includes the number of
cafés, coffee shops and restaurants in this suburb (data collected via truelocal.com).
The philosophy of the model and likely the largest risk to the concept is that it relies solely on the delivery
of the grind waste resource. To account for this in a more accurate way, a factor to account for the
likelihood of receiving the grind from café and coffee shops is implemented into the calculation.
It is understood that if café and coffee shop owners had easy access to a waste deposit system, which
would be located in the same suburb and within a certain distance of the actual business entity, then this
would encourage most owners to drop their grind waste off to the centrally located IGA every few days,
or even every week.
Furthermore, implementing a reward for the delivery of the grind waste, as well as the motivation of
supporting a renewable energy initiative will also increase the probability of the resource collection. The
reward or incentives for the delivery of the grind waste in this paper has not been explored in depth. This
28 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
will need to be negotiated and written into an agreement with the local participating supermarkets and
cafés. A consideration will be to implement an initiative that can be used in a similar way to current
petroleum credits given by supermarkets. Upon the delivery of “x” amount of grind resource, “x” amount
of cost can be saved whilst shopping at the supermarket itself. Not only does this benefit the stakeholders
of the DME product as no direct cost is required, it will also work as a marketing strategy for participating
supermarkets by encouraging more shoppers to their stores.
The alternative use of the grind resource for other purposes such as compost needs to be taken into
consideration when applying a likelihood of collection factor from these business entities.
With some initial research and with respect to the factors cited above, an assumption of 70-80% of café
and coffee shop owners would willingly provide the grind waste resource to the local collection area. To
allow for this in the model, a factor of 0.75 has been used as a multiplication factor when determining
likelihood of grind waste collectable from café and coffee shops. This figure will be scrutinised in the
sensitivity analysis of this paper to show just how significant a change of this assumption can be for
project feasibility.
Having already calculated the average amount of annual grind waste resource available at each café and
coffee shop in Perth as part of the “Analysis of Grind Resource Collection from Australian Cafés” section
in this report, 978.6kg can be implemented into the model.
Collection Model 2 – Approx. collection of grind resource from café and coffee shops in Perth (CM2)
CAVG = Average of grind waste resource available from cafés and coffee shops within
Australia (kg)
CLOC = Café and coffee shop located in same suburb as IGA supermarket (Appendix 1)
LCOL = Likelihood of collection of resource factor (Assumption to be 0.75)
CM2= Collection Model 2 (kg)
𝐂M2 = ∗ 𝐂AVG ∗ 𝐂LOC ∗ 𝐋COL
29 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 7 – MODEL 2 CALCULATIONS FOR PERTH
This indicates a probable collection quantity from Model 2 café and coffee shops in Perth, Western
Australia will collect a total of 487,086 kg of grind waste annually.
Collection Model 3 - The collection of grind resource from homes in a given area (CM3)
SPOP = Population within the same suburb as the IGA supermarkets (Appendix 1)
RBPC = Roast Bean per Capita (kg)
CCAF = Factor how much coffee is consumed at café and coffee shops from total
consumption
Café & Coffee Shop Consumption / (RBPC * Population)
o
10151033
2.52∗24000000𝑘𝑔
𝑘𝑔
𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
= 0.167
MSHS = Market share of IGA in comparison with other supermarkets in Perth, Western
Australia
RCALC = Resource Multiplication Factor (inclusive of Moisture content and lost coffee
within Production)
LCOL3 = Likelihood collection of resource factor (Assumption to be 0.7)
CM3 = Collection Model 3 (kg)
𝐂M3 = 𝐒POP ∗ 𝐑BPC ∗ (1 − 𝐂CAF ) ∗ 𝐌SHS ∗ 𝐑CALC ∗ 𝐋COL3
30 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 8 – MODEL 3 CALCULATIONS FOR PERTH
This indicates a probable collection quantity from homes and workplace in Perth, Western Australia will
accumulate a total of 360,773 kg of grind waste annually.
The total WCR expected from Perth utilising Model 2 and 3 over a year period would be 847,859 kg as
per Table 9.
TABLE 9 – RESOURCES AVAILABLE FROM WCR COLLECTION OVER A YEAR PERIOD IN AUSTRALIA
Adaption of Collection Models to Other Australian Cities
Applying the calculations for Model 2 and 3 throughout other major cities within Australia has been
accomplished by developing and manipulating information with respect to the Perth model.
The number of establishments in each major city has already been identified in Table 2. In comparison to
Perth, the market share for IGA is dissimilar for every major city within Australia. For this reason, for
cities outside of Perth, the IGA model will be substituted with a non-specific supermarket that represents
25% of the market share for that city.
By dividing the population of Perth residents that reside in the same suburb as the IGA supermarket
against the total population of Perth, a ratio can be obtained. This ratio can be applied as an estimated
31 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
multiplication factor when calculating the population that reside within the same suburb as the non-
specific supermarket for other cities within Australia.
1,101,478
2,021,203 = 0.545
The number of cafes located within the same suburb as the supermarket has been considered in a similar
way. By dividing the establishments located within the same suburb as the supermarkets in Perth against
the total café and coffee shops within the same city and greater metro area the multiplication ratio can be
obtained and applied within the report for other Australian cities.
663.65
829= 0.8005
These ratio values for Australian cities have been used to calculate the expected resource available as
per Table 10 and Table 11.
TABLE 10 – DERIVED WCR COLLECTION MODEL CALCULATIONS OVER A YEAR PERIOD IN AUSTRALIA
City and Greater
Metro Area
Total Establishments
Total Population
~80% Total Establishments
~60% Total Population
CM2 (kg) CM3 (kg) CM2 + CM3 =
Total Collection
Sydney 3382 4,840,628 2707 2638142 1987026 864085 2851111
Melbourne 2775 4,440,328 2221 2419979 1630395 792629 2423024
Brisbane 1686 2,274,560 1350 1239635 990575 406024 1396600
Adelaide 829 1,304,631 664 711024 487062 232886 719948
Canberra 540 386,000 432 210370 317266 68904 386170
Hobart 193 219,243 154 119487 113393 39136 152530
Darwin 183 140,386 146 76510 107518 25060 132578
32 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 11 – RESOURCES AVAILABLE FROM WCR COLLECTION OVER A YEAR PERIOD IN AUSTRALIA
City and Greater Metro Area
WCR Available (kg)
Total Available Biofuel (kg)
Total Available Biofuel (m3)
Total Available Bio-Mass Pellets
(kg)
Sydney 2851111 452269 507 976220
Melbourne 2423024 384362 431 829643
Brisbane 1396600 221541 249 478196
Adelaide 719948 114205 128 246510
Canberra 386170 61258 69 132225
Hobart 152530 24196 27 52226
Darwin 132578 21031 24 45395
Supply Chain and Logistics
The collection quantity of the resource is now identified and further analysis of the most efficient method
of obtaining the WCR or biodiesel can be considered.
The key principle for collection of the WCR or biofuel is to collect the resource from a central location,
which has been identified as a particular supermarket, to maximise Model 2 and 3 as discussed earlier in
this paper in the section Model Derived Resource Calculation.
The performance criterion for the selection of the final supply chain and logistics model will focus on
optimising the cost of the complex and dynamic network by analysing the capital and operational
expenditure required.
Initially four operating scenarios will be investigated, these are:
1. Processing model implemented in-store at supermarket incorporating a storage facility for WCR
drop off. Biofuel product and Bio-mass pellets to be collected from store.
2. Collection of WCR at supermarket incorporating resource transport to:
a. A central processing facility within the city where the production of the fuel can be stored
and sold.
33 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
b. Multiple processing facilities within the city neglecting ‘zones’ where resource is
considered unviable.
3. Collection of WCR at supermarket working with waste management partners to collect the
resource offering commercial and environmental incentives.
1. In-store Supermarket Processing The continuous solvent extraction process, employing dimethyl ether (DME) as the solvent has the
capability to be designed for both small and large production systems. The ability to design a robust
process system at small scale level encourages in store processing of the WCR.
By executing the in-store processing model, the transportation of the WCR is no longer required. The
disadvantage of this model is that at some point the biofuel and bio-mass pellets need to still be collected
and sold. With this in mind, once the biofuel or bio-mass pellets have been produced there is no urgency
for collection, as the longevity concerns due to rancidity of the WCR is not an issue. Biodiesel fuel if
stored in optimum conditions utilising oxidative stabilizers then the fuel could potentially last years before
it degrades.
After the production of biodiesel using the in-store DME process, a clean, air tight vessel for the storage
of the biofuel needs to be in place. A level transmitter can be fitted to monitor the height of the biodiesel
in the vessel. The level value parameter can be dynamically fed to the stakeholder/transportation company
via a mobile phone application to maximise efficiency of collection and transportation of the biofuel.
For the purpose of optimising the supply chain and logistics for in-store processing, the collection period
of the fuel from the supermarket needs to be calculated. The total available biofuel from the supermarkets
over a year period in Perth is 150𝑚3 as per Table 9. If this was divided by 140 which is the approximate
number of IGA supermarkets collecting the WCR as per Appendix 1, the average yearly production of
biodiesel for each supermarket would be 1𝑚3 per year.
34 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
A collection period of one month is considered to be a feasible collection time period for the biofuel and
bio-mass pellets. This would indicate that approximately 0.090𝑚3of fuel would be collected every
month per store. The storage system to be implemented must be capable of withholding approximately
0.1𝑚3 (100Litres) of biodiesel. With the information gathered, if monthly figures indicate that the store
would exceed this capacity then a larger storage system can be installed.
Over the month time period, a total of 182kg of available dry coffee weight is available for bio-mass
pellet conversion from each store.
FIGURE 6 – PERTH AND GREATER METRO AREA IGA LOCATIONS
Figure 6 details the dispersed location of the IGA supermarkets located within Perth and the greater
metropolitan area.
To optimise the logistics and supply chain collection for the in-store processing model, time and money
can be saved by not investing in a central location to stockpile the biofuel and bio-mass pellets. This
would require prior knowledge of market interest in the product to ensure when the fuel is collected by a
transport contractor; it can be directly delivered to the end user of the fuel. The motive for this is to save
having to pay outgoings, such as rent and utilities to temporarily stock the fuel before it is then sold
35 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
onwards to the same end user. For this model to be at all feasible, cost savings like this need to be taken
into account.
A quick comparison of collection methodologies has been undertaken to optimise the logistics of the
process to reduce operational expenditure by reducing transport time and cost.
1. 30km radius from Perth CBD – daisy chain collection (Figure 7)
2. 30km radius from Perth CBD – star collection (Figure 10)
By neglecting all stores outside the 30km radius from Perth CBD eliminates a total of 15 collection points
but reduces the potential travelling time significantly.
1.1 Daisy Chain Collection – 30km Radius from Perth CBD The daisy chain collection model works on the foundation of collecting the fuel source from store to store
in the same cycle and depositing directly to the consumer as per Figure 7.
