strategies for reducing capex/opex - · pdf filemitsuyoshi kobayashi. executive vice...
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Mitsuyoshi Kobayashi Executive Vice President, Senior Vice President of Technology Planning Department
September 26, 2014
Strategies for reducing CAPEX/OPEX
The forward-looking statements and projected figures concerning the future performance of NTT and its subsidiaries and affiliates contained or referred to herein are based on a series of assumptions, projections, estimates, judgments and beliefs of the management of NTT in light of information currently available to it regarding NTT and its subsidiaries and affiliates, the economy and telecommunications industry in Japan and overseas, and other factors. These projections and estimates may be affected by the future business operations of NTT and its subsidiaries and affiliates, the state of the economy in Japan and abroad, possible fluctuations in the securities markets, the pricing of services, the effects of competition, the performance of new products, services and new businesses, changes to laws and regulations affecting the telecommunications industry in Japan and elsewhere, other changes in circumstances that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forecasts contained or referred to herein, as well as other risks included in NTT’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings and submissions with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
* “E” in this material represents that the figure is a plan or projection for operation.
Copyright©2014 Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation 1
Activities in Progress
Reducing CAPEX: Strategic investment
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Aggressive Investment
Streamlining
Rapid Expansion
Efficient Utilization
Strategic Investment
introduction growth maturity decline
life cycle of the service
Strategic investment based on the stage of services
Cloud Services
/DC/Wi-Fi
FTTH
PSTN
LTE
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▲40%
▲30%
In comparison with FY2005
▲16%
2005 2014E
3G(FOMA), others
PSTN
CAPEX to Sales
LTE
Cloud Services /DC/Wi-Fi
15.9% (2014)
19.4% (2009)
FTTH
2.2
1.9
3
Changes in capital investment
[Fiscal year] * Amounts excludes sales and investments related to real estate and solar power generation operation
(Trillions of yen)
*
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<Growing Field: LTE> Changes in capital investment
2013 2011 2012 2014E
Capital investment
of LTE
Increase LTE base stations
Total capital investment of NTT docomo
* Forecast at the end of FY2013
Capital Investment of
FOMA
Suppress total capital investment
4
95,000 stations
7,000 stations
Number of LTE Base Stations
[Fiscal year]
(Billions of yen)
*
(New segment reporting structure have been applied from FY2014/1Q)
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ü Reducing goods expenses and improving efficiency of engineering ü Introducing multi-frequency antenna (maximum 5 frequencies)
⇒reduced to 1/3 compared with FOMA ü Utilizing the network service of NTT East and NTT West
*1 Cost of antenna for one frequency of a base station *2 Calculated by dividing LTE investment by the number of the installed base station
2013 2011 2012 2014E
The unit construction cost of the LTE base stations
▲12% *2
Capital investments for LTE
Efficient investment
*1
5
[Fiscal year]
<Growing Field: LTE> Improving efficiency of installing base stations
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2012 2003 2008 2013
Number of FTTH subscribers
2005
18 millions
1 million
Area coverage rate of FTTH
94%
50% (FY 2000)
80%
6
[Fiscal year]
Capital investments for FTTH
<Maturing Field: FTTH> Changes in capital investments
* Ratio of optical fiber deployment in distribution points (NTT East)
*
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2012 2003 2005 2008 2013
0.65
Number of opened connections (millions)
Net increase of subscribers (millions)
Over 3 million opened connections
1.75
2.36
0.74 0.75
7
[Fiscal year]
<Maturing Field: FTTH> Changes in number of opened connections
(per year)
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0
1
2003 2005 2008 2012 2013
ü Reduce goods expenses 50% or more
ü “DIY” activation rate improved by approx. 20% ü BPR introducing SCM system
including cooperative company
* Supply chain management 8
Reduced to 1/3 in activation cost
Reduced to 1/2 in delivery time
[Fiscal year]
<Maturing Field: FTTH> Reducing the activation costs
*
per one FTTH line compared with FY2003
per one FTTH line compared with FY2003
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Significant improvement in work efficiency by “Free-Bending Optical Fiber Cord”
ü Applying the fruits of R&D
Previously 7km
OLT
Currently 20km or more
Extend the transmission distance of the optical signal
ONU
9
<Maturing field: FTTH> Measures to facilitate more activations (example)
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(15%)
0%
15%
-1,000
0
1,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Operating Profits (left axes)
To improve the profit margin: ü Reduce activation cost and improve facility
utilization rate ü Expand the number of subscribers and its usage
Profit margin (right axes)
10
100
0
▲100
[Fiscal year]
<Maturing Field: FTTH > Changes in profit margin
(Billions of yen for Operating Income)
