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Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market 1 M920-MT M920-MT August 2013 Smart City Market Smart City Market is Likely to be Worth a Cumulative $1.565 Trillion by 2020

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Page 1: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the GlobalSmart City Market

Smart City Market is Likely to be Worth a Cumulative $1.565 Trillion by 2020

1M920-MT

M920-MTAugust 2013

Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the GlobalSmart City Market

Smart City Market is Likely to be Worth a Cumulative $1.565 Trillion by 2020

Page 2: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Definition of Smart Cities

Smart City Concepts

Smart cities are cities built on‘Smart’ and ‘Intelligent’

solutions and technology thatwill lead to the adoption of at

least 5 of the 8 following smartparameters—smart energy,

smart building, smart mobility,smart healthcare, smart

infrastructure, smarttechnology, smart governance

and smart education, smartcitizen

Smart cities are cities built on‘Smart’ and ‘Intelligent’

solutions and technology thatwill lead to the adoption of at

least 5 of the 8 following smartparameters—smart energy,

smart building, smart mobility,smart healthcare, smart

infrastructure, smarttechnology, smart governance

and smart education, smartcitizen

SmartBuilding

SmartCitizen

SmartHealthcare

Smart Governance andSmart Education

2M920-MT

Source: Frost & Sullivan

4G

Smart cities are cities built on‘Smart’ and ‘Intelligent’

solutions and technology thatwill lead to the adoption of at

least 5 of the 8 following smartparameters—smart energy,

smart building, smart mobility,smart healthcare, smart

infrastructure, smarttechnology, smart governance

and smart education, smartcitizen

Smart cities are cities built on‘Smart’ and ‘Intelligent’

solutions and technology thatwill lead to the adoption of at

least 5 of the 8 following smartparameters—smart energy,

smart building, smart mobility,smart healthcare, smart

infrastructure, smarttechnology, smart governance

and smart education, smartcitizen

SmartEnergy

SmartBuilding

SmartTechnology

SmartMobility

Smart Infrastructure

Note: Smart Security is included as a part of Smart Infrastructure segment in this illustration.

Page 3: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020

• Smart grids• Smart meters• Intelligent energy

storage

• Building Automation• Intelligent Buildings:

Advanced HVAC,Lighting Equipment

• Advanced trafficmanagement system(ATMS)

• Parking management• ITS-enabled

transportation pricingsystem

• eGovernment• eEducation• Disaster management

solutions

• 4G connectivity• Super broadband• Free Wi-Fi• 1Gbps download

speeds

Smart Energy: Digital Management ofEnergy

Smart Buildings: Automated IntelligentBuildings

Smart Mobility: Intelligent Mobility

Smart Infrastructure: Digital Management ofInfrastructure

Smart Governance and Smart Education:Government-on-the-GoSmart Technology*: Seamless Connectivity

3M920-MT

• Sensor networks• Digital water and

waste management

• eGovernment• eEducation• Disaster management

solutions

• Use of eHealth andmHealth systems

• Intelligent andconnected medicaldevices

• Use of green mobilityoptions

• Smart lifestyle choices

• 4G connectivity• Super broadband• Free Wi-Fi• 1Gbps download

speeds

Smart Healthcare: Intelligent HealthcareTechnology Smart Citizen*: Civic Digital Natives

*Smart citizen and smart technology are integrated and not covered separately in this analysis.

• Surveillance• Biometrics• Simulation modeling

and crime protection• C2 and response

Smart Security: Next Generation 911

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 4: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Key Findings of the Study

Smart City Market: Key Take Aways, Global, 2011–2025

1 Around 26 global cities and more than 90 sustainable cities are to developed by 2025. Around 50%of these smart cities will be from North America and Europe.

2 The smart city market will be valued at $1.565 trillion in 2020. Out of this share, 24.6% of projects islikely to be in the smart governance and smart education segment.

3

The need for complex and integrated citywide solutions will drive and foster convergence in thesmart city space. Companies will actively partner and converge with other players in the smart cityecosystem to create and offer intelligent services. Convergence between pure-play product vendors,networking companies, and system integrators will create the most smart solutions in the market.