FIGURE 7 – BLOCK DIAGRAM DAISY CHAIN LOGISTICS MODEL
If the daisy chain logistic model was considered, the likelihood of being able to collect all the fuel products
in one gathering exercise would be unlikely. The method deliberated has been broken down into three
regions to evenly distribute the IGA supermarkets. Within each region of collection there is
approximately 35-40 IGA supermarkets as per Figure 8. (Note: Not included in Figure 8 are suburbs with
multiple IGA supermarkets).
Utilising Zeemaps [21] interactive mapping solutions, each IGA is approximately 2.6 kilometres (direct
route – point to point) from one another.
36 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 8 – IGA SUPERMARKETS LOCATED WITHIN 30KM RADIUS OF PERTH CBD
As only a direct route has been calculated from Zeemaps it would be considered impracticable to use this
value. Pythagoras theorem has been implemented to calculate the likely distance between each IGA
utilising 2.6 kilometres as the hypotenuse.
𝑎2 + 𝑏2 = 𝑐2 𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑐 = 2.6 𝑘𝑖𝑙𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑠
2.62 = 𝑎2 + 𝑏2 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝑎𝑝𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑥𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑙𝑒𝑡 𝑎 = 𝑏
6.76 = 1.842 + 1.842
𝑎 + 𝑏 = 1.84 + 1.84 = 3.68𝑘𝑚
With this information, assuming 37 IGA stores per region as per Figure 8, and a distance of 3.68km
required travel distance for each IGA then a total of ~ 140𝑘𝑖𝑙𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑠 of total travel is required to obtain
all of the biofuel and bio-mass pellets per region.
Distance and time are considered the two key expenses with respect to logistics for the collection of the
biofuel and bio-mass pellets. By allowing a practicable 15-20 minutes per collection of the resource and
37 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
15 minutes travel time between each IGA (3.68km) utilising the daisy chain model, a total of 30-35
minutes can be calculated for each store.
For the 37 stores in each region as per Figure 8, the total time for collection/transport (one vehicle) would
be approximately 20 hours. If the collection period of once per month is implemented, then a total of
3.33𝑚3(3330𝐿) of biofuel and 6.734 tonnes of bio-mass pellets would be available for each region.
For the collection from all three regions applying the daisy chain collection model; a total of 60 hours
would be required, a distance of 420 kilometres would need to be travelled for a total of ~10𝑚3 of biofuel
and ~20 tonnes of bio-mass pellets every month.
TABLE 12 – AVAILABLE RESOURCES AND EXPENSE FACTORS (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
City
Total Monthly
Collection of Biofuel
(m3)
Total Monthly Collection of Bio-Mass Pellets (kg)
Travel Distance per month (3.68km distance between each
supermarket) (km)
Travel Time per Month for Collection (~32.5 minutes per
supermarket) (hours)
Perth 10 20,000 420 60.125
1.2 Daisy Chain Collection – 30km Radius from Other Australian Cities By applying the ratios calculated from the Perth model, an inexact model for other Australian cities
transportation and logistics can be calculated. Of the 140 IGA Supermarkets within Perth greater metro
area, 85% were located within a 30km radius of the central business district. This same percentage ratio
has been applied to other Australian cities. The 30km radius reference point for Sydney is Parramatta as
per Figure 9.
38 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 9 – 30KM RADIUS FROM PARRAMATTA, SYDNEY (HIGHLIGHTED PINK REGION SYDNEY BOUNDARY)
Yellow Pages online was used to find the total supermarkets for the greater area of Sydney, Melbourne,
Brisbane, Adelaide, Canberra, Hobart and Darwin as per Table 13
TABLE 13 – RESOURCE COLLECTION VIA DAISY CHAIN COLLECTION MODEL (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
City and Greater Metro
Total Supermarket (Data from
Yellow Pages. Search
"Supermarket, State") * 0.85
Assume Collection from
Supermarket with 25%
Market Share
Travel Distance per month
(3.68km distance
between each supermarket)
(km)
Travel Time per Month for
Collection (~32.5 minutes per
supermarket) (hours)
Total Monthly
Collection of Biofuel
Available (m3)
Total Monthly
Collection of Bio-Mass
Pellets Available (kg)
Sydney, NSW 2000 1406 351 1293 190 35.9 69149
Melbourne, VIC 3000 1063 266 978 144 30.5 58766
Brisbane, QLD 4000 805 201 741 109 17.6 33872
Adelaide, SA 5000 326 82 300 44 9.1 17461
Canberra, ACT 2601 144 36 132 19 4.9 9366
Hobart, TAS 7000 80 20 74 11 1.9 3699
Darwin, NT 0800 70 17 64 9 1.7 3215
1.3 Star Collection Model - 30km Radius from Perth CBD The star collection model (Figure 10) collects the fuel source from the IGA supermarket and deposits it
to the end consumer, before repeating the operation.
39 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
The benefit of applying this model is that whenever a given IGA store has got sufficient biofuel and bio-
mass pellets readily available for collection, then they can be collected without the constraint of requiring
all other collection depots to have an adequate supply.
FIGURE 10 – BLOCK DIAGRAM STAR COLLECTION MODEL
By focusing on a quantity based scheme as opposed to a fixed once a month collection, the logistics and
collection model can be revaluated. To increase the chance of feasibility, multiple ‘collection quantities’
need to be considered.
Ideally, the fewer amount of times the collector of the biofuel and bio-mass pellets is required to travel to
IGA, the greater chance of model feasibility. The quantity available for collection from IGA supermarkets
to be considered for this model will be values of 0.2𝑚3, 0.4𝑚3 𝑎𝑛𝑑 0.6𝑚3 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑖𝑜𝑓𝑢𝑒𝑙.
As mentioned previously, the average biofuel available at each IGA supermarket is approximately
1𝑚3per year, however it is now apparent (Figure 11) that the majority of the IGA stores will have an upper
bin range value of 0.6𝑚3 of biofuel available per year.
40 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 11 – BIOFUEL AVAILABLE FROM IGA SUPERMARKETS IN PERTH OVER A YEAR
With the information assembled from Appendix 1, the total available biofuel for a given IGA is known.
If this figure is divided by the collection quantity of the biofuel, then the amount of trips the collector of
the resource has to make to the IGA stores can be shown via a histogram.
The following histograms should be read with the understanding that the frequency indicates individual
IGA stores, and Bin indicates the range of how often the collection quantity is available at these stores.
For example, Figure 12 specifies that 27 different IGA stores within each year will have 200L of biofuel
readily available for collection 3 times.
FIGURE 12 – FREQUENCY OF COLLECTION WHEN 200L AVAILABLE AT IGA SUPERMARKET (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35Fr
eq
ue
ncy
Bin - Collection of biofuel (m3) from IGA
Biofuel Available from IGA Supermarkets in Perth over a Year
Frequency
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Fre
qu
en
cy
Bin
Frequency of Collection when 200L available at IGA Supermarket
Frequency
41 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 13 – FREQUENCY OF COLLECTION WHEN 400L AVAILABLE AT IGA SUPERMARKET (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
FIGURE 14 – FREQUENCY OF COLLECTION WHEN 600L AVAILABLE AT IGA SUPERMARKET (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
As per Figure 13 and Figure 14, it is not practicable to collect the biofuel 0.5 times from the IGA
supermarket. This has been considered and any further calculations have been rounded up to the nearest
whole number, 1.
Table 14 represents the collection of the biofuel from IGA supermarkets for varying biofuel quantities
utilising the star collection model within the constraints of 30km radius of Perth CBD.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45Fr
eq
ue
ncy
Bin
Frequency of Collection when 400L available at IGA Supermarket
Frequency
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Fre
qu
en
cy
Bin
Frequency of Collection when 600L available at IGA Supermarket
Frequency
42 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 14 – TOTAL COLLECTION PERIODS FOR BIOFUEL IN PERTH WITH VARYING QUANTITIES (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
Collection Quantities
Total Store Collections over a Year
200 Litres 798
400 Litres 423
600 Litres 292
Using Zeemaps [21], assuming the consumer of the final product biofuel and bio-mass pellets was located
in Perth CBD, the median travel distance one way to each IGA is approximately 12km, with a round trip
24km.
With the median distance identified the travel logistics for the star collection model can be represented as
per Table 15.
TABLE 15 – TOTAL DISTANCE FOR RESOURCE COLLECTION IN PERTH WITH VARYING QUANTITIES (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
Collection Quantities Total Store Collections
over a Year Total Travel Distance
Required (km) per year
200 Litres of Biofuel and
384 kg of Bio-mass pellets 798 19152
400 Litres of Biofuel and
577 kg of Bio-mass pellets 423 10152
600 Litres of Biofuel and
770 kg of Bio-mass pellets 292 7008
It is apparent that the process can be optimised by increasing the collection quantity. However, analysis
has been undertaken to include the lesser quantities for cost comparison for the following three reasons:
Consumer requirement for biofuel (agreement to deliver X amount of biofuel and bio-mass
pellets every month)
Storage capability at IGA (600 Litres of biodiesel and equivalent bio-mass pellets may be
considered impracticable)
Transport restrictions
43 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
If an estimate of ~20 minutes each way is allowed for travel time for the median distance (24km round
trip), inclusive of approximately 30 minutes of in-store resource collection, the total approximate time
would be 70 minutes per trip.
TABLE 16 – TIME REQUIRED FOR BIOFUEL COLLECTION FOR VARYING QUANTITIES IN PERTH (IN-STORE PROCESSING MODEL)
Collection Quantities Time taken to collect total resource (hours) for a year period
200 Litres of Biofuel and
384 kg of Bio-mass pellets 931 hours
400 Litres of Biofuel and
577 kg of Bio-mass pellets 494 hours
600 Litres of Biofuel and
770 kg of Bio-mass pellets 341 hours
1.4 Star Collection Model - 30km Radius from Other Australian Cities A comparison of kilometres between the daisy chain model and star collection model implemented in
Perth was undertaken.
It was evident that the total distance for travelled kilometres over the year for daisy chain model would
be (420*12) 5,040 kilometres whereas the absolute minimum kilometres travelled for the biofuel
collection in the star chain would be 7,008 kilometres. As travel and time is considered the most important
of the logistics model, the star collection model for the “other Australian cities” has been neglected.
2. WCR Collection from IGA supermarket
The collection of the WCR must be over an adequate time period so enough resource can be collected to
make the transportation (operational) expense of the resource economically viable. Along with the
collection period, preventing the resource from deteriorating and becoming rancid is as of key importance
for the WCR collection model.
44 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
“Rancidity is produced by aerial oxidation of unsaturated fat present in foods and other products” [22].
When the coffee grinds are exposed to air, its unsaturated components are “converted into hydro
peroxides, which break down into volatile aldehydes, esters, alcohols, ketones, and hydrocarbons, some
of which have disagreeable odours” [22].
To prolong the resource, the WCR storage container will be installed in a refrigerated room. At lower
temperatures, the oxidation process that would spoil the resource will slow down preserving the WCR.
Antioxidants is a substance that inhibits oxidation to counteract the deterioration of food products.
Antioxidants can also be used to prevent fat oxidation to also prolong the collection period.
Further analysis and research would be required prior to final investment into the project to find the ideal
duration for which coffee grinds can be stored with respect to moisture and temperature over time.