* Summary of “FTTH Access Services” and “Other” from “Designated Telecommunications Services other than Specified Telecommunications Services”
▲15%
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Asset’s carrying value
Streamlining the equipments
26 ▲56%
60 Number of subscribers (millions)
Decreased to half in 10 years
2012 2003 2005 2008 2013 11
[Fiscal year]
<Declining Field: PSTN > Changes in asset’s carrying value
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(5%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Operating profits (left axis)
Accelerating activities for streamlining the equipments
12
<Declining Field: PSTN > Changes in profit margin
(Billions of yen)
[Fiscal year]
300
0
200
100
(100)
Profit margin (right axis)
* Calculated from “Voice Transmission Services” and “Leased Circuit Services”
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Replacement of legacy equipments Transport system : 60 thousand racks Switch system : 1.8 thousand units Settlement of lines : 400 thousand lines
Significant asset reduction
OPEX ▲20 Billion yen/year (Electricity charges, Maintenance costs, etc.)
(from FY2012 to FY2016)
13
<Declining Field: PSTN > Measures to streamline the equipments(example)
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Improving efficiency in procurements
2013 2003
The amount of procurements of NTT Group
Operating
companies
ü Cost reduction by introducing new technologies ü Extend the common specification and reduce
the variety of goods
Vendors
Suppliers
Dimension Data
Promoting competition by utilizing Dimension Data
Procurement price (example:Aerial optical fiber cable)
2003 2013
RFP
Up to now üExpansion of the global procurement
Price per 1meter (100 fibers cable)
Cost of antenna
2013 LTE(Xi)
Reduced to 1/3
2007 3G(FOMA)
Cost of antenna for one frequency of a base station
From now on Promoting the cooperated procurement strategy for whole NTT group ü Deployment of visualization and best
practices by the unification of IT systems ü Improve efficiency including the procurement
of outsourcing services
14 [Fiscal year]
[Fiscal year] [Fiscal year]
(Compared to 3G) (Compared to 2G: 1/10)
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Up to now
Improve efficiency by individual companies ü Standardization of
development procedure
ü Automation of testing
ü Applying open source softwares
ü Utilizing offshore
From optimization of individual companies to optimization in whole group
Systematization and standardization of procedures and tools by whole NTT group
ü Applying group common frameworks with open source
ü Applying group common tools (e.g. automated testing, development process control) Assumed effect
2013 2015
Cost of new development project
From now on
15
Improving efficiency in software development
[Fiscal year]
*
* Templates of Applications
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Activities in Progress
Reducing OPEX
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2006 2009 2013
Trouble reception centers of NTT East and NTT West
Operators in Companies outsourced from NTT East and NTT West
Significant reduction of operating sites and operators
Improving efficiency in operation
Applying IT systems
Further multitasking
17
[Fiscal year]
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Improving efficiency in operation(Example)
ü Applying IT systems
ONU
equipment equipment
Monitoring and control system
Automatic testing system
Diagnostic and recovery tools
18
Detecting trouble point in fiber network
Traffic control and troubleshooting from remote site
Trouble diagnosis and recovery by customer
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Multitask by one operator
manual
Cloud & Tablet ü Electronic manuals ü Automated tools (e.g. testing tools)
Automated testing tools
Terminal equipment
Indoor equipment
Improving efficiency in operation(Example)
Outdoor facilities
repair xx manual
ü Further multitasking
19
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Suppressing energy consumption by Total Power Revolution (TPR)
Efficient use of energy
8.54 8.68 8.72 8.71 8.66 8.56 8.52
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
ü Replacing old equipment to energy efficient type ü Introducing new technologies aggressively
• Next-generation power transmission system HVDC (High voltage direct current )
• Cooperative control of the NW equipment, AC and electric supply • Outdoor air cooling system
Electric power
(billion kWh)
Gbps Gbps
Gbps Gbps Gbps
Gbps
Gbps
520 750
1,020 1,090 1,270 1,560
2,130
20
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 [Fiscal year]
Internet traffic of NTT
* Predicted by NTT based on the following “The estimation of the Internet traffic in Japan” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications)
*
(reference)
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Activities from now
Further reduction of CAPEX/OPEX
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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
ファイル共有
ウェブ
ビデオ
Internet traffic of Japan
Increase of Internet Traffic
* Predicted by NTT based on the following “The estimation of the Internet traffic in Japan” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications) “The present conditions of the mobile communication traffic in Japan” (Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications) Cisco Visual Networking Index 22
Expansion of video services
Penetration of smartphones
4K/8K(High definition video), Wearable devices , etc.