4M920-MT

3

The need for complex and integrated citywide solutions will drive and foster convergence in thesmart city space. Companies will actively partner and converge with other players in the smart cityecosystem to create and offer intelligent services. Convergence between pure-play product vendors,networking companies, and system integrators will create the most smart solutions in the market.

4

As cities evolve into clusters of smart communities, the importance of ICT participants will increaseas a fresh league of such companies begin to participate in areas, such as smart energy, industrialautomation, and building technology that were previously not envisioned by traditional leaders inthese spaces. Similarly, utility providers will begin to compete with telecom providers while deployingICT network within a city.

5Smart cities will be measured on the level of intelligence and integration of infrastructure connectingsectors of healthcare, energy, buildings, transportation, and governance. The construction of this ICTnetwork will have 4 main models: BOO, BOT, BOM, and Open Network.

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 5: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Key Findings of the Study (continued)

Smart City Market: Key Take Aways, Global, 2011–2025

6The smart energy segment will witness the highest growth rate by 2020. With a CAGR of 25.2%,the market is anticipated to be valued at $248.36 billion, constituting 15.8% of the global smart citymarket.

7Smart mobility solutions are likely to be in high demand in the next 15 years. Latin America, MiddleEast and Africa, and Central and Eastern Europe will be the growing segments, at 45.8%, 39.1%,and 31.4%, respectively, by 2025.

8eServices to Citizens, such as ePayments, eExchange, eSharing, etc., will empower citizens withreal-time access to personal data and related services. More than 60% of citizens of smart citieswill have full access to eServices in the next 10 years.

5M920-MT

8eServices to Citizens, such as ePayments, eExchange, eSharing, etc., will empower citizens withreal-time access to personal data and related services. More than 60% of citizens of smart citieswill have full access to eServices in the next 10 years.

9

All smart city market participants will assume one or more of the four main roles in the ecosystem:integrators (the end-to-end service provider); network operators (the M2M and connectivityproviders); product vendors (hardware and asset providers); and managed service providers (third-party providers overseeing management/operation of smart solutions/services).

10

The pace of smart city market development will depend on how quickly companies converge andtap into each other’s industry value chains. In addition to identifying best partners, the first moveradvantage in offering integrated solutions to city governments will also become vital as cities lookfor centralized operation centres. Cloud-based smart city services, in this context, will becomeimperative.

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 6: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

CompanySmartEnergy

SmartHealthcare

SmartBuilding

SmartMobility

SmartInfrastructure

SmartGovernanceand SmartEducation

SmartSecurity

IBM

GE

ABB

Executive Summary—Comparative Analysis of Smart City SolutionProviders

Smart City Solution Providers, Global, 2012

6M920-MT

SchneiderElectric

Siemens AG

Cisco

Accenture

Oracle

Ericsson

High Medium Low Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 7: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Sustainable and Eco-Cities in 2025Global Snapshot of Sustainable and Eco-Cities in 2025

Sustainable or eco-city in 2025Sustainable or eco-city built fromscratch

PortlandSacramentoOaklandSan DiegoDallasHoustonOrlandoAustinMinneapolisSan JoseDenverBostonOttawaMontrealPhiladelphiaWashingtonDCColumbusEdmonton

CardiffBrusselsZurichLyonFrankfurtMilanRomeCambridgeshireMarseilleTampere

GenevaGrazRigaVilniusMetzTubingenMontpellierBordeauxCasablancaNorwichHamburg

ManchesterGothenburgIsle of WightGlasgowLiverpoolDublinBergenEdinburghNantesGyorIstanbul

GIFTSino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-city, TianjinNanjingHong KongFoshanGuangzhouWuxiOsakaYokohamaWanzhuang Eco-city, HebeiMedanPalembangJakartaSurabayaDenpasarMakasarBalikpapanAdelaideMoreland

North America

Europe

Middle Eastand Africa

Asia-Pacific and Australia

BursaAnkaraEskisehirIzmirDenizliAntalyaAdana

7M920-MT

Source: Siemens Green Index; Frost & Sullivan

Note: Eco-cities are cities built on a green initiative, from buildings to transport, governance, city planning,energy, and technology. These cities are either upgraded or built from scratch.

