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3/8/2010 1 Prepared by LGL Limited for FSWP & DFO Summary of results from Lower Fraser Fishwheel catches, radio-telemetry and sockeye run reconstruction analyses, 2009.

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3/8/2010 1

Prepared by

LGL Limitedfor

FSWP & DFO

Summary of results from Lower Fraser Fishwheel catches, radio-telemetry and

sockeye run reconstruction analyses, 2009.

3/8/2010 2

Acknowledgements

Matsqui First NationMatsqui First Nation

Project Oversight:Chief Alice McKay, Brian Riddell,

Terry Tebb, Saul Milne, Mike Lapointe, Timber Whitehouse, Marla Maxwell

Field Logistics:Brenda Morgan, Kelly Catherwood,

Jack Mussell, Steve Latham, Cory WilliamsonKeri Benner, Jayme Hills, Dave Paterson

Core Project Team:Jason Smith, Dave Robichaud, Karl English, Shawn Tyerman, Dwayne Morgan, Garry Silver,

Mark Tiley, Anita Blakley

Telemetry Equipment:Grant County PUD,

DFO, Nicola First Nation, UBC, MoE, LGL Limited

3/8/2010 3

and of course we would like to thank

3/8/2010 4

This PresentationStudy Objectives & SetupSpecies Composition at Mission

daily fishwheel catch and PSC EstimatesRadio-telemetry Results 2009

migration rates and fatesassessment of en-route lossescomparisons with results from other years

Sockeye Run Reconstruction Analysissummary of progress to date

Objectives & Proposal for 20108/2

3/8/2010 5

Objectives for 2009

Estimate in-river survival rates, migration rates and impact of fisheries on in-river survival for sockeye and chinook.Test new approach for estimating species composition at Mission using Whonnock, fishwheel and Qualark dataWork with PSC to derive reliable in-season estimates of abundance at Mission for sockeye, chinook and pink salmon.

3/8/2010 6

Study AreaFraser

Watershedfrom

Mission to Stuart River

3/8/2010 7

“Crescent” Site - (9 km below Mission)

3/8/2010 8

Floating Shoreline Abutment & Two Fishwheels

11-19 ft deep

20-25 ft deep

Float

Side View

Water Surface

PilesShoreline

RiverFlow

Fish guidance

weir

underwatercable

3/8/2010 9

Fraser River Water Levels 2009- Mission hydrometric station

Data from Environment Canada web site

3/8/2010 10

Daily Fishwheel Effort and Speed (RPM)

Spee

d (R

PM)

Tot

al E

ffor

t (h)

0

6

12

18

24

26-J

un

3-Ju

l

10-J

ul

17-J

ul

24-J

ul

31-J

ul

7-A

ug

14-A

ug

21-A

ug

28-A

ug

4-Se

p

11-S

ep

18-S

ep

0

1

2

3

Crescent - Large

0

6

12

18

24

26-J

un

3-Ju

l

10-J

ul

17-J

ul

24-J

ul

31-J

ul

7-A

ug

14-A

ug

21-A

ug

28-A

ug

4-Se

p

11-S

ep

18-S

ep

0

1

2

3

Crescent - Regular

3/8/2010 11

Fishwheel Catch Summary

Species Adults Jacks Total PercentPink 15,611 15,611 75.0%Sockeye 3,394 430 3,824 18.4%Chinook 500 787 1,287 6.2%Coho 38 5 43 0.2%Chum 1 1 0.0%Steelhead 19 19 0.1%Sturgeon 30 30 0.1%Total 19,593 1,222 20,815 100.0%