To find a suitable logistics model, four collection periods for WCR collection will be analysed. These
periods will be one week, two week and monthly collection cycles. Of these cycles, the logistic approach
for collecting the WCR will be incorporated:
a. To a central processing facility within the city where the production of the fuel can be
stored and sold.
b. To one of many multiple processing facilities within the city where the product of the fuel
can be stored and sold.
2.1 Logistics and Collection for Central Process Facility in Perth
For the collection of the WCR, a daisy chain collection model will be implemented as per Figure 7. Star
collection has been neglected for this model due to the constraint on collection period and the necessity
of gathering the resource before it starts to deteriorate.
A feasible location for the central processing facility in Perth has been chosen to be in the industrial
section of Balcatta, 14 kilometres north of Perth. The primary intention for selecting Balcatta as the
45 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
central location was rental expenditure in comparison with other locations as well as access to key
highways and freeways.
Although the reference point of the central processing facility is located in Balcatta, the 30km radius from
Perth, CBD still will set the constraints of the collection area. Therefore, the collection distance calculated
incorporating the three sections as per Figure 8 will still be 420 (120*3) kilometres.
TABLE 17 – DISTANCE TRAVELLED AND WCR COLLECTION FOR DAISY CHAIN MODEL IN PERTH FOR THREE COURIER ZONES
Distance Travelled per period (km)
Collection Quantity of WCR (kg) per
Cycle from one zone
Collection Quantity of WCR (kg) per Cycle from all three zones
Distance Travelled over a year per (km)
1 Week 420 5418.8 16256.5 21840.0
2 Week 420 10837.7 32513.0 10920.0
3 week 420 16256.5 48769.5 7280.0
1 month 420 23842.9 71528.6 5040.0
With the collection information gathered, it is evident that anything over the 1 week collection period
from one courier zone could potentially be an issue with respect to transport mass. As per Main Roads
Western Australia and the National Heavy Vehicle Regulator (NHVR), general mass limit compliance is
required [23]. The maximum mass limit per single axle, single tyre is 6 tonne with the single axle, dual
tyre capable of 10 tonne [24]. As 10 tonne is still less than the collection quantity per cycle for collection
periods greater than a week another solution is required.
As part of the Heavy Vehicle National Law (HVNL), an accreditation or exemption may be available. If
this is deemed unacceptable then a superior transport truck is required. Specific tri axle and tandem axle
dual and single tyre configurations conform to a transport mass weight of ~15-20 tonne [24].
For project logistics, it has been assumed that an exemption has been granted and the mass values per
courier transport is as per Table 17.
If the 32.5 minutes per supermarket collection and travel time was included, the amount of transport hours
required over the year for the different collection methodologies would be as per Table 18.
46 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 18 – TOTAL TIME AND DISTANCE TRAVELLED FOR DIFFERENT COLLECTION PERIODS IN PERTH
Collection Period Total Distance Travelled
for a year period Time taken to collect total
resource (hours) for a year period
1 Week 21,840 km 3,943 hours
2 Week 10,920 km 1,972 hours
3 Week 7,280 km 1,314 hours
1 Month 5,040 km 910 hours
2.2 Logistics and Collection for Central Process Facility Australian Cities By combining the information available from Table 11 and Table 13, the other Australian cities can be
further analysed for collection of the WCR from IGA. Transport mass limits has been neglected for the
following as this can be overcome by having multiple collection zones like the three zones implemented
in the Perth model.
TABLE 19 – WCR QUANTITY FOR DIFFERENT COLLECTION PERIODS IN AUSTRALIA
City and Greater Metro
Distance Travelled per period (km)
1 Week Collection of
WCR (kg)
2 Week Collection of
WCR (kg)
3 Week Collection of
WCR (kg)
1 Month Collection of
WCR (kg)
Sydney, NSW 2000 1293 54829 109658 164487 237593
Melbourne, VIC 3000 978 46597 93193 139790 201919
Brisbane, QLD 4000 741 26858 53715 80573 116383
Adelaide, SA 5000 300 13845 27690 41535 59996
Canberra, ACT 2601 132 2933 5867 8800 12711
Hobart, TAS 7000 74 7426 14853 22279 32181
Darwin, NT 0800 64 2550 5099 7649 11048
47 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 20 – TOTAL TIME AND DISTANCE TRAVELLED FOR DIFFERENT COLLECTION PERIODS IN AUSTRALIA
Australian Cities
1 Week Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
1 Week Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
2 Week Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
2 Week Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
3 Week Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
3 Week Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
1 Month Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
1 Month Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
Sydney, NSW 2000 67236.0 9886.5 33618.0 4943.3 22412.0 3295.5 15516.0 2281.5
Melbourne, VIC 3000 50856.0 7492.3 25428.0 3746.2 16952.0 2497.4 11736.0 1729.0
Brisbane, QLD 4000 38532.0 5661.5 19266.0 2830.8 12844.0 1887.2 8892.0 1306.5
Perth, WA 6000 21840.0 3943.3 10920.0 1971.7 7280.0 1314.4 5040.0 910.0
Adelaide, SA 5000 15600.0 2309.7 7800.0 1154.8 5200.0 769.9 3600.0 533.0
Canberra, ACT 2601 6864.0 1014.0 3432.0 507.0 2288.0 338.0 1584.0 234.0
Hobart, TAS 7000 3848.0 563.3 1924.0 281.7 1282.7 187.8 888.0 130.0
Darwin, NT 0800 3328.0 478.8 1664.0 239.4 1109.3 159.6 768.0 110.5
2.3 Logistics and Collection for Multiple Process Facilities in Perth Collecting the WCR resource utilising multiple process facilities within Perth has been considered.
Knowing that Perth has a total of approximately 150𝑚3of biofuel as per Table 9, installing multiple
processing facilities seems initially unviable. However, due to a full assessment of feasibility and logistic
models, the calculation has been undertaken for research purposes.
With the data attached in Appendix 1, each IGA has been separated into 10 collection zones throughout
Perth CBD as per Column C. A pivot table, Table 21, has been implemented to accurately analyse the
data.
48 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 21 – PIVOT TABLE OF COLLECTION ZONES IN PERTH (MULTIPLE PROCESS MODEL)
Zones Sum of Quantity of
IGA in Zone Sum of Population of
People in Zone Café/Coffee Shops in IGA
Location
1 21 122339 56.55
2 12 57254 28.6
3 10 107587 28.6
4 18 142684 255.45
5 8 37788 42.25
6 24 138025 64.35
7 27 289904 118.95
8 10 58315 38.35
9 3 11798 1.3
10 11 135784 29.25
Grand Total 144 1101478 664
From Table 21, the data has been extracted and the collection model 1 and model 2 have been
implemented resulting in the following outcomes as per Table 22.
TABLE 22 – MULTIPLE PROCESS FACILITIES SEPARATED IN ZONES
Zones WCR
(kg/day)
WCR (millions of
kg/year)
Oil extraction @ 19.73%
(millions of kg)
Esterification Oil in to biodiesel is 80.4%
(millions of kg)
Conversion to Volume in (m3)
1 223.4 0.081538376 0.016087522 0.012934367 14.51
2 108.8 0.039725045 0.007837751 0.006301552 7.07
3 154.0 0.056210887 0.011090408 0.008916688 10.00
4 641.2 0.234055103 0.046179072 0.037127974 41.65
5 118.8 0.04335876 0.008554683 0.006877965 7.72
6 253.1 0.092395823 0.018229696 0.014656676 16.44
7 499.1 0.182179665 0.035944048 0.028899015 32.42
8 129.4 0.047222218 0.009316944 0.007490823 8.40
9 13.2 0.004817551 0.000950503 0.000764204 0.86
10 180.6 0.065923048 0.013006617 0.01045732 11.73
Total 2321.7 0.847 0.167 0.134 150.8
As per the results in Table 22, several zones can be eliminated solely because of the quantity of the biofuel
resource available in that zone. The zones that have been neglected going forward will be values that are
significantly less than15𝑚3
𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 of biofuel.
49 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
It would be expected that if this model was implemented, a total of four processing models in Perth would
be required which would result in a total biofuel resource of 105𝑚3
𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 . The zones that would remain are
Zones 1, 4, 6 and Zone 7. A summary of location of these zones can be observed by analysing the
Appendix 1 data.
TABLE 23 – WCR SUMMARY OF PERTH MULTIPLE PROCESS ZONES
Zones IGA Stores in Zone Total WCR
Available (kg) Biofuel Available
(m3) Bio-Mass Pellets
Available (kg)
1 21 81538.4 14.51 27918.7
4 18 234055.1 41.65 80140.5
6 24 92395.8 16.44 31636.3
7 27 182179.7 32.42 62378.3
As per Table 23, it is evident that a total of 90 (21+18+24+27) IGA supermarkets are within these four
zones. Using the calculated approximate distance between IGA of 3.68km the total distance travelled per
collection can be obtained.
Analysing weekly, fortnightly, 3 weekly and monthly collection periods the results in Table 24 and Table
25.
TABLE 24 – WCR QUANTITY FOR ZONE COLLECTION IN PERTH
Zones Distance Travelled
per period (km) 1 Week Collection
of WCR (kg) 2 Week Collection
of WCR (kg) 3 Week Collection
of WCR (kg) 1 Month Collection
of WCR (kg)
1 77.3 1568.0 3136.1 4704.1 6794.9
4 66.2 4501.1 9002.1 13503.2 19504.6
6 88.3 1776.8 3553.7 5330.5 7699.7
7 99.4 3503.5 7006.9 10510.4 15181.6
TABLE 25 – TOTAL DISTANCE FOR ZONE COLLECTION FOR DIFFERENT COLLECTION PERIODS (MULTIPLE PROCESS MODEL)
Zones Distance Travelled
per period (km)
1 Week Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
2 Week Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
3 Week Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
1 Month Collection distance travelled
(km/year)
1 77.3 4019.6 2009.8 1339.9 927.6
4 66.2 3442.4 1721.2 1147.5 794.4
6 88.3 4020.6 2295.8 1530.5 1059.6
7 99.4 5168.8 2584.4 1722.9 1192.8
50 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
The idea behind this method would be utilising waste collection yards in a given zone so rent would not
be required. However, in the cost analysis section of this report a rent free scenario as well as an expense
for rent has been calculated for comparison.
2.4 Logistics and Collection for Multiple Process Facilities in Australia
Unlike the Perth scheme which is accurately modelled for different zones, only the ratio with respect to
Perth’s data can the rest of Australian cities be calculated.
The estimated ratio has been obtained with respect to population difference and population density in
comparison to Perth. Previously in this report, the population ratio was solely used as a multiplication
factor when comparing against Perth, however when calculating accurate ‘zone’ information population
density needs to be considered in the computation.
Initially, a comparison solely with population density to calculate the ratio was undertaken. However, the
figures are somewhat misguiding.
The reason being for this, Sydney has 114 sq. km with a density over 5,000 persons per sq. km. In contrast,
Melbourne only has 34 sq. km and Brisbane has a mere 3 sq. km and no other capital cities have any.