*
File sharing
Web
Video
10x increase
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2000
Cyber attacks against social infrastructure
Connected Devices
Connected Device/Person
12.5 Billion
50 Billion
2010 2020
Internet of Things
Increase of risk by connecting vulnerable devices
Increase of cyber attacks
10x increase
2012 London Olympics 210 million times of cyber attacks
2012 Japan A concentrated attack
for government websites by crackers
Smart city (social infrastructure
interconnectivity)
23 2010 2020
* Source: Cisco IBSG, April 2011
*
*
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Further evolution of network services
Specifically…
ü Strengthen the competitiveness by further cost reduction
ü Enhance the function to support the creation of the service
ü Building the resilient network (Corresponding with increase of traffic and cyber attacks)
Promoting collaboration model
Accelerate the evolution of networks and operations by maximizing Cloud and Virtualization
24
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The Internet
Cloud (Virtualization)
Public Wi-Fi In-house Wi-Fi
LTE, 5G
Further reduction of CAPEX/OPEX
While traffic will increase by ten times
OSS/BSS
Network as of 2020
1)Control by software (e.g. SDN)
Strengthening the competitiveness by Cloud and Virtualization
3)Efficient expansion of wireless access network
Optical fiber base + new technologies
(e.g. WDM)
* Electronics manufacturing service
2)Large capacity, simplified Cost reduction using EMS *
25
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Service A
Service B
Cloud
OSS/BSS
B
Service NW
General switches
Service NW
A Controlling resources
quickly and automatically depending on the situation
End users
Technology strategies for strengthening the competitiveness
Innovation by Service Collaboration
Sports/ Entertainment
Distribution Health care Environment Transportation
Tourism
Manufacturing
B
MVNO,ISP Other industries On demand control
Realization of TAF(Trusted and Adaptive Fabric ) *
26
Telecomm carriers
A
* The network which has both confidence and flexibility (= tough) to meet various demands of partners, quickly and precisely
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Correcting and analyzing vast information using AI technologies
Equipment log
2013-1-1T01:11:00 msg [100]: STP: VLAN 1 Port 38 STP State -> DISABLED (PortDown) 2013-1-1T01:11:00 msg [101]: System: Interface ethernet 38, state down 2013-1-1T03:00:00 msg [200] : STP: VLAN 100 Port 22 STP State -> DISABLED (PortDown) 2013-1-1T03:00:00 %NODE%: %HOST% port %I/F% detected CRC error in %N% flames 2013-1-1T03:00:00 msg [201] : System: Interface ethernet 22, state down
Big Data analysis
Social log (e.g. SNS)
Evolution of operations
Further reduction of OPEX by Proactive Operation
・ ・ ・
27
Detect the sign of a cyber attacks, traffic fluctuations, equipment failures, etc.
and correspond in advance, automatically
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★ ★ ★
★
★ security operation center (including locations with security specialists)
Advanced security management
Global Broadband Network
Seamless security monitoring
system
World leading detecting and analyzing
technique
★
★
★ ★
★
★
★ ★
★ ★
★
Guarding solidly with collective strength
28
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Summary
NTT continues to be selected by customer by strengthening the competitiveness of network services
Need to enhance network
Increase of traffic and security risk Streamlining
capital investment &
Cost reduction
R&D + Technical Capabilities
29
contradiction