3/8/2010 12

Fishwheel CPUE & PSC Abundance 2009- Sockeye Salmon

0

2

4

6

8

10

1226

-Jun

3-Ju

l

10-J

ul

17-J

ul

24-J

ul

31-J

ul

7-A

ug

14-A

ug

21-A

ug

28-A

ug

4-Se

p

11-S

ep

18-S

ep

CPU

E (fi

sh/h

) _

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Miss

ion

Abu

ndan

ce (x

1,0

00)_Regular Fishwheel

Large FishwheelMission Abundance

AdultSockeye

3/8/2010 13

Fishwheel Catch by Species 2009

0100200300400500600700800900

26-J

un

2-Ju

l

8-Ju

l

14-J

ul

20-J

ul

26-J

ul

1-A

ug

7-A

ug

13-A

ug

19-A

ug

25-A

ug

31-A

ug

6-Se

p

12-S

ep

18-S

ep

Fish

whe

el C

atch

_

Sockeye (Adult+Jack) Chinook Adult Chinook Jack Pink Salmon

1600-2700

3/8/2010 14

% Sockeye at Mission

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%27

-Jun

3-Ju

l

9-Ju

l

15-J

ul

21-J

ul

27-J

ul

2-A

ug

8-A

ug

14-A

ug

20-A

ug

26-A

ug

1-Se

p

7-Se

p

13-S

ep

19-S

ep

Perc

ent S

ocke

ye

PSC SC Whonnock SC (Daily)

Whonnock SC Total-CN-PK Whonnock * FactorMarine SC

50% assumption

3/8/2010 15

% Sockeye at Mission

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%27

-Jun

3-Ju

l

9-Ju

l

15-J

ul

21-J

ul

27-J

ul

2-A

ug

8-A

ug

14-A

ug

20-A

ug

26-A

ug

1-Se

p

7-Se

p

13-S

ep

19-S

ep

Perc

ent S

ocke

ye

Fishwheels SC Whonnock SC (3d Avg)

3/8/2010 16

Sockeye at Mission(alternative sources for species composition)

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,00027

-Jun

4-Ju

l

11-J

ul

18-J

ul

25-J

ul

1-A

ug

8-A

ug

15-A

ug

22-A

ug

29-A

ug

5-S

ep

12-S

ep

19-S

ep

Dai

ly S

ocke

ye E

stim

ate

Mission In-seasonFishwheel SC OnlyFW+W Combined SC Whonnock SC Only

3/8/2010 17

Chinook at Mission(near shore SC from fishwheels & offshore SC from Whonnock gillnet test fishery)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,00027

-Jun

3-Ju

l

9-Ju

l

15-J

ul

21-J

ul

27-J

ul

2-A

ug

8-A

ug

14-A

ug

20-A

ug

26-A

ug

1-Se

p

7-Se

p

13-S

ep

19-S

ep

Dai

ly M

issio

n Pa

ssag

e E

stim

ate

Adult Chinook

Total = 373,000

3/8/2010 18

Pink Salmon at Mission(near shore SC from fishwheels & offshore SC from Whonnock gillnet test fishery)

0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000

27-J

un3-

Jul

9-Ju

l15

-Jul

21-J

ul27

-Jul

2-A

ug8-

Aug

14-A

ug20

-Aug

26-A

ug1-

Sep

7-Se

p13

-Sep

19-S

ep25

-Sep

Dai

ly M

issio

n Pa

ssag

e E

stim

ate

Pink Salmon

Preliminary Estimate:Waiting for results from PSC

analysis of DIDSON data.

3/8/2010 19

Sockeye2009

Jul 10

3/8/2010 20

Sockeye2009

Jul 20

3/8/2010 21

Sockeye2009

Jul 30

3/8/2010 22

Sockeye2009

Aug 13

3/8/2010 23

Sockeye2009

Aug 22

3/8/2010 24

Sockeye2009

Sep 12

3/8/2010 25

Sockeye2009

Oct 7

3/8/2010 26

Sockeye2009

Oct. 20

3/8/2010 27

Migration Speeds 2009by Reach and Run-timing Group

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Mission to Hope

Mission to Hell's Gate

Mission to Thompson

Mission to Chilcotin

Mission to Quesnel

Thompson to Spence's Br.