When comparing Sydney’s population density with respect to Canberra however, the population density
for Canberra is 450 in contrast to 347 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑜𝑛/𝑠𝑞. 𝑘𝑚 in Sydney. This indicates that although Sydney has
a more dense population in most areas, it also has a larger land area in which is not as dense.
So to get the most accurate ‘approximate’ ratio for zone collection, the population has been multiplied by
the population density to give a value as per Table 26.
51 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 26 – FEASIBLE ZONE COLLECTION CALCULATION FOR AUSTRALIAN CITIES
Australian Cities Population Population
Density (persons/sq.km)
Multiplication Value
Ratio W.R.T Perth
Multiplication Value
Approx. Feasible Zones > than 15m^3/year
Sydney, NSW 2000 4,840,628 347 1679697916 2.64 10.6
Melbourne, VIC 3000 4,440,328 440 1953744320 3.07 12.3
Brisbane, QLD 4000 2,274,560 140 318438400 0.50 2.0
Perth, WA 6000 2,021,203 315 636678945 1.00 4.0
Adelaide, SA 5000 1,304,631 390 508806090 0.80 3.2
Canberra, ACT 2601 386,000 450 173700000 0.27 1.1
Hobart, TAS 7000 219,243 130 28501590 0.04 0.2
Darwin, NT 0800 140,386 43 6036598 0.01 0.0
With the derived information from the ratio analysis, implementing a process facility in Hobart and
Darwin can be eliminated due to no feasible economic collection zones.
If the average collection per zone for Perth was used as a basis for the remaining Australian cities, then it
could be implied on average approximation that 50,518kg of WCR is available per year from each zone,
and an average of 22.5 IGA’s are located within each zone.
Table 27 and Table 28 indicate the total time, transport required and collection available if multiple
process facilities were implemented within each city using different collection period from 1 week to a
month.
TABLE 27 – TOTAL DISTANCE TRAVELLED FOR ZONE COLLECTION IN AUSTRALIA
Australian Cities Zones
Total Collection of WCR
(kg/year) using average zone of
50,518kg
Distance required for transport for
all Zone Collection
(km)
Sydney, NSW 2000 11 533114.76 874
Melbourne, VIC 3000 12 620093.60 1016
Brisbane, QLD 4000 2 101068.30 166
Perth, WA 6000 4 202073.80 331
Adelaide, SA 5000 3 161488.58 265
Canberra, ACT 2601 1 55130.17 90
52 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 28 – TOTAL TIME AND DISTANCE FOR DIFFERENT COLLECTION PERIODS IN AUSTRALIA (MULTIPLE PROCESS MODEL)
Australian Cities
Zones
1 Week Collection distance travelled (km/year)
1 Week Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
2 Week Collection distance travelled (km/year)
2 Week Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
3 Week Collection distance travelled (km/year)
3 Week Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
1 Month Collection distance travelled (km/year)
1 Month Collection
Time Required (hr/year)
Sydney, NSW 2000 11 45448.0 6687.9 22724.0 3343.9 15149.3 2229.3 10488.0 1748.0
Melbourne, VIC 3000 12 52832.0 7779.0 26416.0 3889.5 17610.7 2593.0 12192.0 2032.0
Brisbane, QLD 4000 2 8632.0 1267.9 4316.0 633.9 2877.3 422.6 1992.0 332.0
Perth, WA 6000 4 17212.0 2535.0 8606.0 1267.5 5737.3 845.0 3972.0 662.0
Adelaide, SA 5000 3 13780.0 2025.9 6890.0 1012.9 4593.3 675.3 3180.0 530.0
Canberra, ACT 2601 1 4680.0 691.6 2340.0 345.8 1560.0 230.5 1080.0 180.0
3. WCR Collection from IGA Supermarket by Waste Management Partners The philosophy of this supply chain and logistics model would be to utilise waste management partners
whom already collet waste from supermarkets within the given city. Usually the end destination of this
waste would end up at either the recycling yard or local tip.
If a commercial agreement could be arranged between the stakeholders of the DME process which would
allow the stakeholders to set up a processing facility at the local recycling yard or tip, this could be a very
efficient system both commercially and environmentally.
Without going into too much detail with respect to potential agreements for the waste management
partners, a simple arrangement to provide a percentage of the biofuel credits as an incentive. Not only
would this be better and ‘greener’ for the environment as it would offset the combustion of fossil fuels
from the waste management partners, but it would also be potentially commercially viable if the
percentages were mutually acceptable.
The biofuel credit percentage chosen for the cost analysis section of this paper is 30% of the gross profit
in the equivalent value of biofuel produced via the DME process.
53 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
With this in mind, the total resource available from this model will be as per Table 9 for Perth, and Table
11 for the remaining Australian cities. The cost analysis of this paper will assume one process facility
within each city.
Cost Analysis The cost analysis of this report assess the economics of biofuel production from the grind waste of coffee
beans with emphasis on logistics and supply chain through an analysis of multiple scenarios.
These scenarios are based on assumptions to derive mathematical models that would give an accurate
collection figure in order to find the break-even cost of the process. This break-even value is considered
important as it will indicate whether or not the project could potentially be commercially viable with
respect to profitability, operational and capital expenditure.
Nestle, Gympie Cost Analysis of Proposed Model An important part of the Nestle, Gympie model is the availability and price of sawdust for the fluidised
bed boiler. Without knowledge of the agreement Nestle has with sawmills in Queensland, a range of
values will be explored from $3 to $20 per tonne.
The energy requirements of the current model and proposed DME model have been calculated and the
additional energy requirements of the sawdust are known as per Table 6. With this data, the cost analysis
of the proposed model can be determined.
TABLE 29 – ASSUMED CURRENT VS PROPOSED SAWDUST REQUIREMENTS FOR NESTLE ENERGY MODEL
Assumed Current Energy Model - Requirements 356.1kg/hr of Sawdust
*Assumption - Plant Production @ 7,000 hours per year
Sawdust $3 tonne $5 tonne $8 tonne $12 tonne $15 tonne $20 tonne
Daily $25.64 $42.73 $68.37 $102.56 $128.20 $170.93
Yearly $7,477.58 $12,462.64 $19,940.22 $29,910.33 $37,387.91 $49,850.54
Proposed Energy Model - Requirements 455kg/hr of Sawdust
*Assumption - Plant Production @ 7,000 hours per year
Sawdust $3 tonne $5 tonne $8 tonne $12 tonne $15 tonne $20 tonne
Daily $32.76 $54.60 $87.36 $131.04 $163.80 $218.40
Yearly $9,555.61 $15,926.02 $25,481.64 $38,222.46 $47,778.07 $63,704.09
54 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
With the quantity of sawdust that is being purchased, it would be very unlikely that Nestle would be
paying greater than $8 per tonne in Australia, so this value has been used as a reference point. An
additional $5541.42 per year of sawdust is required to ensure the plant can meet the power requirements
of the proposed model. Table 30 indicates the cost of energy for each system.
TABLE 30 – NESTLE ENERGY MODEL COMPARISSON
Cost per tonne of Sawdust ($/tonne) $8.00
Sawdust Energy Content (GJ/kg) 0.017
Current Model Proposed Model
Total Energy Required from Sawdust (GJ/hr) 6.0533 7.7355
Total Energy Provided from WCR (GJ/hr) 9.08 7.4548
Total Energy Provided by System (GJ/hr) 15.1333 15.1903
Required Sawdust (tonne/hr) 0.356 0.455
Cost of Energy for Operation ($/hr) 2.8488 3.64
Cost of Energy ($/GJ) 0.188247111 0.239626604
Calculating the additional cost of the plants energy requirements has now been confirmed, the profit of
the production of the oil can be analysed. As per stakeholder advice, the oil before the esterification
process can be sold depending on market demand. An advised value from the stakeholder to calculate for
the feasibility analysis is a varying value which ranges from $600.00 per tonne and $1000.00 per tonne.
As the capital investment of the plant has not been confirmed, an expense assumption per year (Table 31)
has been calculated using market research in terms of biofuel process systems.
TABLE 31 – OPERATIONAL EXPENDITURE IF DME PROCESS MODEL IMPLEMENTED ON SITE
Operational Expenditure Yearly
Maintenance Contractor 40 Hours per Week $85,000
Maintenance Contractor on Call Allowance of 4 Hours per Week $6,538.40
Additional Sawdust Required for Plant Energy $5,541.42
DME - Equipment Replacement (Approx.) $10,000
Unknown Cost Allowance $10,000
Insurance $5,000
Total Expenditure $122,080
With the expected production of 555.15 tonnes of coffee oil per year as calculated in Table 6 at Nestle,
Gympie, the profit can be analysed with the varying sale price of the oil. Table 31 displays the difference
55 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
in terms of profitability of the varying sale price of the oil. In an ideal world, selling the oil for biofuel
production at $1000.00 dollars per tonne would provide a profit of nearly $450,000.00 per year.
FIGURE 15 – GROSS PROFIT PER YEAR (1ST YEAR) COMPARING SALE PRICE OF COFFEE OIL
For an accurate feasibility study, the low range, high range and median value of sale price of the oil has
been further analysed over a 16 year period. The 16 year period has been chosen as this has been identified
as the expected life of the process facility.
Currently, the capital investment required for the plant has been neglected, however the assumption is
that it would be an equity investment and therefore interest repayments can be ignored.
It has been allowed for in the model that every year, the expense and maintenance costs would increase
by 8% from the previous year. This is to allow for additional wear of equipment which will require more
attention, and also tolerates for increasing prices from material and maintenance contractor services.
For the size of the plant, these maintenance costs are quite high and will more than likely not increase by
8% every year. However for a feasibility analysis, it is always best to over cost expense rather than under
cost. With this 8% increase every year in mind, it has been calculated that in the 15th year, the maintenance
will cost a total of $387,258.
y = 555.15x - 122080
$0.00
$50,000.00
$100,000.00
$150,000.00
$200,000.00
$250,000.00
$300,000.00
$350,000.00
$400,000.00
$450,000.00
$500,000.00
$500.00 $600.00 $700.00 $800.00 $900.00 $1,000.00 $1,100.00
Pro
fit
(Rev
enu
e -
Exp
en
se)
Sale Price of Coffee oil ($/tonne)
Gross Profit per Year With Respect to Sale Price ($/tonne)
Profit per Year
Linear (Profit per Year)
56 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Like any process, over time the production output of the plant will be optimised and streamlined. It is also
likely that Nestle will increase their production of coffee resulting in growth of coffee grinds which will
directly affect the profit of the project. An allowance assumption of 3% growth every year from the initial
555.15 tonne a year has been added to the scheme. This would mean in the 15th year, the likely oil output
of the facility will be 890 tonnes.
The price of the oil over time has not changed, with the assumption it would stay approximately the same
in value over the 16 year period.
The following gross profit plot Figure 16, has taken into account the increase in maintenance and
production over time.
