strategic exploration review disclaimer & forward looking statements creating a low cost african...
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Disclaimer & Forward Looking Statements
CREATING A LOW COST AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
For all potential discovery targets mentioned in the presentation,
the potential quantity of ounces is conceptual in nature since there
has been insufficient exploration to define a mineral resource and
since it is uncertain if exploration will result in the targets being
delineated as a mineral resource.
Cash cost per ounce and all-in sustaining cash cost per ounce are non-GAAP
performance measures with no standard meaning under IFRS. This
presentation contains “forward-looking statements” including but not
limited to, statements with respect to Endeavour’s plans and operating
performance, the estimation of mineral reserves and resources, the timing
and amount of estimated future production, costs of future production,
future capital expenditures, and the success of exploration activities.
Generally, these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of
forward-looking terminology such as “expects”, “expected”, “budgeted”,
“forecasts” and “anticipates”. Forward-looking statements, while based on
management’s best estimates and assumptions, are subject to risks and
uncertainties that may cause actual results to be materially different from
those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including
but not limited to: risks related to the successful integration of acquisitions;
risks related to international operations; risks related to general economic
conditions and credit availability, actual results of current exploration
activities, unanticipated reclamation expenses; changes in project
parameters as plans continue to be refined; fluctuations in prices of metals
including gold; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, increases in
market prices of mining consumables, possible variations in ore reserves,
grade or recovery rates; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate
as anticipated; accidents, labour disputes, title disputes, claims and
limitations on insurance coverage and other risks of the mining industry;
delays in the completion of development or construction activities, changes
in national and local government regulation of mining operations, tax rules
and regulations, and political and economic developments in countries in
which Endeavour operates. Although Endeavour has attempted to identify
important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from
those contained in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors
that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There
can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as
actual results and future events could differ materially from those
anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place
undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Please refer to Endeavour’s
most recent Annual Information Form filed under its profile at
www.sedar.com for further information respecting the risks affecting
Endeavour and its business.
The scientific and technical content of this presentation has been reviewed, verified and compiled by Gérard de Hert, EurGeol, Senior VP West Africa Exploration for Endeavour Mining. Gérard de Hert has more than 19 years of mineral exploration and mining experience, and is a "Qualified Person" as defined by National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects ("NI 43-101").
Amongst Largest and Most Promising Portfolios in West Africa
+200 Targets 7,190 km2 10 Mining Leases 42 Exploration Licenses
390km²
2,140km²
510km²
4,150km²
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1010
98
7
5
Randgold Acacia IAMGOLD B2Gold Semafo EDVEDV2015
$31/oz
$16m
Acacia
$31/oz
$24m
Randgold
$72/oz
B2gold
$42m
$42/oz
Iamgold
$70/oz
Semafo
$59/oz
$56m
$32m
$18m
2016 estimated production and 2015/2016 Exploration budget
Average $51/oz produced
Short Mine Lives Due To Lack of Exploration, Not Potential!
It is estimated that EDV should have spent at least $10m/year more in exploration in the previous years to support resource replacement and to be in line with peers
Exploration spend, $m/yearExploration spend, $/oz producedAverage Mine Life of operating assets
Endeavour spent less than peers on exploration… … As a result it suffers from shorter mine lives
*Excluding purchases of Ity and Karma, exludes Hounde project
*
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Previous Exploration Strategy Was Based
On Converting Inferred Resources
CREATING A PREMIER AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
133
1,603
165
1,693
273
1,582
154
311274
1,023
65
244
HoundéAgbaouNzema Tabakoto
2014 20152013‒ Previous 3 years focused on replacing depletion/production by drilling in-mine or near-mine already existing inferred resources for conversion to indicated and subsequent reserves
‒ Insufficient exploration investment previous 3 years to support inferred resources renewal
‒ Re-launching near-mine and brownfield exploration to define new inferred resources and bring them to Indicated/reserve status
Inferred Resources Evolution (excluding acquisitions)
Exploration Became a Core Focus in 2016
with New Structure in Place
SVPWest Africa Exploration
Resource Manager
HR Manager
New VenturesManager
Expert Geologist
FinanceManager
NI 43-101 Compliance
Greater ItyExplo Manager
Regional CIExplo Manager
AgbaouExplo Manager
HoundeExplo Manager
KarmaExplo Manager
Regional BFExplo Manager
Tabakoto/KofiExplo Manager
Abidjan based
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Sr GeosJr GeosDBTechsAccountSupport
Sr GeosJr GeosDBTechsAccountSupport
Sr GeosJr GeosDBTechsAccountSupport
Sr GeosJr GeosDBTechsSupport
Sr GeosJr GeosDBTechsAccountSupport
Sr GeosJr GeosTechsAccountSupport
Sr GeosJr GeosTechsSupport
Highly experienced team– Strong knowledge of West African
Birimian belts
– Senior staff from BRGM, Randgold,Iamgold, Areva, La Mancha, etc
– 20 Seniors Geologists
– 7 Exploration Managers
– 40 Juniors Geologists
– 130 Technicians and Support Staff
CEO
COOEVP
ProjectsEVP
Exploration & Growth
CI GovernmentRelations Advisor
Legal Advisor
Exploration Strategic Review Launched in 2016
Strategic Objectives
1Extend mine lives to +10 years
2 Discover our next mine
Methodology
Step 1: What is our potential?• Quantify and Rank exploration potential across all
mines and portfolio• Risk-weight the potential and define the associated
expenditures over 2017-2021 action plan
Step 2: What is our priority? • Set priority ranking based on strategic interest of
doing exploration on the property and risk/reward basis
7CREATING A LOW COST AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
5
950
800
700
18
750
600
850
1,100
1,050
4
1,000
14 1611 1210
900
76 1398 15
650
17
Gold Fields
AngloGoldAshanti
Newcrest
Kinross
IAMGOLD
AISC, $/oz
Golden StarTeranga
Endeavour2015A
Semafo
Nordgold
Perseus
Resolute
Randgold
Endeavour2016A
Newmont
Average mine life, years
Benchmark of West-African Producers
Bubble size represents production
Source: UBS Research, based on 2015A only West-Africa production. Mine life excludes expansion and development projects such as Kinross’ Tasiast Phase 2 and Resolute’s UG project
8CREATING A PREMIER AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
Endeavour(output of strategic
exploration review)
Exploration objective is to generate 2x more reserves than depletion (ie. Find +10Moz of Indicated) over the next 5 years
What does increasing to +10-year mine life represent?