Thompson to Little River

Migration Speed (km/d)

Early StuartEarly SummerSummerLate-run

3/8/2010 28

Migration Speeds Comparisons Summer-run stocks (2005-2009)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Mission to Hope

Mission to Hell'sGate

Mission toThompson

Mission toChilcotin

Mission toQuesnel

Migration Speed (km/d)

20052006200720082009

3/8/2010 29

Radio-tagged Sockeye by Timing Group 2009(Mission Passage Dates)

0

5

10

15

20

25

3027

Jun

4 Ju

l

11 J

ul

18 J

ul

25 J

ul

1 A

ug

8 A

ug

15 A

ug

22 A

ug

29 A

ug

5 Se

p

12 S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d so

ckey

e

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Abu

ndan

ce (x

1000

)

Late-runSummersEarly SummerEarly StuartAbundance

3/8/2010 30

Radio-tagged Sockeye by Timing Group 2009(+ Daily Harvest Rates)

0

5

10

15

20

25

3027

Jun

4 Ju

l

11 J

ul

18 J

ul

25 J

ul

1 A

ug

8 A

ug

15 A

ug

22 A

ug

29 A

ug

5 Se

p

12 S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d so

ckey

e

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Dai

ly H

arve

st R

ate

Late-runSummersEarly SummerEarly StuartHarvest Rate

3/8/2010 31

Fate of Radio-tagged Sockeye & Daily Harvest Rates by Mission Passage Date 2009

0

5

10

15

20

2527

Jun

4 Ju

l

11 J

ul

18 J

ul

25 J

ul

1 A

ug

8 A

ug

15 A

ug

22 A

ug

29 A

ug

5 Se

p

12 S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d so

ckey

e

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Dai

ly H

arve

st R

ate

Fishery RemovalsEnroute LossesSpawning AreaHarvest Rate

3/8/2010 32

Fate of Radio-tagged Sockeye & Daily Harvest Rates by Mission Passage Date 2009

0

5

10

15

20

2527

Jun

4 Ju

l

11 J

ul

18 J

ul

25 J

ul

1 A

ug

8 A

ug

15 A

ug

22 A

ug

29 A

ug

5 Se

p

12 S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d so

ckey

e

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

Tem

pera

ture

(o C)

Fishery RemovalsEnroute LossesSpawning AreaWater Temperature

3/8/2010 33

Estimated Tagging Related Losses below Sawmill

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

6-Ju

l

13-J

ul

20-J

ul

27-J

ul

3-A

ug

10-A

ug

17-A

ug

24-A

ug

31-A

ug

7-Se

p

14-S

ep

Est

imat

ed T

aggi

ng R

elat

ed L

oss (

%)

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

Qua

lark

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re ( o C

)

Early Stuart Early Summer Summer Late Temp.

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

6-Ju

l

13-J

ul

20-J

ul

27-J

ul

3-A

ug

10-A

ug

17-A

ug

24-A

ug

31-A

ug

7-Se

p

14-S

ep

Est

imat

ed T

aggi

ng R

elat

ed L

oss (

%)

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

Qua

lark

Wat

er T

empe

ratu

re ( o C

)

Early Stuart Early Summer Summer Late Temp.

3/8/2010 34

Early Stuart Travel Histories- Release to Chilcotin Junction

(lines are fish last seen at the Chilcotin Junction)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Travel Time (d)

Dis

tanc

e fr

om M

Issi

on (k

m)

214 222 226

231 237 242

255 262 269

3/8/2010 35

Early Stuart Sockeye arrival timing at Chilcotin Junction, fate and water temperature

0

1

2

3

4

5

6/27 7/4 7/11 7/18 7/25 8/1 8/8 8/15 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12

Chilcotin Passage Date

Num

ber o

f Rad

io-ta

gged

Soc

keye

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

22.0

24.0

Tem

pera

ture

(o C

)

LossSpawning AreaLillooet TemperatureStuart Temperature

Early Stuart Sockeye

3/8/2010 36

Summer-run Travel Histories- Release to Thompson Junction or Seton

(lines are fish last seen at Thompson or Seton)

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Travel Time (d)

Dis

tanc

e fr

om M

Issi

on (k

m)

296 353 355 448468 277 309 315324 361 446 267469 338 360 387225 339 378 384322

3/8/2010 37

Final Distribution of 143 Summer-run Sockeye 2009

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Nechako-StuartNechako JunctionQuesnel Junction

Chilcotin RiverChilcotin Junction

SetonThompson J.