FIGURE 16 – GROSS PROFIT OVER LIFESPAN OF PROJECT COMPARING SALE PRICE OF COFFEE OIL
Over the 16 year time period, the gross profit for each analysed case neglecting capital investment is as
per Table 32. Initially, these results indicate that by implementing the DME process system at Nestle
would result in a positive investment; however a comparison with respect to inflation needs to be
considered.
y = -442.7x2 + 5677.6x + 319685
y = -504.42x2 + 2481.6x + 208556
y = -357.34x2 + 8585.2x + 431311
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Pro
fit
($)
Lifespan of the Project
Gross Profit Over time
$800 per tonne
$600 per tonne
$1,000 per tonne
Poly. ($800 per tonne)
Poly. ($600 per tonne)
Poly. ($1,000 per tonne)
57 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 32 – TOTAL GROSS PROFIT VALUE NEGLECTING CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FOR DME PROCESS IMPLEMENTED AT NESTLE
Case Gross Profit
$600/Tonne $3,128,346
$800/Tonne $5,544,535
$1000/Tonne $7,960,724
If the assumption is made that inflation throughout the 16 year period would be 3% per year, then the
compounding return of 3% per year from the initial capital can be considered the break-even value of the
project.
However, 3% Internal Rate of Return (IRR) does not make the project economically viable as there is
some risk. As the actual model itself is considered medium to low risk, then a respectable investment
would be considered to be anything greater than three times inflation, in this case 9% IRR pre-tax per
year.
Therefore, anything greater than 9% compounding return per year over the life span of the project is
considered a feasible business model.
With these values now identified as key inputs to the feasibility analysis, the maximum capital investment
to achieve these targets can be calculated.
This is displayed in Figure 17, where the breakeven value for 3% IRR compounding yearly return over
the lifespan of the project can be achieved with a maximum capital expenditure value of $1,949,500. The
economic project feasibility value of 9% compounding yearly return over the lifespan of the project is
also identified in Figure 17 and has been determined to be a maximum capital investment of $788,000.
58 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 17 – INTEREST RETURN PER YEAR PRE-TAX AGAINST VARYING CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FOR NESTLE MODEL
As the capital investment of the project drops below the $788,000 value as presented in Figure 17, an
exponential like increase in terms of interest return per year over the life span of the project is seen,
resulting in a great potential investment opportunity for stockholders.
In-store Supermarket Processing
Australian Cities
With respect to the data collected in Table 12 and Table 13 of this report, a cost analysis inclusive of
project feasibility of this daisy chain collection model of the biofuel and bio-mass pellets in Australia can
be considered.
Research has been undertaken exhausting the Department of Transport of Western Australia Freight
Guideline rates calculator of 2013 for metropolitan areas, based on diesel fuel costs of $1.607 per litre
[25]. This provisional rates based on Western Australian prices has been adapted to other Australian cities
due to the expected deviation of costs not exceeding +- 5%.
-5.000%
0.000%
5.000%
10.000%
15.000%
20.000%
25.000%
30.000%
35.000%
0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000
Inte
rest
Rat
e R
etu
rn (
IRR
) p
er y
ear
pre
-tax
Capital Expenditure
Interest Return per Year pre-tax against Varying Capital Expenditure
$600/Tonnne
$800/Tonnne
$1000/Tonnne
Feasibility (9%)
Break-Even (3%)
$1,949,500$788,000
59 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
As per the Department of Transport of WA [25] a 22.5 tonne (Gross Vehicle Mass) GVM rigid truck, 2
axles has been selected as the optimal vehicle, so the prices have been based on this selection as per Table
33.
TABLE 33 – DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT OF W.A FREIGHT GUIDELINE RATES
Provisional Rates Oct, 2013 Heavy Vehicle Types
Metropolitan Based on Diesel Fuel cost of $1.607 per litre based on one driver
Hourly Rate (exc. GST) Rate per km (exc. GST)
22.5 tonne GVM, Rigid Truck (2 axles)
$63.82 $2.92
With these values now identified in Table 33, the expense of this model can be calculated, initially
neglecting capital expenditure.
The assumption has been made that each process itself has a similar lifespan of approximately 10 years
with the expense growing at approximately 5% per year with the resource available for sale to grow at
3% per year.
An allowance of 12 hours per year (1 hour per month) is required for additional maintenance of each
process system as well as an allowance of $300 per year of maintenance equipment per system.
TABLE 34 – TOTAL EXPENSE PER YEAR FOR DAISY CHAIN COLLECTION MODEL
Daisy Chain Biofuel Collection Model
Cost of Travel per Year
Cost of Maintenance Per Year Total Expense per
Year Cost of km
Cost of Labour
Cost of Labour
Maintenance Cost
Sydney, NSW 2000 $45,307 $145,510 $336,960 $105,300 $633,076
Melbourne, VIC 3000 $34,269 $110,281 $255,360 $79,800 $479,710
Brisbane, QLD 4000 $25,965 $83,477 $192,960 $60,300 $362,701
Perth, WA 6000 $14,717 $46,046 $134,400 $42,000 $237,163
Adelaide, SA 5000 $10,512 $33,697 $78,720 $24,600 $147,529
Canberra, ACT 2601 $4,625 $14,551 $34,560 $10,800 $64,536
Hobart, TAS 7000 $2,593 $8,424 $19,200 $6,000 $36,217
Darwin, NT 0800 $2,243 $6,893 $16,320 $5,100 $30,555
$1,991,488
60 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Unlike the Nestle Gympie Model, esterification of the oil is assumed for the In-store processing which
will result in a final product of biofuel. Expected sale price of biofuel would be $1070 per 𝑚3 [4] and the
assumed feasible sale price of the bio-mass pellets is $150 per tonne.
As per the collection quantity from Table 12 and Table 13, the total revenue that this logistics model can
obtain is displayed in Table 35.
TABLE 35 – TOTAL REVENUE PER YEAR FOR DAISY CHAIN COLLECTION MODEL
Daisy Chain Biofuel Collection Model
Revenue per Year
Biofuel Biomass Total Revenue (Inc. GST)
Sydney, NSW 2000 $460,956 $124,468 $585,424
Melbourne, VIC 3000 $391,620 $105,779 $497,399
Brisbane, QLD 4000 $225,984 $60,970 $286,954
Perth, WA 6000 $128,400 $36,000 $164,400
Adelaide, SA 5000 $116,844 $31,430 $148,274
Canberra, ACT 2601 $62,916 $16,859 $79,775
Hobart, TAS 7000 $24,396 $6,658 $31,054
Darwin, NT 0800 $21,828 $5,787 $27,615
It is evident that even without taking into consideration the capital expenditure of the individual process
systems, the operational expenditure exceeds the total revenue available resulting in a non-feasible
business model. Over the 10 year lifespan of the project, the losses per year are further quantifiable as
displayed in Figure 18.
61 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 18 – GROSS LOSS PER YEAR FOR INSTORE PROCESSING MODEL IN AUSTRALIA
Consideration with respect to likely cost of capital expenditure has been conducted even though the
business model advises that operational expenditure alone would be greater than potential revenue. This
consideration has been undertaken to provide a full analysis of the cost of the model.
As the individual process systems required for in-store processing do not require a large quantity of coffee
grind waste, it is expected the initial capital investment required for each system will not be more than
$10,000.
As the capital expenditure at this moment in time is unknown, a varying initial expenditure value not
including interest over the project lifespan will be explored from $1,000 to $10,000 per process system.
By multiplying the amount of process systems required per city (Table 13) by the varying capital
expenditure will result in Table 36.
-$800,000
-$700,000
-$600,000
-$500,000
-$400,000
-$300,000
-$200,000
-$100,000
$0
0 2 4 6 8 10
Pro
fit
or
Loss
per
Yea
r
Lifespan of Project (Years)
Gross Loss per Year of the Project for Each City over the Lifespan of the Expected Process System
Sydney, NSW 2000
Melbourne, VIC 3000
Brisbane, QLD 4000
Perth, WA 6000
Adelaide, SA 5000
Canberra, ACT 2601
Hobart, TAS 7000
Darwin, NT 0800
62 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 36 – VARYING CAPITAL EXPENDITURE MULTIPLIED BY QUANTITY OF PROCESSES FOR EACH CITY
Australian City $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 $9,000 $10,000
Sydney, NSW 2000 $351,000 $702,000 $1,053,000 $1,404,000 $1,755,000 $2,106,000 $2,457,000 $2,808,000 $3,159,000 $3,510,000
Melbourne, VIC 3000 $266,000 $532,000 $798,000 $1,064,000 $1,330,000 $1,596,000 $1,862,000 $2,128,000 $2,394,000 $2,660,000
Brisbane, QLD 4000 $201,000 $402,000 $603,000 $804,000 $1,005,000 $1,206,000 $1,407,000 $1,608,000 $1,809,000 $2,010,000
Perth, WA 6000 $140,000 $280,000 $420,000 $560,000 $700,000 $840,000 $980,000 $1,120,000 $1,260,000 $1,400,000
Adelaide, SA 5000 $82,000 $164,000 $246,000 $328,000 $410,000 $492,000 $574,000 $656,000 $738,000 $820,000
Canberra, ACT 2601 $36,000 $72,000 $108,000 $144,000 $180,000 $216,000 $252,000 $288,000 $324,000 $360,000
Hobart, TAS 7000 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 $140,000 $160,000 $180,000 $200,000
Darwin, NT 0800 $17,000 $34,000 $51,000 $68,000 $85,000 $102,000 $119,000 $136,000 $153,000 $170,000
If it was assumed that the actual cost of the process was $5,000 per system, then the business model if
implemented in Perth, over a 10 year life span of the business will lose ($700,000 + $2100315)
approximately 2.8 million Australian dollars.
Without carrying out specific operational costs for the star collection model, the maximum total revenue
will not exceed the capital expenditure even if it was assumed that operational expenditure would cost
zero dollars.
This confirms that neither the daisy chain nor star collection model for in-store processing of the coffee
grind resource to produce biofuel and bio-mass pellets will be a feasible business model. This is
significantly due to the overwhelming cost of the initial capital expenditure and the operational
expenditure with respect to potential revenue.
63 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
WCR Collection from IGA supermarket
Central Processing System
When calculating the collection of WCR from local IGA Supermarkets for a central processing facility,
the operational expense of collecting the grind needs to be considered as well as the expense of the
production facility itself.
Analysing the production facility expenses is similar to what was calculated for the Nestle, Gympie
model. However, an inclusion of an additional cost can be seen in Table 37, to allow for renting an
industrial commercial property is required. Research has proven that to rent a suitable property in Balcatta,
Western Australia will cost approximately $25,000 per year. It is assumed that a similar cost for rent is to
be expected across other Australian cities.
TABLE 37 – OPERATIONAL EXPENDITURE OF PRODUCTION PROCESS FOR CENTRAL PROCESS SYSTEM
Operational Expenditure Yearly
Maintenance Contractor 40 Hours per Week $80,000
DME - Equipment Replacement (Approx.) $10,000
Unknown Cost Allowance (electricity, water) $20,000
Commercial/Industrial Rental Property $25,000
Insurance $5,000
Total Expenditure of Production Process $140,000
The transport costs associated for this collection model are similar to that of Table 33 for cost per
kilometre of travel and hourly cost of labour for transport. By applying these figures with respect to the
data already collected in Table 20 the following operational expense for collection can be considered as
per Table 38.