AccraJohannesburgCape TownDurbanTunisMasdar CityDoha

Belo HorizonteBogotáBrasíliaRio de JaneiroSão PauloCuritibaMexico City

PortlandSacramentoOaklandSan DiegoDallasHoustonOrlandoAustinMinneapolisSan JoseDenverBostonOttawaMontrealPhiladelphiaWashingtonDCColumbusEdmonton

GIFTSino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-city, TianjinNanjingHong KongFoshanGuangzhouWuxiOsakaYokohamaWanzhuang Eco-city, HebeiMedanPalembangJakartaSurabayaDenpasarMakasarBalikpapanAdelaideMoreland

Latin America

Middle Eastand Africa

Page 8: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Types of Smart City ParticipantsThere are four different roles smart city participants can take.

NetworkServiceProviders

IntegratorsSmart city integrators are project integrators that bring together varioussectors of the smart city through pre-packaged platforms, thereby providing aunified, holistic, and end-to-end integration of multiple sectors.

Example: IBM, Oracle, Accenture

Smart city network providers offer collaborative networks, data analytics andenterprise working solutions that connect people, assets, systems andproducts by leveraging on their networking and M2M capabilities.

Example: Cisco, Verizon, Ericsson, AT&T

1

2

8M920-MT

Pure-PlayProductVendors

ManagedServiceProviders

Smart city network providers offer collaborative networks, data analytics andenterprise working solutions that connect people, assets, systems andproducts by leveraging on their networking and M2M capabilities.

Example: Cisco, Verizon, Ericsson, AT&T

3

4

Smart city product vendors provide ‘hard assets,’ such as smart meters anddistribution devices (e.g., automated switches, controllers for capacitor banksand voltage regulators) that operate as the main nodes of connectivity.

Example: Eaton, Honeywell, ABB, Schneider Electric, Siemens AG

Smart city managed service providers offer round-the-clock monitoring,complete management, compliance monitoring, and on-site consulting. Theseservices are provided either in house, co-managed, or are completelyoutsourced (third-party providers).

Example: IBM, Serco, SAIC, InfosysSource: Frost & Sullivan

Page 9: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Smart City Participants and Typical Suite ofSolutions (Examples)*

Integrators Network ServiceProviders

Pure-Play ProductVendors

Managed ServiceProviders

Software Focused Communication Focused Infrastructure Focused Operations Focused

• Networkingequipment, such asrouters, switches,SIM chips

• Geographicalinformation systems

• Remote access andmonitoring

• Wireless areanetwork

• M2M big dataanalytics andconsulting

• Unifiedcommunication

• Enterprise resourceplanning formunicipalities andgovernments

• Central operationscenters

• Smart city consulting—reference architectureand framework planning

• Big data smart cityanalytics

• Cloud-based smart cityservices

• Smart devices andcontrol systems

• Sensors

• Smart meters

• Power and automationtechnologies

• Turnkey substations

• Utility hardware andsoftware

• Smart parkinginfrastructure

• Mobility integration andparking infrastructure

• Monitoring andmanagement of smart-city-related ITinfrastructure

• Prevention, detection,and reporting of securitythreats

• Feature solutions forpremises, cloud, andhybrid environments

• Support in-house, co-managed, andoutsourced options

• Manage risk andcompliance

9M920-MT

*The list is not exhaustive.

• Networkingequipment, such asrouters, switches,SIM chips

• Geographicalinformation systems

• Remote access andmonitoring

• Wireless areanetwork

• M2M big dataanalytics andconsulting

• Unifiedcommunication

• Enterprise resourceplanning formunicipalities andgovernments

• Central operationscenters

• Smart city consulting—reference architectureand framework planning

• Big data smart cityanalytics

• Cloud-based smart cityservices

• Smart devices andcontrol systems

• Sensors

• Smart meters

• Power and automationtechnologies

• Turnkey substations

• Utility hardware andsoftware

• Smart parkinginfrastructure

• Mobility integration andparking infrastructure

• Monitoring andmanagement of smart-city-related ITinfrastructure

• Prevention, detection,and reporting of securitythreats

• Feature solutions forpremises, cloud, andhybrid environments

• Support in-house, co-managed, andoutsourced options

• Manage risk andcompliance

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 10: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Larg

e nu

mbe

r of S

mar

t City

Pro

ject

s

IBM

Siemens

Smar

t City

Clie

nt E

ngag

emen

tExecutive Summary—Next Game Changers in Smart City BusinessIBM leads the way with integrated solutions combining state-of-the-art hardware, software, and services.