Hells GateSawmill

HopeRosedaleHarrisonMission

Number of Radio-tagged Sockeye

Spawners (57)Fishery Returns (8)Fishery Removals (0)Dropbacks (21)Enroute Loss (33)Tagging Related Loss (24)

36% of en route losses

30% of en route losses

3/8/2010 38

Final Distribution of 301 Summer-run Sockeye 2005- Lower Fraser releases only

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Nechako-StuartAbove Quesnel

HorseflyQuesnel

Quesnel JunctionChilcotin River

Chilcotin JunctionSeton

Thompson J.Hells Gate

SawmillHope

RosedaleMission

Number of Radio-tagged Sockeye

Spawners (154)Fishery Returns (29)Fishery Removals (21)Dropbacks (29)Enroute Losses (43)Tagging related losses (25)

47% of en route losses

3/8/2010 39

Final Distribution of 133 Summer-run Sockeye 2006- Lower Fraser releases only

0 10 20 30 40 50

Nechako-StuartNechako Junction

HorseflyQuesnel Junction

Chilcotin RiverChilcotin Junction

Bridge River RapidsSeton

Thompson J.Hells Gate

SawmillHope

RosedaleMission

Number of Radio-tagged Sockeye

Spawning Areas (52)Fishery Returns (17)Fishery Removals (8)Dropbacks (18)En route Losses (18)Tagging related loss (20)

50% of en route losses

3/8/2010 40

Final Distribution of 198 Summer-run Sockeye 2007

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Nechako-StuartNechako JunctionQuesnel Junction

Chilko RiverChilcotin Junction

Kelly CreekSeton

Thompson J.Hells Gate

SawmillHope

RosedaleMission

Number of Radio-tagged Sockeye

Spawning Areas (65)Fishery Returns (30)Fishery Removals (9)Dropbacks (18)En route Losses (38)Tagging related loss (38)

37% of en route losses

3/8/2010 41

Average Daily Temperature Exposure(Mission-Chilcotin junction)

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

2005 2006 2007 2009

Ave

rage

Tem

pera

ture

Dur

ing

Trac

king

(oC

)

spawning arealost en-route

Summer-run Sockeye

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

2009

Ave

rage

Tem

pera

ture

Dur

ing

Trac

king

(oC

)

Early-Stuart

3/8/2010 42

Sockeye Run Reconstruction Analysis

Years: 2002-2007Stocks: 5 run-timing groups, 35 CUsIn-river Fisheries

First Nations (21), commercial (2), sport (1)Migration Parameters (year-stock specific)

run timing from Missionfishery residence times from radio-telemetryen-route losses from radio-telemetry

Average distribution of en-route losses -Early Stuart (2006-07), Bowron (2002,03,05,06)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Sawmill-Thompson

Thompson-Texas

Texas-Kelly

Kelly-Chilcotin

Chilcotin-Quesnel

Quesnel-Naver

Thompson-Bonaparte

Bonaparte-Kamloops

Kamloops-LittleR

LittleR-Adams

En-route Loss (%)

Bowron (n=21)

Early Stuart (n=25)

Average distribution of en-route losses -Summer-run stocks based on 2002-07 data

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

Sawmill-Thompson

Thompson-Texas

Texas-Kelly

Kelly-Chilcotin

Chilcotin-Quesnel

Quesnel-Naver

Thompson-Bonaparte

Bonaparte-Kamloops

Kamloops-LittleR

LittleR-Adams

En-route Loss (%)

Nechako (n=126)Quesnel (n=268)Chilko (n=281)

Average distribution of en-route losses - Early & Late Shuswap stocks based on 2002,03,06 data

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Sawmill-Thompson

Thompson-Texas

Texas-Kelly

Kelly-Chilcotin

Chilcotin-Quesnel

Quesnel-Naver

Thompson-Bonaparte

Bonaparte-Kamloops

Kamloops-LittleR

LittleR-Adams

En-route Loss (%)

Late Shuswap (n=492)Early Shuswap (n=72)

3/8/2010 46

Conclusions from 2009Fishwheels at the Crescent site

caught more fish of all species than previous years at Crescent and Missionhigh catch rates during the pink migration limited fishwheel operations to daylight hours

Combination of Whonnock and fishwheel data and spatially stratified hydroacoustic counts appears to be a viable solution to the Mission species composition problem. Radio-telemetry and Qualark hydroacoustic data were used in-season to estimate sockeye passage at Mission.