64 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 38 – OPERATIONAL EXPENDITURE FOR COLLECTING WCR
Australian Cities Total Yearly Operational Expense for Collection of WCR
1 Week Model 2 Week Model 3 Week Model 1 Month Model
Sydney, NSW 2000 $827,286 $413,646 $275,762 $190,912
Melbourne, VIC 3000 $626,658 $313,332 $208,884 $144,614
Brisbane, QLD 4000 $473,830 $236,918 $157,946 $109,345
Perth, WA 6000 $315,434 $157,720 $105,143 $72,793
Adelaide, SA 5000 $192,957 $96,475 $64,319 $44,528
Canberra, ACT 2601 $84,756 $42,378 $28,252 $19,559
Hobart, TAS 7000 $47,186 $23,596 $15,731 $10,890
Darwin, NT 0800 $40,275 $20,137 $13,425 $9,295
Whether or not the collection of the WCR from supermarkets is either on a weekly model or monthly
model the total revenue from the sale of the biofuel and bio-mass pellets will be the same due to the
quantity of the available resource. The total maximum revenue for each city utilising the data from Table
17 and Table 19 results in the following maximum revenue as per Table 39.
TABLE 39 – TOTAL AVAILABLE REVENUE FOR CENTRAL PROCESSING SYSTEMS
Australian City Total Revenue
Sydney, NSW 2000 $689,257
Melbourne, VIC 3000 $585,766
Brisbane, QLD 4000 $337,627
Perth, WA 6000 $207,505
Adelaide, SA 5000 $174,046
Canberra, ACT 2601 $36,877
Hobart, TAS 7000 $93,359
Darwin, NT 0800 $32,050
If the operational expenditure from both the production process and the different collection period models
were combined and plotted against the total revenue for a given city, the gross profit for each collection
period can be analysed to find which periods of collection are not feasible as per Figure 19.
65 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 19 – GROSS PROFIT OVER A YEAR PERIOD COMPARING DIFFERENT COLLECTION PERIODS
It is evident as per Figure 19 that the operational cost will have a major influence typically for cities which
have a low quantity of WCR available.
It can be seen that the only viable options for the project with respect to the assumptions of the operational
expenditure would be Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane. Also, for these cities to have a viable business
model, the collection period must be greater than every 2 weeks; it is approximately at this point when
the project starts to become feasible.
Ideally, the business model would suggest that collection of the resource should be carried out once per
month to maximise the gross profit of the business.
As per the Nestle model, the break-even value for the project is considered to be 3% compounding
because of inflation. However project feasibility for an investment decision of this model will increase to
an IRR value of 15% to allow for a much larger risk with respect to the reliance on expecting people and
café shops owners to deliver the WCR. A sensitivity analysis will further explore the effect on the reliance
of the collection of the resource.
-300000
-200000
-100000
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
0 1 2 3 4
Gro
ss P
roft
Ove
r a
Year
Collection Period Comparisson of (1 Week to 1 Month)
Gross Profit over a year period comparing different collection periods
Sydney, NSW 2000
Melbourne, VIC 3000
Brisbane, QLD 4000
Perth, WA 6000
Adelaide, SA 5000
Canberra, ACT 2601
Hobart, TAS 7000
Darwin, NT 0800
66 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Figure 20 displays the likely return of the project with respect to capital expenditure for monthly
collection period. For the project to be considered feasible for Brisbane the capital expenditure must
remain below $193,262. Implementing the project in Melbourne will be feasible so long as the capital
investment required for the project is less than $854,993 with Sydney being more flexible allowing for a
maximum capital expenditure of $1,020,049.
FIGURE 20 – INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN VARYING CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FOR CENTRAL PROCESSING MODEL
This suggests that implementing this project model in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane will provide a
profit and a good return for potential investors. However, the project is still a risk because of the reliance
of the WCR collection and this will be further identified within the sensitivity analysis.
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000
Inte
rnal
Rat
e o
f R
etu
rn (
IRR
) p
re-t
ax p
er y
ear
Capital Expenditure
Internal Rate of Return per Year pre-tax with Varying Capital Expenditure
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Breakeven
Feasibility
67 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Multiple Processing System
To determine the cost and feasibility of the multiple process systems located in a given city, it should be
again noted that the philosophy is to utilise existing council recycling and waste collection yards to store
the process facility free of rent.
The operational expenditure in Table 40 has been calculated based on viable collection zones as per
information from Table 27. At this point in time the collection expenditure has not been included, and
will only be included if there is a significant difference between the maximum revenue and operational
expenditure of production process.
TABLE 40 – OPERATIONAL EXPENDITURE OF PRODUCTION PROCESS FOR MULTIPLE PROCESSING SYSTEM MODEL
Operational Expenditure of Production Process
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Perth Adelaide Canberra
Maintenance Contractor (2 hr/zone per fortnight @ 80 p/h)
$45,760 $49,920 $8,320 $16,640 $12,480 $4,160
Equipment Replacement (Approx. $1500 per year per zone)
$16,500 $18,000 $3,000 $6,000 $4,500 $1,500
Unknown Cost Allowance ($2000 per year per zone)
$22,000 $24,000 $4,000 $8,000 $6,000 $2,000
Insurance ($2000 per year per zone) $22,000 $24,000 $4,000 $8,000 $6,000 $2,000
Total Expenditure of Production Process
$106,260 $115,920 $19,320 $38,640 $28,980 $9,660
The total feasible revenue for this model has been calculated utilising the zone data from Table 28.
TABLE 41 – RESOURCES AVAILABLE AND REVENUE FOR MULTIPLE PROCESSING SYSTEM IN AUSTRALIA
Revenue Biofuel (m3) Bio-Mass (tonne) Total Yearly Revenue
Sydney, NSW 2000 95 183 $128,881
Melbourne, VIC 3000 110 212 $149,908
Brisbane, QLD 4000 18 35 $24,433
Perth, WA 6000 36 69 $48,851
Adelaide, SA 5000 29 55 $39,040
Canberra, ACT 2601 10 19 $13,328
It is obvious at this early stage of the analysis that the multiple process systems will not be a feasible
business model in any city of Australia.
68 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
This is because even though the zone collection area has been optimised, the difference from just the
operational expenditure of the production process with respect to the maximum available revenue
currently neglecting the expense of the transportation and delivery of the WCR suggests that this would
not be a good investment even if the capital expenditure was 0 dollars. No further analysis of this model
has been undertaken.
WCR Collection from IGA Supermarket by Waste Management Partners
Assuming the collection of the grind resource as per Table 9 and Table 11 for cities within Australia, the
total revenue available for this model of logistics will be as per Table 39.
The assumption as stated within the Supply Chain and Logistics model was that only one process system
is to be installed per city utilising the Waste Management Partners to provide transportation of the WCR.
With the transportation of the WCR, a 30 percent share of the gross profit (in equivalent value of
biodiesel) will be offered to the Waste Management Partners.
With this in mind, operational expenditure for transportation can be neglected. The only operational
expenditure that is relevant for this model is the production operational expenditure ($122,080 per year)
which will be as per Nestle, Gympie model Table 31.
Canberra, Hobart and Darwin can initially be considered as not feasible as the operational expenditure is
greater than the total maximum potential revenue for these cities. Further cost and feasibility analysis has
been undertaken for the remaining cities.
As this model will have a full time maintenance contractor on site, the assumption is that similar to Nestle,
Gympie that the lifespan of the production facility itself will be 16 years with an increasing expense of
8% per year and increase of revenue of 3% per year.
69 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 42 – GROSS PROFIT AVAILABLE UTILISING WASTE MANAGEMENT PARTNERS
Australian City Gross Profit first Year 30% Share to Waste Management Partners
Remaining Profit first Year from Production
Sydney, NSW 2000 $566,843 $170,052.90 $396,790.10
Melbourne, VIC 3000 $463,536 $139,060.94 $324,475.52
Brisbane, QLD 4000 $216,079 $64,823.82 $151,255.58
Perth, WA 6000 $83,036 $24,910.82 $58,125.24
Adelaide, SA 5000 $51,857 $15,556.95 $36,299.55
With the information from Table 42, the amount of equivalent biofuel that the Waste Management
Partners would receive in the first year of business assuming biofuel value is $1070 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑚3 would be as
indicated in Table 43.
TABLE 43 – FUEL SHARE AVAILABLE TO WASTE MANAGEMENT PARTNERS
Australian City Fuel Share Biodiesel (m3)
Sydney, NSW 2000 $170,052.90 158.93
Melbourne, VIC 3000 $139,060.94 129.96
Brisbane, QLD 4000 $64,823.82 60.58
Perth, WA 6000 $24,910.82 23.28
Adelaide, SA 5000 $15,556.95 14.54
The biodiesel has a calorific value of 37.88 MJ/kg [1] in comparison to 42.8 MJ/kg [26] for diesel.
Therefore the amount of diesel required to produce the same energy content neglecting other variables
would be a multiplication factor of 0.885046 of the biodiesel weight in kg.
A comparison can be undertaken between the two fuel sources to find the difference with respect to
Greenhouse Gas Emissions (GHG) as well as fuel cost savings for the Waste Management Partner’s with
the assumption they were already going to the location where the WCR was deposited (supermarkets).
The GHG emission for each fuel source is 742.29 𝑘𝑔 𝐺𝐻𝐺/𝑚3 for B100 biodiesel and 3391 𝑘𝑔 𝐺𝐻𝐺/
𝑚3 for standard diesel [27]. The price of diesel fuel in Perth, Western Australia on the 16th of May, 2016
is $1.14 per litre.
70 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
TABLE 44 – GREEN HOUSE GAS (GHG) EMISSION COMPARISSON OF BIODIESEL B100 AND EQUIVALENT DIESEL
Australian City Biodiesel (B100) Equivalent Diesel (density = 832kg/m3)
Volume (m3) GHG Emission (kg) Volume (m3) GHG Emission (kg) Diesel ($AUD)
Sydney, NSW 2000 158.9 118071 150.7 511105 $171,821
Melbourne, VIC 3000 129.9 96553 123.3 417957 $140,507
Brisbane, QLD 4000 60.6 45009 57.4 194832 $65,498
Perth, WA 6000 23.3 17296 22.1 74871 $25,170
Adelaide, SA 5000 14.5 10802 13.8 46757 $15,719
Table 44 suggests that the Waste Management partners will reduce there GHG emissions by 77% by
utilising the biofuel to displace diesel, making the model practicable from an environmental perspective.
Financially the Waste Management partners will be remunerated for collecting the WCR from
supermarkets they were already attending making the decision to form a joint venture with the
stakeholders of the DME process a good business decision.
The gross profit (70% value) per year over the lifespan of the project for each city has been displayed in
Figure 21. It is apparent that over the lifespan of the project; Perth and Adelaide will not be economically
viable.