10M920-MT

Size of bubble has been estimated based on number of client engagements,degree of partnership in smart city projects and level of investment in smart products and solutions

Smal

l num

ber o

f Sm

art C

ity p

roje

cts

Larg

e nu

mbe

r of S

mar

t City

Pro

ject

s

Data Networking Intelligence Integration

Cisco

Siemens

GEABB

Accenture

Degree of Smart Services

Smar

t City

Clie

nt E

ngag

emen

t

OracleEricsson

SchneiderElectric

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 11: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Smart City Stakeholder Dynamics70% of successful smart city programs between 2013 to 2015 will be governed by joint ventures, with thegovernment playing the leadership role.

• Municipal Government Management

• Municipal Government Service Delivery

• Municipal Infrastructure and Services

• Citizens

• Enterprises in the City

• Technology and Application Providers

• Systems Integrators

• Infrastructure Services Providers and

Operators

Dire

ct S

take

hold

ers—

City

as a

Cus

tom

er

Support to plan and executea governance system

Use intelligence to makebetter tactical decisions

Develop and administeradvanced, targeted services

Use intelligence andinsight to create plans andsupport decisions

Deliver fundamental servicesthat operate in coordinationacross a city

Use intelligence and insightto build and operatemunicipal infrastructure

Live in a safe community withsufficient access to allservices

Beneficial returns on taxespaid, reliable and usefulservices

Smar

t City

Stak

ehol

der

Anal

ysis

Role in Smart City Value PropositionSmart City Market: Analysis of Types of Smart City Stakeholders, Global, 2012–2015

11M920-MT

• Municipal Government Management

• Municipal Government Service Delivery

• Municipal Infrastructure and Services

• Citizens

• Enterprises in the City

• Technology and Application Providers

• Systems Integrators

• Infrastructure Services Providers and

Operators

Dire

ct S

take

hold

ers—

City

as a

Cus

tom

er

Indi

rect

Stak

ehol

ders

—En

ablin

gC

ity a

s a

Cus

tom

er

Live in a safe community withsufficient access to allservices

Beneficial returns on taxespaid, reliable and usefulservices

Location in an environmentthat supports and promotesprosperity

Supports world-classservices with reliable andeffective infrastructures

Responsible for creating theelements of the digitalfoundation of a smart city

Enables the generation ofintelligence that makes asmart city ‘smart’

Construct the digitalinfrastructure of the smart city

Provide the logical andinformation framework thatenables intelligence

Interface with and oftenoperate the intelligentinfrastructure of the city

Create and deliveradvanced services todirect stakeholders

Smar

t City

Stak

ehol

der

Anal

ysis

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 12: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Smart ConvergenceCompanies in the smart city space will not only partner and converge among themselves to offer ‘smart’capabilities but would also start converging with different participants in the ecosystem.

IT Participants• IP networks• Digital technology• Analysis software• Technology integration• Network security

Energy and InfrastructureParticipants• T&D technology• Power electronics• Renewable energy• Integrated distribution

management• Substation automation• AMI-enabled metering

Telecom Participants• Broadband and Internet

service providers• Phone lines• Mobile communications• Networked IT services

SAP

HP

STElectronics

Oracle

GoogleMicrosoft

Point of Convergence

Smart City Market: Convergence of Competition, Global, 2012–2025

12M920-MT

Energy and InfrastructureParticipants• T&D technology• Power electronics• Renewable energy• Integrated distribution

management• Substation automation• AMI-enabled metering

Automation and BuildingControl Participants• Building automation• Demand-side management• Device connectivity• Monitoring and sensing• Smart grid integration