3/8/2010 47

Conclusions from 2009 (continued)

En-route losses appear to be related to higher water temperatures during migration

highest en-route losses during late July when water temperatures were highlowest en-route losses for sockeye migrating in early July and Septemberen-route losses experienced significantly higher temperatures than fish tracked to spawning areassimilar results were derived from analyses of 2005-07data for summer-run sockeye.

All available data for Fraser sockeye CUs and stocks has been integrated into the run reconstruction analyses for 2002-07.

3/8/2010 48

Objectives/Proposal for 2010obtain daily estimates of the near-shore species composition using the Crescent Island fishwheelsobtain weekly DNA and biological samples from fishwheel caught sockeye and chinook to augment the Whonnock test fishery samples; assess in-river survival rates for Early Stuart sockeye using fish capture by fishwheels when water temperatures are low; assess river entry timing and survival rates for other sockeye run-timing groups using fish captured using marine purse seines;

3/8/2010 49

Objectives/Proposal for 2010 (continued)

identify the times and locations where any en-route losses of radio-tagged sockeye occur in 2010; more detail assessment of major en-route loss locations using additional fixed-station receivers, mobile tracking, and catch sampling data; continue work with First Nations, DFO, PSC and universities on analyses that integrate all available data into pre-season planning, in-season management and post-season assessment tools for Fraser sockeye.

3/8/2010 50

Daily Tag Abundance and Harvests 2009(Mission – Rosedale)

0

10

20

30

4024

-Jun

1-Ju

l

8-Ju

l

15-J

ul

22-J

ul

29-J

ul

5-A

ug

12-A

ug

19-A

ug

26-A

ug

2-Se

p

9-Se

p

16-S

ep

23-S

ep

30-S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d So

ckey

e

050100150200250300350400450500

Fish

ery

Cat

ch

Late-runSummer-runEarly SummerEarly Stuartcatch

3/8/2010 51

Daily Tag Abundance and Harvests 2009(Rosedale – Hope)

0

5

10

15

20

2524

-Jun

1-Ju

l

8-Ju

l

15-J

ul

22-J

ul

29-J

ul

5-A

ug

12-A

ug

19-A

ug

26-A

ug

2-Se

p

9-Se

p

16-S

ep

23-S

ep

30-S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d So

ckey

e

0100200300400500600700800900

Fish

ery

Cat

ch

Late-runSummer-runEarly SummerEarly Stuartcatch

3/8/2010 52

Daily Tag Abundance and Harvests 2009(Hope – Sawmill)

0

3

6

9

12

1524

-Jun

1-Ju

l

8-Ju

l

15-J

ul

22-J

ul

29-J

ul

5-A

ug

12-A

ug

19-A

ug

26-A

ug

2-Se

p

9-Se

p

16-S

ep

23-S

ep

30-S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d So

ckey

e

0

300

600

900

1200

1500

1800

2100

Fish

ery

Cat

ch

Late-runSummer-runEarly SummerEarly Stuartcatch

3/8/2010 53

Daily Tag Abundance and Harvests 2009(Upstream of Sawmill)

05

101520253035404550

24-J

un

1-Ju

l

8-Ju

l

15-J

ul

22-J

ul

29-J

ul

5-A

ug

12-A

ug

19-A

ug

26-A

ug

2-Se

p

9-Se

p

16-S

ep

23-S

ep

30-S

ep

Rad

io-t

agge

d So

ckey

e

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Fish

ery

Cat

ch

Late-runSummer-runEarly SummerEarly Stuartcatch

3/8/2010 54

Survival (Mission to Spawning)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EarlyStuart

EarlySummer

SummerRun

Late Run

Run-timing Group

Surv

ival

Rat

e

Survival (After Harvest)

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EarlyStuart

EarlySummer

SummerRun

Late Run

Run-timing Group

Sockeye Survival 2009

55 29 142 33