FIGURE 21 – GROSS PROFIT AVAILABLE FOR WASTE MANAGEMENT PARTNER COLLECTION MODEL
-$200,000.00
-$100,000.00
$0.00
$100,000.00
$200,000.00
$300,000.00
$400,000.00
$500,000.00
$600,000.00
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
70
% o
f G
ross
Pro
fit
Year
70% of Gross Profit per Year over Lifespan of the Project
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Perth
Adelaide
71 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Figure 22 displays the likely return of the project with respect to capital expenditure. This plot takes into
consideration only 70% of the gross profit with 30% of the gross profit awarded to the Waste Management
partners.
For the project to be considered feasible for Brisbane the capital expenditure must remain below
$242,269. Implementing the project in Melbourne will be practicable from a business perspective if the
capital investment can remain below $645,100 and viable for Sydney if capital expenditure is below
$813,271.
FIGURE 22 – INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN PER YEAR PRE-TAX FOR WASTE MANAGEMENT PARTNER COLLECTION MODEL
Figure 22 suggests that implementing this project model in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane will provide
a profit and a good return for potential investors, stakeholders and joint venture partners so long as the
capital investment for feasibility is below the identified constraints.
However, like the central processing facility model, the project is still a risk because of the reliance of the
WCR collection and this will be further identified within the sensitivity analysis.
-10.000%
-5.000%
0.000%
5.000%
10.000%
15.000%
20.000%
25.000%
30.000%
35.000%
0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000
Inte
rnal
Rat
e o
f R
etu
rn p
er
year
pre
-tax
Capital Expenditure
Internal Rate of Return per Year pre-tax with Varying Capital Expenditure
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Feasibility (15%)
Break-Even (3%)
72 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Sensitivity Analysis Throughout the report there has been an emphasis on providing an accurate economic analysis on the
feasibility of implementing different logistic models for the production of coffee oil, biodiesel and bio-
mass pellets.
However, uncertainty of independent variables such as the collection of the WCR and also the amount of
hours Nestle operate per year in particular needs to be further analysed as these have been identified as
critical factors for the affected models.
The sensitivity analysis will change the two values from the two different collection models:
1. Collection Model 1 – Hours of Operation of Production at Nestle, Gympie. Currently the value
of 7,000 hours per year of operation have been considered. The sensitivity analysis will assess the
hours of operation of 3,000 and 5,000 hours of operation per year.
2. Collection Model 2 - Likelihood of collection of resource from café and coffee shops has been
identified throughout the report to be a multiplication factor of 0.75. The sensitivity analysis will
assess this multiplication factor at 0.3 and 0.5 to predict the alternative outcomes.
Sensitivity Analysis for Collection Model 1 For the sensitivity analysis, only the gross profit will be evaluated with respect to the change in hours of
operation.
1,111𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟∗ (1 − 0.55) ∗ 0.1973 ∗ 0.804 = 79.31
𝑘𝑔
ℎ𝑟𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑖𝑜𝑓𝑢𝑒𝑙 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒
𝐹𝑜𝑟 3000 ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑟𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑏𝑖𝑜𝑓𝑢𝑒𝑙 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 = 79.31 ∗ 3000
= 237,930 𝑘𝑔 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
73 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
𝐹𝑜𝑟 5000 ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑟𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑏𝑖𝑜𝑓𝑢𝑒𝑙 𝑎𝑣𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 = 79.31 ∗ 5000
= 396,550 𝑘𝑔 𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
TABLE 45 – REVENUE WITH RESPECT TO DIFFERING OPERATING HOURS AT NESTLE PRODUCTION FACILITY
Operating Time over a year
Revenue for Year 1
$600 / tonne $800 / tonne $1000 / tonne
3000 Hours $142,758 $190,344 $237,930
5000 Hours $237,930 $317,240 $396,550
With the operational expenditure remaining constant at $122,080 and the assumption of 8% growth in
expenditure each year for the lifespan of the project and 3% increase in revenue the following results have
been observed as per Table 46.
TABLE 46 – GROSS PROFIT WITH RESPECT TO DIFFERING OPERATING HOURS AT NESTLE PRODUCTION FACILITY
Operating Time Summation of Gross Profit over 16 Year Lifespan of Project
$600 / tonne $800 / tonne $1000 / tonne
3000 Hours -$1,013,587 $21,960 $1,057,507
5000 Hours $1,057,507 $2,783,419 $4,509,330
It is evident that just by summing the gross profit over the 16 year period that the $600 per tonne sale
price for 3000 operating hours per year will not be feasible. It is also apparent that the gross profit for the
3000 hour model per year with a sale price of $1000 per tonne is identical as $600 per tonne at operating
5000 hours per year.
Currently throughout the report, the quantitative measurement to deem feasibility of a logistics model has
been to assess the practicality of interest return from the gross profit over the lifespan of the project. For
the collection based model, because of the high risk, a feasibility limit of 15% for investment has been
allocated. For the Nestle model however, because the risk is low a return for investors of 9%.
It is apparent that for the models to be feasible, $266,354 would be the maximum capital expenditure to
ensure a 9% return with respect to gross profit for sale price $1,000 per tonne at 3000 hours of operation
a year and also $600 per tonne at 5000 hours of operation per year.
74 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Figure 23 indicates that for $800 per tonne for 5000 hours a year, the maximum capital investment
required to ensure a minimum of 9% return from gross profit was $701,059. For 5000 hours of operation
over a year at $1000/tonne results in a maximum investment $1,135,764.
FIGURE 23 – IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS COMPARING OPERATING HOURS OF NESTLE
This sensitivity analysis suggests that the only way the model could be deemed viable from an economic
perspective at 3000 hours per year in terms of the feasibility constraints is if a guarantee sale of $1000
dollars a tonne was possible. As it is deemed too large of a risk, if production was only operated at 3000
hours over the year the project would be dismissed.
However, if the production at the plant was run at 5000 hours over the year then the project would be
deemed feasible so long as the capital expenditure constraints were met.
Sensitivity Analysis for Collection Model 2
The collection of the resource is very sensitive to a change in the multiplication factor of café and coffee
shop grind collection.
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 3500000 4000000
Inte
rnal
Rat
e o
f R
etu
rn (
IRR
) p
re-t
ax p
er Y
ear
Capital Expenditure
Internal Rate of Return pre-tax per Year with Varying Capital Expenditure
$800/tonne (3000 hr)
$1000/tonne (3000 hr)
$600/tonne (5000 hr)
$800/tonne (5000 hr)
$1000/tonne (5000 hr)
Feasibility
Break-even
75 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
An overall analysis is undertaken by manipulating the multiplication factor from Table 10 from the initial
value of 0.75 to 0.5, and then again to 0.3 to assess the effect of this factor on the overall project feasibility.
As the in-store processing model and multiple processing system scenarios have been neglected, there
has been an emphasis on solely the central processing model for Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane.
Currently with 0.75 multiplication factor the results are as per Figure 20.
It is apparent by the sum of the total gross profit over the lifespan of the project that reducing the
multiplication factor to 0.5 and 0.3, the model would no longer be financially viable in Brisbane as per
Table 47.
TABLE 47 – GROSS PROFIT WITH RESPECT TO SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLICATION FACTOR FOR MODEL 2
Gross Profit Multiplication Factor
0.75 0.5 0.3
Sydney $4,126,677 $2,075,873 $435,229
Melbourne $3,458,941 $1,776,214 $430,033
Brisbane $781,890 -$240,480 -$1,058,376
By assessing the interest return per year from the initial capital expenditure as per Figure 24, it can be
seen that both Sydney and Melbourne (superimposed on the plot) would only meet the feasibility return
requirements so long as the initial capital investment was approximately $100,000 or less when the
multiplication factor was 0.3.
In comparison, the initial 0.75 factor allowed for an approximate initial capital investment of $1,000,000
for a return of 15% per year whereas the 0.5 factor only allowed for a maximum of approximately
$440,000.
76 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
FIGURE 24 – IRR SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS COMPARING MULTIPLICATION FACTOR FOR LIKELIHOOD COLLECTION OF WCR
Although the 0.3 and 0.5 factors cannot be ruled unfeasible for the project for Sydney or Melbourne,
consideration must be taken into account with respect to initial capital expenditure.
-30.00%
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
0 500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000 3500000 4000000
Inte
rnal
Rat
e o
f R
etu
rn p
er Y
ear
pre
-tax
Capital Expenditure
Internal Rate of Return per Year with Varying Capital Expenditure
Sydney (0.75)
Melbourne (0.75)
Sydney (0.5)
Melbourne (0.5)
Sydney (0.3)
Melbourne (0.3)
Feasibility
Breakeven
77 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Conclusion
By evaluating the outcomes of the paper - explicitly the cost and sensitivity analysis, it is apparent that
implementing a production process system to produce biodiesel and biomass pellets in Australian cities other
than Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane would not be a practicable investment for stakeholders.
It seems that in-store processing of the biofuel from the WCR product can be dismissed in all cities due to the
operational expenditure and capital expenditure exceeding the potential revenue of the products by a
significant amount.
The collection of the WCR in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane for a central processing facility would specify
that pending on capital investment required to build the infrastructure of the process system and with a
collection period of one month, an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of greater than 15% pre-tax per year is viable.
However, reflection from sensitivity analysis results indicate that with the reliance on the multiplication factor
of likelihood of collection of the WCR, there is potential of significant risks.
An alternative viable option for a feasible economic business model would be to partner up with Waste
Management Partners to provide the transport of the grind to a central processing location which would
mitigate some risks. This would provide not only an economically realizable model with an IRR greater than
15% to the stakeholders (pending capital expenditure), but also an environmental incentive with the reduction
of Greenhouse Gas Emissions by utilising the alternative fuel for transport.
The production and implementation of a process system at the explored Nestle model discussed in the paper
using some assumptions indicates that this model would provide adequate energy solutions and a very healthy
IRR for potential investors pending capital investment required. Due to WCR constantly available, the
potential for risk is extremely low signifying a great investment opportunity.
The business model as a whole suffers predominantly due to the operational expenditure of collecting the
dispersed resource. If there is a way that the operational expenditure for collection could be dramatically
reduced, then there is no reason why the business model cannot attain an IRR of greater than 15% in all cities
within Australia, pending capital expenditure.
78 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
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81 | P a g e Steven A. Corica, 2016
Appendix 1
Attached At the back of Thesis Paper.