Action Plan to Reach Strategic Objectives
Target Output
5 year exploration program
highlighting potential to find
>10Moz of indicated resources
at < 20$/oz
Action Plan• Quantify the exploration potential per
target, permit, project, country and within the Company
• Set ranking and priorities, select best targets and related exploration program per target
• Propose a realistic 5 year exploration program/budget allowing EDV to increase existing mine life by adding new low cost, high value ounces (< 20$/Oz discovery cost, AISC production cost <$800/oz)
• Concentrate greenfield exploration efforts on highest potential, large targets with the highest probability of becoming a new stand-alone operation
9CREATING A LOW COST AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
Exhaustive screening of all >200 potential
targets
130+ target screened through multi-criteria
data analysis
First filtering
Quantifying min/max and mean size and grade
(Length x width x 100m depth x density x average grade issued from existing drilling or nearby analogs)
Top selection of 40 most significant
targets
Risked mean Indicated Resource
per Target
Risked-probability weighted potential
per targetHigh/Medium/Low
Exploration budget required per target to
reach Indicated resource level status
Strategic Prioritization
Screening and Ranking Methodology
Conservative Approach
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Methodic and Exhaustive Review to Quantify and Rank Potential
• Visit to all sites with Exploration Managers/Chef-Senior Geologists, EDV experts
• 6 months detailed review of all past exploration, synthesis of all available and validated data in database
• All Geochem (Stream and Soil), all geophysics (air and ground)
• All Geological and Structural data (Outcrops, cores, Maps, regolith, structures, artisanal mining)
• All Drilling (Auger, RC, DD, Geotech) , logs and analytic results
• 130+ Targets screened through multi-criteria analysis of all data to identify and support exploration targets for evaluation
• All targets referenced and classified according to :
– Current state of project knowledge (from grassroot to development)
– Quality of supporting data (drilling, available nearby analogs, structural trends, favorable geology, etc.)
– Distance to producing facilities:
• Mine Exploration then Near Mine exploration within a 5 km radius from facilities
• Brownfield Exploration between 5 and 15 km from facilities
• Greenfield Exploration for over 15/20 km from facilities (tentative stand alone future projects, or feeding the facilities if high grade)
– Geological framework, mineralization type, mineability, exploration game changer
• All targets characterized by a minimum-maximum and mean size of tentative deposit (length, width, depth), including estimated average grade when calibration is available
• Selection of the 30% (40) most significant targets over the full portfolio in term of localization, mean size, and nearby upside (possible clusters), all gathered per relevant PE (Exploration Permit)or PEX (Exploitation permit)
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Further Selection, Ranking and Risk Evaluation
• Each selected target (~40) was risked and characterized by a Probability of Occurrence (POO), based on geological confidence/structural understanding/ type of expected mineralization/existing positive intercepts/trend extension, strong and coherent gold in soil and Auger anomalies
– POO 0.8 to 1: Very high confidence (some Mine and Near Mine Exploration or already Identified /tested targets)
– POO 0.6 : Probable deposit, with a size and grade distribution according to prognosis (Oz and average grade)
– POO 0.4: Less than average Probability of Occurrence, kept in the planning due to its possible size (High Risk- High Reward type) or due to its short distance to mine
• All selected exploration targets were set within a 5 year window, according to mine priorities, permit duration, requested exploration efforts, and budget
• All selected targets characterized with:
– The required drilling amount/yearly budgets and the related timing of Indicated resource definition
– Proposed yearly budgets include estimated manpower, drilling, analysis, support, geophysics, geochem, etc
– A 2017-2021 required risked exploration spending necessary to discover the targeted risked mean indicated Oz per target
CREATING A PREMIER AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
Output: Ranking of Potential
4
3
1
6
5
2
0.5-1.5Moz0.5-1.0Moz
4.0-6.0Moz
Greater Ity
2.5-3.5 Moz
Houndé
1.5-2.5Moz
True Gold
0.5-1.0Moz
Côte d’Ivoire
Regional
Tabakoto Agbaou
Total Potential to find 10-15Moz over next 5 yearsMoz
48%52%
10-15Moz
Near Mine to Brownfield < 15km
Greenfield
Note: See mine sections for full details. Based on average gold grade of 2.0-3.5g/t for Greater Ity, 1.8-2.5g/t for Houndé, 2.0-4.0g/t for Tabakoto, 1.0-1.5g/t for TrueGold and 1.5-3.0g/t for Côte d’Ivoire regional. The potential quantity of ounces is conceptual in nature since there has been insufficient exploration to define a mineral resource and since it is uncertain if exploration will result in the targets being delineated as a mineral resource.