Security• Firewalls, Internet protocol

security• Physical implementation of

systems and monitoring• Managed and monitoring

services• Cloud-based services• Identity management, smart

cards

Telecom Participants• Broadband and Internet

service providers• Phone lines• Mobile communications• Networked IT services

Alcatel-Lucent

IBM

Cisco Senergy

Eaton

ALSTOM Grid

Siemens AG

GeneralElectric

ABB

Honeywell

Rockwell Automation

Johnson Controls

Schneider Electric

Verizon

O2

Deutsche Telekom

Ericsson

AT&T

Serco

SymantecTyco

Securitas

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 13: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Executive Summary—Key Conclusions and Future Outlook

Smart Cities: Key Findings and Future Outlook, Global, 2020

New services,such as

eExchange,eSharing

Networkedinfrastructure

and cloud-based

connectivity

Smarterinfrastructurewith efficientutility systems

26 smart citiesby 2025

Marketopportunity of$1.565 trillion

Collaborative Smart CityProjects—'City Deals'

Convergence ofCompetition Big Data Hubs New Public-

Private Dynamic

So What?

13M920-MT

Governments of smartcities are transforming froma traditional model of a silo-

based organization to amore collaborative,

integrated service deliverymodel. Cities will

collaborate with each otherto drive smart city

innovation by entering intopartnerships with each

other.

Increase in technology andecosystem convergence,

collaboration andpartnerships between

stakeholders from differentindustries, such as energy

and infrastructure, IT,telecoms and government

will expedite delivery ofintegrated services.

Collaborative Smart CityProjects—'City Deals'

Convergence ofCompetition Big Data Hubs New Public-

Private Dynamic

Smart cities will emerge asmajor big data hubs with

data being collected,analysed and monitored in

real-time by a centralmonitoring hub. This

information will be used tooptimize city operationsand will also encourageopen data platforms and

crowdsharing.

Smart city enablesenterprises to lead a new

business model wherefirms could participate inthe governance of cities

and become asupplementary part to the

government instead ofbeing a contractor.

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 14: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Appendix

14M920-MT

Appendix

Page 15: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Comparative Analysis of Smart City Solution ProvidersSmart energy solutions, and smart governance and smart security solutions need more focus from the smartcity solution providers.

CompanySmartEnergy

SmartHealthcare

SmartBuilding

SmartMobility

SmartInfrastructure

SmartGovernanceand SmartEducation

SmartSecurity

IBM

GE

ABB

Smart City Solution Providers, Global, 2012

15M920-MT

SchneiderElectric

Siemens AG

Cisco

Accenture

Oracle

Ericsson

High Medium Low Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 16: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Comparative Analysis of Digital Management of Energy by VariousSmart City Solution Providers

Company

AMI(Advanced Meter

Infrastructure) Demand ResponseDistribution Grid

Management

High-voltageTransmissionTechnologies

IBM

GE

ABB

Smart City Market: Comparative Analysis of Digital Management of Energy, 2012

16M920-MT

Schneider Electric

Siemens AG

Cisco

Accenture

Oracle

SAIC

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 17: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Comparative Analysis of Automated Intelligent Building Technology byVarious Smart City Solution Providers

CompanyFacility

Management Life Security Physical Security Energy Management

IBM

GE

ABB

Smart City Market: Comparative Analysis of Automated Intelligent Building Technology, 2012

17M920-MT

ABB

Schneider Electric

Siemens AG

Cisco

Accenture

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 18: Strategic Opportunity Analysis of the Global Smart City Market · 2015-01-19 · Key Parameters that will Define a Smart City in 2020 • Smart grids • Smart meters • Intelligent

Comparative Analysis of Intelligent Mobility Technology by VariousSmart City Solution Providers

CompanyIntelligent Transportation

SystemSmart Mobility

Solutions EV Transport

IBM

GE

Smart City Market: Comparative Analysis of Intelligent Mobility Technology, 2012

18M920-MT

ABB

Schneider Electric

Siemens A

Cisco

Source: Frost & Sullivan