A B C D E F G
Suburb of IGA Address of IGAInteractive Map Region as per
Zee Maps (10 Regions)
Interactive Map Region as
per Zee Maps (4 Regions)
Quantity of IGA in
Suburb
Population of Suburb of
IGA
Restaurants/Café inclusive of
Surrounding Suburbs of IGA
Applecross 916 Canning Highway, Applecross 6 3 2 6579 23
Ashfield 3A Colstoun Rd, Ashfield WA 6054 8 2 1 1256 6
Atwell 129 Lydon Blvd, Atwell WA 6164 7 3 1 8646 7
Balcatta 1/207 Jones St Balcatta 4 1 1 9991 8
Balga 16/108 Princess Rd, Balga WA 6061 3 1 1 10701 6
Ballajura Illawarra Ballajura 3 1 2 18952 16
Beaconsfield Lefroy Rd, Shop 11 Beaconsfield Plaza Shopping Centre, Beaconsfield WA 6162 6 3 1 4649 4
Beaumaris Connolly Shopping Centre, 6/1 Glenelg Pl, Connolly WA 6027 1 1 1 8108 0
Beckenham 190 William St, Beckenham WA 6107 7 2 1 6627 12
Bedford 174 Grand Promenade, Bedford WA 6052 4 1 1 4575 4
Beechboro 161 Amazon Dr Beechboro 3 1 1 13997 3
Belmont Cnr Wright Street & Belmont Ave, Belmont Village Shopping Centre, Perth WA 6104 7 2 3 40083 12
Bentley 9 Hill View Pl, Bentley WA 6102 7 2 1 7625 15
Bertram Hero Cres, Bertram WA 6167 10 4 1 5102 0
Bicton 378 Canning Hwy, Bicton, WA 6157 6 3 1 6018 6
Byford 867 S Western Hwy, Byford WA 6122 9 4 1 7034 1
Bullcreek Shop 8 Parry Village Parry Ave, Bull Creek WA 6149 6 3 1 7541 4
Byford 867 S Western Hwy, Byford WA 6122 9 4 1 3335 1
CanningVale Ranford Rd, Canning Vale WA 6155 7 2 2 30666 21
Carine 10/473 Beach Rd, Duncraig WA 6023 2 1 1 6479 3
Carlisle 232 Orrong Road, Carlisle WA 6101 7 2 1 5157 4
City Beach 3 Kilpa Ct, City Beach WA 6015 2 1 2 6354 3
Como 25 Preston St, Como WA 6152 7 3 2 12423 16
Coolbellup 19 Cordelia Ave, Coolbellup WA 6163 6 3 1 4917 0
Cooloongup Ennis Ave, Cooloongup WA 6168 10 4 1 6822 1
Cottesloe 1/36 Eric St, Cottesloe WA 6011 5 3 1 6641 21
Craigie Craigie Plaza Shopping Centre/15 Perilya Rd, Craigie WA 6025 1 1 1 5602 3
Crawley 33/88 Broadway, Crawley WA 6009 5 3 1 3108 3
Dalkeith 81 Waratah Ave, Dalkeith WA 6009 5 3 1 4258 2
Dianella Dianella Plaza, 66/366 Grand Promenade, Dianella WA 6059 4 1 1 22521 8
Doubleview 187 Scarborough Beach Rd, Doubleview WA 6018 2 1 1 7576 4
Duncraig Glengarry Shopping Centre, 59 Arnisdale Rd, Duncraig WA 6023 2 1 3 15026 4
East Vic Park 860 Albany Hwy, East Victoria Park WA 6101 7 3 1 7795 29
East Fremantle 143 Canning Hwy, East Fremantle, WA 6158 6 3 1 6697 5
Edgewater Edgewater Drive Shop 1 Edgewater Shopping Centre, Edgewater WA 6027 1 1 1 4531 0
Ellenbrook Woodlake Village Shopping Centre, Sunray Cir, Ellenbrook WA 6069 3 1 1 36293 9
Glendalough 1/4-8 Jon Sanders Dr, Glendalough WA 6016 2 1 1 2203 0
Gosnells 2251 Albany Hwy, Gosnells WA 6110 7 2 1 21000 9
Gwelup N Beach Rd, Gwelup WA 6018 2 1 1 3924 1
Halls Head 12/4 Old Coast Rd, Halls Head WA 6210 10 4 1 6408 1
Hamilton Hill 2 Simms Road, Hamilton Hill WA 6163 6 3 3 9855 6
Heathridge 89 Caridean Street, Heathridge WA 6027 1 1 1 6882 0
Helena Valley 1/1 Torquata Blvd, Helena Valley WA 6056 8 2 1 3016 2
High Wycombe 37 Newburn Rd, High Wycombe WA 6057 8 2 1 11781 2
Hillarys 470 Whitfords Ave, Hillarys, WA, 6025 1 1 1 10680 26
Hilton 285 South Street, Hilton WA 6163 6 3 1 5980 2
Huntingdale Pipit Cl, Huntingdale WA 6110 7 2 1 8543 1
Inglewood 96 Tenth Ave, Inglewood, WA 6052 4 1 1 5503 14
Innaloo 1/27 Morris Pl, Innaloo WA 6018 2 1 1 7648 14
Girrawheen 60 Marangaroo Dr, Girrawheen WA 6064 3 1 1 8334 5
Joondalup Lakeside Shopping Centre, 420 Joondalup Dr, Joondalup WA 6027 1 1 1 8420 28
Kalamunda 12 Canning Rd, Kalamunda WA 6076 8 2 1 6636 9
Kardiniya Cnr South St And Gilbertson Rd, Kardinya, WA 616 6 3 1 8874 2
Kelmscott 2838 Albany Hwy, Kelmscott WA 6111 7 2 2 10019 7
Kingsley 6/100 Kingsley Dr, Kingsley WA 6026 1 1 1 13218 4
Kinross Connolly Dr, Kinross WA 6028 1 1 1 7232 2
Koondoola 1 Koondoola Ave, Koondoola WA 6064 3 1 1 3897 0
Landsdale 225 Kingsway, Darch WA 6065 3 1 1 7480 1
Leederville 313 Vincent St, Leederville WA 6007 4 1 1 2741 24
Leeming Cnr Farrington and Findlay Road, Leeming WA 6149 6 3 1 12977 2
Lesmurdie 241 Lesmurdie Rd, Lesmurdie WA 6076 8 2 2 7956 1
Lynwood 6-12 Lynwood Avenue, Shop 1 Lynwood Village, Lynwood WA 6147 7 2 1 36485 1
Mandurah Mandurah Terrace, Mandurah WA 6210 10 4 2 80683 31
Marmion Marmion Village Shopping Centre, Sheppard Way, Marmion WA 6020 2 1 1 2163 3
Maylands 1/238 Guildford Rd, Maylands WA 6051 4 1 1 12363 19
Merriwa Baltimore Parade & Jenolan Way, Merriwa WA 6030 1 4 1 5571 1
Miami 619-627 Old Coast Road, Falcon WA 6210 10 4 1 4666 0
Midland 295 Great Eastern Hwy, Midland WA 6056 8 2 1 16572 34
Mirrabooka 6/73 Honeywell Blvd, Mirrabooka WA 6061 3 1 2 7933 4
Morley 11/238 Walter Rd W, Morley WA 6062 4 1 2 20301 28
Mosman Park 1/130 Wellington St, Mosman Park WA 6012 5 3 2 8598 10
Mt Hawthorn 173 Scarborough Beach Rd, Mount Hawthorn WA 6016 4 1 1 7357 12
Mt Helena McVicar Pl, Mount Helena WA 6082 8 4 1 2700 0
Mt Lawley 629 Beaufort St, Mount Lawley WA 6050 4 1 2 10703 20
Mt Pleasant 80 Cranford Ave, Mt Pleasant WA 6153 6 3 1 6423 3
Mullalloo Shop 1, Mullaloo Shopping Centre, Koorana Road, Mullaloo WA 6027 1 1 1 5869 6
Mundijong Patterson Street, Lot 20, Mundijong WA 6123 9 4 1 1429 0
Myaree 67 North Lake Road, Myaree WA 6154 6 3 1 1800 5
Nedlands Stirling Hwy, Nedlands WA 6009 5 3 2 10833 24
Nollamara 63 Nollamara Ave, Nollamara WA 6061 4 1 1 9888 0
Northbridge 150 Newcastle St Northbridge WA 6003 4 1 1 1005 48
Lynwood 6-12 Lynwood Avenue, Shop 1 Lynwood Village, Lynwood WA 6147 7 2 1 36458 1
O'connor 10/7 O'Connor Rd, Stratton WA 6056 8 2 1 318 0
Ocean Reef Constellation Dr, Ocean Reef WA 6027 1 1 1 8108 3
Osborne Park 212 Main St, Osborne Park WA 6017 4 1 2 4047 16
Padbury Shop 11 Padbury Shopng Ctr Warburton Ave, Padbury WA 6025 1 1 1 8113 2
Perth / East Perth / West Perth 81 Royal St, East Perth WA 6004 4 1 1 20762 187
Port Kennedy 49 Chelmsford Avenue, Port Kennedy WA 6172 10 4 1 12816 5
Queens Park Supa IGA on 193 Sevenoaks St, Queens Park, WA 6107 7 2 1 3529 1
Quinns Rocks Quinns Rock Shopping Centre, 7 Tapping Way & Quinss Road, Quinns Rocks WA 6030 1 1 3 8902 4
Riverton High Rd, Riverton, Western Australia 6155 7 2 1 4666 3
Rivervale 126 Kooyong Rd, Rivervale, WA126 Kooyong Rd, Rivervale WA 6103 7 2 1 8402 4
Roleystone 21 Jarrah Road, Roleystone WA 6111 7 2 2 5975 2
Rossmoyne Cnr Central Road & Third Avenue, Rossmoyne WA 6148 6 3 1 3062 3
Safety Bay Malibu Shopping Ctr Malibu Rd, Safety Bay WA 6169 10 4 3 7305 4
Shenton Park 159 Onslow Rd, Shenton Park WA 6008 5 3 1 4350 5
South Fremantle 195 Hampton Rd, South Fremantle WA 6162 6 3 1 2900 13
South Perth 19/4 Harpers Terrace, South Perth WA 6151 7 3 2 10763 28
South Lake Cnr South Lake Drive & Berrigan Rd, South Lake WA 6164 6 3 1 5659 3
Spearwood 432 Rockingham Rd, Spearwood WA 6163 6 3 1 8940 4
Swan View 309 Morrison Rd, Swan View WA 6056 8 2 1 8080 5
Thornlie 12-14/200 Spencer Rd, Thornlie WA 6108 7 2 1 22972 10
Stirling Sanderling St, Stirling WA 6021 4 1 1 5752 2
Waikki Charthouse Shopng Ctr Charthouse Rd, Waikiki WA 6169 10 4 1 11982 3
Wanneroo Cnr Conlan Drive & WannerooRd, Wanneroo Shopping Centre, Wanneroo WA 6065 1 1 2 11901 6
Wembley Downs Crestwood at the Downs, Bournemouth Cres, Wembley Downs WA 6019 2 1 1 5881 12
Westfield Ypres Rd, Camillo WA 6111 7 2 1 2070 0
Westminster 31 Canara Rd, Westminster WA 6061 4 1 1 5175 3
Willagee 70 Archibald St, Willagee WA 6156 6 3 1 4356 1
Willetton 1/61 Apsley Rd, Willetton WA 6155 6 3 1 17243 10
Winthrop 109/141 Somerville Blvd, Winthrop WA 6150 6 3 2 6430 2
Woodvale Woodvale Shopng Ctr Trappers Dr, Woodvale WA 6026 1 1 1 9202 2
Yangebup 31 Moorhen Dr, Yangebup WA 6164 6 3 1 7125 1
141 1101478 1021
663.65 65% Coffee & Café as per Yellow Pages
Appendix 1