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Out-put: Low Discovery Costs
$10m
$15m
$25m
$30m
$45m
$55m
$13/oz$20/oz
$25/oz
$15/oz$15/oz$11/oz
Côte d’Ivoire
Regional
True GoldAgbaouTabakotoHoundéGreater Ity
Average discovery costExploration budget
Annual budget of $35-40m with anticipated average discovery costs <$15/oz
33%
Côte
d’Ivoire
50%
Mali
17%
Burkina
Faso
5-year budget
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What are the priorities with annual budget of $35-40m
2017
9%
100%
7%
21%
24%
9%
31%
9%
4%
2021
100%
12%
7%
43%
27%
6%
2020
100%
13%
2%
35%
35%
6%
2019
100%
10%
4%
21%
20%
26%
20%
2018
100%
7%
3%
25%
20%
22%
23%
True GoldRegional CIItyAgbaouHoundeTabakoto
Priorities: 1. Tabakoto due to its short mine life 2. Agbaou to extend oxide mine life3. Ity to extend HL and Improve CIL case4. Houndé (once in production) to maintain 250kozpa level after 4th year
Priorities: 1. Ity Greater Area 2. Houndé to prolong mine life3. Tabakoto and Agabou exploration will be
success driven
15CREATING A LOW COST AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
Why are we confident?
• Conservative approach all along the full review– Selection of only 40 targets among the 130+ identified
– Most of the selected targets correspond to coherent gold in soil or Auger clusters, and are located in favorable geology along or parallel to proven or prolific structural or shear zones
– At least half of the selected targets have already seen some positive drilling (DD/RC/Auger)
– Only mean size has been considered for each selected target
– Probability of Occurrence applied for each selected target
• Although impressive, the targeted new ounces are reasonable when put into perspective
– New targeted Ounces in the Greater Ity ~700 km2 area are only at the same level as what has already been produced and discovered on the Ity licenses (35 km2), with similar geology.
– New targeted ounces in Houndé area are in the same order of magnitude as what has already been discovered to date (all selected targets already received some positive drillings)
– 2/3 of new targeted ounces should be coming from the Greater Ity and Houndé portfolio which hold the better defined and highest quality exploration targets.
– The average yearly spending of $35-40M is in line with our peers
• We are confident that this goal is achievable, thanks to: – The quality of our exploration portfolio and the results of past exploration
– The conservative nature of the chosen approach in this evaluation
– The quality and experience of our exploration team
16CREATING A LOW COST AFRICAN GOLD PRODUCER
Conclusion
• Exploration Strategic Review has outlined that:
– It is reasonable, over the next 5 years, to replace through exploration only,
twice its yearly production in resources and therefore to sustain and extend
mines lives to +10 years
– It is possible to discover, develop and prepare at least one new multi-
million ounces project to succeed Houndé and Ity
– Few companies have the quality and depth of our exploration portfolio
• Over the next 5 years, Endeavour plans to spend $175 to 200M aiming at discovering between 10 to 15 Moz indicated resources, at an average discovery cost <$15/oz
– Average spending of ~$35 to 40M/year (average 300,000m drilling/year)
– Mali is most urgent short-term priority for resource renewal due to shortest
mine life
– The largest exploration potential is seen in the Greater Ity and Hounde
areas with 2/3rd of the total new ounces to be discovered
• EDV has the properly qualified and staffed exploration team to conduct this program
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
$1,150/oz
$1,050/oz
$1,100/oz
$750/oz
$1,000/oz
$1,200/oz
$850/oz
$800/oz
$950/oz
$900/oz
$700/oz
$650/oz
$600/oz
$550/oz
$500/oz
$450/oz
Mine life, years
SOLD
Agbaou(175-180koz)
Nzema(100-110koz)
Tabakoto(150-160koz)
AISC, US$/oz
Ity HL(75-80koz)
Ity CIL 165koz
starting 2019
Karma(100-110koz)
Bubble size represents production
Côte d’Ivoire Burkina Faso Ghana Mali
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Possibility to run HLin parallel
Mine life as at 2016
Youga
Decreased costs from >1,300/oz
Houndé+250koz starting Q4-2017
Cut-back
Karma with North Kao
Significant Exploration Potential Confirms Ability
to Increase Portfolio To +10 Year Average Mine Life